Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13192
FLORIDA DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY -- Clinton Pushes Obama Off Center-Stage: In a Democratic Primary in Florida today, 01/14/08, 2 weeks to the vote, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama by 33 points, according to a SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted exclusively for WFLA-TV Tampa and WKRG-TV Mobile. Today: it's Clinton 56%, Obama 23%, John Edwards 14%. In 6 SurveyUSA tracking polls over the past 10 weeks, Clinton has led by 30 points or more on 5 occasions. Obama closed to within 20 points only once, in interviews conducted by SurveyUSA immediately following the New Hampshire primary, and released 01/11/08. In the 3 days since then, Clinton is up 5, Obama is down 9. Clinton's support among females is higher than it has ever been in Florida, now 65%. She leads Obama among women by 46 points.
Filtering: 2,000 state of Florida adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 01/11/08 through 01/13/08. Of them, 1,752 were registered to vote. Of them, 601 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the Democratic Primary on 01/29/08. Results from Nevada on 01/19/08 and South Carolina on 01/26/08 can and will color what happens in Florida. Expect further buffeting in future SurveyUSA tracking polls.
'Triangle-T' is SurveyUSA Exclusive: Reminder that every place you see a black Triangle with a white T, that is SurveyUSA's cue to click to examine our interactive tracking graphs, a SurveyUSA exclusive. For example, to see Florida's male Democrats flirt briefly with Barack Obama last week, and then return to John Edwards today, go here. From that URL, use the pull-down to access tracking graphs for every other demographic subpopulation of interest to you.
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? John Edwards? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
601 Likely VotersAllGenderRaceIdeologyRegionAge<50 / 50+
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemaleWhiteBlackHispanicOtherConservaModerateLiberalNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+
Composition of Likely Voters100%44%56%69%16%12%2%12%38%33%8%7%31%17%38%17%22%30%30%39%61%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.