Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27021
 
NOT A SPOILER? At 13% Overall, Nikki Haley Takes 1 in 9 Biden Voters, 1 in 12 Trump Voters ... But 60% of Will-They-Won't-They Undecideds;
RFK, Jr. Takes 7% From Trump, 4% From Biden, 20% from Haley; Cornel West Takes Just 2% From Biden, But Does Biden Have 2% to Lose?


Fresh SurveyUSA polling shows Republican Donald Trump leading Democrat Joe Biden by five points, 49% to 44%, in a 2-person matchup today, 9 months from the election. 7% of likely voters say they are undecided in this contest between what may be the two best-known presidential candidates in history – a number SurveyUSA suggests may be less about uncertainty about which candidate to choose and more about political fatigue and uncertainty over whether or not to vote at all this year. Three data points buoying that theory:
  • 25% of the voters who are undecided between Donald Trump and Joe Biden say they will probably vote in November – significantly more than the number of Trump or Biden voters who identify as probable, rather than certain, voters.
  • When a third candidate is offered to voters – Nikki Haley, running as an independent – 60% of those voters who are undecided between Trump and Biden leap at the chance to vote for someone else.
  • Nearly everyone involved in the election has negative Net Favorability numbers, with Trump at Minus 6 (47% have a favorable opinion of the former President, 53% an unfavorable opinion, in research conducted before a federal appeals court said he is not immune from prosecution) and Biden at an even-worse Minus 16 (41% favorable, 57% unfavorable). Haley – in research completed before her February 3 appearance in Saturday Night Live's cold open – is at Minus 12, with 35% having favorable views and 47% unfavorable views, while 17% are unfamiliar with her. Worse yet is Cornel West, at Minus 14, with 12% having a favorable opinion (including 18% of Black voters), 26% having an unfavorable opinion, and 61% saying they are unfamiliar with him. Only Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is in positive territory, at +10, with 44% having favorable and 34% having unfavorable opinions of the 35th President's nephew. 22% say they are unfamiliar with Kennedy.
With Haley in the race as an independent candidate, Trump edges Biden for the national popular vote, 45% to 40%, with 13% selecting the former South Carolina governor. Just 3% are undecided in this scenario. Haley draws 24% of independents, 19% of political moderates, 17% of probable voters (compared to 12% of certain voters), and regionally takes 19% in the East North Central states, which include the critical states of Michigan and Wisconsin, and 17% in the Mountain states, which include 2020 swing state Arizona and potentially in-play Nevada.

Haley's entry costs Trump his 8 point advantage among those of Asian and other heritage, where he now only leads Biden by 47% to 45%, and moves Biden from his initial slim 2-point nominal deficit among voters age 18 to 34 to a 5-point deficit, 1 in 8 of whom switch to Haley, giving Trump a 5-point advantage here. Biden also slides from a 3-point deficit to a 5-point deficit in the midwestern states, where Haley takes 15% and Trump now leads Biden 43% to 38%, and in the South Atlantic states, which include Georgia, and where Biden's nominal 1-point deficit becomes a 3-point deficit when 15% of voters go with South Carolina's Haley.

Adding a fourth candidate, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., to the contest increases Trump's margin to 7 points, 43% to 36%, with 11% now backing Haley. Kennedy, currently having enough signatures to make the ballot only in Utah and New Hampshire, may attempt to increase his ballot access by running to become the Libertarian Party's nominee, but today, running as an independent and hypothetically on the ballot in every state, takes 9% of the vote, a number SurveyUSA simultaneously regards as certain to fade down the stretch and certain to worry both the Trump and Biden campaigns. Kennedy's support is drawn slightly more heavily from Trump's initial voters in a 2-man race than from Biden's – 8% versus 6% – but slightly less so if Haley is in the picture, where RFK, Jr. takes 7% of Trump's votes, 4% of Biden's, and 20% of Haley's. Kennedy takes 39% of those who are undecided between Trump and Biden and 22% of independents (20% of whom stick with Haley in a 4-person race). Regionally, he sees 18% in New England, where his name is undoubtedly a factor, but does not break 12% in any other part of the nation.

Last, looking at a 5-person race, now with Cornel West entering the fray, SurveyUSA sees the race tightening. West himself takes just 1% overall, but Trump now falls to 41%, Biden to 36%; Haley drops to 10%, RFK Jr. nominally increases to 10%. 1% here are undecided. West runs most strongly – at 8% – in New England and at 6% among voters identifying as somewhat liberal, he is also at 5% among Latinos. Among Black voters – theorized by some to be likely to defect from Biden to West – SurveyUSA sees just 1% doing so, with 69% of Black voters choosing Biden, 12% Trump, 8% Haley, and 6% Kennedy.
Fully crosstabbed results follow...
 
Statement By Poll Sponsor, Charles H. Riggs III:

This survey reveals Nikki Haley's potential viability as an independent presidential candidate.
  • Haley only lags Joe Biden by four points, 24% to 28%, among independents.
  • She achieves a whopping 60% support level among those who are undecided in a two-way Biden-Trump race.
  • She shows unexpected strength in an area where, supposedly, Trump is very strong, in the mountain states. Specifically, she runs well ahead of her national support average, receiving 17% in states like Idaho, Montana, Utah and Wyoming. In fact, the results show that, in these areas, she actually takes more from Trump (4 points), than from Biden (3 points).
Given that Governor Haley has taken zero steps toward mounting an independent presidential run, her overall showing in the mid-teens against two candidates who have been front-runners for their party's nomination for months is a definitive indication that the window of opportunity seems wide open for an independent presidential run by Governor Haley. By dint of her current high-visibility high-profile presence on the national stage, she is now clearly positioned head and shoulders above any other independent or third-party presidential candidate whom we have heard about from the usual suspects.
 
About the Research/Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,500 adults from the entire United States online 01/31/23 through 02/02/24, using non-probability sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Of the adults, 1,259 were identified by SurveyUSA as being registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 1,048 were found to be likely to vote in the 2024 November election for President and were asked the substantive questions which follow. Data is weighted to US Census Current Population Survey targets for gender, age, ethnicity, and education, to US Census American Community Survey targets for home ownership, and at client request, by average partisan affiliation in recent Survey USA nationwide projects, as opposed to by recalled 2020 vote, SurveyUSA's typical weighting in election polls.
 
1Are you registered to vote?
1500 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikely?ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedTrump Vs BidenWith HaleyWith Kennedy2020 PresidentEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUS Census RegionUS Census Division
Credibility Interval: ± 2.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / CertainProbableYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenUndecideTrumpBidenHaleyTrumpBidenHaleyKennedyTrumpBidenHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWestNew EnglMid-AtlaEast NorWest NorSouth AtEast SouWest SouMountainPacific
Yes84%85%83%76%85%87%91%80%89%85%80%81%85%100%100%86%83%89%89%82%91%86%81%90%90%88%81%90%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%94%96%74%86%95%78%85%91%87%78%82%87%79%86%83%82%86%**83%83%83%83%82%80%85%87%
No14%15%14%20%14%12%9%18%10%13%18%16%15%--12%15%9%10%16%8%12%17%9%10%10%17%9%----------5%4%24%12%5%20%14%8%12%19%16%11%20%11%15%16%13%**14%15%17%16%17%16%14%12%
Not Sure2%1%3%4%1%1%0%3%1%2%2%3%0%--2%2%1%1%2%2%1%2%0%0%1%2%0%----------1%0%3%2%0%2%1%2%1%3%2%2%2%3%2%2%1%**3%3%0%1%1%4%1%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%30%25%25%20%54%46%63%12%16%8%70%13%29%70%31%33%30%13%20%39%14%10%32%39%24%49%44%7%45%40%13%43%36%11%9%38%38%39%28%33%35%38%27%64%36%26%50%24%17%20%38%24%5%12%14%7%20%7%12%8%16%
 
2Americans will hold an election for President of the United States in November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Which best describes you? Are you certain to vote? Will you probably vote? Are the chances you will vote about 50/50? Or will you probably not vote?
1259 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikely?ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedTrump Vs BidenWith HaleyWith Kennedy2020 PresidentEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUS Census RegionUS Census Division
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / CertainProbableYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenUndecideTrumpBidenHaleyTrumpBidenHaleyKennedyTrumpBidenHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWestNew EnglMid-AtlaEast NorWest NorSouth AtEast SouWest SouMountainPacific
Certain To Vote 70%73%68%55%68%75%85%61%80%75%68%59%60%100%0%68%71%80%76%56%82%76%61%76%76%78%61%76%85%86%75%85%86%79%86%87%74%78%78%76%65%66%79%63%67%84%76%59%66%73%69%75%73%66%71%74%76%72%74%71%60%62%75%68%
Will Probably Vote13%13%13%20%13%11%8%16%9%12%15%17%11%0%100%16%11%11%13%15%8%13%15%14%12%11%15%13%15%14%25%15%14%21%14%13%26%22%12%11%15%13%11%14%15%9%11%17%15%12%13%11%14%15%9%11%11%15%12%13%18%19%7%11%
About 50/5014%11%16%21%16%12%6%18%9%10%14%23%26%0%0%14%14%8%10%23%9%10%20%9%10%9%20%9%----------8%12%16%18%9%18%16%6%11%19%16%13%14%12%10%15%17%11%13%11%10%12%19%16%13%19%
Probably Will Not Vote2%2%2%3%3%2%1%3%1%2%3%1%2%0%0%1%3%1%1%4%1%1%3%1%1%1%3%1%----------1%1%3%3%1%4%1%1%2%4%2%1%4%1%2%3%2%2%1%1%4%3%1%3%5%1%
Not Sure1%1%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%----------0%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%1%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%2%0%0%0%1%1%1%0%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%27%25%26%22%52%48%64%11%16%9%70%13%30%69%33%35%29%14%20%38%15%11%34%38%26%49%44%7%45%40%13%43%36%11%9%42%43%34%29%37%33%38%29%66%34%25%52%22%18%20%38%25%5%12%13%7%20%7%11%8%17%
 
3If the election for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for if these were the only candidates on the ballot? (Candidate names rotated)
1048 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikely?ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedTrump Vs BidenWith HaleyWith Kennedy2020 PresidentEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUS Census RegionUS Census Division
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / CertainProbableYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenUndecideTrumpBidenHaleyTrumpBidenHaleyKennedyTrumpBidenHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWestNew EnglMid-AtlaEast NorWest NorSouth AtEast SouWest SouMountainPacific
Donald Trump (R)49%53%44%47%47%50%50%47%50%56%16%41%49%49%48%50%48%93%8%48%86%81%43%12%7%83%43%10%100%0%0%97%2%30%95%1%34%41%93%5%51%55%42%53%48%45%51%43%42%46%63%47%47%54%43%49%46%45%50%47%58%65%41%43%
Joe Biden (D)44%41%48%45%48%43%42%47%42%38%78%48%41%45%41%44%45%3%89%38%13%11%46%83%92%12%46%86%0%100%0%2%97%37%4%98%36%28%3%89%43%37%50%45%42%47%41%52%52%46%31%48%44%41%47%46%50%44%45%46%37%33%43%49%
Undecided7%6%8%8%5%7%9%6%8%6%6%11%10%6%11%7%7%4%3%14%1%8%12%6%2%5%12%4%0%0%100%1%1%33%1%1%30%31%5%6%5%7%8%3%10%7%8%6%6%8%6%5%9%5%10%5%4%11%5%7%5%2%16%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%24%24%27%25%48%52%67%11%14%7%84%16%30%68%36%38%25%15%22%34%16%11%37%34%27%49%44%7%45%40%13%43%36%11%9%46%46%33%27%39%30%38%32%69%31%24%54%22%18%21%37%24%5%13%14%7%20%6%11%8%16%
 
4Now, what if these were the only candidates on the ballot? (Candidate names rotated)
1048 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikely?ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedTrump Vs BidenWith HaleyWith Kennedy2020 PresidentEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUS Census RegionUS Census Division
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / CertainProbableYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenUndecideTrumpBidenHaleyTrumpBidenHaleyKennedyTrumpBidenHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWestNew EnglMid-AtlaEast NorWest NorSouth AtEast SouWest SouMountainPacific
Donald Trump (R)45%49%40%45%42%45%46%44%46%50%18%40%47%45%43%47%44%86%8%42%79%76%39%10%6%77%39%8%90%2%7%100%0%0%95%0%5%36%87%4%50%49%38%48%45%41%46%42%39%42%57%44%43%50%39%45%43%41%47%42%52%63%37%40%
Joe Biden (D)40%37%43%40%43%38%38%41%38%33%73%42%45%40%36%38%41%3%83%28%13%8%38%78%87%10%38%82%1%87%7%0%100%0%3%98%5%17%1%81%38%33%45%42%34%44%37%46%49%40%27%45%38%35%44%41%47%37%40%39%34%29%40%46%
Nikki Haley (I)13%12%14%11%13%14%14%12%14%15%8%11%5%12%17%11%13%10%7%24%7%14%19%9%6%11%19%8%8%11%60%0%0%100%1%1%88%28%10%13%9%15%14%8%16%13%15%8%9%15%12%9%15%13%13%10%9%19%9%15%13%8%17%12%
Undecided3%3%3%4%2%3%2%3%3%2%1%7%2%3%4%4%2%2%1%7%1%2%4%3%1%2%4%2%1%1%26%0%0%0%1%0%2%19%2%2%3%4%2%2%4%2%2%4%2%3%4%3%4%2%4%4%2%3%4%4%1%0%6%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%24%24%27%25%48%52%67%11%14%7%84%16%30%68%36%38%25%15%22%34%16%11%37%34%27%49%44%7%45%40%13%43%36%11%9%46%46%33%27%39%30%38%32%69%31%24%54%22%18%21%37%24%5%13%14%7%20%6%11%8%16%
 
5What if these were the only candidates on the ballot? (Major party candidate names rotated)
1048 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikely?ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedTrump Vs BidenWith HaleyWith Kennedy2020 PresidentEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUS Census RegionUS Census Division
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / CertainProbableYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenUndecideTrumpBidenHaleyTrumpBidenHaleyKennedyTrumpBidenHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWestNew EnglMid-AtlaEast NorWest NorSouth AtEast SouWest SouMountainPacific
Donald Trump (R)43%46%40%41%41%46%43%41%45%47%22%39%43%44%38%44%43%85%10%34%80%69%35%8%15%74%35%11%84%4%7%91%3%3%100%0%0%0%83%5%49%45%37%48%43%38%43%43%39%41%52%45%39%47%38%35%49%37%43%42%44%57%37%39%
Joe Biden (D)36%35%38%37%41%32%35%39%34%31%62%39%40%37%30%35%37%2%79%22%13%7%36%71%78%9%36%74%1%80%4%0%90%3%0%100%0%0%1%75%35%30%42%36%33%40%34%41%44%37%26%36%37%34%40%37%35%36%40%39%32%26%38%41%
Nikki Haley (I)11%9%12%9%9%10%14%9%12%12%9%9%2%9%18%9%11%9%5%20%5%13%16%9%2%9%16%6%7%9%45%1%1%73%0%0%100%0%9%10%7%13%12%7%12%11%13%6%9%11%11%8%12%11%11%9%8%15%5%12%11%9%11%11%
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (I)9%9%9%11%8%10%6%9%8%8%5%13%11%8%13%12%7%3%5%22%2%10%12%10%4%7%12%8%8%6%39%7%4%20%0%0%0%100%6%8%10%10%8%7%10%9%9%8%6%10%8%10%12%7%9%18%7%11%12%6%11%7%11%8%
Undecided2%1%2%2%2%1%1%2%1%1%3%0%3%1%2%1%2%0%1%2%0%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%1%2%5%1%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%2%0%3%2%2%1%1%1%2%2%1%3%1%1%1%3%0%2%1%0%2%2%1%3%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%24%24%27%25%48%52%67%11%14%7%84%16%30%68%36%38%25%15%22%34%16%11%37%34%27%49%44%7%45%40%13%43%36%11%9%46%46%33%27%39%30%38%32%69%31%24%54%22%18%21%37%24%5%13%14%7%20%6%11%8%16%
 
6And what if these were the only candidates on the ballot? (Major party candidate names rotated)
1048 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikely?ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedTrump Vs BidenWith HaleyWith Kennedy2020 PresidentEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUS Census RegionUS Census Division
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / CertainProbableYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenUndecideTrumpBidenHaleyTrumpBidenHaleyKennedyTrumpBidenHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWestNew EnglMid-AtlaEast NorWest NorSouth AtEast SouWest SouMountainPacific
Donald Trump (R)41%44%37%40%38%41%43%39%42%47%12%34%43%41%37%42%40%83%7%32%80%68%32%9%6%73%32%8%82%1%7%88%1%2%93%1%2%3%80%3%44%44%36%45%41%36%42%37%37%38%52%39%38%46%36%34%41%37%41%40%47%54%33%38%
Joe Biden (D)36%34%37%35%39%36%33%37%35%30%69%35%39%37%29%35%37%2%79%20%12%9%35%64%83%10%35%72%1%79%5%1%89%1%4%94%1%0%2%74%35%29%41%39%29%41%33%42%43%37%25%39%36%33%39%31%42%34%39%37%32%26%39%39%
Nikki Haley (I)10%8%12%7%10%11%12%8%11%11%8%9%2%9%16%8%10%9%4%19%5%11%15%9%2%8%15%6%7%9%35%2%1%67%2%1%84%2%9%10%8%11%11%6%12%11%11%7%9%11%9%7%11%12%9%7%7%14%3%12%8%12%6%11%
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (I)10%10%9%12%8%10%8%10%9%9%6%14%11%9%15%13%8%4%6%23%2%11%14%10%6%7%14%8%7%7%43%7%5%22%0%1%6%91%7%9%10%11%9%7%12%9%10%9%7%11%10%12%13%7%9%20%9%13%12%7%10%5%12%8%
Cornel West (I)1%1%2%2%2%0%2%2%1%0%1%5%2%2%0%0%2%0%1%3%0%0%1%6%0%0%1%4%0%3%2%0%2%1%0%2%1%2%0%2%2%1%1%0%3%0%1%2%2%2%0%2%1%1%2%8%0%0%3%1%0%0%0%3%
Undecided2%2%3%4%2%2%2%3%2%3%3%2%2%2%3%1%3%2%2%3%1%2%3%2%3%1%3%3%2%2%8%1%2%6%1%0%6%2%2%2%1%4%3%2%3%2%2%3%2%2%4%1%2%2%5%0%2%2%2%1%4%3%9%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%24%24%27%25%48%52%67%11%14%7%84%16%30%68%36%38%25%15%22%34%16%11%37%34%27%49%44%7%45%40%13%43%36%11%9%46%46%33%27%39%30%38%32%69%31%24%54%22%18%21%37%24%5%13%14%7%20%6%11%8%16%
 
7What is your opinion of Donald Trump?
1048 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikely?ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedTrump Vs BidenWith HaleyWith Kennedy2020 PresidentEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUS Census RegionUS Census Division
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / CertainProbableYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenUndecideTrumpBidenHaleyTrumpBidenHaleyKennedyTrumpBidenHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWestNew EnglMid-AtlaEast NorWest NorSouth AtEast SouWest SouMountainPacific
Very Favorable30%34%26%33%28%30%28%31%29%35%12%24%21%31%23%32%29%61%5%24%70%44%22%7%3%55%22%5%60%1%2%65%1%3%65%1%4%12%61%1%36%33%22%33%31%26%30%29%27%28%38%27%27%39%22%29%25%26%28%32%37%51%26%20%
Somewhat Favorable17%19%15%17%18%16%17%18%16%18%10%17%20%16%21%18%16%27%5%20%13%33%19%5%3%25%19%4%31%3%12%29%3%14%27%3%16%25%28%4%13%20%19%16%17%17%18%15%16%17%18%16%20%13%21%12%17%21%18%14%13%11%18%23%
Somewhat Unfavorable9%8%9%11%9%7%8%10%8%8%9%10%16%7%16%11%8%6%8%13%5%9%10%13%5%7%10%10%8%8%20%6%7%23%5%7%21%20%7%8%10%11%7%8%11%8%9%9%10%8%10%8%9%10%8%8%8%8%10%9%16%8%5%9%
Very Unfavorable44%39%49%39%44%47%46%41%46%39%68%49%43%45%39%38%46%7%81%42%13%14%48%74%89%14%48%80%1%87%67%0%88%60%3%89%57%43%4%85%41%36%52%42%41%50%43%47%46%47%33%50%44%38%49%50%50%45%43%44%33%30%51%47%
Not Familiar0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%2%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%2%0%0%0%0%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%24%24%27%25%48%52%67%11%14%7%84%16%30%68%36%38%25%15%22%34%16%11%37%34%27%49%44%7%45%40%13%43%36%11%9%46%46%33%27%39%30%38%32%69%31%24%54%22%18%21%37%24%5%13%14%7%20%6%11%8%16%
 
8What is your opinion of Joe Biden?
1048 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikely?ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedTrump Vs BidenWith HaleyWith Kennedy2020 PresidentEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUS Census RegionUS Census Division
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / CertainProbableYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenUndecideTrumpBidenHaleyTrumpBidenHaleyKennedyTrumpBidenHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWestNew EnglMid-AtlaEast NorWest NorSouth AtEast SouWest SouMountainPacific
Very Favorable20%19%21%13%18%21%27%16%24%15%46%19%23%22%10%18%21%1%46%9%12%3%17%34%50%7%17%40%0%44%0%0%50%1%2%51%1%1%0%42%22%14%22%25%14%21%18%23%26%20%14%23%21%18%19%17%25%19%24%23%13%11%21%18%
Somewhat Favorable21%19%24%24%28%20%14%26%17%20%27%24%18%20%28%21%22%3%38%23%3%9%25%40%33%7%25%38%4%43%5%4%42%21%4%42%24%17%5%38%19%19%25%19%21%24%21%22%21%23%17%21%17%23%23%20%22%18%14%22%22%27%16%26%
Somewhat Unfavorable11%12%11%21%11%7%9%16%8%10%13%16%11%10%18%13%10%9%9%18%5%8%18%12%5%7%18%9%9%9%42%9%7%29%8%5%32%26%10%11%10%16%10%10%15%9%10%15%16%11%8%9%14%10%14%6%10%15%11%12%7%8%17%12%
Very Unfavorable46%50%43%39%43%52%50%41%51%53%13%40%47%47%43%47%47%85%8%50%79%79%38%14%11%79%38%13%85%3%53%85%2%49%84%2%43%56%83%8%48%49%43%45%48%46%50%38%37%46%59%47%48%47%43%57%43%47%49%42%57%52%44%43%
Not Familiar1%1%1%3%1%0%0%2%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%2%0%0%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%0%2%0%1%2%0%0%2%0%1%0%2%0%1%2%0%1%1%0%1%1%0%1%2%0%1%2%1%0%0%0%2%1%1%2%2%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%24%24%27%25%48%52%67%11%14%7%84%16%30%68%36%38%25%15%22%34%16%11%37%34%27%49%44%7%45%40%13%43%36%11%9%46%46%33%27%39%30%38%32%69%31%24%54%22%18%21%37%24%5%13%14%7%20%6%11%8%16%
 
9What is your opinion of Nikki Haley?
1048 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikely?ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedTrump Vs BidenWith HaleyWith Kennedy2020 PresidentEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUS Census RegionUS Census Division
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / CertainProbableYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenUndecideTrumpBidenHaleyTrumpBidenHaleyKennedyTrumpBidenHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWestNew EnglMid-AtlaEast NorWest NorSouth AtEast SouWest SouMountainPacific
Very Favorable6%6%6%3%6%5%11%5%8%5%5%4%18%7%3%7%6%9%3%7%5%9%7%2%4%8%7%3%7%5%7%6%2%24%5%1%27%5%8%5%4%5%8%6%7%5%8%2%11%5%4%4%4%7%9%3%4%3%4%8%5%6%2%12%
Somewhat Favorable29%30%28%23%28%27%38%25%32%32%24%24%24%28%32%29%29%31%24%33%32%36%30%26%16%35%30%22%30%25%48%27%23%56%28%24%56%26%32%26%26%29%32%26%28%33%31%24%28%28%32%27%34%31%23%19%31%35%30%32%40%23%22%24%
Somewhat Unfavorable24%27%21%25%22%23%26%23%25%26%15%28%11%24%25%23%25%21%24%29%18%23%25%33%20%21%25%28%22%26%22%23%28%14%22%28%9%35%22%26%21%26%25%22%25%26%25%21%24%26%20%31%25%20%24%38%28%22%30%22%13%22%26%24%
Very Unfavorable23%24%23%21%26%25%21%24%23%22%38%17%27%25%13%22%24%23%28%19%31%20%15%26%42%24%15%33%23%27%9%25%30%1%26%28%3%16%22%26%25%22%23%26%21%24%22%26%20%26%21%25%20%26%22%29%24%20%18%25%36%22%26%20%
Not Familiar17%13%21%28%17%20%4%23%12%15%18%27%20%16%26%20%16%16%21%12%14%12%23%13%17%13%23%15%18%17%15%19%18%5%19%18%5%18%16%16%24%18%12%20%19%13%13%27%18%15%23%13%19%16%22%11%14%19%17%13%7%27%24%20%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%24%24%27%25%48%52%67%11%14%7%84%16%30%68%36%38%25%15%22%34%16%11%37%34%27%49%44%7%45%40%13%43%36%11%9%46%46%33%27%39%30%38%32%69%31%24%54%22%18%21%37%24%5%13%14%7%20%6%11%8%16%
 
10What is your opinion of Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.?
1048 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikely?ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedTrump Vs BidenWith HaleyWith Kennedy2020 PresidentEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUS Census RegionUS Census Division
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / CertainProbableYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenUndecideTrumpBidenHaleyTrumpBidenHaleyKennedyTrumpBidenHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWestNew EnglMid-AtlaEast NorWest NorSouth AtEast SouWest SouMountainPacific
Very Favorable8%9%7%12%8%6%6%10%6%7%11%8%8%8%8%10%7%4%8%12%6%7%9%9%9%6%9%9%8%7%15%8%7%8%5%6%4%38%7%8%6%10%8%6%10%7%7%9%8%9%7%6%8%9%8%9%5%8%6%7%10%12%8%8%
Somewhat Favorable36%40%33%38%36%41%29%37%35%35%35%44%35%36%39%43%33%40%31%40%38%48%39%29%17%44%39%24%41%30%42%41%28%41%40%27%32%60%43%29%34%39%36%35%38%35%37%34%39%34%39%38%37%41%27%39%38%37%38%42%36%41%29%26%
Somewhat Unfavorable17%18%16%14%16%14%24%15%18%19%11%16%12%18%14%14%18%23%13%14%23%21%14%14%14%22%14%14%21%14%8%22%14%12%22%15%17%1%21%14%17%18%16%15%17%19%18%15%19%17%14%14%18%16%20%8%17%16%23%17%21%12%21%19%
Very Unfavorable17%16%17%9%16%17%26%12%21%20%11%11%12%19%7%12%19%9%26%16%12%7%14%32%31%9%14%31%8%28%9%8%30%12%8%33%14%0%8%27%14%13%22%14%16%21%19%11%16%18%13%20%15%14%20%35%13%15%14%17%13%11%17%22%
Not Familiar22%17%27%28%24%22%15%26%19%20%31%21%33%20%32%20%23%23%22%18%22%18%24%17%28%19%24%21%22%22%26%21%21%27%25%20%33%1%21%22%29%20%17%30%19%18%18%31%18%22%27%22%22%20%25%9%27%24%19%18%19%24%25%26%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%24%24%27%25%48%52%67%11%14%7%84%16%30%68%36%38%25%15%22%34%16%11%37%34%27%49%44%7%45%40%13%43%36%11%9%46%46%33%27%39%30%38%32%69%31%24%54%22%18%21%37%24%5%13%14%7%20%6%11%8%16%
 
11What is your opinion of Cornel West?
1048 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikely?ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedTrump Vs BidenWith HaleyWith Kennedy2020 PresidentEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityUS Census RegionUS Census Division
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / CertainProbableYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalTrumpBidenUndecideTrumpBidenHaleyTrumpBidenHaleyKennedyTrumpBidenHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWestNew EnglMid-AtlaEast NorWest NorSouth AtEast SouWest SouMountainPacific
Very Favorable2%1%3%2%6%1%1%4%1%1%4%5%4%2%2%3%2%1%3%4%2%1%2%5%4%1%2%4%1%4%1%2%3%1%1%4%0%4%1%3%3%1%3%1%3%2%2%4%2%3%2%1%3%3%3%2%0%1%5%3%2%3%4%3%
Somewhat Favorable10%13%8%14%13%8%6%14%7%10%14%10%6%11%8%15%8%6%12%12%5%10%11%11%15%8%11%13%8%12%10%8%13%9%7%13%9%14%8%11%7%10%13%11%8%13%11%8%15%9%7%7%8%14%9%8%6%10%6%16%12%10%7%10%
Somewhat Unfavorable13%16%10%18%12%14%9%15%12%11%28%13%14%14%12%13%14%15%16%8%14%14%9%14%24%14%9%18%15%13%7%14%15%9%16%13%8%12%14%13%14%16%12%15%15%10%12%17%17%13%10%17%11%14%13%7%21%11%10%12%13%16%10%14%
Very Unfavorable13%16%11%8%15%11%19%11%15%14%6%12%20%14%8%12%14%15%12%13%17%14%12%13%10%15%12%12%16%11%7%16%12%8%16%12%10%5%16%12%12%11%15%12%14%14%15%8%12%15%11%14%11%13%16%9%16%10%13%14%16%8%16%15%
Not Familiar61%54%68%57%55%66%65%56%65%64%47%60%56%59%70%57%62%63%57%63%62%61%66%57%47%61%66%53%61%59%74%61%56%73%59%58%73%66%61%61%64%63%57%62%60%61%60%63%54%61%69%62%67%57%59%73%57%69%65%54%57%63%62%58%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%24%24%27%25%48%52%67%11%14%7%84%16%30%68%36%38%25%15%22%34%16%11%37%34%27%49%44%7%45%40%13%43%36%11%9%46%46%33%27%39%30%38%32%69%31%24%54%22%18%21%37%24%5%13%14%7%20%6%11%8%16%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.