| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14116 |
| Incumbent GOP Senator Dole Widens Lead Over Democrat Hagan in NC Senate Race: 16 weeks to the election, incumbent Republican US Senator Elizabeth Dole defeats Democratic State Senator Kay Hagan by 12 points, according to this latest SurveyUSA pre-election tracking poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV Raleigh. Today, it's Dole 54%, Hagan 42%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released eight weeks ago, Dole is up 4 points; Hagan is down 4 points. Dole has gained ground among both men and women and among voters age 50+. Among voters with annual household incomes under $50,000, Hagan had led by 14; today, Dole and Hagan tie. Among voters with incomes greater than $50,000, Dole had led by 14, now leads by 19. One in four Democrats today cross-over to vote for Dole, who is running for her second term. Hagan is serving her fifth term in the North Carolina State Senate. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 North Carolina adults 07/12/08 through 07/14/08. Of them, 872 were registered to vote; of them, 676 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. |
 | North Carolina voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Elizabeth Dole? Or, Democrat Kay Hagan? |
| 676 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Charlott | Raleigh | South & | |
| Elizabeth Dole (R) | 54% | 61% | 48% | 52% | 58% | 47% | 61% | 55% | 52% | 54% | 59% | 53% | 66% | 15% | ** | ** | 90% | 25% | 54% | 84% | 46% | 17% | 53% | 54% | 57% | 52% | 46% | 70% | 41% | 57% | 54% | 52% | ** | 35% | 47% | 89% | ** | ** | 76% | 48% | 58% | 57% | 53% | 50% |
| Kay Hagan (D) | 42% | 36% | 47% | 44% | 38% | 49% | 36% | 40% | 44% | 42% | 39% | 43% | 32% | 77% | ** | ** | 7% | 72% | 39% | 13% | 51% | 81% | 43% | 42% | 39% | 46% | 49% | 26% | 56% | 37% | 44% | 45% | ** | 60% | 49% | 9% | ** | ** | 21% | 48% | 39% | 40% | 42% | 45% |
| Undecided | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 8% | ** | ** | 3% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 3% | ** | 5% | 3% | 2% | ** | ** | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 19% | 53% | 47% | 45% | 11% | 44% | 74% | 19% | 4% | 3% | 37% | 45% | 15% | 34% | 34% | 12% | 46% | 54% | 57% | 28% | 16% | 46% | 50% | 19% | 80% | 55% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 42% | 58% | 34% | 49% | 17% |