Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #14317 |
Palin Speech Moves Independents: Results of two nationwide polls conducted by SurveyUSA show Sarah Palin's speech at the Republican National Convention on the evening of 09/03/08 has helped the McCain campaign.
24 hours ago, independent voters nationwide were split on whether Palin was an asset or a liability to McCain's campaign. Today, by a 2:1 margin, independents say Palin is an asset. Overnight, the percentage calling the Alaska governor an asset to the campaign climbed 13 points; the percentage calling her a liability fell 17 points. The numbers are similar among moderates, who 24 hours ago viewed Palin as a liability by an 11 point margin; today, Palin is seen as an asset by an 18 point margin. |
Betting Line Changes: 24 hours ago, when asked if they would bet on Obama or McCain becoming president, Obama was a 16:15 favorite; today, it's flipped, and McCain is favored by the same ratio. |
Grading The Speech: Of those who watched Palin speak last night, 60% give the speech a grade of "A." When those giving lower grades are factored in and a standard grade point average computed on a 4-point scale, Palin scores a "B," overall. Among Republicans, she gets an "A-;" among Independents, a solid "B;" among Democrats, a "C." |
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1200 adults in two separate surveys, on 09/03/08 and 09/04/08. In each survey, those identifying themselves as registered voters were asked the questions which followed. |
1 | Did you hear Sarah Palin's speech at the Republican National Convention last night? |
1061 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | < $40 K | > $40 K | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Yes | 75% | 77% | 73% | 69% | 78% | 77% | 79% | 73% | 78% | 77% | 69% | 63% | 72% | 84% | 65% | 77% | 86% | 76% | 67% | 70% | 77% | 74% | 73% | 76% | 77% |
No | 24% | 22% | 27% | 31% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 27% | 22% | 22% | 31% | 33% | 28% | 16% | 33% | 23% | 14% | 24% | 33% | 28% | 23% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 21% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 29% | 28% | 26% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 76% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 34% | 38% | 14% | 30% | 70% | 19% | 23% | 36% | 22% |
2 | What grade do you give her on the speech? An A, B, C, D, or an F? |
796 Who Heard Speech | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | < $40 K | > $40 K | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
A | 60% | 60% | 60% | 54% | 65% | 58% | 65% | 60% | 61% | 64% | 38% | 62% | 38% | 86% | 26% | 57% | 84% | 52% | 23% | 53% | 64% | 61% | 61% | 63% | 53% |
B | 11% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 14% | 9% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 16% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 14% |
C | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 10% | 16% | 11% | 18% | 2% | 21% | 14% | 3% | 15% | 21% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 11% | 11% |
D | 9% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 23% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 13% |
F | 8% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 0% | 32% | 4% | 16% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 9% |
Not Sure | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Who Heard Speech | 100% | 49% | 51% | 26% | 29% | 26% | 19% | 55% | 45% | 78% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 40% | 29% | 27% | 39% | 38% | 12% | 28% | 72% | 19% | 22% | 36% | 23% |
G.P.A. | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
![]() | On the whole, is Sarah Palin an asset to John McCain? A liability to McCain? Or, do you not know enough to say? |
1061 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | < $40 K | > $40 K | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Asset | 55% | 58% | 52% | 51% | 60% | 52% | 57% | 55% | 54% | 59% | 33% | 46% | 50% | 82% | 26% | 56% | 81% | 48% | 29% | 47% | 59% | 53% | 56% | 55% | 54% |
Liability | 24% | 26% | 22% | 26% | 20% | 28% | 20% | 23% | 25% | 23% | 37% | 11% | 21% | 7% | 39% | 27% | 8% | 30% | 46% | 26% | 22% | 28% | 20% | 22% | 27% |
Don't Know Enough | 19% | 15% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 11% | 29% | 16% | 9% | 18% | 25% | 23% | 17% | 18% | 23% | 20% | 14% |
Not Sure | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 29% | 28% | 26% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 76% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 34% | 38% | 14% | 30% | 70% | 19% | 23% | 36% | 22% |
![]() | Does McCain's selection of Sarah Palin as a running mate reflect well on McCain? Reflect poorly on McCain? Or do you not know enough to say? |
1061 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | < $40 K | > $40 K | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Reflects Well On McCain | 55% | 58% | 52% | 51% | 60% | 52% | 56% | 56% | 53% | 60% | 28% | 48% | 41% | 84% | 24% | 55% | 80% | 48% | 26% | 47% | 59% | 53% | 53% | 57% | 54% |
Poorly On McCain | 30% | 30% | 30% | 33% | 25% | 36% | 24% | 29% | 31% | 25% | 54% | 31% | 52% | 9% | 52% | 32% | 13% | 37% | 59% | 32% | 28% | 34% | 29% | 28% | 32% |
Dont' Know Enough | 14% | 10% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 6% | 7% | 22% | 11% | 6% | 15% | 15% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 11% |
Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 29% | 28% | 26% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 76% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 34% | 38% | 14% | 30% | 70% | 19% | 23% | 36% | 22% |
![]() | On the whole, is Joe Biden an asset to Barack Obama? A liability to Obama? Or, do you not know enough to say? |
1061 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | < $40 K | > $40 K | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Asset | 50% | 50% | 49% | 50% | 44% | 56% | 50% | 47% | 54% | 48% | 71% | 41% | 47% | 30% | 71% | 52% | 34% | 58% | 67% | 53% | 48% | 52% | 47% | 47% | 55% |
Liability | 27% | 29% | 25% | 27% | 31% | 21% | 28% | 29% | 24% | 28% | 12% | 23% | 44% | 45% | 11% | 25% | 44% | 23% | 11% | 22% | 29% | 30% | 25% | 28% | 25% |
Don't Know Enough | 22% | 19% | 25% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 35% | 9% | 24% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 24% | 22% | 18% | 28% | 23% | 19% |
Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 29% | 28% | 26% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 76% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 34% | 38% | 14% | 30% | 70% | 19% | 23% | 36% | 22% |
![]() | Does Obama's selection of Joe Biden as a running mate reflect well on Obama? Reflect poorly on Obama? Or do you not know enough to say? |
1061 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | < $40 K | > $40 K | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Reflects Well On Obama | 48% | 49% | 47% | 48% | 44% | 55% | 47% | 46% | 51% | 47% | 71% | 40% | 40% | 25% | 73% | 50% | 28% | 58% | 71% | 49% | 47% | 51% | 45% | 45% | 54% |
Poorly On Obama | 31% | 34% | 29% | 31% | 37% | 28% | 28% | 34% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 39% | 53% | 52% | 10% | 31% | 52% | 26% | 9% | 27% | 34% | 30% | 27% | 35% | 30% |
Dont' Know Enough | 20% | 16% | 23% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 25% | 20% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 21% | 7% | 22% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 19% | 19% | 28% | 18% | 15% |
Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 29% | 28% | 26% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 76% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 34% | 38% | 14% | 30% | 70% | 19% | 23% | 36% | 22% |
![]() | If you were placing a bet today, would you bet that Barack Obama will be elected president? Or, John McCain will be elected president? |
1061 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | < $40 K | > $40 K | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Barack Obama | 45% | 44% | 45% | 50% | 41% | 47% | 39% | 45% | 44% | 40% | 73% | 48% | 51% | 16% | 74% | 47% | 22% | 50% | 70% | 52% | 41% | 45% | 47% | 41% | 48% |
John McCain | 48% | 49% | 47% | 41% | 54% | 47% | 51% | 48% | 49% | 52% | 25% | 47% | 35% | 79% | 22% | 43% | 72% | 44% | 24% | 39% | 53% | 47% | 47% | 51% | 45% |
Not Sure | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 7% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 29% | 28% | 26% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 76% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 34% | 38% | 14% | 30% | 70% | 19% | 23% | 36% | 22% |
8 | Is the media rooting for Barack Obama? Rooting for John McCain? Or trying its best to be fair to both? |
1061 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | < $40 K | > $40 K | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Barack Obama | 54% | 58% | 50% | 55% | 59% | 48% | 52% | 57% | 50% | 58% | 37% | 40% | 49% | 80% | 27% | 55% | 79% | 48% | 30% | 49% | 57% | 56% | 52% | 56% | 51% |
John McCain | 8% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 8% |
Being Fair To Both | 35% | 31% | 39% | 31% | 33% | 40% | 36% | 32% | 38% | 32% | 55% | 44% | 30% | 13% | 59% | 33% | 14% | 42% | 51% | 33% | 36% | 33% | 36% | 36% | 34% |
Not Sure | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 8% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 29% | 28% | 26% | 18% | 57% | 43% | 76% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 34% | 38% | 14% | 30% | 70% | 19% | 23% | 36% | 22% |