| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10098 |
| In a November Head-to-Head, Cantwell Defeats McGavick: In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup in Washington today, 8/28/06, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Maria Cantwell beats Republican challenger Mike McGavick, 56% to 39%, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 808 Registered Voters conducted exclusively for KING-TV Seattle. Cantwell leads by 29 points among women and by 4 points among men, a 25-point "gender gap." Cantwell leads among Democrats 15:1. McGavick leads among Republicans 7:1. Independents favor Cantwell 3:2. Those who approve of President George W. Bush's job performance choose McGavick 80% to 16%. Those who disapprove of Bush's performance choose Cantwell 81% to 14%. President Bush's approval rating among Registered Voters in Washington is 35%. The election is on 11/7/06. |
| Filtering: 1,000 Washington adults were interviewed 8/25/06 - 8/27/06. Of them, 808 were registered to vote. Crosstabs reflect Registered Voters. This survey did not attempt to identify or screen for "Likely Voters." The Washington State Primary to determine the party nominees is 9/19/06. After the Primary, research by SurveyUSA in this state will be of Likely Voters. |
| 1 | In the general election for United States Senator, if the only candidates on the ballot are Republican Mike McGavick and Democrat Maria Cantwell, who gets your vote? |
| 808 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | Race | Party | Ideology | Education | Income | Bush Job Approva | Region | Geocoding | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | No Colle | Some Col | College | Grad Sch | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Approve | Disappro | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | Urban | Suburban | Rural | |
| McGavick (R) | 39% | 45% | 33% | 37% | 42% | 40% | 37% | 41% | ** | ** | 31% | 85% | 6% | 37% | 81% | 34% | 8% | 36% | 40% | 45% | 36% | 29% | 42% | 42% | 80% | 14% | 42% | 42% | 37% | 31% | 43% | 45% |
| Cantwell (D) | 56% | 49% | 62% | 57% | 53% | 56% | 61% | 55% | ** | ** | 57% | 12% | 92% | 54% | 16% | 62% | 89% | 61% | 55% | 52% | 59% | 67% | 54% | 53% | 16% | 81% | 53% | 54% | 58% | 63% | 53% | 51% |
| Undecided | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 4% | ** | ** | 12% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 26% | 32% | 25% | 17% | 85% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 30% | 38% | 26% | 25% | 39% | 23% | 13% | 40% | 24% | 23% | 27% | 37% | 30% | 35% | 60% | 27% | 20% | 54% | 32% | 55% | 13% |