| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14382 |
| Obama 11 Points Ahead of McCain in Iowa: In an election for President of the United States in Iowa today, 09/19/08, 46 days from the election, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain by 11 points, 54% to 43%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KAAL-TV Mason City and WHO-TV Des Moines.
Among women, Obama leads by 20 points; among men, Obama and McCain tie. John McCain leads among Republicans, conservatives, those who attend church regularly, pro-life voters, those focused on terrorism, among the 16% of likely voters who say they may yet change their mind, and in Southwest Iowa. Obama is slightly ahead in Northwest Iowa and leads by double digits in the northeast and southeast portions of the state. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Iowa adults 09/17/08 through 09/18/08. Interviews were conducted during a time of exceptional financial turbulence, coinciding with the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, the federal rescue of AIG insurance company, and immediately following the federal takeover of Fannie Mae. Of the registered voters, 840 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 702 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Iowa has 7 Electoral College votes. George Bush carried Iowa by two-thirds of a point in 2004; Al Gore carried Iowa by one-third of a point in 2000. |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama? |
| 702 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Northeas | Southeas | Southwes | Northwes | |
| McCain (R) | 43% | 49% | 38% | 33% | 47% | 45% | 45% | 41% | 45% | 41% | 44% | 45% | 44% | ** | ** | ** | 87% | 8% | 44% | 81% | 35% | 9% | 46% | 41% | 51% | 35% | 32% | 63% | 25% | 51% | 42% | 41% | ** | 28% | 23% | 93% | ** | ** | ** | 37% | 47% | 38% | 41% | 50% | 48% |
| Obama (D) | 54% | 49% | 58% | 63% | 49% | 52% | 52% | 55% | 52% | 56% | 53% | 52% | 52% | ** | ** | ** | 11% | 89% | 53% | 16% | 63% | 88% | 51% | 56% | 45% | 63% | 65% | 34% | 72% | 38% | 57% | 56% | ** | 69% | 70% | 7% | ** | ** | ** | 60% | 50% | 58% | 55% | 47% | 50% |
| Other | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ** | 0% | 6% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Undecided | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 0% | 2% | ** | 3% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 49% | 51% | 23% | 29% | 27% | 21% | 52% | 48% | 46% | 12% | 42% | 95% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 31% | 39% | 27% | 29% | 40% | 14% | 41% | 59% | 53% | 25% | 22% | 46% | 51% | 16% | 83% | 60% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 42% | 58% | 41% | 20% | 19% | 20% |