Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14221
On Eve of Obama Selection of Running Mate, McCain Takes Lead in Indiana Race for White House: In an election for President of the United States held today in Indiana, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama by 6 points, 50% to 44%, according to this latest SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted exclusively for WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WHAS-TV Louisville. Compared to an identical poll released eight weeks ago, Obama is down 3 points; McCain is up 3. Among those who regularly attend religious services, McCain leads by 28 points, up from 16 points eight weeks ago. Among those who occasionally attend, Obama leads by 14. Among those who rarely attend, Obama leads by 23. The field period for this survey overlapped with the candidates' participation in Pastor Rick Warren's Saddleback Civil Forum on the Presidency, held in California 08/16/08. Among men, McCain leads by 12 points; among women, McCain and Obama tie. Eight weeks ago, Obama had led by 7 among women. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, the two candidates tie. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain leads by 21 points; among voters who are in-between the two candidates' ages, McCain leads by 9. 12% of Republicans cross over to vote for Democrat Obama; 19% of Democrats cross over to vote for Republican McCain. Independents favor Obama by 12 points. Among those who have graduated from a 4-year college, McCain leads by 15 points; among those who have not, McCain and Obama tie. Among those with household incomes of less than $50,000, Obama leads by 11; among those with incomes above $50,000, McCain leads by 18.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Indiana adults 08/16/08 through 08/18/08. Of them, 779 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 645 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Indiana has 11 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Indiana by 21 points in 2004 and by 16 points in 2000. Obama is from the neighboring state of Illinois. Residents of Northern Indiana see Chicago television. Evan Bayh, the Democratic junior United States Senator from Indiana, is a possible Obama running mate. At this hour, no running mate has been named, though within 48 hours that will almost certainly change.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
645 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KN INCentral IndianapS IN
McCain (R)50%53%47%35%55%51%56%47%53%47%58%51%53%19%****82%19%39%85%38%6%54%47%61%39%36%66%33%44%52%46%**35%24%93%****66%41%56%44%61%51%48%
Obama (D)44%41%47%57%38%42%39%46%41%46%37%42%41%77%****12%77%51%12%57%82%39%47%33%53%59%28%62%40%45%49%**57%62%6%****27%52%38%49%33%44%44%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%22%31%28%19%53%47%48%11%41%92%6%2%1%42%36%15%36%38%12%42%58%53%27%20%54%43%21%77%45%4%11%9%11%3%3%9%39%61%35%19%21%25%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.