Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25498 |
9 Weeks Till Votes Are Counted in City of San Diego, Mayor is Jump Ball, with Latino Vote Key; Incumbent Elliott Has Edge For City Attorney; Measure B Likely to Pass; Measure C Favored; Measures A and E Too-Close-To-Call; Faulconer Goes Out On Top with Plus 32 Net Favorability: 5 weeks till voting begins in the election for Mayor of the city of San Diego, 52% of likely voters have no strong feeling either way about candidate Barbara Bry and 44% have no strong feeling either way about candidate Todd Gloria, according to fresh SurveyUSA opinion research conducted exclusively for KGTV-TV and the Union Tribune. 29% of likely voters tell SurveyUSA they are undecided at this hour. But among voters with a preference, the contest stands: * Bry 37%. * Gloria 34%. Though the election is non-partisan, both candidates are Democrats. Both have a Plus 20 Net Favorability Rating. * 34% of registered voters view Bry favorably, 14% unfavorably, 33% are neutral, 19% have no opinion. * 38% of registered voters view Gloria favorably, 18% unfavorably, 30% are neutral, 14% have no opinion. Bry and Gloria are tied among white voters, 35% each. Bry and Gloria are effectively even among Asian voters, 37% for Bry, 36% for Gloria. But Bry leads 5:3 among the city's Latino and Hispanic voters and their vote may make the difference. Bry's support is older than Gloria's. The older the electorate, the better Bry will do. The younger the electorate, the better Gloria will do. Bry leads by 7 points among voters age 50+; the contest is tied among voters age 49 or younger. Gloria can take comfort in the fact that among voters who plan to vote by mail, he has the slightest advantage, 38% to 36%. But among voters who plan to vote in person, Bry leads by 17 points. Of those who back incumbent Republican President Donald Trump, Bry leads by 10 points, 37% to 27%. Of those who back Democratic challenger Joe Biden for President, Bry and Gloria run effectively even, 38% for Bry, 37% for Gloria. Of those who approve of the job that outgoing Mayor Kevin Faulconer is doing, the contest for Mayor is effectively even, Gloria 38%, Bry 37%. Of those who disapprove of the job Faulconer is doing, Bry leads by 17 points. In the contest for City Attorney of San Diego, 1st-term incumbent Mara Elliott has a narrow advantage over challenger Cory Briggs, 30% to 20. With 50% of likely voters today undecided, the contest could go either way. Elliott leads 2:1 among seniors age 65+. The older the electorate, the more likely she will be re-elected. Briggs leads by a nominal 3 points among voters determined to cast their ballot on Election Day. Elliott leads by double digits among voters who plan to return a ballot early. Measure A, which would increase property taxes to raise money for affordable housing, has an ever-so-slight advantage at this hour, 36% in favor, 32% opposed. Because Measure A needs a "super-majority" of 66.67% of the popular vote to pass, the measure is too close to call at this hour. But the odds are against it. Measure E, which would change the existing height limit in the Midway-Pacific-Highway Community Plan Area, is also too-close-to-call, 31% in favor, 29% opposed. Measure E needs a simple majority to pass. Measure B, which would create a citizen's board to review actions taken by police officers, is certain to pass. At this hour, 55% are in favor, 19% opposed. Measure C, which would change how school board members run for office, from at-large to district-by-district, is likely to pass. At this hour, 39% favor, 12% oppose. In general, having nothing to do with the city of San Diego, with 2020 or with these particular topics, opposition to ballot measures tens to increase as Election Day approaches. Typically, support for a ballot measure peaks early and then erodes. It is unclear if 2020 will behave like a typical election year, given the pandemic and larger number of early voters. San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer leaves office after 8 years with an exceptionally strong Plus 32 Net Favorability Rating. 57% of registered voters citywide approve of the job that Faulconer is doing, 25% disapprove. About: SurveyUSA interviewed 600 adults from the city of San Diego 08/28/2020 through 08/31/2020. Of the adults, 534 are registered to vote in the state of California. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA judged 517 likely to return a ballot on or before the Election Day deadline. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (47% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (53% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, laptop, desktop computer or other electronic device. Early voting begins 10/05/2020, 5 weeks from today. |
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600 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
Yes | 89% | 91% | 87% | 76% | 87% | 94% | 99% | 82% | 97% | 90% | 88% | 85% | 96% | 96% | 84% | 99% | 97% | 88% | 93% | 92% | 97% | 88% | 93% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 78% | 89% | 92% | 79% | 92% | 92% | 96% | 82% | 89% | 91% | 82% | 98% |
No | 10% | 7% | 13% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 0% | 17% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20% | 10% | 8% | 19% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 16% | 2% |
Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 27% | 20% | 29% | 51% | 49% | 69% | 20% | 9% | 29% | 45% | 20% | 9% | 18% | 34% | 22% | 11% | 27% | 34% | 33% | 86% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 57% | 25% | 14% | 30% | 55% | 26% | 34% | 40% | 47% | 53% | 51% | 46% | 59% | 41% |
![]() | Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job Kevin Faulconer is doing as Mayor of San Diego? |
534 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
Approve | 57% | 61% | 53% | 46% | 66% | 57% | 57% | 57% | 57% | 58% | 60% | 50% | 66% | 55% | 48% | 67% | 66% | 62% | 49% | 39% | 66% | 62% | 45% | 58% | 53% | 59% | 54% | 53% | 65% | 58% | 68% | 58% | 60% | 55% | 100% | 0% | 56% | 57% | 58% | 68% | 53% | 56% | 62% | 53% | 60% | 55% | 58% | 56% |
Disapprove | 25% | 26% | 24% | 27% | 16% | 26% | 29% | 21% | 28% | 25% | 26% | 16% | 21% | 25% | 32% | 23% | 20% | 27% | 22% | 35% | 21% | 27% | 27% | 26% | 17% | 25% | 37% | 23% | 19% | 28% | 21% | 32% | 28% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 18% | 26% | 24% | 17% | 23% | 28% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 18% | 33% |
Not Sure | 18% | 13% | 23% | 28% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 22% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 34% | 13% | 20% | 20% | 10% | 14% | 11% | 29% | 26% | 13% | 11% | 28% | 16% | 31% | 16% | 9% | 24% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 24% | 16% | 13% | 23% | 15% | 23% | 24% | 11% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 21% | 26% | 21% | 32% | 47% | 53% | 70% | 19% | 9% | 31% | 49% | 19% | 10% | 19% | 33% | 23% | 12% | 30% | 33% | 35% | 86% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 57% | 25% | 12% | 30% | 57% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 51% | 49% | 51% | 47% | 54% | 46% |
![]() | Is your opinion of Todd Gloria extremely favorable? Favorable? Neutral? Unfavorable? Extremely unfavorable? Or, do you have no opinion of him? |
534 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
Extremely Favorable | 13% | 13% | 14% | 2% | 17% | 13% | 18% | 10% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 9% | 25% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 32% | 6% | 18% | 20% | 5% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 12% | 16% | 13% | 17% | 10% | 17% | 10% | 11% | 16% |
Favorable | 25% | 27% | 22% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | 21% | 23% | 12% | 35% | 20% | 8% | 14% | 31% | 29% | 32% | 12% | 31% | 30% | 26% | 21% | 26% | 36% | 18% | 33% | 26% | 31% | 23% | 14% | 33% | 30% | 19% | 14% | 26% | 26% | 28% | 20% | 27% | 24% | 26% | 28% | 22% | 27% | 22% |
Neutral | 30% | 27% | 33% | 45% | 29% | 20% | 28% | 36% | 25% | 31% | 31% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 35% | 20% | 28% | 39% | 31% | 18% | 26% | 39% | 27% | 29% | 34% | 30% | 30% | 25% | 29% | 26% | 33% | 34% | 32% | 28% | 32% | 32% | 30% | 31% | 29% | 26% | 39% | 23% | 25% | 33% | 31% | 29% | 31% | 28% |
Unfavorable | 11% | 9% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 24% | 12% | 4% | 17% | 9% | 16% | 13% | 19% | 5% | 12% | 8% | 27% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 21% | 8% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 24% | 1% | 18% | 8% | 8% | 20% | 5% | 7% | 17% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 15% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 7% | 15% |
Extremely Unfavorable | 7% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 2% | 7% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 15% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 1% | 14% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 12% |
No Opinion | 14% | 14% | 15% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 8% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 16% | 27% | 14% | 7% | 20% | 11% | 28% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 8% | 12% | 33% | 14% | 11% | 22% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 22% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 7% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 21% | 26% | 21% | 32% | 47% | 53% | 70% | 19% | 9% | 31% | 49% | 19% | 10% | 19% | 33% | 23% | 12% | 30% | 33% | 35% | 86% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 57% | 25% | 12% | 30% | 57% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 51% | 49% | 51% | 47% | 54% | 46% |
![]() | What is your opinion of Barbara Bry? |
534 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
Extremely Favorable | 11% | 10% | 12% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 17% | 7% | 15% | 11% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 22% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 3% | 11% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 23% | 18% | 21% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 16% |
Favorable | 23% | 26% | 21% | 24% | 19% | 34% | 19% | 22% | 25% | 26% | 19% | 16% | 21% | 28% | 19% | 17% | 25% | 24% | 22% | 33% | 22% | 24% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 24% | 28% | 25% | 19% | 38% | 28% | 35% | 20% | 28% | 28% | 17% | 24% | 20% | 25% | 21% | 30% | 21% | 22% | 26% | 27% | 21% | 25% | 22% |
Neutral | 33% | 31% | 34% | 35% | 29% | 30% | 37% | 31% | 34% | 35% | 23% | 32% | 30% | 34% | 33% | 25% | 32% | 40% | 35% | 16% | 30% | 40% | 28% | 33% | 32% | 34% | 26% | 31% | 40% | 24% | 34% | 25% | 35% | 31% | 34% | 31% | 20% | 33% | 36% | 27% | 38% | 32% | 36% | 30% | 30% | 36% | 32% | 34% |
Unfavorable | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 15% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 17% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 12% |
Extremely Unfavorable | 4% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
No Opinion | 19% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 27% | 13% | 14% | 25% | 14% | 15% | 30% | 29% | 18% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 24% | 28% | 22% | 9% | 25% | 16% | 31% | 19% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 15% | 19% | 15% | 15% | 31% | 24% | 14% | 35% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 25% | 18% | 21% | 25% | 12% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 21% | 26% | 21% | 32% | 47% | 53% | 70% | 19% | 9% | 31% | 49% | 19% | 10% | 19% | 33% | 23% | 12% | 30% | 33% | 35% | 86% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 57% | 25% | 12% | 30% | 57% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 51% | 49% | 51% | 47% | 54% | 46% |
![]() | San Diego voters will elect a mayor and city attorney on November 3. Are you absolutely certain you will vote in the November election? Likely to vote? Or unlikely to vote? |
534 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
Certain | 86% | 87% | 86% | 66% | 80% | 94% | 99% | 74% | 97% | 89% | 80% | 77% | 95% | 83% | 80% | 94% | 88% | 84% | 87% | 84% | 90% | 84% | 86% | 100% | 0% | 90% | 84% | 89% | 90% | 88% | 87% | 87% | 90% | 88% | 88% | 91% | 73% | 85% | 89% | 79% | 85% | 90% | 92% | 80% | 86% | 85% | 77% | 97% |
Likely | 11% | 10% | 11% | 26% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 19% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 0% | 100% | 10% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 24% | 10% | 8% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 16% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 2% |
Unlikely | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 0% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 21% | 26% | 21% | 32% | 47% | 53% | 70% | 19% | 9% | 31% | 49% | 19% | 10% | 19% | 33% | 23% | 12% | 30% | 33% | 35% | 86% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 57% | 25% | 12% | 30% | 57% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 51% | 49% | 51% | 47% | 54% | 46% |
![]() | How will you cast your ballot this year? By mail? In person before election day? Or in person on election day? |
517 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
By Mail | 60% | 58% | 62% | 53% | 57% | 58% | 68% | 55% | 64% | 63% | 49% | 59% | 54% | 63% | 63% | 52% | 46% | 60% | 71% | 64% | 48% | 60% | 69% | 61% | 53% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 68% | 58% | 59% | 55% | 46% | 68% | 62% | 59% | 60% | 65% | 58% | 67% | 55% | 61% | 58% | 62% | 59% | 61% | 56% | 65% |
In Person Before Election Day | 14% | 14% | 13% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 27% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 20% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 18% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% |
In Person On Election Day | 21% | 25% | 17% | 21% | 20% | 26% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 27% | 31% | 15% | 19% | 27% | 33% | 20% | 11% | 19% | 31% | 20% | 14% | 21% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16% | 24% | 18% | 30% | 37% | 11% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 25% | 18% | 25% | 18% | 21% | 21% |
Not Sure | 5% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 20% | 26% | 21% | 33% | 45% | 55% | 71% | 18% | 8% | 32% | 49% | 18% | 10% | 19% | 34% | 23% | 11% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 89% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 58% | 25% | 12% | 30% | 58% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 51% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 53% | 47% |
![]() | If the November election for San Diego Mayor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Todd Gloria? Or Barbara Bry? |
517 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
Todd Gloria | 34% | 33% | 34% | 24% | 39% | 30% | 39% | 32% | 35% | 35% | 27% | 36% | 28% | 37% | 33% | 28% | 16% | 39% | 45% | 28% | 20% | 39% | 40% | 34% | 29% | 38% | 31% | 25% | 100% | 0% | 40% | 39% | 27% | 37% | 38% | 25% | 29% | 27% | 39% | 31% | 37% | 34% | 37% | 31% | 40% | 26% | 30% | 38% |
Barbara Bry | 37% | 38% | 37% | 36% | 28% | 47% | 39% | 32% | 42% | 35% | 46% | 37% | 38% | 38% | 35% | 43% | 43% | 37% | 29% | 41% | 43% | 37% | 33% | 37% | 39% | 36% | 48% | 42% | 0% | 100% | 48% | 50% | 37% | 38% | 37% | 42% | 30% | 41% | 36% | 38% | 38% | 35% | 39% | 34% | 38% | 37% | 33% | 42% |
Undecided | 29% | 29% | 29% | 40% | 33% | 24% | 22% | 36% | 23% | 29% | 27% | 27% | 33% | 25% | 31% | 30% | 41% | 24% | 26% | 30% | 37% | 24% | 27% | 29% | 31% | 26% | 22% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 10% | 36% | 25% | 24% | 33% | 41% | 32% | 25% | 32% | 25% | 31% | 23% | 35% | 22% | 37% | 37% | 20% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 20% | 26% | 21% | 33% | 45% | 55% | 71% | 18% | 8% | 32% | 49% | 18% | 10% | 19% | 34% | 23% | 11% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 89% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 58% | 25% | 12% | 30% | 58% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 51% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 53% | 47% |
![]() | If the November election for San Diego City Attorney were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Mara Elliott? Or Cory Briggs? |
517 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
Mara Elliott | 30% | 32% | 27% | 31% | 28% | 25% | 33% | 29% | 30% | 29% | 30% | 30% | 27% | 33% | 24% | 33% | 15% | 40% | 25% | 31% | 21% | 40% | 27% | 29% | 35% | 29% | 37% | 26% | 35% | 38% | 100% | 0% | 26% | 31% | 35% | 25% | 27% | 30% | 30% | 22% | 38% | 27% | 33% | 26% | 35% | 25% | 25% | 35% |
Cory Briggs | 20% | 27% | 14% | 23% | 14% | 32% | 17% | 18% | 23% | 21% | 24% | 8% | 23% | 18% | 22% | 24% | 28% | 17% | 16% | 23% | 27% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 23% | 29% | 24% | 28% | 0% | 100% | 23% | 19% | 21% | 26% | 21% | 17% | 21% | 18% | 17% | 24% | 21% | 19% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 20% |
Undecided | 50% | 41% | 59% | 46% | 58% | 43% | 51% | 53% | 48% | 49% | 47% | 62% | 50% | 49% | 54% | 43% | 57% | 42% | 59% | 47% | 52% | 42% | 55% | 51% | 41% | 52% | 40% | 45% | 41% | 34% | 0% | 0% | 51% | 50% | 45% | 49% | 52% | 53% | 49% | 59% | 45% | 50% | 46% | 55% | 46% | 54% | 54% | 45% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 20% | 26% | 21% | 33% | 45% | 55% | 71% | 18% | 8% | 32% | 49% | 18% | 10% | 19% | 34% | 23% | 11% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 89% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 58% | 25% | 12% | 30% | 58% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 51% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 53% | 47% |
![]() | If the November election for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Joe biden? Or some other candidate? |
517 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
Republican Donald Trump | 36% | 37% | 34% | 31% | 34% | 48% | 31% | 33% | 38% | 35% | 43% | 26% | 87% | 5% | 30% | 86% | 69% | 34% | 5% | 5% | 75% | 34% | 5% | 36% | 32% | 27% | 38% | 64% | 28% | 35% | 31% | 40% | 100% | 0% | 37% | 39% | 43% | 32% | 36% | 23% | 37% | 41% | 42% | 28% | 33% | 38% | 34% | 37% |
Democrat Joe Biden | 60% | 59% | 61% | 65% | 63% | 44% | 67% | 64% | 58% | 60% | 55% | 67% | 9% | 94% | 59% | 10% | 29% | 59% | 93% | 91% | 22% | 59% | 92% | 59% | 68% | 69% | 56% | 33% | 66% | 61% | 63% | 55% | 0% | 100% | 58% | 59% | 56% | 60% | 61% | 70% | 59% | 57% | 55% | 66% | 63% | 58% | 61% | 60% |
Some Other Candidate | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
Undecided | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 20% | 26% | 21% | 33% | 45% | 55% | 71% | 18% | 8% | 32% | 49% | 18% | 10% | 19% | 34% | 23% | 11% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 89% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 58% | 25% | 12% | 30% | 58% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 51% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 53% | 47% |
517 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
Yes | 36% | 40% | 33% | 66% | 40% | 28% | 21% | 51% | 24% | 38% | 33% | 28% | 27% | 46% | 27% | 42% | 18% | 31% | 50% | 57% | 27% | 31% | 52% | 34% | 55% | 34% | 52% | 36% | 42% | 39% | 43% | 54% | 29% | 41% | 38% | 33% | 38% | 33% | 38% | 44% | 41% | 32% | 28% | 48% | 46% | 29% | 53% | 18% |
No | 32% | 32% | 31% | 16% | 29% | 43% | 35% | 23% | 38% | 29% | 40% | 37% | 51% | 19% | 32% | 40% | 53% | 37% | 11% | 14% | 49% | 37% | 12% | 34% | 14% | 29% | 26% | 43% | 16% | 38% | 24% | 32% | 53% | 19% | 31% | 37% | 27% | 33% | 31% | 22% | 23% | 41% | 40% | 20% | 23% | 38% | 24% | 41% |
Not Certain | 32% | 29% | 35% | 18% | 31% | 29% | 43% | 25% | 38% | 33% | 28% | 34% | 22% | 36% | 40% | 18% | 28% | 32% | 39% | 29% | 25% | 32% | 36% | 32% | 31% | 38% | 21% | 20% | 42% | 24% | 33% | 14% | 18% | 40% | 31% | 30% | 35% | 34% | 30% | 34% | 36% | 27% | 32% | 31% | 31% | 33% | 24% | 41% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 20% | 26% | 21% | 33% | 45% | 55% | 71% | 18% | 8% | 32% | 49% | 18% | 10% | 19% | 34% | 23% | 11% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 89% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 58% | 25% | 12% | 30% | 58% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 51% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 53% | 47% |
517 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
Yes | 55% | 54% | 55% | 68% | 62% | 46% | 47% | 64% | 47% | 55% | 50% | 53% | 35% | 69% | 51% | 33% | 32% | 56% | 71% | 76% | 32% | 56% | 73% | 53% | 69% | 56% | 57% | 44% | 64% | 51% | 57% | 61% | 30% | 68% | 55% | 49% | 58% | 48% | 57% | 65% | 55% | 49% | 50% | 60% | 61% | 47% | 65% | 43% |
No | 19% | 24% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 28% | 19% | 16% | 22% | 19% | 25% | 16% | 40% | 7% | 19% | 43% | 31% | 23% | 3% | 5% | 35% | 23% | 4% | 20% | 14% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 10% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 45% | 5% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 23% | 17% | 14% | 16% | 24% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 23% | 16% | 24% |
Not Certain | 26% | 22% | 30% | 14% | 24% | 26% | 34% | 20% | 31% | 26% | 25% | 31% | 26% | 25% | 31% | 24% | 37% | 21% | 26% | 19% | 33% | 21% | 24% | 27% | 17% | 27% | 20% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 24% | 18% | 25% | 27% | 25% | 28% | 20% | 28% | 26% | 20% | 29% | 27% | 30% | 22% | 23% | 30% | 20% | 33% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 20% | 26% | 21% | 33% | 45% | 55% | 71% | 18% | 8% | 32% | 49% | 18% | 10% | 19% | 34% | 23% | 11% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 89% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 58% | 25% | 12% | 30% | 58% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 51% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 53% | 47% |
517 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
Yes | 39% | 47% | 32% | 40% | 41% | 56% | 27% | 40% | 39% | 37% | 48% | 38% | 45% | 36% | 38% | 33% | 43% | 43% | 38% | 37% | 39% | 43% | 38% | 39% | 40% | 36% | 38% | 55% | 42% | 45% | 44% | 58% | 44% | 36% | 46% | 37% | 32% | 48% | 37% | 44% | 34% | 43% | 36% | 44% | 43% | 36% | 46% | 32% |
No | 12% | 14% | 9% | 22% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 17% | 3% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 6% | 11% | 19% | 11% | 18% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 19% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 9% |
Not Certain | 49% | 39% | 59% | 37% | 48% | 37% | 64% | 43% | 54% | 51% | 39% | 54% | 42% | 53% | 50% | 51% | 49% | 39% | 59% | 50% | 50% | 39% | 56% | 50% | 41% | 53% | 44% | 34% | 47% | 43% | 40% | 30% | 42% | 54% | 42% | 52% | 50% | 42% | 52% | 45% | 52% | 47% | 53% | 43% | 45% | 52% | 40% | 59% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 20% | 26% | 21% | 33% | 45% | 55% | 71% | 18% | 8% | 32% | 49% | 18% | 10% | 19% | 34% | 23% | 11% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 89% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 58% | 25% | 12% | 30% | 58% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 51% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 53% | 47% |
517 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely | Cast Ballot | Mayor Vote | City Attorney Vo | POTUS Vote | Faulconer Approv | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Likely | Before E | On Elect | Gloria | Bry | Elliott | Briggs | Trump | Biden | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Cell Pho | Landline | ||
Yes | 31% | 42% | 22% | 31% | 35% | 30% | 30% | 33% | 30% | 28% | 46% | 25% | 28% | 35% | 25% | 42% | 31% | 29% | 33% | 29% | 35% | 29% | 32% | 30% | 43% | 29% | 34% | 36% | 36% | 37% | 40% | 51% | 29% | 33% | 36% | 30% | 39% | 21% | 34% | 32% | 29% | 33% | 32% | 31% | 39% | 25% | 33% | 30% |
No | 29% | 28% | 30% | 31% | 19% | 33% | 33% | 24% | 33% | 31% | 20% | 33% | 33% | 24% | 39% | 15% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 28% | 28% | 33% | 26% | 30% | 22% | 27% | 30% | 35% | 30% | 27% | 27% | 26% | 32% | 28% | 26% | 34% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 26% | 32% | 27% | 30% | 27% | 25% | 31% | 26% | 33% |
Not Certain | 39% | 31% | 48% | 38% | 46% | 37% | 37% | 42% | 37% | 40% | 34% | 43% | 39% | 41% | 36% | 44% | 34% | 38% | 42% | 43% | 37% | 38% | 42% | 40% | 35% | 43% | 37% | 28% | 34% | 36% | 33% | 23% | 39% | 38% | 37% | 36% | 45% | 50% | 33% | 41% | 39% | 40% | 38% | 42% | 36% | 44% | 42% | 37% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 20% | 26% | 21% | 33% | 45% | 55% | 71% | 18% | 8% | 32% | 49% | 18% | 10% | 19% | 34% | 23% | 11% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 89% | 11% | 60% | 14% | 21% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 58% | 25% | 12% | 30% | 58% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 51% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 53% | 47% |