Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14116
Incumbent GOP Senator Dole Widens Lead Over Democrat Hagan in NC Senate Race: 16 weeks to the election, incumbent Republican US Senator Elizabeth Dole defeats Democratic State Senator Kay Hagan by 12 points, according to this latest SurveyUSA pre-election tracking poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV Raleigh. Today, it's Dole 54%, Hagan 42%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released eight weeks ago, Dole is up 4 points; Hagan is down 4 points. Dole has gained ground among both men and women and among voters age 50+. Among voters with annual household incomes under $50,000, Hagan had led by 14; today, Dole and Hagan tie. Among voters with incomes greater than $50,000, Dole had led by 14, now leads by 19. One in four Democrats today cross-over to vote for Dole, who is running for her second term. Hagan is serving her fifth term in the North Carolina State Senate.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 North Carolina adults 07/12/08 through 07/14/08. Of them, 872 were registered to vote; of them, 676 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election.
North Carolina voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Elizabeth Dole? Or, Democrat Kay Hagan?
676 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KCharlottRaleigh South &
Elizabeth Dole (R)54%61%48%52%58%47%61%55%52%54%59%53%66%15%****90%25%54%84%46%17%53%54%57%52%46%70%41%57%54%52%**35%47%89%****76%48%58%57%53%50%
Kay Hagan (D)42%36%47%44%38%49%36%40%44%42%39%43%32%77%****7%72%39%13%51%81%43%42%39%46%49%26%56%37%44%45%**60%49%9%****21%48%39%40%42%45%
Composition of Likely Voters100%46%54%22%31%28%19%53%47%45%11%44%74%19%4%3%37%45%15%34%34%12%46%54%57%28%16%46%50%19%80%55%3%9%9%7%2%2%8%42%58%34%49%17%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.