Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #25209 |
1 | Are you registered to vote? |
2400 Adults | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.5 pct points | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Yes | 84% | 100% | 75% | 87% | 81% | 78% | 83% | 85% | 91% | 81% | 88% | 85% | 87% | 80% | 78% | 80% | 51% | 91% | 91% | 75% | 91% | 87% | 84% | 89% | 93% | 95% | 96% | 74% | 83% | 92% | 76% | 87% | 90% | 79% | 88% | 81% | 86% | 83% | 91% | 86% | 83% | 76% | 87% | 85% | 87% | 83% | 88% | 83% | 85% | 83% | 83% | 86% | 78% | 87% | 83% | 84% | 80% |
No | 14% | 0% | 22% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 17% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 19% | 18% | 7% | 30% | 9% | 8% | 22% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 18% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 21% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 19% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 17% |
Not Sure | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 14% | 20% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Adults | 100% | 34% | 66% | 49% | 51% | 31% | 26% | 26% | 18% | 56% | 44% | 65% | 12% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 31% | 40% | 23% | 12% | 19% | 36% | 18% | 8% | 32% | 34% | 27% | 38% | 36% | 39% | 37% | 24% | 35% | 48% | 17% | 32% | 67% | 26% | 25% | 20% | 29% | 26% | 66% | 9% | 91% | 14% | 86% | 9% | 91% | 29% | 48% | 23% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 23% |
2 | Many states will hold primaries and caucuses this Spring for elected office at the local, state and federal level. 3 states have already voted. In other states, early voting has begun. Which best describes you: |
2007 Registered Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct points | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Not Interested; Will Not Vote | 3% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
Probably Will Not Vote | 4% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 4% |
May Or May Not Vote | 6% | 0% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% |
Probably Will Vote | 10% | 0% | 17% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 14% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% |
Almost Certain Will Vote | 13% | 16% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 11% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% |
100% Certain To Vote | 55% | 72% | 43% | 58% | 53% | 47% | 53% | 61% | 62% | 50% | 61% | 56% | 59% | 53% | 41% | 55% | 49% | 58% | 59% | 48% | 68% | 54% | 52% | 54% | 69% | 61% | 62% | 48% | 54% | 61% | 48% | 60% | 58% | 52% | 58% | 54% | 56% | 55% | 62% | 57% | 50% | 50% | 57% | 56% | 50% | 56% | 60% | 54% | 51% | 56% | 55% | 56% | 54% | 57% | 59% | 55% | 51% |
Already Voted | 8% | 12% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 16% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 15% |
Not Sure | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 41% | 59% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 33% | 44% | 21% | 13% | 20% | 36% | 19% | 9% | 37% | 39% | 23% | 37% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 33% | 50% | 17% | 33% | 67% | 28% | 25% | 20% | 26% | 27% | 67% | 10% | 90% | 15% | 85% | 10% | 90% | 29% | 50% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 22% |
3 | If your state were holding a primary today, which ballot would you request? |
1525 Likely Primary Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Republican Ballot | 36% | 0% | 79% | 40% | 32% | 29% | 34% | 39% | 42% | 31% | 41% | 43% | 10% | 27% | 34% | 17% | 34% | 92% | 1% | 22% | 86% | 69% | 25% | 3% | 6% | 82% | 3% | 39% | 36% | 34% | 33% | 37% | 38% | 26% | 42% | 37% | 36% | 37% | 47% | 38% | 33% | 22% | 51% | 30% | 35% | 36% | 41% | 35% | 20% | 38% | 29% | 35% | 47% | 32% | 38% | 41% | 30% |
Democratic Ballot | 54% | 100% | 0% | 50% | 59% | 60% | 55% | 50% | 52% | 57% | 51% | 47% | 82% | 64% | 56% | 68% | 45% | 5% | 97% | 41% | 11% | 24% | 58% | 90% | 92% | 11% | 90% | 52% | 53% | 56% | 57% | 54% | 51% | 64% | 49% | 51% | 53% | 54% | 43% | 55% | 56% | 65% | 41% | 59% | 57% | 54% | 48% | 55% | 69% | 53% | 64% | 54% | 43% | 60% | 52% | 51% | 57% |
Non-partisan Ballot | 6% | 0% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 15% | 20% | 1% | 1% | 27% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 8% |
Other Party's Ballot | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Not Sure | 3% | 0% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 5% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 54% | 46% | 52% | 48% | 24% | 25% | 28% | 23% | 49% | 51% | 67% | 13% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 34% | 46% | 18% | 14% | 20% | 34% | 19% | 10% | 39% | 43% | 22% | 36% | 42% | 32% | 40% | 27% | 30% | 52% | 17% | 32% | 67% | 31% | 26% | 19% | 25% | 27% | 68% | 10% | 90% | 15% | 85% | 9% | 91% | 28% | 51% | 21% | 18% | 22% | 38% | 23% |
4 | Some voters say any Democrat will defeat Donald Trump in November. Some voters say no Democrat will defeat Donald Trump in November. Others think certain Democrats will beat Trump and others will not.
For each Democrat running for President, please tell me how likely that Democrat is to defeat Trump. You may enter any number between 0 and 100, where zero means you think a particular Democrat has no chance whatsoever to defeat Trump, where 100 means this candidate is absolutely 100% certain to defeat Trump, and where 50 means you think the particular Democrats has a 50-50 chance of defeating Trump: How likely is Joe Biden to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.5 | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 43% | 57% | 51% | 49% | 29% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 34% | 45% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 37% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 17% | 32% | 67% | 28% | 26% | 20% | 26% | 27% | 67% | 10% | 90% | 15% | 85% | 10% | 90% | 29% | 50% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 22% |
Averages | 34% | 51% | 21% | 32% | 35% | 34% | 34% | 32% | 34% | 34% | 33% | 29% | 54% | 35% | 39% | 43% | 37% | 13% | 50% | 33% | 13% | 20% | 36% | 49% | 51% | 13% | 53% | 32% | 34% | 35% | 35% | 33% | 33% | 38% | 31% | 33% | 32% | 35% | 29% | 34% | 35% | 37% | 27% | 37% | 35% | 34% | 31% | 34% | 39% | 33% | 38% | 34% | 26% | 36% | 33% | 32% | 35% |
5 | How likely is Mike Bloomberg to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.4 | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 43% | 57% | 51% | 49% | 29% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 34% | 45% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 37% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 17% | 32% | 67% | 28% | 26% | 20% | 26% | 27% | 67% | 10% | 90% | 15% | 85% | 10% | 90% | 29% | 50% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 22% |
Averages | 33% | 46% | 23% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 31% | 32% | 35% | 32% | 33% | 29% | 45% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 28% | 15% | 46% | 34% | 13% | 21% | 37% | 45% | 47% | 15% | 48% | 31% | 32% | 35% | 34% | 32% | 33% | 35% | 31% | 33% | 31% | 34% | 29% | 34% | 33% | 36% | 26% | 36% | 35% | 33% | 31% | 33% | 37% | 32% | 36% | 34% | 25% | 34% | 31% | 32% | 35% |
6 | How likely is Pete Buttigieg to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.3 | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 43% | 57% | 51% | 49% | 29% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 34% | 45% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 37% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 17% | 32% | 67% | 28% | 26% | 20% | 26% | 27% | 67% | 10% | 90% | 15% | 85% | 10% | 90% | 29% | 50% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 22% |
Averages | 24% | 36% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 26% | 24% | 23% | 23% | 25% | 23% | 22% | 29% | 27% | 32% | 30% | 17% | 10% | 35% | 24% | 10% | 13% | 25% | 37% | 40% | 9% | 37% | 23% | 23% | 26% | 25% | 23% | 25% | 27% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 25% | 20% | 24% | 22% | 29% | 18% | 27% | 27% | 24% | 21% | 25% | 31% | 23% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 25% | 24% | 22% | 27% |
7 | How likely is Tulsi Gabbard to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1 | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 43% | 57% | 51% | 49% | 29% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 34% | 45% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 37% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 17% | 32% | 67% | 28% | 26% | 20% | 26% | 27% | 67% | 10% | 90% | 15% | 85% | 10% | 90% | 29% | 50% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 22% |
Averages | 12% | 15% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 9% | 19% | 14% | 20% | 24% | 11% | 6% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 6% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 13% |
8 | How likely is Amy Klobuchar to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.1 | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 43% | 57% | 51% | 49% | 29% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 34% | 45% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 37% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 17% | 32% | 67% | 28% | 26% | 20% | 26% | 27% | 67% | 10% | 90% | 15% | 85% | 10% | 90% | 29% | 50% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 22% |
Averages | 17% | 26% | 11% | 18% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 25% | 18% | 7% | 9% | 18% | 25% | 32% | 7% | 27% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 21% | 14% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 15% | 17% | 20% |
9 | How likely is Bernie Sanders to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.5 | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 43% | 57% | 51% | 49% | 29% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 34% | 45% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 37% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 17% | 32% | 67% | 28% | 26% | 20% | 26% | 27% | 67% | 10% | 90% | 15% | 85% | 10% | 90% | 29% | 50% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 22% |
Averages | 39% | 56% | 27% | 39% | 39% | 46% | 40% | 36% | 34% | 43% | 35% | 34% | 57% | 44% | 46% | 45% | 36% | 17% | 56% | 40% | 17% | 23% | 42% | 54% | 66% | 18% | 55% | 40% | 39% | 39% | 41% | 39% | 38% | 46% | 36% | 35% | 40% | 39% | 32% | 38% | 39% | 48% | 31% | 43% | 41% | 39% | 36% | 40% | 49% | 38% | 46% | 39% | 30% | 41% | 38% | 37% | 44% |
10 | How likely is Tom Steyer to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.1 | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 43% | 57% | 51% | 49% | 29% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 34% | 45% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 37% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 17% | 32% | 67% | 28% | 26% | 20% | 26% | 27% | 67% | 10% | 90% | 15% | 85% | 10% | 90% | 29% | 50% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 22% |
Averages | 16% | 22% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 24% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 23% | 17% | 8% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 28% | 6% | 24% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 15% | 20% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 19% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 20% |
11 | How likely is Elizabeth Warren to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.3 | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 43% | 57% | 51% | 49% | 29% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 54% | 46% | 67% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 34% | 45% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 37% | 40% | 23% | 37% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 17% | 32% | 67% | 28% | 26% | 20% | 26% | 27% | 67% | 10% | 90% | 15% | 85% | 10% | 90% | 29% | 50% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 22% |
Averages | 25% | 38% | 14% | 24% | 26% | 29% | 24% | 22% | 23% | 27% | 22% | 22% | 35% | 26% | 31% | 33% | 20% | 9% | 37% | 24% | 9% | 11% | 25% | 38% | 48% | 8% | 39% | 22% | 24% | 27% | 26% | 23% | 25% | 29% | 23% | 21% | 23% | 25% | 20% | 24% | 23% | 31% | 18% | 27% | 26% | 24% | 23% | 25% | 34% | 24% | 27% | 26% | 18% | 25% | 23% | 24% | 28% |
12 | If there were a Democratic primary for President of the United States today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who is your first choice? |
825 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct points | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Joe Biden | 21% | 21% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 22% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 18% | 35% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 50% | 27% | 22% | 16% | 27% | 34% | 24% | 19% | 12% | 15% | 24% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 25% | 21% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 24% | 19% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 30% | 12% | 29% | 19% | 27% | 20% | 26% | 20% | 18% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 24% | 26% | 20% | 23% | 16% |
Michael Bloomberg | 21% | 21% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 32% | 16% | 26% | 18% | 22% | 27% | 35% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 22% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 26% | 18% | 18% | 19% | 23% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 18% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 25% | 28% | 15% | 15% | 24% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 22% | 23% |
Pete Buttigieg | 9% | 9% | 0% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 0% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 17% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 9% | 8% |
Tulsi Gabbard | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
Amy Klobuchar | 4% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 19% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 4% |
Bernie Sanders | 28% | 28% | 0% | 31% | 26% | 47% | 31% | 21% | 11% | 39% | 17% | 28% | 28% | 30% | 24% | 46% | 15% | 16% | 29% | 29% | 35% | 24% | 22% | 31% | 41% | 35% | 24% | 31% | 28% | 27% | 28% | 29% | 27% | 35% | 26% | 20% | 37% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 28% | 39% | 25% | 29% | 28% | 28% | 22% | 29% | 28% | 28% | 30% | 28% | 28% | 27% | 29% | 29% | 28% |
Tom Steyer | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
Elizabeth Warren | 8% | 8% | 0% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% |
Undecided | 5% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 24% | 17% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 6% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 48% | 52% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 58% | 19% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 83% | 13% | 3% | 9% | 37% | 32% | 18% | 8% | 72% | 21% | 36% | 44% | 34% | 40% | 26% | 36% | 48% | 16% | 31% | 68% | 24% | 26% | 19% | 30% | 21% | 74% | 10% | 90% | 13% | 87% | 12% | 88% | 33% | 50% | 16% | 19% | 21% | 35% | 24% |
13 | Who is your second choice? |
788 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Joe Biden | 23% | 23% | 0% | 24% | 21% | 21% | 24% | 22% | 25% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 26% | 31% | 34% | 33% | 10% | 17% | 23% | 22% | 33% | 19% | 25% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 24% | 25% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 25% | 23% | 22% | 23% | 22% | 22% | 23% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 16% | 24% | 22% | 28% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 23% | 23% | 24% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 25% | 21% |
Michael Bloomberg | 13% | 13% | 0% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 0% | 60% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 14% | 7% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
Pete Buttigieg | 11% | 11% | 0% | 10% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 8% | 16% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 22% | 0% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 0% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 13% |
Tulsi Gabbard | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
Amy Klobuchar | 5% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% |
Bernie Sanders | 21% | 21% | 0% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 27% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 19% | 17% | 33% | 27% | 14% | 0% | 12% | 11% | 23% | 11% | 16% | 26% | 27% | 17% | 19% | 8% | 24% | 23% | 24% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 23% | 20% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 17% | 24% | 28% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 21% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 20% | 21% |
Tom Steyer | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 18% | 0% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 16% | 16% | 0% | 18% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 20% | 12% | 20% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 27% | 18% | 6% | 17% | 16% | 3% | 10% | 8% | 22% | 30% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 26% | 11% | 18% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 16% | 17% |
Undecided | 5% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 53% | 47% | 58% | 19% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 83% | 13% | 3% | 9% | 36% | 32% | 18% | 8% | 73% | 21% | 36% | 44% | 34% | 40% | 25% | 36% | 48% | 16% | 31% | 68% | 25% | 26% | 19% | 30% | 21% | 74% | 10% | 90% | 13% | 87% | 12% | 88% | 33% | 51% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 24% |
14 | Who is your third choice? |
752 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Joe Biden | 18% | 18% | 0% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 18% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 12% | 19% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 17% | 24% | 18% | 16% |
Michael Bloomberg | 12% | 12% | 0% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 14% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 18% | 12% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 9% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 8% |
Pete Buttigieg | 13% | 13% | 0% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 7% | 18% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 13% | 12% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 15% |
Tulsi Gabbard | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% |
Amy Klobuchar | 8% | 8% | 0% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 30% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 7% |
Bernie Sanders | 15% | 15% | 0% | 18% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 9% | 35% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 17% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 18% | 7% | 16% | 11% | 15% | 16% |
Tom Steyer | 6% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 0% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 12% |
Elizabeth Warren | 17% | 17% | 0% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 21% | 20% | 19% | 27% | 10% | 3% | 18% | 12% | 22% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 20% | 7% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 16% | 22% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 18% | 15% | 16% | 18% |
Undecided | 9% | 9% | 0% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 13% | 48% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 19% | 23% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 5% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 28% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 53% | 47% | 58% | 19% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 84% | 13% | 3% | 8% | 37% | 32% | 18% | 7% | 74% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 34% | 41% | 26% | 36% | 48% | 15% | 32% | 68% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 29% | 21% | 75% | 10% | 90% | 13% | 87% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 50% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 23% |
15 | Who is your fourth choice? |
686 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Joe Biden | 12% | 12% | 0% | 13% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 10% | 14% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 0% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 0% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 17% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 7% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 15% |
Michael Bloomberg | 10% | 10% | 0% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 0% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 12% |
Pete Buttigieg | 16% | 16% | 0% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 10% | 18% | 10% | 14% | 23% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 22% | 14% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 9% | 16% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 11% | 18% | 16% | 15% |
Tulsi Gabbard | 3% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% |
Amy Klobuchar | 11% | 11% | 0% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 0% | 19% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 0% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
Bernie Sanders | 8% | 8% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 15% | 37% | 58% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% |
Tom Steyer | 9% | 9% | 0% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 23% | 0% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 24% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 15% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 15% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 11% |
Elizabeth Warren | 19% | 19% | 0% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 20% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 27% | 18% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 20% | 13% | 5% | 12% | 23% | 20% | 13% | 11% | 20% | 20% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 16% | 19% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 13% |
Undecided | 13% | 13% | 0% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 26% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 19% | 11% | 12% | 17% | 10% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 51% | 49% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 57% | 20% | 17% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 84% | 13% | 2% | 7% | 37% | 33% | 19% | 7% | 75% | 20% | 35% | 44% | 32% | 41% | 26% | 36% | 49% | 15% | 32% | 68% | 25% | 27% | 19% | 29% | 21% | 75% | 10% | 90% | 13% | 87% | 12% | 88% | 33% | 52% | 15% | 20% | 19% | 36% | 24% |
16 | Who is your fifth choice? |
597 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Joe Biden | 8% | 8% | 0% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 11% |
Michael Bloomberg | 9% | 9% | 0% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 20% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 15% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
Pete Buttigieg | 16% | 16% | 0% | 17% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 17% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 16% | 22% | 12% | 17% | 10% | 0% | 28% | 16% | 11% | 21% | 27% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 27% | 16% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 20% | 14% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 14% | 26% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 25% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Tulsi Gabbard | 7% | 7% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% |
Amy Klobuchar | 18% | 18% | 0% | 17% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 8% | 38% | 0% | 23% | 17% | 21% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 13% | 19% | 14% | 19% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 21% | 12% | 20% | 21% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 29% | 16% | 16% |
Bernie Sanders | 6% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% |
Tom Steyer | 14% | 14% | 0% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 16% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 38% | 0% | 23% | 0% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 11% | 14% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 20% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 7% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 14% | 12% | 16% | 12% |
Elizabeth Warren | 12% | 12% | 0% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 8% | 35% | 58% | 0% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 16% | 8% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 19% | 11% | 20% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 12% | 16% |
Undecided | 9% | 9% | 0% | 7% | 12% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 5% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 51% | 49% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 51% | 49% | 57% | 19% | 17% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 84% | 13% | 2% | 7% | 37% | 33% | 19% | 7% | 76% | 20% | 34% | 46% | 31% | 42% | 27% | 36% | 49% | 15% | 31% | 68% | 26% | 27% | 18% | 29% | 21% | 75% | 10% | 90% | 13% | 87% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 52% | 14% | 19% | 19% | 37% | 25% |
17 | Who is your sixth choice? |
543 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Joe Biden | 4% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 7% |
Michael Bloomberg | 8% | 8% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 79% | 0% | 16% | 8% | 8% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 2% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 6% |
Pete Buttigieg | 12% | 12% | 0% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 21% | 16% | 3% | 0% | 71% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 18% |
Tulsi Gabbard | 9% | 9% | 0% | 9% | 10% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 14% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 7% |
Amy Klobuchar | 22% | 22% | 0% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 25% | 21% | 17% | 24% | 19% | 19% | 28% | 22% | 33% | 12% | 0% | 20% | 23% | 15% | 41% | 27% | 20% | 18% | 30% | 12% | 23% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 21% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 21% | 23% | 17% | 24% | 22% | 17% | 27% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 25% | 21% | 18% | 22% | 27% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 18% | 23% | 20% |
Bernie Sanders | 5% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 3% |
Tom Steyer | 21% | 21% | 0% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 18% | 24% | 20% | 19% | 22% | 22% | 18% | 22% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 19% | 20% | 28% | 8% | 7% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 20% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 21% | 24% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 19% | 21% | 23% | 25% | 18% | 19% | 21% |
Elizabeth Warren | 10% | 10% | 0% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 3% | 11% | 16% | 10% | 29% | 36% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 16% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% |
Undecided | 9% | 9% | 0% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 4% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 21% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 8% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 52% | 48% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 22% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 19% | 16% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 84% | 13% | 2% | 7% | 38% | 33% | 19% | 7% | 77% | 19% | 33% | 48% | 31% | 42% | 27% | 36% | 49% | 15% | 32% | 68% | 26% | 27% | 18% | 29% | 22% | 75% | 10% | 90% | 14% | 86% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 52% | 15% | 20% | 19% | 36% | 25% |
18 | Who is your seventh choice? |
493 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct points | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Joe Biden | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 8% |
Michael Bloomberg | 10% | 10% | 0% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 17% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 10% | 17% | 10% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 17% | 7% | 9% | 10% |
Pete Buttigieg | 6% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 6% | 28% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 4% |
Tulsi Gabbard | 21% | 21% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 21% | 26% | 22% | 13% | 24% | 18% | 20% | 27% | 16% | 27% | 11% | 0% | 15% | 22% | 14% | 0% | 16% | 23% | 19% | 25% | 14% | 21% | 20% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 17% | 24% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 19% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 9% | 22% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 32% | 21% | 15% |
Amy Klobuchar | 15% | 15% | 0% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 17% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 18% | 22% | 26% | 27% | 29% | 13% | 16% | 10% | 16% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 22% | 12% | 15% | 21% | 13% | 11% | 19% | 14% | 23% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 23% |
Bernie Sanders | 6% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% |
Tom Steyer | 23% | 23% | 0% | 23% | 23% | 25% | 24% | 17% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 17% | 22% | 19% | 71% | 34% | 23% | 18% | 18% | 30% | 22% | 22% | 24% | 25% | 23% | 21% | 20% | 25% | 16% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 23% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 24% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 23% | 22% | 23% | 22% | 21% | 26% | 30% | 24% | 20% | 19% |
Elizabeth Warren | 6% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 19% | 0% | 18% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 10% | 5% |
Undecided | 9% | 9% | 0% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 19% | 0% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 53% | 47% | 26% | 25% | 27% | 21% | 51% | 49% | 58% | 18% | 17% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 84% | 13% | 2% | 6% | 38% | 34% | 21% | 8% | 77% | 19% | 33% | 47% | 31% | 41% | 28% | 36% | 50% | 14% | 32% | 67% | 26% | 28% | 18% | 28% | 22% | 75% | 11% | 89% | 12% | 88% | 12% | 88% | 33% | 52% | 15% | 21% | 18% | 36% | 25% |
19 | The process that you just went through is called "ranked choice voting." Some cities and states have implemented ranked choice voting in their elections. In a Presidential primary, if your 1st choice did not have enough support to win convention delegates. ranked choice voting would automatically assign your vote to your next choice able to win delegates. Where you live, if there was a proposal to implement ranked choice voting for Presidential primaries, would you ... ? |
788 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | LDPV | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Martial Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Evangelical | Union HH | Military HH | LGBTQ HH | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Yes | No | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian | Multirac | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
Strongly Support | 28% | 28% | 0% | 29% | 26% | 37% | 29% | 21% | 21% | 33% | 21% | 24% | 33% | 35% | 28% | 22% | 30% | 27% | 28% | 26% | 34% | 22% | 27% | 27% | 34% | 27% | 28% | 27% | 28% | 27% | 27% | 24% | 33% | 29% | 29% | 19% | 29% | 27% | 23% | 29% | 28% | 29% | 33% | 27% | 35% | 27% | 22% | 28% | 32% | 27% | 34% | 26% | 21% | 30% | 21% | 32% | 24% |
Support | 36% | 36% | 0% | 35% | 36% | 43% | 36% | 36% | 26% | 39% | 31% | 37% | 33% | 31% | 40% | 58% | 40% | 23% | 37% | 32% | 25% | 31% | 34% | 40% | 33% | 24% | 35% | 35% | 35% | 36% | 36% | 36% | 34% | 38% | 34% | 37% | 44% | 32% | 35% | 33% | 40% | 36% | 33% | 36% | 35% | 36% | 34% | 36% | 37% | 35% | 38% | 33% | 39% | 38% | 37% | 31% | 39% |
Oppose | 10% | 10% | 0% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 0% | 17% | 9% | 10% | 2% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 7% |
Strongly Oppose | 10% | 10% | 0% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 19% | 6% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 0% | 11% | 9% | 16% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 20% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 17% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 10% |
Not Sure | 17% | 17% | 0% | 13% | 21% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 25% | 13% | 22% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 13% | 0% | 30% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 21% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 20% | 12% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 10% | 18% | 11% | 21% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 20% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 53% | 47% | 58% | 19% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 83% | 13% | 3% | 9% | 36% | 32% | 18% | 8% | 73% | 21% | 36% | 44% | 34% | 40% | 25% | 36% | 48% | 16% | 31% | 68% | 25% | 26% | 19% | 30% | 21% | 74% | 10% | 90% | 13% | 87% | 12% | 88% | 33% | 51% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 24% |
All Questions Crosstabbed By All Questions |
1 | Are you registered to vote? |
2400 Adults | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.5 pct points | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Yes | 84% | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
No | 14% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Not Sure | 2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |||
Composition of Adults | 100% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 55% | 8% | 1% | 36% | 54% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% | |||
2 | Many states will hold primaries and caucuses this Spring for elected office at the local, state and federal level. 3 states have already voted. In other states, early voting has begun. Which best describes you: |
2007 Registered Voters | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct points | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Not Interested; Will Not Vote | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Probably Will Not Vote | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
May Or May Not Vote | 6% | 6% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Probably Will Vote | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Almost Certain Will Vote | 13% | 13% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 30% | 21% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 10% | 14% | 23% | 10% | 27% | 18% | 20% | 12% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 7% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 21% | 18% | 6% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 12% | 18% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 7% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 20% | 25% | 14% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 7% | 16% | 20% | 10% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 16% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 22% | 22% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 15% | 10% | 19% | 11% | 12% | 21% |
100% Certain To Vote | 55% | 55% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 74% | 72% | 70% | 82% | 67% | 68% | 71% | 69% | 68% | 78% | 75% | 54% | 82% | 70% | 70% | 72% | 77% | 61% | 71% | 74% | 73% | 71% | 75% | 76% | 71% | 69% | 76% | 78% | 69% | 69% | 72% | 70% | 80% | 75% | 66% | 74% | 77% | 75% | 73% | 71% | 67% | 71% | 79% | 73% | 79% | 76% | 67% | 67% | 77% | 70% | 66% | 79% | 86% | 80% | 71% | 55% | 69% | 75% | 74% | 60% | 71% | 86% | 74% | 71% | 74% | 80% | 73% | 63% | 72% | 70% | 78% | 80% | 68% |
Already Voted | 8% | 8% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8% | 12% | 11% | 0% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 23% | 8% | 2% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 4% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 22% | 11% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 23% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 17% | 16% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 17% | 22% | 18% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 10% |
Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||||||
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 36% | 54% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% | ||||||||
3 | If your state were holding a primary today, which ballot would you request? |
1525 Likely Primary Voters | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Republican Ballot | 36% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 36% | 37% | 30% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Democratic Ballot | 54% | 54% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 51% | 54% | 63% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Non-partisan Ballot | 6% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Other Party's Ballot | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Not Sure | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |||||
Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 73% | 10% | 0% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% | |||||
4 | Some voters say any Democrat will defeat Donald Trump in November. Some voters say no Democrat will defeat Donald Trump in November. Others think certain Democrats will beat Trump and others will not.
For each Democrat running for President, please tell me how likely that Democrat is to defeat Trump. You may enter any number between 0 and 100, where zero means you think a particular Democrat has no chance whatsoever to defeat Trump, where 100 means this candidate is absolutely 100% certain to defeat Trump, and where 50 means you think the particular Democrats has a 50-50 chance of defeating Trump: How likely is Joe Biden to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.5 | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 8% | 0% | 37% | 56% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% |
Averages | 34% | 34% | 34% | 28% | 25% | 34% | 36% | 34% | 34% | 11% | 51% | 28% | 33% | 69% | 46% | 50% | 24% | 53% | 44% | 41% | 53% | 40% | 56% | 55% | 51% | 23% | 45% | 54% | 54% | 47% | 38% | 48% | 58% | 52% | 37% | 51% | 53% | 47% | 59% | 42% | 49% | 52% | 52% | 35% | 55% | 67% | 54% | 55% | 47% | 50% | 58% | 51% | 47% | 56% | 57% | 56% | 57% | 49% | 40% | 59% | 55% | 51% | 55% | 56% | 54% | 56% | 54% | 42% | 58% | 59% | 50% | 54% | 70% | 54% | 50% | 52% | 53% | 51% | 45% | 49% | 54% | ||||
5 | How likely is Mike Bloomberg to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.4 | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 8% | 0% | 37% | 56% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% |
Averages | 33% | 33% | 33% | 29% | 30% | 31% | 34% | 34% | 31% | 14% | 46% | 34% | 49% | 42% | 70% | 43% | 16% | 43% | 36% | 48% | 43% | 38% | 51% | 58% | 52% | 33% | 43% | 46% | 42% | 38% | 33% | 50% | 51% | 47% | 31% | 42% | 53% | 49% | 48% | 32% | 53% | 45% | 49% | 41% | 49% | 62% | 47% | 49% | 41% | 58% | 41% | 43% | 37% | 51% | 53% | 54% | 60% | 50% | 44% | 36% | 55% | 45% | 49% | 59% | 47% | 59% | 57% | 38% | 35% | 47% | 47% | 56% | 66% | 51% | 55% | 47% | 49% | 47% | 41% | 41% | 49% | ||||
6 | How likely is Pete Buttigieg to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.3 | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 8% | 0% | 37% | 56% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% |
Averages | 24% | 24% | 24% | 22% | 18% | 23% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 9% | 36% | 22% | 27% | 32% | 32% | 60% | 18% | 44% | 33% | 31% | 42% | 32% | 34% | 35% | 48% | 33% | 31% | 36% | 38% | 37% | 20% | 36% | 36% | 42% | 29% | 43% | 37% | 32% | 41% | 22% | 45% | 39% | 39% | 29% | 43% | 45% | 37% | 36% | 26% | 49% | 43% | 32% | 37% | 43% | 45% | 40% | 44% | 29% | 49% | 43% | 33% | 36% | 41% | 43% | 45% | 42% | 41% | 48% | 47% | 39% | 34% | 38% | 55% | 41% | 40% | 44% | 40% | 37% | 31% | 29% | 35% | ||||
7 | How likely is Tulsi Gabbard to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1 | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 8% | 0% | 37% | 56% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% |
Averages | 12% | 12% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 15% | 9% | 20% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 39% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 26% | 10% | 17% | 26% | 15% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 31% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 19% | 12% | 18% | 19% | 14% | 21% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 17% | 11% | 14% | 31% | 15% | 33% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 14% | 21% | 11% | 20% | 17% | 9% | 7% | 10% | ||||
8 | How likely is Amy Klobuchar to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.1 | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 8% | 0% | 37% | 56% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% |
Averages | 17% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 6% | 26% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 14% | 57% | 24% | 33% | 31% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 28% | 29% | 32% | 26% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 26% | 25% | 27% | 20% | 39% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 14% | 31% | 30% | 32% | 29% | 32% | 33% | 26% | 24% | 19% | 36% | 30% | 27% | 31% | 32% | 31% | 31% | 30% | 17% | 40% | 33% | 31% | 25% | 28% | 34% | 34% | 31% | 25% | 40% | 38% | 38% | 24% | 23% | 48% | 32% | 34% | 32% | 31% | 27% | 20% | 21% | 24% | ||||
9 | How likely is Bernie Sanders to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.5 | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 8% | 0% | 37% | 56% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% |
Averages | 39% | 39% | 39% | 33% | 32% | 42% | 39% | 40% | 41% | 15% | 56% | 40% | 55% | 46% | 49% | 52% | 44% | 42% | 74% | 43% | 62% | 45% | 55% | 52% | 54% | 44% | 43% | 62% | 57% | 65% | 50% | 58% | 63% | 57% | 48% | 62% | 52% | 49% | 61% | 51% | 67% | 55% | 58% | 48% | 57% | 56% | 53% | 61% | 52% | 67% | 59% | 57% | 54% | 63% | 49% | 55% | 61% | 55% | 71% | 58% | 57% | 54% | 61% | 48% | 62% | 52% | 60% | 70% | 56% | 68% | 62% | 56% | 44% | 60% | 50% | 61% | 62% | 58% | 49% | 53% | 52% | ||||
10 | How likely is Tom Steyer to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.1 | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 8% | 0% | 37% | 56% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% |
Averages | 16% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 5% | 22% | 15% | 35% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 13% | 29% | 21% | 51% | 23% | 20% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 18% | 22% | 50% | 20% | 16% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 24% | 23% | 26% | 29% | 28% | 12% | 25% | 23% | 25% | 24% | 25% | 28% | 28% | 22% | 17% | 33% | 26% | 23% | 21% | 23% | 26% | 28% | 28% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 29% | 22% | 27% | 26% | 25% | 27% | 25% | 35% | 28% | 38% | 19% | 27% | 36% | 24% | 30% | 20% | 26% | 24% | 16% | 15% | 23% | ||||
11 | How likely is Elizabeth Warren to defeat Donald Trump? |
1929 Registered Voters | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 1.3 | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 56% | 8% | 0% | 37% | 56% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% |
Averages | 25% | 25% | 23% | 20% | 20% | 23% | 23% | 26% | 27% | 7% | 38% | 19% | 33% | 33% | 31% | 40% | 21% | 49% | 39% | 30% | 65% | 35% | 34% | 31% | 42% | 27% | 35% | 40% | 36% | 51% | 29% | 39% | 38% | 40% | 36% | 44% | 40% | 30% | 46% | 23% | 49% | 44% | 40% | 37% | 43% | 48% | 38% | 38% | 27% | 51% | 44% | 39% | 41% | 49% | 41% | 42% | 37% | 34% | 53% | 52% | 45% | 42% | 42% | 38% | 45% | 31% | 43% | 52% | 51% | 53% | 40% | 36% | 49% | 43% | 32% | 46% | 42% | 40% | 29% | 33% | 37% | ||||
12 | If there were a Democratic primary for President of the United States today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who is your first choice? |
825 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct points | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Joe Biden | 21% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 39% | 20% | 13% | 28% | 39% | 35% | 15% | 25% | 0% | 42% | 24% | 5% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 30% | 25% | 0% | 28% | 22% | 23% | 23% | 40% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 0% | 24% | 25% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 25% | 29% | 14% | 0% | 29% | 21% | 17% | 27% | 25% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 0% | 28% | 21% | 20% | 18% | 30% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 17% | 22% | 20% | 27% | 29% |
Michael Bloomberg | 21% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 19% | 21% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 42% | 0% | 30% | 15% | 15% | 26% | 18% | 8% | 7% | 28% | 0% | 27% | 23% | 12% | 38% | 36% | 22% | 13% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 24% | 29% | 26% | 32% | 31% | 17% | 29% | 0% | 22% | 13% | 25% | 33% | 36% | 33% | 23% | 13% | 0% | 35% | 16% | 20% | 43% | 23% | 36% | 42% | 21% | 0% | 7% | 31% | 39% | 42% | 19% | 31% | 10% | 25% | 18% | 27% | 22% | 23% |
Pete Buttigieg | 9% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11% | 11% | 0% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 21% | 0% | 9% | 10% | 22% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 15% | 12% | 0% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 11% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 0% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 7% | 6% |
Tulsi Gabbard | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% |
Amy Klobuchar | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 0% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 9% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 13% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 17% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 2% |
Bernie Sanders | 28% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 30% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 35% | 36% | 27% | 31% | 15% | 0% | 36% | 59% | 35% | 33% | 38% | 34% | 44% | 39% | 0% | 28% | 30% | 39% | 40% | 29% | 30% | 40% | 20% | 0% | 29% | 32% | 33% | 34% | 30% | 36% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 14% | 26% | 28% | 39% | 34% | 27% | 37% | 31% | 0% | 29% | 16% | 24% | 35% | 28% | 44% | 27% | 29% | 0% | 28% | 17% | 42% | 31% | 33% | 28% | 23% | 26% |
Tom Steyer | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
Elizabeth Warren | 8% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 22% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 15% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 0% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 0% | 18% | 20% | 10% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 7% | 18% | 25% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 0% | 9% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 11% |
Undecided | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |||||||||
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 72% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% | |||||||||
13 | Who is your second choice? |
788 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | Registered | Primary | Ballot | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | 5th Choice | 6th Choice | 7th Choice | Ranked Choice Voting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Yes | No | Not Sure | Not Inte | Probably | May Or M | Probably | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Not Sure | Republic | Democrat | Non-part | Other Pa | Not Sure | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Joe Bide | Michael | Pete But | Tulsi Ga | Amy Klob | Bernie S | Tom Stey | Elizabet | Undecide | Strongly | Support | Oppose | Strongly | Not Sure | |
Joe Biden | 23% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 22% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 26% | 22% | 16% | 27% | 24% | 14% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 18% | 43% | 34% | 32% | 21% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 28% | 35% | 35% | 29% | 0% | 31% | 24% | 18% | 27% | 27% | 29% | 26% | 22% | 0% | 20% | 46% | 27% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 27% | 27% | 0% | 11% | 24% | 27% | 38% | 27% | 21% | 29% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 22% | 21% |
Michael Bloomberg | 13% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 16% | 16% | 37% | 4% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20% | 0% | 17% | 9% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 16% | 0% | 14% | 20% | 10% | 22% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 15% | 0% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 26% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 20% | 12% | 13% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 18% |
Pete Buttigieg | 11% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 16% | 0% | 5% | 25% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16% | 12% | 0% | 15% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 20% | 18% | 0% | 12% | 17% | 24% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 24% | 13% | 0% | 10% | 13% | 22% | 19% | 19% | 13% | 17% | 10% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 19% | 25% | 19% | 0% | 10% | 13% | 22% | 12% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 9% |
Tulsi Gabbard | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 1% |
Amy Klobuchar | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 12% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 0% | 14% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 12% | 0% | 15% | 8% | 10% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 0% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 5% |
Bernie Sanders | 21% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 25% | 26% | 29% | 7% | 0% | 14% | 45% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 31% | 30% | 21% | 20% | 12% | 0% | 21% | 32% | 25% | 24% | 28% | 31% | 5% | 26% | 0% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 20% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 25% | 0% | 18% | 26% | 29% | 29% | 15% | 23% | 17% | 29% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 20% | 25% | 34% | 14% | 24% | 21% | 0% | 27% | 20% | 12% | 26% | 20% | 19% | 18% | 20% |
Tom Steyer | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
Elizabeth Warren | 16% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 6% | 18% | 9% | 18% | 33% | 9% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 21% | 17% | 27% | 9% | 24% | 17% | 16% | 0% | 24% | 33% | 18% | 19% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 16% | 0% | 19% | 21% | 14% | 19% | 25% | 24% | 16% | 13% | 0% | 15% | 35% | 33% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 0% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 19% | 19% | 10% | 7% | 17% | 0% | 24% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 17% |
Undecided | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 8% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |||||||||
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 72% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 22% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 30% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 17% | |||||||||
14 |