| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21572 |
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In GA, 8 Weeks Till Votes Are Counted, Republican Perdue 3 Points Atop Democrat Nunn in Battle for Open US Senate Seat; Gov Race Now Tied; GOP Candidates Still Lead in Contests For Lt Gov, Atty Gen, and Secy of State; School Supt Race Heats Up: Democrat Michelle Nunn has made progress over the past 3 weeks, slicing into Republican David Perdue's previous 9-point lead and trimming that to 3, according to the latest exclusive 11Alive News tracking poll, conducted by SurveyUSA. Perdue led 50% to 41% on 08/18/14, when many voters were still on vacation. Today, with most of Georgia back from summer break, Perdue leads 47% to 44%. The contest has national implications for which party shall control the US Senate in the next Congress. The 08/18/14 poll and today's 09/09/14 poll were conducted identically. Most of the poll-on-poll movement in the Senate race comes from women, who had favored Nunn by 2 points, but now favor Nunn by 12 points. Among moderates, Nunn had led by 19 points, now by 28 points. In greater Atlanta, Nunn had led by 11 points, now by 18. South and East of Atlanta, which includes Columbus, Macon and Savannah, Nunn had trailed by 8, now leads by 3, a gain of 11. Libertarian Amanda Swafford throws a monkey wrench into any political calculus, getting 5% of the vote today. To avoid a runoff, Perdue or Nunn need to get to 50% on 11/04/14. If neither does, a 12/04/14 Top-2 runoff follows. In the contest for Governor of GA, incumbent Republican Nathan Deal has watched a 9-point lead evaporate over the past 3 weeks, and now finds himself running effectively even with Democratic challenger Jason Carter, 45% Deal, 44% Carter. Among voters age 35 to 49, many of whom are just now tuning into the race, Deal led by 23 points in August, now trails by 5, a 28-point left turn. Deal had led by 3 among women, now trails by 10, a 13-point left turn. Carter gains ground among Independents, where he had trailed by 21, now by 14. And Carter gains ground among moderates, where he had led by 16, now by 31. In greater Atlanta, Carter leads by 20 points today, up from 14 points in mid-August. In South and East GA, Carter had trailed by 10, now leads by 2. Complicating the race is Libertarian Andrew Hunt, who today is at 4%. By definition, if either Carter or Deal wins by 1 point, and Hunt gets 4%, there will be a 12/04/14 runoff among the top-2 finishers.
* In the contest for Lieutenant Governor, Republican Casey Cagle led by 16 points in mid-August, today leads by 11. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this WXIA-TV research: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of GA adults 09/05/14 through 09/08/14. Of the adults, 695 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA identified 558 as being likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. In GA, for statewide office, a winning candidate must reach 50% of the vote to avoid a runoff. You must credit WXIA-TV, the Gannett-owned station in Atlanta, if you re-broadcast, cite, or publish these results in whole or part. |
![]() | If the election for Georgia Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Nathan Deal? Democrat Jason Carter? Or Libertarian Andrew Hunt? |
| 558 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
| Nathan Deal (R) | 45% | 50% | 40% | 44% | 42% | 40% | 57% | 43% | 47% | 61% | 14% | 40% | 84% | 8% | 45% | 79% | 27% | 6% | 30% | 66% | 47% | 47% | 43% | 34% | 52% | 44% | 38% | 47% | 35% | 55% | 43% |
| Jason Carter (D) | 44% | 38% | 50% | 37% | 47% | 49% | 37% | 44% | 44% | 27% | 80% | 47% | 6% | 87% | 31% | 11% | 58% | 91% | 64% | 22% | 40% | 37% | 50% | 51% | 40% | 45% | 42% | 45% | 55% | 34% | 45% |
| Andrew Hunt (L) | 4% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% |
| Undecided | 6% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 3% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 27% | 34% | 22% | 43% | 57% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 42% | 36% | 17% | 23% | 35% | 18% | 29% | 53% | 26% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 74% | 31% | 37% | 32% |
![]() | If the election for United States Senator from Georgia were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican David Perdue? Democrat Michelle Nunn? Or Libertarian Amanda Swafford? |
| 558 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
| David Perdue (R) | 47% | 55% | 40% | 47% | 41% | 43% | 61% | 43% | 50% | 64% | 13% | 49% | 88% | 7% | 51% | 82% | 31% | 6% | 27% | 72% | 46% | 50% | 45% | 37% | 52% | 48% | 39% | 50% | 38% | 59% | 44% |
| Michelle Nunn (D) | 44% | 36% | 52% | 43% | 45% | 50% | 35% | 44% | 44% | 26% | 82% | 45% | 7% | 88% | 29% | 11% | 59% | 91% | 65% | 22% | 38% | 41% | 49% | 51% | 42% | 45% | 46% | 44% | 56% | 32% | 47% |
| Amanda Swafford (L) | 5% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 2% |
| Undecided | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 27% | 34% | 22% | 43% | 57% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 42% | 36% | 17% | 23% | 35% | 18% | 29% | 53% | 26% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 74% | 31% | 37% | 32% |
![]() | Georgia will also elect a Lieutenant Governor. If the election for Lieuenant Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Casey Cagle? Or Democrat Connie Stokes? |
| 558 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
| Casey Cagle (R) | 51% | 60% | 43% | 49% | 49% | 47% | 61% | 49% | 52% | 69% | 14% | 55% | 92% | 8% | 60% | 86% | 35% | 8% | 36% | 74% | 53% | 52% | 49% | 40% | 56% | 52% | 46% | 53% | 38% | 64% | 49% |
| Connie Stokes (D) | 40% | 32% | 47% | 43% | 37% | 45% | 34% | 39% | 40% | 22% | 75% | 45% | 4% | 82% | 23% | 10% | 53% | 81% | 53% | 20% | 36% | 36% | 44% | 44% | 38% | 41% | 42% | 39% | 55% | 31% | 35% |
| Undecided | 9% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 4% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 5% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 17% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 16% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 27% | 34% | 22% | 43% | 57% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 42% | 36% | 17% | 23% | 35% | 18% | 29% | 53% | 26% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 74% | 31% | 37% | 32% |
![]() | Georgia will also elect a Secretary of State. If the election for Secretary of State were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Brian Kemp? Or Democrat Doreen Carter? |
| 558 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
| Brian Kemp (R) | 52% | 58% | 46% | 49% | 46% | 51% | 62% | 47% | 55% | 69% | 14% | 56% | 93% | 8% | 61% | 88% | 34% | 11% | 35% | 77% | 51% | 53% | 50% | 39% | 58% | 54% | 43% | 55% | 42% | 64% | 48% |
| Doreen Carter (D) | 39% | 34% | 44% | 43% | 37% | 42% | 34% | 39% | 39% | 20% | 76% | 44% | 3% | 83% | 20% | 10% | 52% | 77% | 53% | 18% | 36% | 37% | 41% | 44% | 38% | 38% | 44% | 37% | 51% | 29% | 39% |
| Undecided | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 18% | 6% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 0% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 3% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 5% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 17% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 13% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 27% | 34% | 22% | 43% | 57% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 42% | 36% | 17% | 23% | 35% | 18% | 29% | 53% | 26% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 74% | 31% | 37% | 32% |
![]() | Georgia will also elect an Attorney General. If the election for Attorney General were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Sam Olens? Or Democrat Greg Hecht? |
| 558 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
| Sam Olens (R) | 49% | 57% | 41% | 48% | 46% | 46% | 58% | 47% | 51% | 65% | 14% | 56% | 88% | 9% | 56% | 84% | 31% | 10% | 34% | 72% | 45% | 49% | 49% | 36% | 54% | 52% | 44% | 51% | 39% | 59% | 47% |
| Greg Hecht (D) | 41% | 35% | 47% | 44% | 40% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 41% | 23% | 79% | 44% | 5% | 84% | 25% | 12% | 55% | 80% | 55% | 22% | 41% | 39% | 43% | 48% | 41% | 40% | 44% | 40% | 53% | 33% | 38% |
| Undecided | 10% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 18% | 4% | 14% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 16% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 14% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 27% | 34% | 22% | 43% | 57% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 42% | 36% | 17% | 23% | 35% | 18% | 29% | 53% | 26% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 74% | 31% | 37% | 32% |
| 558 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
| Richard Woods (R) | 47% | 54% | 40% | 45% | 46% | 42% | 57% | 46% | 48% | 62% | 14% | 50% | 88% | 6% | 51% | 79% | 32% | 8% | 28% | 71% | 45% | 50% | 46% | 33% | 53% | 49% | 43% | 48% | 39% | 58% | 42% |
| Valarie Wilson (D) | 43% | 37% | 49% | 47% | 40% | 49% | 37% | 42% | 44% | 26% | 77% | 50% | 6% | 85% | 31% | 16% | 57% | 79% | 61% | 21% | 43% | 37% | 47% | 49% | 40% | 45% | 43% | 44% | 54% | 35% | 43% |
| Undecided | 10% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 5% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 15% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 27% | 34% | 22% | 43% | 57% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 42% | 36% | 17% | 23% | 35% | 18% | 29% | 53% | 26% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 74% | 31% | 37% | 32% |
![]() | In general, do you support or oppose the school standards known as "Common Core?" Or, do you not know enough to say? |
| 558 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Common Core | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Support | Oppose | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
| Support | 23% | 26% | 20% | 46% | 21% | 21% | 12% | 30% | 17% | 20% | 26% | 35% | 14% | 32% | 22% | 16% | 27% | 41% | 100% | 0% | 8% | 16% | 32% | 16% | 23% | 31% | 44% | 16% | 30% | 14% | 27% |
| Oppose | 35% | 39% | 32% | 34% | 38% | 35% | 34% | 37% | 34% | 43% | 18% | 48% | 48% | 17% | 46% | 53% | 24% | 15% | 0% | 100% | 34% | 33% | 37% | 24% | 40% | 37% | 25% | 39% | 27% | 45% | 33% |
| Do Not Know Enough To Say | 42% | 35% | 48% | 20% | 41% | 45% | 54% | 33% | 48% | 37% | 56% | 17% | 38% | 51% | 32% | 31% | 49% | 44% | 0% | 0% | 58% | 51% | 31% | 60% | 37% | 32% | 31% | 45% | 43% | 42% | 40% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 27% | 34% | 22% | 43% | 57% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 42% | 36% | 17% | 23% | 35% | 18% | 29% | 53% | 26% | 38% | 36% | 26% | 74% | 31% | 37% | 32% |