Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23233
 
On Eve of Final Presidential Debate, Trump in California Risks Getting Smaller Percentage of Popular Vote Than Any
Republican Candidate in the Past 100 Years; Recreational Marijuana Prop 64 Still Leads Ever-So-Slightly; Harris Safe:


Both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have lost support in the past 17 days, as Republicans beat up on Clinton and Democrats beat up on Trump, according to a SurveyUSA pre-election tracking poll conducted for KABC-TV in Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno.

Compared to an identical poll conducted before the 1st Presidential debate, Clinton is down 3 points, Trump is down 3 points, and undecided voters have doubled. Today, as then, Clinton's lead is 26 percentage points.

With Trump's support down to 30% at this hour, he falls below the Plimsoll line, and risks receiving a smaller percentage of the popular vote than any Republican candidate in the past 100 years. The low-water mark is currently held by George Herbert Walker Bush, who got 33% of the popular vote in California in a 3-way contest in 1992.

Trump's support has steadily eroded among the youngest voters, down from 29% in mid-September to 25% in late-September to 20% today. Among independents, Trump has dropped from 28% in mid-September to 22% in late-September to 17% today. Among high-school educated voters, Trump has fallen from 48% to 28%. Among gun owners, Trump has fallen from 47% to 37%. Among affluent voters, Trump has fallen from 38% to 31%.

Counter-intuitively, given the cloud that Trump now campaigns under, his support among Evangelicals has increased, from 46% to 49% to now 53%. Clinton among Evangelicals has fallen from 46% to 36%. Among strong Republicans, Trump is up from 80% to 89%. Clinton is down from 19% to 6%. Among very conservative voters, Clinton is down from 29% to 19%. Among very liberal voters, Trump is down from 6% to 2%, Clinton is up from 84% to 92%. The number of Trump supporters who say they are not voting "for Trump," but rather "against Clinton," has increased from 36% to 43% to now 46%. At the same time, the number of Trump voters who acknowledge having reservations about Trump has not budged: 33% then, 33% now.

In an election today for United States Senator from CA, to replace retiring Democrat Barbara Boxer, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Democrat Loretta Sanchez, 45% to 24%. The 21-point Harris advantage is up materially poll-on-poll; it is her largest lead to date. The number of Latinos voting for Harris has dropped from 39% to 35% to now 30%. The number of independents voting for Harris has increased from 27% to 33% to now 35%.

Ballot Measures:

* Prop 56, which would increase the tax on cigarettes to $2 per pack, is favored to pass 57% to 35%. Support has eroded.
* Proposition 62, which would end the death penalty in CA and replace it with life in prison, trails by 18 points today and is headed for defeat.
* Proposition 63, which outlaws large-capacity magazines and requires background checks on ammo purchases, leads by more than 2:1 and will pass.
* Proposition 64, which would legalize, regulate and tax recreational marijuana, is backed 51% to 40%. Unchanged from mid-and late-September.

Statewide Favorability Ratings:

* President Barack Obama is viewed extremely favorably by 39% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 24%.
* Trump is viewed extremely favorably by 12% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 56%. Worse than before.
* Clinton is viewed extremely favorably by 20% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 33%. Worse than before.
* Governor Jerry Brown is viewed extremely favorably by 15% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 17%. Unchanged.
* Dianne Feinstein is viewed extremely favorably by 17% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 18%.
* Boxer is viewed extremely favorably by 17% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 21%. Better than before.

Context and Methodology:

SurveyUSA interviewed 900 state of California adults 10/13/16 through 10/15/16. All interviews were conducted after the 2nd Presidential debate on 10/09/16, and during a time of unflattering revelations about both Trump and Clinton. Of the adults, 820 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 725 were judged by SurveyUSA to have already voted in the Presidential election or as certain to do so before polls close on 11/08/16. Of registered voters, 3% tell SurveyUSA they almost always vote in a Presidential election but will not vote in 2016 because they do not like any of the candidates. 6% of voters tell SurveyUSA they almost never vote in Presidential elections but will vote in 2016 because they are particularly drawn to one of the candidates. The survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on their home telephones (58% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (42% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the screen of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Polling ballot measures and citizen initiatives is an inexact science. In general, having nothing to do with California specifically and having nothing to do with 2016 uniquely, opposition to a ballot measure increases as Election Day approaches. Rarely does support for a ballot measure increase over time. As a result, the outcome of Prop 64 cannot be assured at this hour.
 
1California will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 6 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I have already voted. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Three: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Four: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Five: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Six: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year.
820 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Already Voted6441243214994619315217640910157191220133119723771746121835192026382142043391123143628214115281351459233914503232135023411920204315473925921132246
Always Do / Will This Year6152963191352001581233352812963618995061561101635968177791631902568112319712081190420582443131062262832023356413946335717027713137123413645018928066539465531684118351527132649546203394167211165423804692453701212401281268037
Always Do / Not This Year211110677113811037--13844114152188237142812479613141777431294146112191191011615813219713854176141010575421
Not Sure Yet 6229333619525572461814--4561571249281648289510501428202021212527694921755213815431332950455849653293075127311318243394645171720151059
Rarely Do / Will This Year46222417189135102031580463846101031120133819941629621191514171718763711533202213269207343361129732192113913271114152553321259235934
Don't / Won't This Year12102102001203072--1002240134126102945344462248200021011156012012290116511092111102957152400
Total8204094112352601871384953253855025313264661801288292972239820727032110815728114910024256895324401168292360294416851816174372013121564623411905852373769970358734222548115677365427747142825092182692295511176183664541623151691759557
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%29%32%23%17%60%40%47%6%31%16%9%91%10%16%10%11%12%27%12%25%33%39%13%19%34%18%12%30%69%12%40%49%21%36%44%36%51%10%22%75%59%27%44%22%58%42%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%92%28%69%15%85%46%54%9%90%36%64%43%53%29%71%15%81%45%55%20%38%21%21%12%7%
 
If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson? or Green Party candidate Jill Stein?
725 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Donald Trump (R)22112110037637050101120134751301820366903712691155551073716592801412194105338710163124294417428149351111566290120488025192152007512734178911211719347164758356152321617514651806129278
Hillary Clinton (D)4091852241061339377239170176351395941368415133365184921911127720471291198511029446143220901321861552033810829034114247202251766133114119853347343609230052345185212343621632351001261082865931316924064167651135231
Gary Johnson (L)302010131134236120126327247111406194541622921511145131210173327119681317424818327029151452516143278221011121832417138911242
Jill Stein (G)166107431114806201500367000150025537928655668121290308701551021421331301531241288168831196373211
Undecided5128232021724110172191324831099690132495152321183122721723212321584118131392522152811224432451726133428196411433112016273403515132071046
Total725359366184232176134416310346442251096466174119687184206941942242991021392391379222449676283366139260326257373761655434071863031494272841705182133288762353648201480104598323378646352394611972452014911005493054201392831471578747
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%15%9%91%10%16%9%10%12%28%13%27%31%41%14%19%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%51%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%7%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
221 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 6.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
For Trump11767502028392948697242120151014338189251812965133273242751253512146503956172889207817608333546015461798111023967169741729103268636452488168835822346351383
Against Clinton1015348163531195150593291039922511824407324422363760386494053124149226712168276918507328355932338923963558177949478882077383632631671396326332616184
Not Sure312110121300003011000021001200120110111200302011111010202020202021101020212210000
Total22112110037637050101120134751301820366903712691155551073716592801412194105338710163124294417428149351111566290120488025192152007512734178911211719347164758356152321617514651806129278
Composition of Trump Voters100%55%45%17%29%32%23%46%54%61%3%23%13%8%92%30%41%17%5%3%4%1%70%25%4%33%32%30%4%1%36%64%10%43%48%15%39%46%28%56%13%20%79%13%71%17%54%72%28%41%55%37%63%12%88%7%92%35%60%16%84%43%57%8%91%22%78%46%51%27%73%16%79%34%66%23%36%28%13%12%3%
 
Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
221 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 6.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Enthusiastically14379642234573156888153721151295156227251107306583841325391176859246258387921311111791227110537617528521712413127448721117548381293110745563798231033610729474919163
With Reservations733934142912184330502147370143314544046234143022502548424458244223428126010551337492328421826864171293813573634961165429261951955373621311110115
Not Sure422111122300104121000022012100230222211301303032203130413220413041311030313121100
Total22112110037637050101120134751301820366903712691155551073716592801412194105338710163124294417428149351111566290120488025192152007512734178911211719347164758356152321617514651806129278
Composition of Trump Voters100%55%45%17%29%32%23%46%54%61%3%23%13%8%92%30%41%17%5%3%4%1%70%25%4%33%32%30%4%1%36%64%10%43%48%15%39%46%28%56%13%20%79%13%71%17%54%72%28%41%55%37%63%12%88%7%92%35%60%16%84%43%57%8%91%22%78%46%51%27%73%16%79%34%66%23%36%28%13%12%3%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
409 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
For Clinton256108148468961601351211092681402922736463012480941204162972755869185229014444831289712524601902276185111421084120494114262242422158186342141131341822810314565746817729206921643611335723722
Against Trump147757258432916101466485519121351992534571110676941755432541104245172444756567314479511175897966191224382271181013534109171266974161285886344939104301037572255030411310
Not Sure624212043312006000113102401212060242221501541303306420604061524062413150524340010
Total4091852241061339377239170176351395941368415133365184921911127720471291198511029446143220901321861552033810829034114247202251766133114119853347343609230052345185212343621632351001261082865931316924064167651135231
Composition of Clinton Voters100%45%55%26%33%23%19%58%42%43%9%34%15%10%90%1%4%3%8%16%45%23%5%27%68%5%12%32%29%21%27%72%11%35%54%22%32%46%38%50%9%27%71%91%4%69%6%56%44%15%83%42%58%13%87%9%90%23%75%13%87%47%53%9%91%41%59%43%54%27%73%15%81%41%59%16%41%16%28%13%8%
 
Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
409 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Enthusiastically2461041424078715711812810325843423224354143211077950187173467685772172268313748771228812325581832155176714199381979011127212232155418229208113124172209714062726317131196781693210639683623
With Reservations146776959472019106396794624181281991728661510558121357462534110165179355259617210479611496613766820122448024120111293610421123667817126598435473910427102846129522243137
Not Sure173137711142518201701025801691055341248584568331112040792127821501611531461001671027511115710393232
Total4091852241061339377239170176351395941368415133365184921911127720471291198511029446143220901321861552033810829034114247202251766133114119853347343609230052345185212343621632351001261082865931316924064167651135231
Composition of Clinton Voters100%45%55%26%33%23%19%58%42%43%9%34%15%10%90%1%4%3%8%16%45%23%5%27%68%5%12%32%29%21%27%72%11%35%54%22%32%46%38%50%9%27%71%91%4%69%6%56%44%15%83%42%58%13%87%9%90%23%75%13%87%47%53%9%91%41%59%43%54%27%73%15%81%41%59%16%41%16%28%13%8%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
30 Johnson VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 18.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
For Johnson1486642111360532120237010211131701491481843921124442672113921101385410771133105631011276335221
Against Trump108263009040322821140203622152128333244541284213371944010010451964274514462891163010
Against Clinton642030233204006012102013202400240420242400623024214140606230633060642511325313010
Not Sure000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Total302010131134236120126327247111406194541622921511145131210173327119681317424818327029151452516143278221011121832417138911242
Composition of Johnson Voters100%67%33%43%36%9%13%79%21%41%0%39%20%10%90%5%15%24%38%3%13%0%20%64%13%17%14%55%8%6%29%71%17%37%46%15%44%40%34%57%9%10%90%40%35%21%32%43%57%14%80%31%69%9%91%2%98%50%47%16%84%53%47%11%89%26%74%46%52%41%59%10%83%58%42%25%32%36%7%12%5%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
16 Stein VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 25.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
For Stein835431061403007001240007000331351433323401640104307341607170817254301522552232100
Against Clinton422310040301104001210004001112230221122300330101304040413040413141303231332120100
Against Trump303102112101103001200003001011211211121111320003103120303120312032202130312021001
Not Sure0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000--000000000000
Total166107431114806201500367000150025537928655668121290308701551021421331301531241288168831196373211
Composition of Stein Voters100%37%63%48%26%21%5%74%26%51%2%36%11%2%98%0%0%18%37%43%0%0%0%98%0%0%15%30%31%21%43%56%11%51%38%30%30%40%40%53%7%13%75%62%2%24%4%53%47%1%95%35%65%12%88%11%85%17%83%3%97%21%79%24%76%49%51%10%71%51%49%22%70%59%41%23%44%19%15%5%7%
 
In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle?
21 Protest VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 22 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Republican7523211624012--124000034004200340341333401613123434221607342525254412162643232111
Democrat7432320424012--000231104200313160341242502441304316330716341643062431071642121300
Split6151140243013--013110015003200330231230510623114112051505423324061432243214122110
Not Sure1100100101000--000100001000000011001000000100000101010101010001010110100000100000
Total2111106771138110370013844114152188237142812479613141777431294146112191191011615813219713854176141010575421
Composition of Protest Voters100%52%48%28%34%31%6%62%38%55%0%14%32%  3%14%37%18%18%7%3%17%73%10%4%36%37%8%15%33%67%7%37%56%22%33%46%29%64%5%18%82%35%36%25%15%57%43%21%67%35%65%9%91%4%94%49%51%27%73%37%63%11%89%36%64%59%37%18%82%30%70%50%50%23%32%25%19%12%3%
 
In the election for United States Senator from California, if you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Democrat Kamala Harris? Or Democrat Loretta Sanchez?
725 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Kamala Harris (D)324165158698595751531711692967593428921292525431146650931792555107805397226321051874811016611916831862342394718142183132552558617451264222929321346267135177302811102027711889216492431042195612453913317
Loretta Sanchez (D)178948342723331114646278820161621627171922562043587524346134184113517738848547569861738139111397833118543613278581715610157421232314794761115868102544346123241298097317943252212
Undecided2249912573754827149761168703014210376327281936810073445350702321871342710692449784681192842171571004474126977913148962020320199661433518394125221966115765846615227177121104538051413219
Total725359366184232176134416310346442251096466174119687184206941942242991021392391379222449676283366139260326257373761655434071863031494272841705182133288762353648201480104598323378646352394611972452014911005493054201392831471578747
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%15%9%91%10%16%9%10%12%28%13%27%31%41%14%19%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%51%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%7%
 
There are 18 propositions on the California ballot this year. We are going to ask about 4 of them. First ... On Proposition 56, will you vote YES, to increase the tax on cigarettes to $2 per pack? Or will you vote NO, to leave the tax on cigarettes unchanged?
725 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Yes On 564172122051181358183253164190271406045372325228365214469841162134872137926412029242151224641571971552183197311281692145423717188308132187323752737610329560343195207453561602431081251072905632620121669171741024934
No On 56256127129448085481231331401668331723940593828254519999264516384351987169291091185790109781393456198100110769016986731747011252202202318815038214113139142376218974108811674018774183569263453310
Undecided5019312017933812171181424838267165111521341710916335222317132022161013312571442026835112734463911336391630540172814121332434292113189953
Will Not Vote211200020000112000101001110100120111101100210001101110202020202121110020211010100
Total725359366184232176134416310346442251096466174119687184206941942242991021392391379222449676283366139260326257373761655434071863031494272841705182133288762353648201480104598323378646352394611972452014911005493054201392831471578747
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%15%9%91%10%16%9%10%12%28%13%27%31%41%14%19%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%51%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%7%
 
On Proposition 62, will you vote YES, to replace the death penalty in California with life in prison? Or will you vote NO, to leave the death penalty in place?
725 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Yes On 6225713112668786051146111130188029372201822132840825439801362432836649761792685146558012310512522651851853414927144111482028312336218262266118937214107144332179815371777717138195121136509942672513
No On 62383197186841181077420218118423118582136254895034368731143119118729512852301272544015718653154176123209438828717113911911424113010325710816144327213461262246230417818720344107258107139103256512861342497215288714927
Undecided772948293288621633325175723859833911214261026181119568363229222625341011644613326364117542140770570146047333441067294817291957964453215291617116
Will Not Vote826331162102517011114013401112172422423411651416225140816171744176210173453140320
Total725359366184232176134416310346442251096466174119687184206941942242991021392391379222449676283366139260326257373761655434071863031494272841705182133288762353648201480104598323378646352394611972452014911005493054201392831471578747
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%15%9%91%10%16%9%10%12%28%13%27%31%41%14%19%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%51%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%7%
 
Proposition 63 is known as the Firearms and Ammunition Sales Initiative. A YES vote would require persons who want to buy ammunition to pass a background check with the California Department of Justice. And Proposition 63 would make it against the law to possess large-capacity ammunition containers, known as magazines. Will you vote YES on 63, to require background checks on ammo purchases and to make large-capacity magazines illegal? Or will you vote NO on 63, which would leave the existing system in place?
725 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Yes On 6345820924911014911386259199213331446846412365327406615082891332324666148113791323233917224788154216168242369934931566250492601868435214122150396364099134940402202240443971622801211481273126934719026864188971096129
No On 63196125714654573810095111848281118437543722929691683549586116870125267793298087581033248146601033289135596312549823316111178968152137881021517448141587957127251426812865613832166
Undecided7025462629695515223331276421257927514213271429752147113425222623302881847321721113139234023244666601549125733364632939171817516594724113311151112
Will Not Vote111100010000111000100001000100010011101100110001101110101010101100110010111000100
Total725359366184232176134416310346442251096466174119687184206941942242991021392391379222449676283366139260326257373761655434071863031494272841705182133288762353648201480104598323378646352394611972452014911005493054201392831471578747
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%15%9%91%10%16%9%10%12%28%13%27%31%41%14%19%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%51%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%7%
 
Currently, medical marijuana is legal in California, but recreational marijuana is not. Proposition 64 would legalize and tax the recreational use of marijuana. Will you vote YES on Proposition 64, which would legalize the recreational use of marijuana by adults age 21 and older, and which would license, regulate and tax the marijuana industry? Or, will you vote NO on 64, which would keep state laws as they now are?
725 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Yes On 64369186184106115876222114817624114553733225492343531175774118174276212190631012663514319267134169115205418028125155182431991626029010719354306243321092485130815420534325119240103126110245492871632076614079844422
No On 642921501424892876613915315019853820272476441232760271129286696894362210418629116147531051351131462866220120122101100195919518384107232632326083181412381331452025682195861027120042212971955712161533516
Undecided5821372625245172012512651263442510811356621116183810222615202226217173833101853028114221261048649104412463424948332561716418454215151861899
Will Not Vote624400242101516001103002312200163225203102330202433120606061624155220342434040300
Total725359366184232176134416310346442251096466174119687184206941942242991021392391379222449676283366139260326257373761655434071863031494272841705182133288762353648201480104598323378646352394611972452014911005493054201392831471578747
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%15%9%91%10%16%9%10%12%28%13%27%31%41%14%19%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%51%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%7%
 
Is your opinion of Barack Obama... extremely favorable? Favorable? Unfavorable? Or extremely unfavorable?
746 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable2901371537994635417311711830110333725051061938127841563211232490806978208349915760961341251312872206256218212166117452291001373624622258572224423613914129250118162738575203432231251663813547693726
Favorable187949465613724126628265543101734191428416882382762427145215113617828940707766991448137130118411849933147569423160171645312619163741081616667115515762119251409889406033551512
Unfavorable763838182817134730492169465528171374033385725311132551631391626352244101262154019254927195221361265075373716593640768255119291461145638391630171493
Extremely Unfavorable183998425506543751081036443012165616138142421225457154522373109197292247385451102336147101362010213645749941661816214163641002914677981316133142617552117231354913446615522286
Not Sure937350181513118031103032401410362714234210934215535070918161955084514281863431111
Total746370376189239182135429318358442281166466175122767588207941972393011031462461389523150978291378144267335263387771695604141933071514392931745312193388964254667211490109613331391666532474752052502045081065633164311442901521619048
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%16%9%91%10%16%10%10%12%28%13%26%32%40%14%20%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%52%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%6%
 
Is your opinion of Donald Trump ...
746 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable9357361724312141525322513118241281431327018548241821336014423717403631461327641856144762294446133514771276325315753259684236728342266126927661835281253
Favorable1236756273636246360734281716106235717132110793112234450514578751661746603969131510817762255903243743248141084117466923966454141042494464540782092487527433320226
Unfavorable8342412630101756263862117673516179822421342611233113423581335351832322347922573827281948352751272810735733048146639421170275419302852185545382134141485
Extremely Unfavorable4191832361081429971250169189321405928375619224774161862414324720531321198712329238152229841391961512213798310329262402322418758342137215443663237810130446362184224293791562521101321082965133218123868168711125535
Not Sure282171177318104014103250272310121312131501721511117912183562112927141021910137181233161114131271716918616515151310105300
Total746370376189239182135429318358442281166466175122767588207941972393011031462461389523150978291378144267335263387771695604141933071514392931745312193388964254667211490109613331391666532474752052502045081065633164311442901521619048
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%16%9%91%10%16%10%10%12%28%13%26%32%40%14%20%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%52%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%6%
 
Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton...
746 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable1506883205343347377521465192312613151771524231231915423040461022154763645696165163710913621168905833112635216132913627119221267868614070774036291172111947103216425392117
Favorable2211011197168424013982102196238172017991842973716681346307077355316720741274576100881102059156180611281239226184681213018522192571543118295119281858512949746914136165100120329237602510
Unfavorable1036043443514107924543321398942214191822426502542148171230728474719424130639237752224015475618803054168659631691191455714883171313629731482643925371922115
Extremely Unfavorable2451271194475775011912714176137132206386512471011498211747975115941502510511537971127014229461953316131118171719313855942421815224921294419210513117217481878099711583517887159618567333413
Not Sure2714131087119991892250219580215802124371931013761314733231338181641721832021941912281602213115551801817105115702
Total746370376189239182135429318358442281166466175122767588207941972393011031462461389523150978291378144267335263387771695604141933071514392931745312193388964254667211490109613331391666532474752052502045081065633164311442901521619048
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%16%9%91%10%16%10%10%12%28%13%26%32%40%14%20%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%52%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%6%
 
Is your opinion of Jerry Brown...
746 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable11056541335293249615393216129848162234331230679938292140691138612729533056172781994845713718863555710011962975129344623103347240292680148529812432252975
Favorable2811381427094684916311712320934423251112814284010948398215714538974467120826103151521021271141432064212212341682515911545224961323823618254771953523812614726247105168599872197362231271544212638753617
Unfavorable1337162483927198746706411613113183024167316474737184053146379417556122496243761332954752234375573789395619113712345812510670611911250803941458524936865354328271514
Extremely Unfavorable12773542341352963637362721811339402610344793985734244647801448652354503769172996208813698540576320471710811112446923974575101092397385530891496438333453514136
Not Sure963165363122767294033618886317111415294204132494316163559104739203442384210167635162094944167028488847831670147946479833458282732561866494711432616205
Total746370376189239182135429318358442281166466175122767588207941972393011031462461389523150978291378144267335263387771695604141933071514392931745312193388964254667211490109613331391666532474752052502045081065633164311442901521619048
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%16%9%91%10%16%10%10%12%28%13%26%32%40%14%20%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%52%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%6%
 
Is your opinion of Dianne Feinstein ...
746 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable13160701136424147836194218131173625255237932891113423426498114496729406140671935961185102477462098455711111911237841310855666116428045343091151033010025462437166
Favorable24011412660835343143971101869432321242815243389443272132144074684258180178913443771208313617531801772614722131106431877411925212212135617730206102134142228615061836317038182991413410735642813
Unfavorable14182604349292192507364417111201830232093474852412142551410489218537129595363661138985754324385564492425524117413345853210472641811753833645438922977962305327311316
Extremely Unfavorable137855229414125706676635201012146412513343884175539343545901754662251634072212910720949769341547526541511911122566624107527914116231074460349615104469142463711106
Not Sure98296846301757622375391769141811121828321413131342191231671246402139383646914794215197534513793253148488716791088504814824355182935621577613613372819237
Total746370376189239182135429318358442281166466175122767588207941972393011031462461389523150978291378144267335263387771695604141933071514392931745312193388964254667211490109613331391666532474752052502045081065633164311442901521619048
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%16%9%91%10%16%10%10%12%28%13%26%32%40%14%20%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%52%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%6%
 
Is your opinion of Barbara Boxer ...
746 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable125566915363935517460844139115481219484212229181336313548751551602641583865193986117310338439211004259121107115289319102546791124575393423972394339229462327155
Favorable24012012063874842150909419784927205420122237984324711411144737236561821784139448710910011916581761811815591191124018280111292021920864164401901101201821292138637078149381741101303010341662821
Unfavorable117605634363116694768628131399182518218244424628163153124328412416522356043621024904845243766492884375018975109407015975459101023280314632811390595724382530910
Extremely Unfavorable154985626454537728290535248140464736132629452864423837579521577626616745842130123201119971114163832762171351313859762512363851213535113456437107131214610844583715127
Not Sure111357551361958724446431881024229172231225483451747211337731458392544413656111885481616659522283335612981097208710100506119914269263635742084684317452524255
Total746370376189239182135429318358442281166466175122767588207941972393011031462461389523150978291378144267335263387771695604141933071514392931745312193388964254667211490109613331391666532474752052502045081065633164311442901521619048
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%16%9%91%10%16%10%10%12%28%13%26%32%40%14%20%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%52%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%6%
 
Here are 6 issues important to some voters but not to others. In deciding who to support for President, please tell me if a particular issue is ... extremely important, important, unimportant, or extremely unimportant. First, immigration. In deciding who you support for President, is immigration ...
746 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important33717416377929969169168148251174638292556936213377451249012175671094239116220411371596812015011817438782551651121249721112210221797132472842630210121559266146179302941152109110685234492561202176013584594224
Important3151471688610565591911241601584561728814393041479940531181392062106774288223311171675411914210516932652401926214540174133562429415736271222828920937268140165252791071988110996205402441491666212352783919
Unimportant6133281730105471435314875029810619611242531122101316451194110153525325144640113163625751183645835616449522833752154521241150124231301224101673
Extremely Unimportant181445770117908121642111627385256141447769498110810555135612751173154123151263153159681031099524700
Not Sure152134623105515501503021623381443078011474465121063326838471121122111125911267355821169572122
Total746370376189239182135429318358442281166466175122767588207941972393011031462461389523150978291378144267335263387771695604141933071514392931745312193388964254667211490109613331391666532474752052502045081065633164311442901521619048
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%16%9%91%10%16%10%10%12%28%13%26%32%40%14%20%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%52%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%6%
 
Next, terrorism. In deciding who you support for President, if terrorism is ...
746 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important4782332459514514295241237224311517239427649256414611955156143174871191625943167307551932298817121916324952107362241157174123304161139306145182634023342814829577382226233324251423161381631343166936117430389196105876134
Important2091021076970333613969112115531171849251525356631337697112071643944163176912342729573112214415913827107221089825178621181918714188431571918580124251798212249705215227160104104397935562411
Unimportant341914111633276160107528032751043151413108101320014205171212192923196204151842942552942711199251220427112211101023524221210861051
Extremely Unimportant151239330124606341121200733210321533134744651041781114296312481152136931296412694551048106423701
Not Sure11475511911262011020115123613231471825234212852302926362901029293811065324711056243201
Total746370376189239182135429318358442281166466175122767588207941972393011031462461389523150978291378144267335263387771695604141933071514392931745312193388964254667211490109613331391666532474752052502045081065633164311442901521619048
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%16%9%91%10%16%10%10%12%28%13%26%32%40%14%20%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%52%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%6%
 
Next, Supreme Court appointments. In deciding who you support for President, if Supreme Court appointments are...
746 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important4182062127811112210718922923230956137372597040285090781291181698576103806913428139148230741432021402145397318239128187101252154108285981994735833370122262523471502482936711528211615397294563131113078516182894522
Important23611712068994524168699310904317212123127352786154388100145210043197016523981164786104851301753174130499436135100481788410225210142166716137196124110232109214262756116929186147903610145552719
Unimportant553421281962478223237844377106220102222312241141341112123102123242451539321115123222104421231341449143916383618114230249132430114239151319111273
Extremely Unimportant10735302925122271320130433035112814452364038431246261729194628382811064563683414200
Not Sure276211069216116018412501211561127614144212152205815471521211021101610519148225124522125198125918126179817111668103104
Total746370376189239182135429318358442281166466175122767588207941972393011031462461389523150978291378144267335263387771695604141933071514392931745312193388964254667211490109613331391666532474752052502045081065633164311442901521619048
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%16%9%91%10%16%10%10%12%28%13%26%32%40%14%20%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%52%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%6%
 
The environment. If the environment is...
746 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important3421531881009684621961461612211148323001832183759104685011417228531057375108229341421667812014413116538812492453118423184149622609817242290293009423048281141187263031192098711298227532581402025714858783429
Important29714515263108735317112613817925025263336532302586249887110436810858159320327107163491081408917327642281431021117618910373210971212626517269802004024914314525262921968710271216382261301665810172664916
Unimportant7249232022151542304031613665141916541213426121718265423491326341124382936718542039113649232347193016563672241175337321355294117222442125133392030121152
Extremely Unimportant2620656105101615353224947203113103136701521491331410101145213180141214131121242252113124224222242251014818321720679410
Not Sure927270090305109022103133323111361723243111833125433330909271855095421351754331301
Total746370376189239182135429318358442281166466175122767588207941972393011031462461389523150978291378144267335263387771695604141933071514392931745312193388964254667211490109613331391666532474752052502045081065633164311442901521619048
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%16%9%91%10%16%10%10%12%28%13%26%32%40%14%20%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%52%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%6%
 
Treatment of racial minorities. If the treatment of racial minorities is... ?
746 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important337142195100103765820313414835101533829417271729521207343981932939998575100234391341647610116013416331862412472718123187141602579916950278292988423844281145180312941222038211087233562491491885913964754124
Important293157136639976561621311496964316266366528352875211029196487310545189719531113149521231178716533622231391011067718310682198911162826117266881834923513914424258891958610090194392251231705311164643820
Unimportant73462717201719373640120129611420187760343172022217221526264182837244171162174216344626205021308644642346962284266321492226155555727461926151392
Extremely Unimportant32239791321615162672298512313013163510160011211112041117131449237193161913920518328328141472513183288231211101852110211096721
Not Sure12292810101504201205110405241251028074434431010341157362611101229111562975233911165352201
Total746370376189239182135429318358442281166466175122767588207941972393011031462461389523150978291378144267335263387771695604141933071514392931745312193388964254667211490109613331391666532474752052502045081065633164311442901521619048
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%50%50%25%32%24%18%57%43%48%6%31%16%9%91%10%16%10%10%12%28%13%26%32%40%14%20%33%19%13%31%68%10%39%51%19%36%45%35%52%10%23%75%60%28%47%23%60%40%24%73%39%61%12%88%7%91%29%68%15%85%46%54%9%90%34%66%43%53%29%71%15%81%42%58%19%39%20%22%12%6%
 
Treatment of gays, lesbians, and transgender persons. If the treatment of the GLBT community is ... ?
746 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important25210314979815538160921211680362722191612213990622672152173167597277173281051205582115901322764182191161461113711137202781323321427219561873720810114424221861586879671734418811014241111415934