| Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #19029 |
|
New Jersey Approval Ratings as of 02/27/12:
President Barack Obama: Plus 2. Head-to-Head General Election Match-Ups in New Jersey:
Obama + 14 Over Mitt Romney.
Menendez + 15 over Joe Kyrillos. Cell phones and home phones included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 600 adults from the state of New Jersey 02/24/12 through 02/26/12, exclusively for WABC-TV New York City. Of the adults, 533 were registered to vote, and were asked the questions that follow. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (72% of registered voters) were interviewed on a home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents unreachable on a home telephone (28% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, laptop or other electronic device. |
| 1 | Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? |
| 533 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | N NJ | Central | S NJ | |
| Approve | 48% | 43% | 53% | 53% | 47% | 49% | 44% | 49% | 47% | 41% | 82% | 44% | 54% | 47% | 49% | 24% | 78% | 32% | ** | 50% | 32% | 49% | 63% | 49% | 49% | 47% | 56% | 47% | 45% | 45% | 51% | 49% |
| Disapprove | 46% | 52% | 40% | 40% | 50% | 46% | 48% | 46% | 47% | 52% | 16% | 54% | 39% | 46% | 46% | 72% | 18% | 63% | ** | 44% | 66% | 45% | 26% | 43% | 46% | 48% | 35% | 45% | 51% | 52% | 41% | 44% |
| Not Sure | 6% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ** | 6% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 6% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 62% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 28% | 72% | 26% | 41% | 30% | 4% | 93% | 24% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 18% | 30% | 52% | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| 2 | Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as Governor? |
| 533 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | N NJ | Central | S NJ | |
| Approve | 46% | 57% | 36% | 32% | 46% | 49% | 62% | 40% | 54% | 52% | 23% | 38% | 58% | 35% | 51% | 67% | 24% | 60% | ** | 44% | 64% | 52% | 21% | 40% | 48% | 47% | 38% | 50% | 46% | 39% | 49% | 53% |
| Disapprove | 47% | 36% | 57% | 55% | 49% | 46% | 33% | 51% | 41% | 41% | 72% | 57% | 28% | 50% | 46% | 28% | 70% | 33% | ** | 48% | 33% | 41% | 66% | 54% | 46% | 45% | 58% | 38% | 48% | 55% | 46% | 38% |
| Not Sure | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | ** | 7% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 9% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 62% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 28% | 72% | 26% | 41% | 30% | 4% | 93% | 24% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 18% | 30% | 52% | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| 3 | Do you approve or disapprove of the job Frank Lautenberg is doing as United States Senator? |
| 533 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | N NJ | Central | S NJ | |
| Approve | 37% | 32% | 42% | 26% | 31% | 43% | 53% | 29% | 47% | 40% | 28% | 38% | 27% | 28% | 41% | 34% | 50% | 24% | ** | 38% | 25% | 42% | 45% | 43% | 39% | 33% | 46% | 40% | 31% | 38% | 40% | 32% |
| Disapprove | 37% | 45% | 30% | 26% | 40% | 45% | 36% | 34% | 42% | 36% | 41% | 36% | 43% | 21% | 44% | 43% | 22% | 54% | ** | 36% | 57% | 33% | 22% | 23% | 38% | 42% | 18% | 31% | 48% | 35% | 36% | 43% |
| Not Sure | 26% | 22% | 28% | 48% | 29% | 12% | 10% | 37% | 11% | 24% | 30% | 26% | 30% | 52% | 15% | 23% | 28% | 22% | ** | 25% | 18% | 26% | 32% | 35% | 23% | 24% | 36% | 29% | 21% | 27% | 24% | 25% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 62% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 28% | 72% | 26% | 41% | 30% | 4% | 93% | 24% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 18% | 30% | 52% | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| 4 | Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bob Menendez is doing as United States Senator? |
| 533 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | N NJ | Central | S NJ | |
| Approve | 36% | 41% | 32% | 27% | 34% | 45% | 41% | 31% | 43% | 36% | 36% | 47% | 17% | 26% | 40% | 36% | 40% | 30% | ** | 37% | 38% | 37% | 37% | 46% | 39% | 31% | 37% | 38% | 34% | 35% | 33% | 41% |
| Disapprove | 37% | 37% | 36% | 27% | 35% | 44% | 42% | 32% | 43% | 37% | 33% | 29% | 56% | 25% | 41% | 41% | 29% | 46% | ** | 36% | 45% | 36% | 27% | 21% | 35% | 43% | 26% | 32% | 44% | 38% | 39% | 33% |
| Not Sure | 27% | 22% | 31% | 46% | 31% | 12% | 17% | 37% | 14% | 27% | 31% | 24% | 27% | 49% | 18% | 23% | 30% | 24% | ** | 27% | 17% | 27% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 26% | 37% | 30% | 22% | 26% | 28% | 26% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 62% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 28% | 72% | 26% | 41% | 30% | 4% | 93% | 24% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 18% | 30% | 52% | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| 5 | In a general election for President today, if the only two candidates on the ballot were Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for? |
| 533 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | N NJ | Central | S NJ | |
| Barack Obama (D) | 52% | 48% | 56% | 60% | 48% | 53% | 47% | 53% | 51% | 47% | 85% | 45% | 49% | 52% | 52% | 26% | 82% | 36% | ** | 54% | 34% | 53% | 72% | 48% | 53% | 52% | 59% | 50% | 51% | 50% | 56% | 51% |
| Mitt Romney (R) | 38% | 43% | 33% | 30% | 43% | 36% | 41% | 37% | 38% | 42% | 14% | 38% | 43% | 35% | 39% | 64% | 13% | 48% | ** | 36% | 53% | 37% | 21% | 38% | 33% | 41% | 30% | 39% | 41% | 42% | 36% | 34% |
| Undecided | 10% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 1% | 16% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 16% | ** | 10% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 15% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 62% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 28% | 72% | 26% | 41% | 30% | 4% | 93% | 24% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 18% | 30% | 52% | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| 6 | In a general election for President today, if the only two candidates on the ballot were Barack Obama and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for? |
| 533 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | N NJ | Central | S NJ | |
| Barack Obama (D) | 57% | 52% | 62% | 66% | 57% | 55% | 50% | 61% | 53% | 50% | 86% | 61% | 55% | 63% | 55% | 36% | 85% | 38% | ** | 58% | 33% | 59% | 83% | 49% | 54% | 62% | 69% | 55% | 54% | 61% | 59% | 50% |
| Rick Santorum (R) | 33% | 38% | 27% | 22% | 34% | 35% | 40% | 29% | 37% | 39% | 11% | 24% | 36% | 23% | 36% | 55% | 10% | 44% | ** | 32% | 52% | 32% | 10% | 39% | 32% | 31% | 25% | 35% | 35% | 31% | 31% | 36% |
| Undecided | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 4% | 18% | ** | 10% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 14% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 62% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 28% | 72% | 26% | 41% | 30% | 4% | 93% | 24% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 18% | 30% | 52% | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| 7 | What if it were Barack Obama and Ron Paul? |
| 533 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | N NJ | Central | S NJ | |
| Barack Obama (D) | 56% | 51% | 61% | 53% | 58% | 60% | 52% | 56% | 57% | 50% | 84% | 55% | 59% | 56% | 57% | 30% | 86% | 39% | ** | 58% | 40% | 58% | 75% | 59% | 55% | 56% | 63% | 53% | 55% | 58% | 61% | 48% |
| Ron Paul (R) | 31% | 42% | 21% | 31% | 33% | 29% | 31% | 32% | 29% | 34% | 13% | 34% | 31% | 27% | 32% | 53% | 5% | 48% | ** | 30% | 47% | 30% | 13% | 23% | 32% | 33% | 23% | 33% | 33% | 30% | 26% | 37% |
| Undecided | 13% | 8% | 18% | 16% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 11% | 17% | 11% | 18% | 9% | 13% | ** | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 15% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 62% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 28% | 72% | 26% | 41% | 30% | 4% | 93% | 24% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 18% | 30% | 52% | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| 8 | What if it were Barack Obama and Newt Gingrich? |
| 533 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | N NJ | Central | S NJ | |
| Barack Obama (D) | 61% | 56% | 65% | 64% | 62% | 60% | 56% | 63% | 58% | 56% | 86% | 60% | 58% | 63% | 60% | 35% | 88% | 48% | ** | 63% | 42% | 62% | 83% | 60% | 61% | 61% | 69% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 64% | 59% |
| Newt Gingrich (R) | 27% | 33% | 21% | 23% | 26% | 29% | 30% | 25% | 29% | 32% | 10% | 21% | 29% | 22% | 29% | 54% | 5% | 33% | ** | 25% | 41% | 27% | 10% | 27% | 23% | 30% | 22% | 32% | 26% | 26% | 28% | 27% |
| Undecided | 12% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 19% | ** | 12% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 15% | 14% | 9% | 14% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 62% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 28% | 72% | 26% | 41% | 30% | 4% | 93% | 24% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 18% | 30% | 52% | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| 9 | In a general election for United States Senator from New Jersey today, if the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Bob Menendez and Republican Joe Kyrillos, who would you vote for? |
| 533 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | N NJ | Central | S NJ | |
| Bob Menendez (D) | 46% | 42% | 51% | 38% | 48% | 49% | 49% | 44% | 49% | 40% | 70% | 52% | 48% | 39% | 49% | 26% | 74% | 28% | ** | 48% | 31% | 48% | 63% | 51% | 50% | 42% | 45% | 49% | 45% | 46% | 48% | 46% |
| Joe Kyrillos (R) | 31% | 38% | 23% | 19% | 30% | 38% | 36% | 25% | 37% | 37% | 15% | 16% | 34% | 17% | 36% | 51% | 7% | 45% | ** | 29% | 54% | 27% | 9% | 25% | 29% | 34% | 24% | 27% | 35% | 27% | 31% | 36% |
| Undecided | 23% | 20% | 26% | 43% | 22% | 13% | 14% | 31% | 13% | 23% | 15% | 32% | 18% | 44% | 15% | 23% | 19% | 27% | ** | 23% | 15% | 25% | 29% | 24% | 22% | 24% | 30% | 24% | 20% | 28% | 22% | 19% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 62% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 28% | 72% | 26% | 41% | 30% | 4% | 93% | 24% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 18% | 30% | 52% | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| 10 | In a general election for United States Senator from New Jersey today, if the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Bob Menendez and Republican Anna Little, who would you vote for? |
| 533 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | N NJ | Central | S NJ | |
| Bob Menendez (D) | 48% | 43% | 53% | 38% | 50% | 53% | 49% | 45% | 52% | 43% | 67% | 53% | 47% | 40% | 51% | 28% | 75% | 30% | ** | 50% | 35% | 49% | 65% | 51% | 51% | 45% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 47% | 50% | 48% |
| Anna Little (R) | 29% | 36% | 22% | 23% | 27% | 34% | 33% | 25% | 34% | 34% | 16% | 19% | 35% | 18% | 33% | 49% | 6% | 44% | ** | 27% | 46% | 26% | 12% | 24% | 28% | 31% | 22% | 28% | 32% | 25% | 27% | 36% |
| Undecided | 23% | 21% | 25% | 39% | 22% | 13% | 18% | 30% | 15% | 23% | 17% | 28% | 18% | 42% | 16% | 24% | 19% | 26% | ** | 23% | 18% | 25% | 23% | 24% | 21% | 24% | 31% | 23% | 20% | 28% | 23% | 16% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 17% | 55% | 45% | 62% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 28% | 72% | 26% | 41% | 30% | 4% | 93% | 24% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 18% | 30% | 52% | 39% | 31% | 29% |