Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16801 |
In MN-06, High-Profile Michele Bachmann Narrowly Atop DFL Challenger, 4 Months To Election:
In an election for United States Representative from Minnesota's 6th Congressional District today, 07/12/10, men and younger voters re-elect incumbent Republican Michele Bachmann to a 3rd term, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis-St. Paul.
Bachmann and DFL State Senator Tarryl Clark are tied among voters age 50+. But when voters of all ages are combined, including the youngest voters, Bachmann leads 48% to 39%. There is a striking 33-point Gender Gap. Bachmann, a woman, leads by 25 points among male likely voters. Clark, a woman, leads by 8 points among female likely voters. Of those who support the Tea Party movement, 86% back Bachmann. Of those who oppose the Tea Party movement, 82% back Clark. |
Filtering: 800 registered voters from Minnesota's 6th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 07/09/10 through 07/11/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 565 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives. |
565 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | Tea Party | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Support | Oppose | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
Michele Bachmann (R) | 48% | 56% | 39% | 54% | 53% | 41% | 50% | 53% | 44% | 47% | ** | ** | ** | 86% | 8% | 46% | 82% | 29% | 17% | 92% | 8% | 43% | 33% | 86% | 8% | 49% | 49% | 56% | 41% | 41% | 74% | 26% | 53% | 40% | 48% | 48% |
Tarryl Clark (DFL) | 39% | 31% | 47% | 27% | 36% | 45% | 41% | 33% | 43% | 41% | ** | ** | ** | 9% | 84% | 31% | 10% | 56% | 74% | 4% | 81% | 34% | 49% | 7% | 82% | 40% | 37% | 33% | 45% | 47% | 17% | 58% | 36% | 46% | 38% | 40% |
Bob Anderson (IP) | 6% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
Aubrey Immelman (I) | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
Undecided | 5% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 4% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 54% | 46% | 13% | 34% | 36% | 17% | 47% | 53% | 92% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 36% | 28% | 31% | 40% | 43% | 13% | 36% | 30% | 22% | 11% | 45% | 33% | 55% | 45% | 51% | 28% | 21% | 46% | 49% | 57% | 38% | 27% | 73% |