Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27021 |
NOT A SPOILER? At 13% Overall, Nikki Haley Takes 1 in 9 Biden Voters, 1 in 12 Trump Voters ... But 60% of Will-They-Won't-They Undecideds; RFK, Jr. Takes 7% From Trump, 4% From Biden, 20% from Haley; Cornel West Takes Just 2% From Biden, But Does Biden Have 2% to Lose? Fresh SurveyUSA polling shows Republican Donald Trump leading Democrat Joe Biden by five points, 49% to 44%, in a 2-person matchup today, 9 months from the election. 7% of likely voters say they are undecided in this contest between what may be the two best-known presidential candidates in history – a number SurveyUSA suggests may be less about uncertainty about which candidate to choose and more about political fatigue and uncertainty over whether or not to vote at all this year. Three data points buoying that theory:
Haley's entry costs Trump his 8 point advantage among those of Asian and other heritage, where he now only leads Biden by 47% to 45%, and moves Biden from his initial slim 2-point nominal deficit among voters age 18 to 34 to a 5-point deficit, 1 in 8 of whom switch to Haley, giving Trump a 5-point advantage here. Biden also slides from a 3-point deficit to a 5-point deficit in the midwestern states, where Haley takes 15% and Trump now leads Biden 43% to 38%, and in the South Atlantic states, which include Georgia, and where Biden's nominal 1-point deficit becomes a 3-point deficit when 15% of voters go with South Carolina's Haley. Adding a fourth candidate, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., to the contest increases Trump's margin to 7 points, 43% to 36%, with 11% now backing Haley. Kennedy, currently having enough signatures to make the ballot only in Utah and New Hampshire, may attempt to increase his ballot access by running to become the Libertarian Party's nominee, but today, running as an independent and hypothetically on the ballot in every state, takes 9% of the vote, a number SurveyUSA simultaneously regards as certain to fade down the stretch and certain to worry both the Trump and Biden campaigns. Kennedy's support is drawn slightly more heavily from Trump's initial voters in a 2-man race than from Biden's – 8% versus 6% – but slightly less so if Haley is in the picture, where RFK, Jr. takes 7% of Trump's votes, 4% of Biden's, and 20% of Haley's. Kennedy takes 39% of those who are undecided between Trump and Biden and 22% of independents (20% of whom stick with Haley in a 4-person race). Regionally, he sees 18% in New England, where his name is undoubtedly a factor, but does not break 12% in any other part of the nation. Last, looking at a 5-person race, now with Cornel West entering the fray, SurveyUSA sees the race tightening. West himself takes just 1% overall, but Trump now falls to 41%, Biden to 36%; Haley drops to 10%, RFK Jr. nominally increases to 10%. 1% here are undecided. West runs most strongly – at 8% – in New England and at 6% among voters identifying as somewhat liberal, he is also at 5% among Latinos. Among Black voters – theorized by some to be likely to defect from Biden to West – SurveyUSA sees just 1% doing so, with 69% of Black voters choosing Biden, 12% Trump, 8% Haley, and 6% Kennedy. Fully crosstabbed results follow... |
Statement By Poll Sponsor, Charles H. Riggs III: This survey reveals Nikki Haley's potential viability as an independent presidential candidate.
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About the Research/Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,500 adults from the entire United States online 01/31/23 through 02/02/24, using non-probability sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Of the adults, 1,259 were identified by SurveyUSA as being registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 1,048 were found to be likely to vote in the 2024 November election for President and were asked the substantive questions which follow. Data is weighted to US Census Current Population Survey targets for gender, age, ethnicity, and education, to US Census American Community Survey targets for home ownership, and at client request, by average partisan affiliation in recent Survey USA nationwide projects, as opposed to by recalled 2020 vote, SurveyUSA's typical weighting in election polls. |
1 | Are you registered to vote? |
1500 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely? | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Trump Vs Biden | With Haley | With Kennedy | 2020 President | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | US Census Region | US Census Division | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Certain | Probable | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Biden | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Haley | Trump | Biden | Haley | Kennedy | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | New Engl | Mid-Atla | East Nor | West Nor | South At | East Sou | West Sou | Mountain | Pacific | |
Yes | 84% | 85% | 83% | 76% | 85% | 87% | 91% | 80% | 89% | 85% | 80% | 81% | 85% | 100% | 100% | 86% | 83% | 89% | 89% | 82% | 91% | 86% | 81% | 90% | 90% | 88% | 81% | 90% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 94% | 96% | 74% | 86% | 95% | 78% | 85% | 91% | 87% | 78% | 82% | 87% | 79% | 86% | 83% | 82% | 86% | ** | 83% | 83% | 83% | 83% | 82% | 80% | 85% | 87% |
No | 14% | 15% | 14% | 20% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 18% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 15% | - | - | 12% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 16% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 17% | 9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5% | 4% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 20% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 13% | ** | 14% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% |
Not Sure | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | - | - | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ** | 3% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 30% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 63% | 12% | 16% | 8% | 70% | 13% | 29% | 70% | 31% | 33% | 30% | 13% | 20% | 39% | 14% | 10% | 32% | 39% | 24% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 45% | 40% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 38% | 38% | 39% | 28% | 33% | 35% | 38% | 27% | 64% | 36% | 26% | 50% | 24% | 17% | 20% | 38% | 24% | 5% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 20% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 16% |
2 | Americans will hold an election for President of the United States in November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Which best describes you? Are you certain to vote? Will you probably vote? Are the chances you will vote about 50/50? Or will you probably not vote? |
1259 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely? | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Trump Vs Biden | With Haley | With Kennedy | 2020 President | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | US Census Region | US Census Division | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Certain | Probable | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Biden | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Haley | Trump | Biden | Haley | Kennedy | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | New Engl | Mid-Atla | East Nor | West Nor | South At | East Sou | West Sou | Mountain | Pacific | |
Certain To Vote | 70% | 73% | 68% | 55% | 68% | 75% | 85% | 61% | 80% | 75% | 68% | 59% | 60% | 100% | 0% | 68% | 71% | 80% | 76% | 56% | 82% | 76% | 61% | 76% | 76% | 78% | 61% | 76% | 85% | 86% | 75% | 85% | 86% | 79% | 86% | 87% | 74% | 78% | 78% | 76% | 65% | 66% | 79% | 63% | 67% | 84% | 76% | 59% | 66% | 73% | 69% | 75% | 73% | 66% | 71% | 74% | 76% | 72% | 74% | 71% | 60% | 62% | 75% | 68% |
Will Probably Vote | 13% | 13% | 13% | 20% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 16% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 11% | 0% | 100% | 16% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 25% | 15% | 14% | 21% | 14% | 13% | 26% | 22% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 9% | 11% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 7% | 11% |
About 50/50 | 14% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 18% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 23% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 14% | 8% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 10% | 20% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 20% | 9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 9% | 18% | 16% | 6% | 11% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 19% |
Probably Will Not Vote | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 1% |
Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 64% | 11% | 16% | 9% | 70% | 13% | 30% | 69% | 33% | 35% | 29% | 14% | 20% | 38% | 15% | 11% | 34% | 38% | 26% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 45% | 40% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 42% | 43% | 34% | 29% | 37% | 33% | 38% | 29% | 66% | 34% | 25% | 52% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 38% | 25% | 5% | 12% | 13% | 7% | 20% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 17% |
3 | If the election for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for if these were the only candidates on the ballot? (Candidate names rotated) |
1048 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely? | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Trump Vs Biden | With Haley | With Kennedy | 2020 President | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | US Census Region | US Census Division | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Certain | Probable | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Biden | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Haley | Trump | Biden | Haley | Kennedy | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | New Engl | Mid-Atla | East Nor | West Nor | South At | East Sou | West Sou | Mountain | Pacific | |
Donald Trump (R) | 49% | 53% | 44% | 47% | 47% | 50% | 50% | 47% | 50% | 56% | 16% | 41% | 49% | 49% | 48% | 50% | 48% | 93% | 8% | 48% | 86% | 81% | 43% | 12% | 7% | 83% | 43% | 10% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | 30% | 95% | 1% | 34% | 41% | 93% | 5% | 51% | 55% | 42% | 53% | 48% | 45% | 51% | 43% | 42% | 46% | 63% | 47% | 47% | 54% | 43% | 49% | 46% | 45% | 50% | 47% | 58% | 65% | 41% | 43% |
Joe Biden (D) | 44% | 41% | 48% | 45% | 48% | 43% | 42% | 47% | 42% | 38% | 78% | 48% | 41% | 45% | 41% | 44% | 45% | 3% | 89% | 38% | 13% | 11% | 46% | 83% | 92% | 12% | 46% | 86% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2% | 97% | 37% | 4% | 98% | 36% | 28% | 3% | 89% | 43% | 37% | 50% | 45% | 42% | 47% | 41% | 52% | 52% | 46% | 31% | 48% | 44% | 41% | 47% | 46% | 50% | 44% | 45% | 46% | 37% | 33% | 43% | 49% |
Undecided | 7% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 14% | 1% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 1% | 1% | 33% | 1% | 1% | 30% | 31% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 16% | 7% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 67% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 84% | 16% | 30% | 68% | 36% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 34% | 16% | 11% | 37% | 34% | 27% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 45% | 40% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 46% | 46% | 33% | 27% | 39% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 69% | 31% | 24% | 54% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 37% | 24% | 5% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 16% |
4 | Now, what if these were the only candidates on the ballot? (Candidate names rotated) |
1048 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely? | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Trump Vs Biden | With Haley | With Kennedy | 2020 President | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | US Census Region | US Census Division | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Certain | Probable | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Biden | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Haley | Trump | Biden | Haley | Kennedy | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | New Engl | Mid-Atla | East Nor | West Nor | South At | East Sou | West Sou | Mountain | Pacific | |
Donald Trump (R) | 45% | 49% | 40% | 45% | 42% | 45% | 46% | 44% | 46% | 50% | 18% | 40% | 47% | 45% | 43% | 47% | 44% | 86% | 8% | 42% | 79% | 76% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 77% | 39% | 8% | 90% | 2% | 7% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 95% | 0% | 5% | 36% | 87% | 4% | 50% | 49% | 38% | 48% | 45% | 41% | 46% | 42% | 39% | 42% | 57% | 44% | 43% | 50% | 39% | 45% | 43% | 41% | 47% | 42% | 52% | 63% | 37% | 40% |
Joe Biden (D) | 40% | 37% | 43% | 40% | 43% | 38% | 38% | 41% | 38% | 33% | 73% | 42% | 45% | 40% | 36% | 38% | 41% | 3% | 83% | 28% | 13% | 8% | 38% | 78% | 87% | 10% | 38% | 82% | 1% | 87% | 7% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 3% | 98% | 5% | 17% | 1% | 81% | 38% | 33% | 45% | 42% | 34% | 44% | 37% | 46% | 49% | 40% | 27% | 45% | 38% | 35% | 44% | 41% | 47% | 37% | 40% | 39% | 34% | 29% | 40% | 46% |
Nikki Haley (I) | 13% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 17% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 24% | 7% | 14% | 19% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 19% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 1% | 1% | 88% | 28% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 15% | 14% | 8% | 16% | 13% | 15% | 8% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 19% | 9% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 17% | 12% |
Undecided | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 67% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 84% | 16% | 30% | 68% | 36% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 34% | 16% | 11% | 37% | 34% | 27% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 45% | 40% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 46% | 46% | 33% | 27% | 39% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 69% | 31% | 24% | 54% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 37% | 24% | 5% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 16% |
5 | What if these were the only candidates on the ballot? (Major party candidate names rotated) |
1048 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely? | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Trump Vs Biden | With Haley | With Kennedy | 2020 President | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | US Census Region | US Census Division | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Certain | Probable | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Biden | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Haley | Trump | Biden | Haley | Kennedy | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | New Engl | Mid-Atla | East Nor | West Nor | South At | East Sou | West Sou | Mountain | Pacific | |
Donald Trump (R) | 43% | 46% | 40% | 41% | 41% | 46% | 43% | 41% | 45% | 47% | 22% | 39% | 43% | 44% | 38% | 44% | 43% | 85% | 10% | 34% | 80% | 69% | 35% | 8% | 15% | 74% | 35% | 11% | 84% | 4% | 7% | 91% | 3% | 3% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 83% | 5% | 49% | 45% | 37% | 48% | 43% | 38% | 43% | 43% | 39% | 41% | 52% | 45% | 39% | 47% | 38% | 35% | 49% | 37% | 43% | 42% | 44% | 57% | 37% | 39% |
Joe Biden (D) | 36% | 35% | 38% | 37% | 41% | 32% | 35% | 39% | 34% | 31% | 62% | 39% | 40% | 37% | 30% | 35% | 37% | 2% | 79% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 36% | 71% | 78% | 9% | 36% | 74% | 1% | 80% | 4% | 0% | 90% | 3% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 75% | 35% | 30% | 42% | 36% | 33% | 40% | 34% | 41% | 44% | 37% | 26% | 36% | 37% | 34% | 40% | 37% | 35% | 36% | 40% | 39% | 32% | 26% | 38% | 41% |
Nikki Haley (I) | 11% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 20% | 5% | 13% | 16% | 9% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 73% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 15% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (I) | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 22% | 2% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 39% | 7% | 4% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 18% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 8% |
Undecided | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 67% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 84% | 16% | 30% | 68% | 36% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 34% | 16% | 11% | 37% | 34% | 27% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 45% | 40% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 46% | 46% | 33% | 27% | 39% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 69% | 31% | 24% | 54% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 37% | 24% | 5% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 16% |
6 | And what if these were the only candidates on the ballot? (Major party candidate names rotated) |
1048 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely? | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Trump Vs Biden | With Haley | With Kennedy | 2020 President | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | US Census Region | US Census Division | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Certain | Probable | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Biden | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Haley | Trump | Biden | Haley | Kennedy | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | New Engl | Mid-Atla | East Nor | West Nor | South At | East Sou | West Sou | Mountain | Pacific | |
Donald Trump (R) | 41% | 44% | 37% | 40% | 38% | 41% | 43% | 39% | 42% | 47% | 12% | 34% | 43% | 41% | 37% | 42% | 40% | 83% | 7% | 32% | 80% | 68% | 32% | 9% | 6% | 73% | 32% | 8% | 82% | 1% | 7% | 88% | 1% | 2% | 93% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 80% | 3% | 44% | 44% | 36% | 45% | 41% | 36% | 42% | 37% | 37% | 38% | 52% | 39% | 38% | 46% | 36% | 34% | 41% | 37% | 41% | 40% | 47% | 54% | 33% | 38% |
Joe Biden (D) | 36% | 34% | 37% | 35% | 39% | 36% | 33% | 37% | 35% | 30% | 69% | 35% | 39% | 37% | 29% | 35% | 37% | 2% | 79% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 35% | 64% | 83% | 10% | 35% | 72% | 1% | 79% | 5% | 1% | 89% | 1% | 4% | 94% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 74% | 35% | 29% | 41% | 39% | 29% | 41% | 33% | 42% | 43% | 37% | 25% | 39% | 36% | 33% | 39% | 31% | 42% | 34% | 39% | 37% | 32% | 26% | 39% | 39% |
Nikki Haley (I) | 10% | 8% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 35% | 2% | 1% | 67% | 2% | 1% | 84% | 2% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 14% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 11% |
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (I) | 10% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 43% | 7% | 5% | 22% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 91% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 20% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 8% |
Cornel West (I) | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Undecided | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 2% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 67% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 84% | 16% | 30% | 68% | 36% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 34% | 16% | 11% | 37% | 34% | 27% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 45% | 40% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 46% | 46% | 33% | 27% | 39% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 69% | 31% | 24% | 54% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 37% | 24% | 5% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 16% |
7 | What is your opinion of Donald Trump? |
1048 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely? | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Trump Vs Biden | With Haley | With Kennedy | 2020 President | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | US Census Region | US Census Division | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Certain | Probable | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Biden | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Haley | Trump | Biden | Haley | Kennedy | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | New Engl | Mid-Atla | East Nor | West Nor | South At | East Sou | West Sou | Mountain | Pacific | |
Very Favorable | 30% | 34% | 26% | 33% | 28% | 30% | 28% | 31% | 29% | 35% | 12% | 24% | 21% | 31% | 23% | 32% | 29% | 61% | 5% | 24% | 70% | 44% | 22% | 7% | 3% | 55% | 22% | 5% | 60% | 1% | 2% | 65% | 1% | 3% | 65% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 61% | 1% | 36% | 33% | 22% | 33% | 31% | 26% | 30% | 29% | 27% | 28% | 38% | 27% | 27% | 39% | 22% | 29% | 25% | 26% | 28% | 32% | 37% | 51% | 26% | 20% |
Somewhat Favorable | 17% | 19% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 10% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 21% | 18% | 16% | 27% | 5% | 20% | 13% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 25% | 19% | 4% | 31% | 3% | 12% | 29% | 3% | 14% | 27% | 3% | 16% | 25% | 28% | 4% | 13% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 20% | 13% | 21% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 18% | 23% |
Somewhat Unfavorable | 9% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 16% | 7% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 20% | 6% | 7% | 23% | 5% | 7% | 21% | 20% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 9% |
Very Unfavorable | 44% | 39% | 49% | 39% | 44% | 47% | 46% | 41% | 46% | 39% | 68% | 49% | 43% | 45% | 39% | 38% | 46% | 7% | 81% | 42% | 13% | 14% | 48% | 74% | 89% | 14% | 48% | 80% | 1% | 87% | 67% | 0% | 88% | 60% | 3% | 89% | 57% | 43% | 4% | 85% | 41% | 36% | 52% | 42% | 41% | 50% | 43% | 47% | 46% | 47% | 33% | 50% | 44% | 38% | 49% | 50% | 50% | 45% | 43% | 44% | 33% | 30% | 51% | 47% |
Not Familiar | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 67% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 84% | 16% | 30% | 68% | 36% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 34% | 16% | 11% | 37% | 34% | 27% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 45% | 40% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 46% | 46% | 33% | 27% | 39% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 69% | 31% | 24% | 54% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 37% | 24% | 5% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 16% |
8 | What is your opinion of Joe Biden? |
1048 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely? | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Trump Vs Biden | With Haley | With Kennedy | 2020 President | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | US Census Region | US Census Division | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Certain | Probable | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Biden | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Haley | Trump | Biden | Haley | Kennedy | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | New Engl | Mid-Atla | East Nor | West Nor | South At | East Sou | West Sou | Mountain | Pacific | |
Very Favorable | 20% | 19% | 21% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 16% | 24% | 15% | 46% | 19% | 23% | 22% | 10% | 18% | 21% | 1% | 46% | 9% | 12% | 3% | 17% | 34% | 50% | 7% | 17% | 40% | 0% | 44% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 1% | 2% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 42% | 22% | 14% | 22% | 25% | 14% | 21% | 18% | 23% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 23% | 21% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 25% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 21% | 18% |
Somewhat Favorable | 21% | 19% | 24% | 24% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 26% | 17% | 20% | 27% | 24% | 18% | 20% | 28% | 21% | 22% | 3% | 38% | 23% | 3% | 9% | 25% | 40% | 33% | 7% | 25% | 38% | 4% | 43% | 5% | 4% | 42% | 21% | 4% | 42% | 24% | 17% | 5% | 38% | 19% | 19% | 25% | 19% | 21% | 24% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 17% | 21% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 22% | 22% | 27% | 16% | 26% |
Somewhat Unfavorable | 11% | 12% | 11% | 21% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 5% | 8% | 18% | 12% | 5% | 7% | 18% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 42% | 9% | 7% | 29% | 8% | 5% | 32% | 26% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 10% | 14% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 17% | 12% |
Very Unfavorable | 46% | 50% | 43% | 39% | 43% | 52% | 50% | 41% | 51% | 53% | 13% | 40% | 47% | 47% | 43% | 47% | 47% | 85% | 8% | 50% | 79% | 79% | 38% | 14% | 11% | 79% | 38% | 13% | 85% | 3% | 53% | 85% | 2% | 49% | 84% | 2% | 43% | 56% | 83% | 8% | 48% | 49% | 43% | 45% | 48% | 46% | 50% | 38% | 37% | 46% | 59% | 47% | 48% | 47% | 43% | 57% | 43% | 47% | 49% | 42% | 57% | 52% | 44% | 43% |
Not Familiar | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 67% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 84% | 16% | 30% | 68% | 36% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 34% | 16% | 11% | 37% | 34% | 27% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 45% | 40% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 46% | 46% | 33% | 27% | 39% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 69% | 31% | 24% | 54% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 37% | 24% | 5% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 16% |
9 | What is your opinion of Nikki Haley? |
1048 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely? | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Trump Vs Biden | With Haley | With Kennedy | 2020 President | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | US Census Region | US Census Division | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Certain | Probable | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Biden | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Haley | Trump | Biden | Haley | Kennedy | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | New Engl | Mid-Atla | East Nor | West Nor | South At | East Sou | West Sou | Mountain | Pacific | |
Very Favorable | 6% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 24% | 5% | 1% | 27% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 12% |
Somewhat Favorable | 29% | 30% | 28% | 23% | 28% | 27% | 38% | 25% | 32% | 32% | 24% | 24% | 24% | 28% | 32% | 29% | 29% | 31% | 24% | 33% | 32% | 36% | 30% | 26% | 16% | 35% | 30% | 22% | 30% | 25% | 48% | 27% | 23% | 56% | 28% | 24% | 56% | 26% | 32% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 32% | 26% | 28% | 33% | 31% | 24% | 28% | 28% | 32% | 27% | 34% | 31% | 23% | 19% | 31% | 35% | 30% | 32% | 40% | 23% | 22% | 24% |
Somewhat Unfavorable | 24% | 27% | 21% | 25% | 22% | 23% | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | 15% | 28% | 11% | 24% | 25% | 23% | 25% | 21% | 24% | 29% | 18% | 23% | 25% | 33% | 20% | 21% | 25% | 28% | 22% | 26% | 22% | 23% | 28% | 14% | 22% | 28% | 9% | 35% | 22% | 26% | 21% | 26% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 21% | 24% | 26% | 20% | 31% | 25% | 20% | 24% | 38% | 28% | 22% | 30% | 22% | 13% | 22% | 26% | 24% |
Very Unfavorable | 23% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 26% | 25% | 21% | 24% | 23% | 22% | 38% | 17% | 27% | 25% | 13% | 22% | 24% | 23% | 28% | 19% | 31% | 20% | 15% | 26% | 42% | 24% | 15% | 33% | 23% | 27% | 9% | 25% | 30% | 1% | 26% | 28% | 3% | 16% | 22% | 26% | 25% | 22% | 23% | 26% | 21% | 24% | 22% | 26% | 20% | 26% | 21% | 25% | 20% | 26% | 22% | 29% | 24% | 20% | 18% | 25% | 36% | 22% | 26% | 20% |
Not Familiar | 17% | 13% | 21% | 28% | 17% | 20% | 4% | 23% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 27% | 20% | 16% | 26% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 21% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 23% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 23% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 5% | 19% | 18% | 5% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 20% | 19% | 13% | 13% | 27% | 18% | 15% | 23% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 22% | 11% | 14% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 27% | 24% | 20% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 67% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 84% | 16% | 30% | 68% | 36% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 34% | 16% | 11% | 37% | 34% | 27% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 45% | 40% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 46% | 46% | 33% | 27% | 39% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 69% | 31% | 24% | 54% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 37% | 24% | 5% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 16% |
10 | What is your opinion of Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.? |
1048 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely? | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Trump Vs Biden | With Haley | With Kennedy | 2020 President | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | US Census Region | US Census Division | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Certain | Probable | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Biden | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Haley | Trump | Biden | Haley | Kennedy | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | New Engl | Mid-Atla | East Nor | West Nor | South At | East Sou | West Sou | Mountain | Pacific | |
Very Favorable | 8% | 9% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 38% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 8% |
Somewhat Favorable | 36% | 40% | 33% | 38% | 36% | 41% | 29% | 37% | 35% | 35% | 35% | 44% | 35% | 36% | 39% | 43% | 33% | 40% | 31% | 40% | 38% | 48% | 39% | 29% | 17% | 44% | 39% | 24% | 41% | 30% | 42% | 41% | 28% | 41% | 40% | 27% | 32% | 60% | 43% | 29% | 34% | 39% | 36% | 35% | 38% | 35% | 37% | 34% | 39% | 34% | 39% | 38% | 37% | 41% | 27% | 39% | 38% | 37% | 38% | 42% | 36% | 41% | 29% | 26% |
Somewhat Unfavorable | 17% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 24% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 11% | 16% | 12% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 14% | 23% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 22% | 14% | 14% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 22% | 14% | 12% | 22% | 15% | 17% | 1% | 21% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 20% | 8% | 17% | 16% | 23% | 17% | 21% | 12% | 21% | 19% |
Very Unfavorable | 17% | 16% | 17% | 9% | 16% | 17% | 26% | 12% | 21% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 19% | 7% | 12% | 19% | 9% | 26% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 14% | 32% | 31% | 9% | 14% | 31% | 8% | 28% | 9% | 8% | 30% | 12% | 8% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 8% | 27% | 14% | 13% | 22% | 14% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 13% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 20% | 35% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 22% |
Not Familiar | 22% | 17% | 27% | 28% | 24% | 22% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 20% | 31% | 21% | 33% | 20% | 32% | 20% | 23% | 23% | 22% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 24% | 17% | 28% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 26% | 21% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 20% | 33% | 1% | 21% | 22% | 29% | 20% | 17% | 30% | 19% | 18% | 18% | 31% | 18% | 22% | 27% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 9% | 27% | 24% | 19% | 18% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 26% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 67% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 84% | 16% | 30% | 68% | 36% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 34% | 16% | 11% | 37% | 34% | 27% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 45% | 40% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 46% | 46% | 33% | 27% | 39% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 69% | 31% | 24% | 54% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 37% | 24% | 5% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 16% |
11 | What is your opinion of Cornel West? |
1048 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely? | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Trump Vs Biden | With Haley | With Kennedy | 2020 President | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | US Census Region | US Census Division | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Certain | Probable | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Trump | Biden | Undecide | Trump | Biden | Haley | Trump | Biden | Haley | Kennedy | Trump | Biden | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | New Engl | Mid-Atla | East Nor | West Nor | South At | East Sou | West Sou | Mountain | Pacific | |
Very Favorable | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
Somewhat Favorable | 10% | 13% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 14% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 15% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 15% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 14% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 10% |
Somewhat Unfavorable | 13% | 16% | 10% | 18% | 12% | 14% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 28% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 14% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 9% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 17% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 21% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 10% | 14% |
Very Unfavorable | 13% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 19% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 6% | 12% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 8% | 16% | 15% |
Not Familiar | 61% | 54% | 68% | 57% | 55% | 66% | 65% | 56% | 65% | 64% | 47% | 60% | 56% | 59% | 70% | 57% | 62% | 63% | 57% | 63% | 62% | 61% | 66% | 57% | 47% | 61% | 66% | 53% | 61% | 59% | 74% | 61% | 56% | 73% | 59% | 58% | 73% | 66% | 61% | 61% | 64% | 63% | 57% | 62% | 60% | 61% | 60% | 63% | 54% | 61% | 69% | 62% | 67% | 57% | 59% | 73% | 57% | 69% | 65% | 54% | 57% | 63% | 62% | 58% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 48% | 52% | 67% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 84% | 16% | 30% | 68% | 36% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 34% | 16% | 11% | 37% | 34% | 27% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 45% | 40% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 46% | 46% | 33% | 27% | 39% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 69% | 31% | 24% | 54% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 37% | 24% | 5% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 16% |