Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #25209
 
1Are you registered to vote?
2400 AdultsAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 1.5 pct pointsYesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Yes84%100%75%87%81%78%83%85%91%81%88%85%87%80%78%80%51%91%91%75%91%87%84%89%93%95%96%74%83%92%76%87%90%79%88%81%86%83%91%86%83%76%87%85%87%83%88%83%85%83%83%86%78%87%83%84%80%
No14%0%22%11%17%20%15%12%9%17%11%13%11%19%18%7%30%9%8%22%8%12%15%10%6%5%3%24%15%7%21%12%8%18%11%15%12%15%8%14%14%21%11%14%13%15%11%15%12%15%14%12%19%12%15%13%17%
Not Sure2%0%3%2%2%2%2%3%0%2%2%1%2%2%4%14%20%1%1%3%2%1%2%0%2%0%1%2%3%1%3%1%2%2%1%4%2%2%1%1%2%3%2%1%1%2%1%2%2%2%3%1%3%1%1%2%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%34%66%49%51%31%26%26%18%56%44%65%12%15%5%1%2%31%40%23%12%19%36%18%8%32%34%27%38%36%39%37%24%35%48%17%32%67%26%25%20%29%26%66%9%91%14%86%9%91%29%48%23%18%21%38%23%
 
2Many states will hold primaries and caucuses this Spring for elected office at the local, state and federal level. 3 states have already voted. In other states, early voting has begun. Which best describes you:
2007 Registered VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct pointsYesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Not Interested; Will Not Vote3%0%5%4%2%5%4%1%2%4%2%3%4%5%2%10%5%2%2%4%4%2%3%1%3%2%2%4%4%2%5%2%2%5%2%2%3%3%2%2%4%5%3%3%2%3%4%3%5%3%5%3%2%4%3%3%2%
Probably Will Not Vote4%0%7%3%5%5%5%2%3%5%2%4%2%5%9%0%6%4%3%6%4%5%4%4%2%4%2%3%4%4%3%4%5%4%4%5%4%4%4%5%4%3%4%4%4%4%3%4%4%4%3%5%3%6%3%4%4%
May Or May Not Vote6%0%10%5%6%8%6%5%3%7%4%6%5%4%2%17%10%4%4%9%2%7%7%4%1%4%3%8%6%4%8%5%4%7%4%6%6%5%3%6%7%7%4%5%3%6%5%6%7%5%6%5%6%5%5%6%6%
Probably Will Vote10%0%17%9%11%16%9%9%3%13%7%10%10%12%13%5%11%10%9%14%7%11%12%11%4%9%8%13%12%7%13%10%7%14%8%7%10%10%7%10%13%11%10%10%14%10%9%10%9%10%11%9%11%9%10%11%10%
Almost Certain Will Vote13%16%11%14%12%12%16%12%12%14%12%13%15%11%16%7%5%13%13%13%6%14%15%14%9%12%12%15%13%12%14%12%13%12%14%13%14%13%12%12%15%14%13%13%14%13%10%14%13%13%11%14%13%12%14%13%13%
100% Certain To Vote55%72%43%58%53%47%53%61%62%50%61%56%59%53%41%55%49%58%59%48%68%54%52%54%69%61%62%48%54%61%48%60%58%52%58%54%56%55%62%57%50%50%57%56%50%56%60%54%51%56%55%56%54%57%59%55%51%
Already Voted8%12%5%7%8%5%6%7%14%6%10%7%6%9%16%5%6%8%9%5%9%6%6%11%11%8%10%8%6%9%8%7%9%5%8%10%5%9%9%7%6%8%7%8%11%7%9%8%10%7%8%8%7%4%5%7%15%
Not Sure1%0%2%1%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%0%2%1%0%9%1%1%2%0%1%2%0%0%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%0%2%2%2%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%3%2%1%1%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%41%59%50%50%29%25%26%20%54%46%67%12%14%5%1%1%33%44%21%13%20%36%19%9%37%39%23%37%39%35%39%26%33%50%17%33%67%28%25%20%26%27%67%10%90%15%85%10%90%29%50%22%18%21%38%22%
 
3If your state were holding a primary today, which ballot would you request?
1525 Likely Primary VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct pointsYesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Republican Ballot36%0%79%40%32%29%34%39%42%31%41%43%10%27%34%17%34%92%1%22%86%69%25%3%6%82%3%39%36%34%33%37%38%26%42%37%36%37%47%38%33%22%51%30%35%36%41%35%20%38%29%35%47%32%38%41%30%
Democratic Ballot54%100%0%50%59%60%55%50%52%57%51%47%82%64%56%68%45%5%97%41%11%24%58%90%92%11%90%52%53%56%57%54%51%64%49%51%53%54%43%55%56%65%41%59%57%54%48%55%69%53%64%54%43%60%52%51%57%
Non-partisan Ballot6%0%12%6%5%6%6%7%4%6%6%6%2%5%6%15%20%1%1%27%1%4%11%4%2%4%5%4%6%7%5%5%7%5%5%8%5%6%6%4%5%7%4%6%4%6%6%6%7%6%3%7%6%5%5%5%8%
Other Party's Ballot1%0%1%1%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%2%0%1%1%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%1%0%0%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%1%1%
Not Sure3%0%8%3%4%4%5%3%1%4%3%3%6%2%3%0%0%2%1%8%1%3%6%2%0%3%2%4%4%3%4%4%3%4%3%3%6%2%3%3%5%4%3%4%4%3%5%3%4%3%3%3%4%3%5%2%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%54%46%52%48%24%25%28%23%49%51%67%13%14%5%1%1%34%46%18%14%20%34%19%10%39%43%22%36%42%32%40%27%30%52%17%32%67%31%26%19%25%27%68%10%90%15%85%9%91%28%51%21%18%22%38%23%
 
4Some voters say any Democrat will defeat Donald Trump in November. Some voters say no Democrat will defeat Donald Trump in November. Others think certain Democrats will beat Trump and others will not.

For each Democrat running for President, please tell me how likely that Democrat is to defeat Trump. You may enter any number between 0 and 100, where zero means you think a particular Democrat has no chance whatsoever to defeat Trump, where 100 means this candidate is absolutely 100% certain to defeat Trump, and where 50 means you think the particular Democrats has a 50-50 chance of defeating Trump:

How likely is Joe Biden to defeat Donald Trump?

1929 Registered VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 1.5YesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%43%57%51%49%29%25%26%20%54%46%67%12%14%5%1%1%34%45%20%13%20%35%19%9%37%40%23%37%39%35%39%26%34%49%17%32%67%28%26%20%26%27%67%10%90%15%85%10%90%29%50%21%18%21%38%22%
Averages34%51%21%32%35%34%34%32%34%34%33%29%54%35%39%43%37%13%50%33%13%20%36%49%51%13%53%32%34%35%35%33%33%38%31%33%32%35%29%34%35%37%27%37%35%34%31%34%39%33%38%34%26%36%33%32%35%
 
5How likely is Mike Bloomberg to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 1.4YesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%43%57%51%49%29%25%26%20%54%46%67%12%14%5%1%1%34%45%20%13%20%35%19%9%37%40%23%37%39%35%39%26%34%49%17%32%67%28%26%20%26%27%67%10%90%15%85%10%90%29%50%21%18%21%38%22%
Averages33%46%23%33%33%33%31%32%35%32%33%29%45%38%38%38%28%15%46%34%13%21%37%45%47%15%48%31%32%35%34%32%33%35%31%33%31%34%29%34%33%36%26%36%35%33%31%33%37%32%36%34%25%34%31%32%35%
 
6How likely is Pete Buttigieg to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 1.3YesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%43%57%51%49%29%25%26%20%54%46%67%12%14%5%1%1%34%45%20%13%20%35%19%9%37%40%23%37%39%35%39%26%34%49%17%32%67%28%26%20%26%27%67%10%90%15%85%10%90%29%50%21%18%21%38%22%
Averages24%36%15%24%25%26%24%23%23%25%23%22%29%27%32%30%17%10%35%24%10%13%25%37%40%9%37%23%23%26%25%23%25%27%22%23%23%25%20%24%22%29%18%27%27%24%21%25%31%23%28%24%19%25%24%22%27%
 
7How likely is Tulsi Gabbard to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 1YesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%43%57%51%49%29%25%26%20%54%46%67%12%14%5%1%1%34%45%20%13%20%35%19%9%37%40%23%37%39%35%39%26%34%49%17%32%67%28%26%20%26%27%67%10%90%15%85%10%90%29%50%21%18%21%38%22%
Averages12%15%9%13%10%18%13%8%6%15%7%9%19%14%20%24%11%6%15%12%6%7%12%16%17%6%15%12%11%11%14%11%9%16%10%9%13%11%9%11%12%14%11%12%14%11%11%12%14%11%15%11%8%12%10%11%13%
 
8How likely is Amy Klobuchar to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 1.1YesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%43%57%51%49%29%25%26%20%54%46%67%12%14%5%1%1%34%45%20%13%20%35%19%9%37%40%23%37%39%35%39%26%34%49%17%32%67%28%26%20%26%27%67%10%90%15%85%10%90%29%50%21%18%21%38%22%
Averages17%26%11%18%17%19%17%15%19%18%17%15%22%20%25%27%15%8%25%18%7%9%18%25%32%7%27%16%17%19%19%16%17%20%16%16%16%18%15%18%16%21%14%19%19%17%16%18%22%17%21%17%14%19%15%17%20%
 
9How likely is Bernie Sanders to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 1.5YesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%43%57%51%49%29%25%26%20%54%46%67%12%14%5%1%1%34%45%20%13%20%35%19%9%37%40%23%37%39%35%39%26%34%49%17%32%67%28%26%20%26%27%67%10%90%15%85%10%90%29%50%21%18%21%38%22%
Averages39%56%27%39%39%46%40%36%34%43%35%34%57%44%46%45%36%17%56%40%17%23%42%54%66%18%55%40%39%39%41%39%38%46%36%35%40%39%32%38%39%48%31%43%41%39%36%40%49%38%46%39%30%41%38%37%44%
 
10How likely is Tom Steyer to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 1.1YesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%43%57%51%49%29%25%26%20%54%46%67%12%14%5%1%1%34%45%20%13%20%35%19%9%37%40%23%37%39%35%39%26%34%49%17%32%67%28%26%20%26%27%67%10%90%15%85%10%90%29%50%21%18%21%38%22%
Averages16%22%11%16%15%20%16%13%14%18%13%13%24%20%24%24%15%7%23%17%8%8%16%22%28%6%24%16%16%16%18%15%15%20%14%14%16%16%12%17%16%19%13%17%19%16%16%16%19%16%20%16%11%15%13%15%20%
 
11How likely is Elizabeth Warren to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 1.3YesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%43%57%51%49%29%25%26%20%54%46%67%12%14%5%1%1%34%45%20%13%20%35%19%9%37%40%23%37%39%35%39%26%34%49%17%32%67%28%26%20%26%27%67%10%90%15%85%10%90%29%50%21%18%21%38%22%
Averages25%38%14%24%26%29%24%22%23%27%22%22%35%26%31%33%20%9%37%24%9%11%25%38%48%8%39%22%24%27%26%23%25%29%23%21%23%25%20%24%23%31%18%27%26%24%23%25%34%24%27%26%18%25%23%24%28%
 
12If there were a Democratic primary for President of the United States today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who is your first choice?
825 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsYesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Joe Biden21%21%0%20%22%13%22%25%25%17%25%18%35%16%14%14%50%27%22%16%27%34%24%19%12%15%24%21%23%19%25%21%17%19%21%24%19%22%24%22%30%12%29%19%27%20%26%20%18%22%22%19%24%26%20%23%16%
Michael Bloomberg21%21%0%22%20%14%19%21%32%16%26%18%22%27%35%5%10%10%22%20%20%16%26%18%18%19%23%19%22%21%21%22%18%18%23%23%18%23%25%28%15%15%24%20%23%21%22%21%11%22%21%23%16%21%17%22%23%
Pete Buttigieg9%9%0%8%10%10%9%10%6%10%8%11%1%8%14%10%8%4%9%11%0%4%10%12%6%4%10%11%8%9%7%7%14%7%10%10%9%9%10%8%7%10%6%10%4%9%6%9%17%8%8%10%8%7%12%9%8%
Tulsi Gabbard1%1%0%2%1%1%2%1%1%2%1%2%0%1%2%0%0%5%1%4%3%4%1%1%2%4%1%0%1%2%1%2%2%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%2%4%1%3%1%3%1%1%2%1%1%2%2%1%
Amy Klobuchar4%4%0%5%3%2%2%4%9%2%6%6%1%2%1%0%0%19%3%6%9%8%3%6%3%8%4%2%3%6%2%4%7%3%5%4%1%6%6%5%3%3%3%5%3%4%7%4%3%4%3%3%9%6%3%4%4%
Bernie Sanders28%28%0%31%26%47%31%21%11%39%17%28%28%30%24%46%15%16%29%29%35%24%22%31%41%35%24%31%28%27%28%29%27%35%26%20%37%24%23%21%28%39%25%29%28%28%22%29%28%28%30%28%28%27%29%29%28%
Tom Steyer2%2%0%3%1%2%1%3%1%2%2%2%1%2%0%0%0%6%2%4%0%2%3%1%3%2%2%2%3%1%3%2%1%2%2%2%3%2%1%1%2%3%3%2%2%2%0%2%1%2%2%2%3%1%0%1%5%
Elizabeth Warren8%8%0%6%11%9%8%9%8%9%8%9%6%8%10%0%0%8%9%4%2%5%7%9%13%5%9%8%7%10%9%9%8%8%9%8%8%9%7%8%10%10%5%10%4%9%9%8%14%8%8%10%4%9%8%9%8%
Undecided5%5%0%4%5%2%6%5%6%4%5%4%5%4%0%24%17%6%4%6%4%3%6%4%2%6%4%5%5%4%5%4%6%4%3%8%4%4%3%5%4%6%3%5%5%4%6%4%6%4%5%3%6%3%9%2%6%
Total100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%100%0%48%52%27%25%26%22%52%48%58%19%16%5%1%1%3%83%13%3%9%37%32%18%8%72%21%36%44%34%40%26%36%48%16%31%68%24%26%19%30%21%74%10%90%13%87%12%88%33%50%16%19%21%35%24%
 
13Who is your second choice?
788 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsYesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Joe Biden23%23%0%24%21%21%24%22%25%23%23%18%26%31%34%33%10%17%23%22%33%19%25%24%18%21%24%25%24%21%20%25%23%22%23%22%22%23%26%26%25%16%24%22%28%22%23%23%20%23%23%24%19%20%23%25%21%
Michael Bloomberg13%13%0%13%12%12%12%12%15%12%13%12%14%13%13%0%60%23%13%11%13%14%15%12%10%14%13%14%10%14%13%13%13%13%12%14%13%12%12%13%17%10%14%13%12%13%8%14%7%14%12%12%16%13%12%13%13%
Pete Buttigieg11%11%0%10%13%8%8%14%17%8%16%14%6%8%13%22%0%6%11%16%0%12%12%10%13%9%12%10%11%13%9%13%12%8%13%12%11%12%13%12%8%12%9%12%17%11%12%11%12%11%11%11%16%13%14%9%13%
Tulsi Gabbard2%2%0%3%1%4%1%1%2%3%2%3%1%1%5%0%0%14%1%3%8%2%3%1%1%13%1%2%2%2%2%2%3%3%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%1%3%0%2%3%2%1%2%2%2%3%2%1%2%3%
Amy Klobuchar5%5%0%4%6%5%3%7%6%4%6%7%3%2%4%0%0%5%4%9%7%7%5%7%2%4%5%3%5%6%4%5%6%4%6%4%4%5%9%4%2%4%5%5%3%5%5%5%3%5%3%6%6%4%6%6%3%
Bernie Sanders21%21%0%21%22%20%27%22%16%23%19%17%33%27%14%0%12%11%23%11%16%26%27%17%19%8%24%23%24%19%23%23%17%23%20%21%24%20%17%24%28%18%25%21%23%21%17%22%24%21%26%21%14%26%20%20%21%
Tom Steyer3%3%0%3%3%3%3%4%5%3%4%4%5%0%1%18%0%8%3%4%8%3%3%3%3%6%3%4%4%3%5%2%3%3%3%4%3%3%5%4%2%2%5%3%1%4%7%3%2%3%4%2%6%2%3%4%3%
Elizabeth Warren16%16%0%18%15%23%18%14%9%20%12%20%9%12%7%27%18%6%17%16%3%10%8%22%30%16%16%12%16%19%17%14%19%19%15%14%17%16%13%12%12%26%11%18%13%17%16%16%20%16%16%16%17%17%15%16%17%
Undecided5%5%0%3%6%4%4%5%5%4%5%5%4%4%8%0%0%9%4%7%12%7%3%5%4%9%3%8%4%4%6%4%4%4%5%6%4%5%4%2%4%8%6%4%4%5%8%4%9%4%3%5%5%3%5%4%6%
Total100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%100%0%49%51%27%25%26%22%53%47%58%19%16%5%1%1%3%83%13%3%9%36%32%18%8%73%21%36%44%34%40%25%36%48%16%31%68%25%26%19%30%21%74%10%90%13%87%12%88%33%51%16%20%20%36%24%
 
14Who is your third choice?
752 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsYesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Joe Biden18%18%0%18%18%20%19%15%19%19%17%19%20%16%14%12%12%20%19%16%15%13%19%19%20%21%18%15%19%19%16%18%21%19%18%18%21%17%18%16%17%21%21%18%12%19%15%19%19%18%17%19%17%17%24%18%16%
Michael Bloomberg12%12%0%12%11%9%15%14%8%12%11%11%18%12%2%9%0%10%11%13%15%9%14%12%8%6%12%11%12%12%12%12%11%12%12%10%13%11%14%12%11%10%11%12%15%11%17%11%12%12%14%10%12%12%14%12%8%
Pete Buttigieg13%13%0%13%14%14%12%13%14%13%14%14%7%18%17%0%0%21%13%12%3%8%15%13%15%6%14%13%13%14%16%12%13%14%13%14%12%14%13%15%9%16%10%14%15%13%4%15%11%14%13%13%14%12%12%14%15%
Tulsi Gabbard2%2%0%3%2%4%2%2%1%3%1%2%2%4%0%20%0%6%2%4%3%6%2%2%2%7%2%4%1%2%2%3%1%3%2%2%3%2%2%3%1%2%4%2%5%2%3%2%0%3%3%2%1%3%1%3%3%
Amy Klobuchar8%8%0%9%7%6%8%10%10%7%10%11%3%6%5%11%30%10%8%12%14%7%7%9%9%18%7%9%7%9%7%9%9%8%9%8%7%9%6%10%7%9%7%8%6%8%11%8%12%8%7%8%12%10%8%9%7%
Bernie Sanders15%15%0%18%12%14%13%16%16%14%16%14%17%9%35%0%0%20%14%16%9%11%15%17%13%17%15%14%14%15%13%16%15%13%17%11%13%15%17%15%16%11%16%14%10%15%21%14%15%15%13%18%7%16%11%15%16%
Tom Steyer6%6%0%5%7%5%6%7%7%5%7%6%6%8%7%8%0%7%6%6%0%9%6%4%8%9%6%5%8%5%8%5%5%6%6%8%6%6%6%6%5%6%4%6%12%5%6%6%8%6%5%6%7%4%2%5%12%
Elizabeth Warren17%17%0%15%19%18%17%15%17%18%16%14%21%20%19%27%10%3%18%12%22%13%16%16%20%7%18%19%15%17%15%18%19%18%16%17%15%18%15%16%22%15%19%16%16%17%16%17%19%17%19%16%14%18%15%16%18%
Undecided9%9%0%7%11%10%9%8%8%10%8%10%7%7%2%13%48%5%9%8%19%23%8%8%5%8%8%9%10%8%12%7%6%9%7%12%9%8%8%6%11%10%8%9%9%9%6%9%5%9%9%7%15%9%12%9%5%
Total100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%100%0%50%50%28%25%26%22%53%47%58%19%16%5%1%1%3%84%13%3%8%37%32%18%7%74%20%36%44%34%41%26%36%48%15%32%68%25%26%20%29%21%75%10%90%13%87%11%89%33%50%16%20%20%36%23%
 
15Who is your fourth choice?
686 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsYesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Joe Biden12%12%0%13%10%16%10%9%10%13%10%14%6%10%7%10%0%9%11%15%0%10%12%13%12%13%11%13%12%11%13%11%10%11%12%9%13%11%10%11%8%17%5%14%8%12%8%12%11%12%12%13%7%12%9%10%15%
Michael Bloomberg10%10%0%11%10%14%8%11%8%11%9%11%12%7%13%16%0%12%11%10%5%16%11%9%10%14%10%14%8%11%10%8%15%10%10%11%11%10%9%11%12%11%14%10%10%11%9%11%15%10%10%12%7%8%9%12%12%
Pete Buttigieg16%16%0%16%15%12%16%16%19%14%17%17%10%18%10%14%23%14%16%15%22%14%12%17%20%9%16%13%17%16%14%17%15%14%16%17%11%17%18%16%11%16%15%16%17%15%16%15%16%15%16%15%17%11%18%16%15%
Tulsi Gabbard3%3%0%4%2%6%1%2%2%3%2%3%1%3%0%0%0%11%2%6%10%4%1%4%2%9%2%3%2%3%2%4%3%3%3%2%3%3%3%4%1%2%2%3%1%3%1%3%1%3%3%2%4%3%1%3%3%
Amy Klobuchar11%11%0%9%13%10%9%13%12%10%13%11%10%11%14%0%19%6%11%13%0%8%12%8%14%11%11%9%9%13%13%11%9%12%10%11%11%11%11%8%13%13%12%11%6%12%11%11%12%11%13%10%10%16%10%10%9%
Bernie Sanders8%8%0%6%10%5%9%9%9%7%9%6%8%10%15%37%58%7%9%5%7%10%8%8%7%0%10%6%10%8%9%8%6%9%6%12%8%8%8%12%8%5%11%8%10%8%9%8%8%8%11%7%8%8%9%6%11%
Tom Steyer9%9%0%10%7%7%10%9%8%9%9%7%9%10%11%23%0%13%9%7%24%10%7%9%9%15%8%10%6%10%7%9%10%7%10%6%8%9%12%7%9%7%8%8%15%8%9%8%7%9%7%8%12%5%6%10%11%
Elizabeth Warren19%19%0%19%18%15%20%19%23%17%20%16%27%18%24%0%0%15%20%13%5%12%23%20%13%11%20%20%19%18%16%19%21%19%19%18%20%18%18%18%20%19%20%18%20%19%22%18%16%19%15%21%19%20%24%19%13%
Undecided13%13%0%12%14%15%16%12%9%15%11%13%16%12%7%0%0%14%13%15%26%16%13%12%12%19%11%12%17%10%16%12%11%14%12%14%14%12%11%14%18%11%13%13%15%13%13%13%13%13%14%12%16%17%14%12%10%
Total100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%100%0%51%49%27%25%26%22%52%48%57%20%17%5%1%0%3%84%13%2%7%37%33%19%7%75%20%35%44%32%41%26%36%49%15%32%68%25%27%19%29%21%75%10%90%13%87%12%88%33%52%15%20%19%36%24%
 
16Who is your fifth choice?
597 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsYesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Joe Biden8%8%0%9%8%5%8%13%8%6%10%9%8%8%5%0%0%4%9%7%16%6%8%7%13%11%9%9%5%11%8%6%13%8%9%7%8%8%9%9%5%9%8%8%10%8%10%8%12%8%8%9%8%8%6%8%11%
Michael Bloomberg9%9%0%9%9%10%8%10%9%9%10%11%6%7%12%0%0%12%9%11%6%11%9%10%10%20%8%9%11%8%7%8%13%9%8%11%9%9%11%7%12%8%7%9%5%10%9%9%10%9%9%8%15%8%11%10%8%
Pete Buttigieg16%16%0%17%16%20%17%17%9%19%13%16%22%12%17%10%0%28%16%11%21%27%16%16%14%27%16%13%16%18%14%20%14%22%14%9%16%16%11%14%26%17%17%16%16%16%16%16%15%16%16%16%17%25%14%14%14%
Tulsi Gabbard7%7%0%8%5%10%9%3%4%9%4%8%5%6%6%0%0%9%6%10%15%5%9%5%5%8%5%10%4%7%6%6%8%6%7%7%9%5%8%4%8%7%9%6%6%7%5%7%1%7%5%7%7%7%6%6%7%
Amy Klobuchar18%18%0%17%19%20%17%15%20%18%18%20%17%15%8%38%0%23%17%21%7%13%18%20%20%13%19%14%19%19%20%18%17%19%18%18%18%18%20%16%13%21%12%20%21%18%17%18%20%18%17%19%18%13%29%16%16%
Bernie Sanders6%6%0%6%7%4%4%9%8%4%9%9%4%4%2%0%0%7%7%4%0%6%5%6%9%4%7%7%5%7%7%6%8%6%7%8%6%7%6%6%4%9%4%7%5%7%8%6%12%6%4%6%12%5%6%7%7%
Tom Steyer14%14%0%15%12%11%16%9%19%13%14%9%15%20%38%0%23%0%14%15%18%13%15%11%14%9%14%13%15%14%17%12%12%13%14%17%12%15%13%20%9%11%16%13%12%14%15%14%7%15%16%14%7%14%12%16%12%
Elizabeth Warren12%12%0%13%12%8%13%17%11%11%14%11%13%16%8%35%58%0%13%11%6%7%13%15%9%4%13%10%14%12%12%16%8%9%15%15%14%12%14%15%13%9%19%11%20%12%14%12%12%12%14%12%11%13%6%12%16%
Undecided9%9%0%7%12%13%7%5%12%10%8%8%10%12%5%16%19%16%9%10%12%13%7%10%7%5%8%15%11%5%10%8%9%10%9%8%7%10%8%9%9%10%7%9%5%9%7%9%12%9%9%10%6%7%10%10%9%
Total100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%100%0%51%49%26%25%26%23%51%49%57%19%17%6%1%0%3%84%13%2%7%37%33%19%7%76%20%34%46%31%42%27%36%49%15%31%68%26%27%18%29%21%75%10%90%13%87%11%89%33%52%14%19%19%37%25%
 
17Who is your sixth choice?
543 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct pointsYesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Joe Biden4%4%0%5%4%8%4%4%2%6%3%5%0%6%9%0%0%0%5%5%6%2%3%6%6%7%4%3%3%6%2%3%9%5%5%2%4%5%4%4%5%5%2%5%6%4%1%5%6%4%5%4%5%7%2%3%7%
Michael Bloomberg8%8%0%6%10%8%7%7%9%8%8%10%8%0%0%79%0%16%8%8%0%7%8%8%9%2%9%6%7%9%8%9%7%6%9%9%10%7%8%7%9%8%8%8%10%8%11%7%11%7%10%6%9%7%10%9%6%
Pete Buttigieg12%12%0%14%10%9%16%10%14%12%12%9%21%16%3%0%71%9%13%10%7%11%12%11%17%20%12%14%12%12%14%12%10%10%13%14%18%10%13%15%14%9%15%12%9%13%15%12%4%13%13%14%5%7%11%12%18%
Tulsi Gabbard9%9%0%9%10%17%9%5%5%13%5%9%6%14%9%0%0%0%9%11%15%12%7%11%10%7%8%7%12%8%10%10%7%13%7%8%8%10%9%11%6%10%11%9%8%9%5%10%12%9%9%9%11%9%11%10%7%
Amy Klobuchar22%22%0%22%21%23%25%21%17%24%19%19%28%22%33%12%0%20%23%15%41%27%20%18%30%12%23%26%22%20%21%22%23%23%21%23%17%24%22%17%27%22%22%22%25%21%18%22%27%21%24%20%23%26%18%23%20%
Bernie Sanders5%5%0%4%5%2%3%6%8%3%7%5%4%5%0%0%0%0%5%5%0%2%4%6%5%7%5%5%3%6%4%3%8%2%7%5%5%5%7%4%5%3%6%4%6%5%5%5%3%5%3%5%6%5%8%4%3%
Tom Steyer21%21%0%20%21%20%18%24%20%19%22%22%18%22%15%0%0%19%20%28%8%7%24%23%15%20%21%18%21%22%20%21%21%21%21%20%24%19%20%18%21%24%21%21%18%21%21%21%23%20%19%21%23%25%18%19%21%
Elizabeth Warren10%10%0%11%8%6%9%12%13%7%12%11%3%11%16%10%29%36%9%10%12%12%13%9%5%21%9%13%12%7%13%8%9%13%9%4%7%11%9%16%5%7%10%10%14%9%5%11%8%10%8%11%11%8%10%10%11%
Undecided9%9%0%8%11%6%9%9%12%8%11%9%12%4%14%0%0%0%10%7%11%21%10%7%4%5%9%8%8%10%9%12%6%8%9%13%7%10%9%6%9%12%5%9%4%10%18%8%5%10%10%10%7%6%12%11%8%
Total100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%100%0%52%48%25%25%27%22%50%50%58%19%16%6%1%0%3%84%13%2%7%38%33%19%7%77%19%33%48%31%42%27%36%49%15%32%68%26%27%18%29%22%75%10%90%14%86%11%89%33%52%15%20%19%36%25%
 
18Who is your seventh choice?
493 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct pointsYesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Joe Biden4%4%0%4%5%6%5%3%4%5%4%5%1%8%2%0%0%4%4%6%7%3%4%4%6%0%3%5%5%4%7%4%3%6%4%2%3%5%3%3%2%8%3%5%5%4%7%4%8%4%5%4%6%2%6%3%8%
Michael Bloomberg10%10%0%10%11%9%7%18%6%8%13%12%9%9%10%0%0%12%11%8%9%5%8%12%13%10%11%8%9%13%7%12%11%14%9%8%6%13%9%6%17%12%11%10%10%10%13%10%17%10%7%13%9%17%7%9%10%
Pete Buttigieg6%6%0%5%6%12%4%2%4%8%3%5%6%8%0%15%0%0%6%6%28%5%5%6%4%16%4%11%4%5%8%4%5%8%4%7%6%5%8%5%7%4%7%5%8%5%6%6%3%6%7%5%4%5%5%7%4%
Tulsi Gabbard21%21%0%22%20%21%26%22%13%24%18%20%27%16%27%11%0%15%22%14%0%16%23%19%25%14%21%20%21%21%20%23%19%20%23%17%24%19%20%23%22%19%28%18%14%22%22%21%9%22%17%22%23%19%32%21%15%
Amy Klobuchar15%15%0%16%14%14%17%13%16%16%14%11%18%22%26%27%29%13%16%10%16%12%17%16%11%16%16%17%16%14%18%15%12%16%15%15%22%12%15%21%13%11%19%14%23%14%15%15%12%15%21%13%9%10%9%16%23%
Bernie Sanders6%6%0%5%7%1%4%6%13%3%9%7%0%8%5%10%0%5%5%10%16%6%6%6%5%4%6%3%6%7%9%4%5%4%5%12%3%7%5%8%3%8%1%7%6%6%4%6%7%6%5%6%7%4%6%6%7%
Tom Steyer23%23%0%23%23%25%24%17%25%25%20%25%19%17%22%19%71%34%23%18%18%30%22%22%24%25%23%21%20%25%16%25%26%22%23%21%23%22%23%23%20%23%19%24%20%23%19%23%22%23%22%21%26%30%24%20%19%
Elizabeth Warren6%6%0%6%6%7%3%6%9%5%7%6%12%3%3%0%0%5%4%19%0%18%7%5%3%4%6%4%10%4%8%4%7%5%6%7%5%7%11%3%7%5%4%7%2%7%5%6%7%6%6%6%8%3%2%10%5%
Undecided9%9%0%9%10%5%9%13%9%7%11%10%8%9%5%19%0%12%9%9%7%4%10%10%8%11%10%10%10%8%8%9%11%5%11%11%9%9%7%8%10%11%8%9%12%9%9%9%17%8%10%9%7%10%9%9%9%
Total100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%100%0%53%47%26%25%27%21%51%49%58%18%17%5%1%0%3%84%13%2%6%38%34%21%8%77%19%33%47%31%41%28%36%50%14%32%67%26%28%18%28%22%75%11%89%12%88%12%88%33%52%15%21%18%36%25%
 
19The process that you just went through is called "ranked choice voting." Some cities and states have implemented ranked choice voting in their elections. In a Presidential primary, if your 1st choice did not have enough support to win convention delegates. ranked choice voting would automatically assign your vote to your next choice able to win delegates. Where you live, if there was a proposal to implement ranked choice voting for Presidential primaries, would you ... ?
788 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllLDPVGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeology2016 VoteEducationIncomeMartial StatusChild < 18ReligionEvangelicalUnion HHMilitary HHLGBTQ HHUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsYesNoMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianMultiracOtherRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Strongly Support28%28%0%29%26%37%29%21%21%33%21%24%33%35%28%22%30%27%28%26%34%22%27%27%34%27%28%27%28%27%27%24%33%29%29%19%29%27%23%29%28%29%33%27%35%27%22%28%32%27%34%26%21%30%21%32%24%
Support36%36%0%35%36%43%36%36%26%39%31%37%33%31%40%58%40%23%37%32%25%31%34%40%33%24%35%35%35%36%36%36%34%38%34%37%44%32%35%33%40%36%33%36%35%36%34%36%37%35%38%33%39%38%37%31%39%
Oppose10%10%0%11%8%6%13%11%9%9%10%11%9%6%9%7%0%17%9%10%2%13%9%10%9%17%9%7%8%12%8%10%10%8%11%8%10%9%14%8%7%9%9%10%4%10%10%9%6%10%8%10%11%6%14%11%7%
Strongly Oppose10%10%0%12%9%4%7%12%19%6%15%12%5%9%10%14%0%11%9%16%22%16%10%8%12%20%9%11%12%9%9%13%7%8%10%17%6%12%9%13%8%10%8%11%11%10%16%9%15%10%9%11%11%9%12%11%10%
Not Sure17%17%0%13%21%10%16%19%25%13%22%16%19%19%13%0%30%22%17%15%17%18%21%15%13%12%19%19%17%16%19%16%15%17%16%20%12%19%18%17%17%16%17%17%15%17%19%17%10%18%11%21%18%18%16%16%20%
Total100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%100%0%49%51%27%25%26%22%53%47%58%19%16%5%1%1%3%83%13%3%9%36%32%18%8%73%21%36%44%34%40%25%36%48%16%31%68%25%26%19%30%21%74%10%90%13%87%12%88%33%51%16%20%20%36%24%
 
 All Questions Crosstabbed By All Questions
 
1Are you registered to vote?
2400 AdultsAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 1.5 pct pointsYesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Yes84%---100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
No14%------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Not Sure2%------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%3%4%6%10%13%55%8%1%36%54%6%1%3%21%21%9%1%4%28%2%8%5%23%13%11%2%5%21%3%16%5%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
 
2Many states will hold primaries and caucuses this Spring for elected office at the local, state and federal level. 3 states have already voted. In other states, early voting has begun. Which best describes you:
2007 Registered VotersAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 2.2 pct pointsYesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Not Interested; Will Not Vote3%3%0%0%---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Probably Will Not Vote4%4%0%0%---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
May Or May Not Vote6%6%0%0%---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Probably Will Vote10%10%0%0%---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Almost Certain Will Vote13%13%0%0%--------17%16%19%18%30%21%15%14%17%10%14%23%10%27%18%20%12%18%14%14%7%15%14%11%21%18%6%16%17%18%12%18%9%11%16%7%13%13%12%20%25%14%12%17%17%7%16%20%10%17%13%11%8%7%16%22%15%10%22%22%13%10%12%15%13%10%10%15%10%19%11%12%21%
100% Certain To Vote55%55%0%0%--------74%72%70%82%67%68%71%69%68%78%75%54%82%70%70%72%77%61%71%74%73%71%75%76%71%69%76%78%69%69%72%70%80%75%66%74%77%75%73%71%67%71%79%73%79%76%67%67%77%70%66%79%86%80%71%55%69%75%74%60%71%86%74%71%74%80%73%63%72%70%78%80%68%
Already Voted8%8%0%0%--------8%12%11%0%2%11%14%16%15%12%10%23%8%2%12%8%12%21%15%11%20%14%11%13%7%13%18%6%13%12%15%12%11%14%18%19%10%12%15%9%8%15%10%10%4%18%17%14%12%14%22%11%6%13%13%23%16%15%5%17%16%4%14%14%13%10%17%22%18%10%10%8%10%
Not Sure1%1%0%0%---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%100%0%0%36%54%6%1%3%21%21%9%1%4%28%2%8%5%23%13%11%2%5%21%3%16%5%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
 
3If your state were holding a primary today, which ballot would you request?
1525 Likely Primary VotersAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct pointsYesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Republican Ballot36%36%0%0%0%0%0%0%36%37%30%0%-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Democratic Ballot54%54%0%0%0%0%0%0%51%54%63%0%-----100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Non-partisan Ballot6%6%0%0%0%0%0%0%6%5%6%0%-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Other Party's Ballot1%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Not Sure3%3%0%0%0%0%0%0%6%3%1%0%-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total100%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%17%73%10%0%21%21%9%1%4%28%2%8%5%23%13%11%2%5%21%3%16%5%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
 
4Some voters say any Democrat will defeat Donald Trump in November. Some voters say no Democrat will defeat Donald Trump in November. Others think certain Democrats will beat Trump and others will not.

For each Democrat running for President, please tell me how likely that Democrat is to defeat Trump. You may enter any number between 0 and 100, where zero means you think a particular Democrat has no chance whatsoever to defeat Trump, where 100 means this candidate is absolutely 100% certain to defeat Trump, and where 50 means you think the particular Democrats has a 50-50 chance of defeating Trump:

How likely is Joe Biden to defeat Donald Trump?

1929 Registered VotersAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 1.5YesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Total100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%100%0%0%3%4%6%11%13%56%8%0%37%56%6%1%0%21%21%9%1%4%28%2%8%5%23%13%11%2%5%21%3%16%5%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
Averages34%34%  34%28%25%34%36%34%34% 11%51%28%33% 69%46%50%24%53%44%41%53%40%56%55%51%23%45%54%54%47%38%48%58%52%37%51%53%47%59%42%49%52%52%35%55%67%54%55%47%50%58%51%47%56%57%56%57%49%40%59%55%51%55%56%54%56%54%42%58%59%50%54%70%54%50%52%53%51%45%49%54%
 
5How likely is Mike Bloomberg to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 1.4YesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Total100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%100%0%0%3%4%6%11%13%56%8%0%37%56%6%1%0%21%21%9%1%4%28%2%8%5%23%13%11%2%5%21%3%16%5%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
Averages33%33%  33%29%30%31%34%34%31% 14%46%34%49% 42%70%43%16%43%36%48%43%38%51%58%52%33%43%46%42%38%33%50%51%47%31%42%53%49%48%32%53%45%49%41%49%62%47%49%41%58%41%43%37%51%53%54%60%50%44%36%55%45%49%59%47%59%57%38%35%47%47%56%66%51%55%47%49%47%41%41%49%
 
6How likely is Pete Buttigieg to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 1.3YesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Total100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%100%0%0%3%4%6%11%13%56%8%0%37%56%6%1%0%21%21%9%1%4%28%2%8%5%23%13%11%2%5%21%3%16%5%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
Averages24%24%  24%22%18%23%25%25%27% 9%36%22%27% 32%32%60%18%44%33%31%42%32%34%35%48%33%31%36%38%37%20%36%36%42%29%43%37%32%41%22%45%39%39%29%43%45%37%36%26%49%43%32%37%43%45%40%44%29%49%43%33%36%41%43%45%42%41%48%47%39%34%38%55%41%40%44%40%37%31%29%35%
 
7How likely is Tulsi Gabbard to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 1YesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Total100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%100%0%0%3%4%6%11%13%56%8%0%37%56%6%1%0%21%21%9%1%4%28%2%8%5%23%13%11%2%5%21%3%16%5%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
Averages12%12%  17%15%12%15%12%10%9% 4%15%9%20% 13%12%12%39%16%17%17%15%13%14%13%14%26%10%17%26%15%10%12%17%16%31%15%15%10%19%12%18%19%14%21%15%16%14%15%14%16%15%14%26%17%11%18%15%12%17%16%17%20%17%10%17%11%14%31%15%33%13%17%13%14%21%11%20%17%9%7%10%
 
8How likely is Amy Klobuchar to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 1.1YesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Total100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%100%0%0%3%4%6%11%13%56%8%0%37%56%6%1%0%21%21%9%1%4%28%2%8%5%23%13%11%2%5%21%3%16%5%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
Averages17%17%  16%16%13%18%16%18%18% 6%26%14%22% 24%24%29%14%57%24%33%31%26%25%26%28%29%32%26%31%27%16%26%25%27%20%39%25%25%33%14%31%30%32%29%32%33%26%24%19%36%30%27%31%32%31%31%30%17%40%33%31%25%28%34%34%31%25%40%38%38%24%23%48%32%34%32%31%27%20%21%24%
 
9How likely is Bernie Sanders to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 1.5YesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Total100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%100%0%0%3%4%6%11%13%56%8%0%37%56%6%1%0%21%21%9%1%4%28%2%8%5%23%13%11%2%5%21%3%16%5%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
Averages39%39%  39%33%32%42%39%40%41% 15%56%40%55% 46%49%52%44%42%74%43%62%45%55%52%54%44%43%62%57%65%50%58%63%57%48%62%52%49%61%51%67%55%58%48%57%56%53%61%52%67%59%57%54%63%49%55%61%55%71%58%57%54%61%48%62%52%60%70%56%68%62%56%44%60%50%61%62%58%49%53%52%
 
10How likely is Tom Steyer to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 1.1YesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Total100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%100%0%0%3%4%6%11%13%56%8%0%37%56%6%1%0%21%21%9%1%4%28%2%8%5%23%13%11%2%5%21%3%16%5%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
Averages16%16%  17%19%15%18%16%15%16% 5%22%15%35% 21%22%22%13%29%21%51%23%20%24%23%21%16%18%22%50%20%16%18%24%23%24%23%26%29%28%12%25%23%25%24%25%28%28%22%17%33%26%23%21%23%26%28%28%16%28%22%29%22%27%26%25%27%25%35%28%38%19%27%36%24%30%20%26%24%16%15%23%
 
11How likely is Elizabeth Warren to defeat Donald Trump?
1929 Registered VotersAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 1.3YesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Total100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%100%0%0%3%4%6%11%13%56%8%0%37%56%6%1%0%21%21%9%1%4%28%2%8%5%23%13%11%2%5%21%3%16%5%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
Averages25%25%  23%20%20%23%23%26%27% 7%38%19%33% 33%31%40%21%49%39%30%65%35%34%31%42%27%35%40%36%51%29%39%38%40%36%44%40%30%46%23%49%44%40%37%43%48%38%38%27%51%44%39%41%49%41%42%37%34%53%52%45%42%42%38%45%31%43%52%51%53%40%36%49%43%32%46%42%40%29%33%37%
 
12If there were a Democratic primary for President of the United States today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who is your first choice?
825 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsYesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Joe Biden21%21%0%0%0%0%0%0%28%20%20%0%0%21%0%0%0%---------0%39%20%13%28%39%35%15%25%0%42%24%5%22%23%20%30%25%0%28%22%23%23%40%15%22%26%0%24%25%20%21%19%25%29%14%0%29%21%17%27%25%20%22%22%0%28%21%20%18%30%25%23%18%17%22%20%27%29%
Michael Bloomberg21%21%0%0%0%0%0%0%19%21%26%0%0%21%0%0%0%---------42%0%30%15%15%26%18%8%7%28%0%27%23%12%38%36%22%13%25%0%25%24%29%26%32%31%17%29%0%22%13%25%33%36%33%23%13%0%35%16%20%43%23%36%42%21%0%7%31%39%42%19%31%10%25%18%27%22%23%
Pete Buttigieg9%9%0%0%0%0%0%0%8%9%13%0%0%9%0%0%0%---------11%11%0%14%14%12%3%10%6%14%8%0%11%7%12%8%12%11%15%14%0%0%14%13%8%8%12%10%21%0%9%10%22%9%6%7%15%12%0%5%11%18%11%12%6%3%12%0%12%6%6%12%16%11%8%12%13%7%6%
Tulsi Gabbard1%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%2%1%2%0%0%1%0%0%0%---------1%0%1%0%5%2%2%1%4%0%4%1%0%1%3%0%1%2%0%0%1%0%2%0%4%2%2%4%2%3%0%2%0%0%0%0%0%2%3%0%1%0%1%4%0%16%0%0%0%1%2%2%0%2%1%1%2%5%1%
Amy Klobuchar4%4%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%4%4%0%0%4%0%0%0%---------3%5%9%19%0%1%6%5%4%8%2%3%10%0%3%7%5%3%6%5%6%13%0%6%3%3%5%5%9%4%9%0%7%5%3%5%13%11%4%2%0%14%6%5%0%0%7%11%2%0%17%5%5%7%5%5%3%7%2%
Bernie Sanders28%28%0%0%0%0%0%0%25%30%25%0%0%28%0%0%0%---------35%36%27%31%15%0%36%59%35%33%38%34%44%39%0%28%30%39%40%29%30%40%20%0%29%32%33%34%30%36%40%33%0%14%26%28%39%34%27%37%31%0%29%16%24%35%28%44%27%29%0%28%17%42%31%33%28%23%26%
Tom Steyer2%2%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%1%4%0%0%2%0%0%0%---------2%6%2%0%0%1%0%1%2%3%1%1%4%3%5%0%1%1%2%4%4%0%0%7%0%2%0%5%7%2%0%0%7%0%3%4%0%2%3%3%4%0%0%5%0%7%0%5%3%4%0%0%9%1%3%1%3%1%3%
Elizabeth Warren8%8%0%0%0%0%0%0%5%10%6%0%0%8%0%0%0%---------6%3%11%7%22%19%0%0%16%14%6%8%4%15%15%2%0%6%13%20%11%0%13%8%8%0%5%14%8%9%9%8%12%11%0%18%20%10%7%20%6%0%10%0%7%18%25%13%6%2%3%9%0%9%11%8%4%8%11%
Undecided5%5%0%0%0%0%0%0%8%4%1%0%0%5%0%0%0%--------------------------------------------------------------------
Total100%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%100%100%100%0%0%100%0%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%16%72%12%0%0%100%0%0%0%23%13%11%2%5%21%3%16%5%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
 
13Who is your second choice?
788 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllRegisteredPrimaryBallot1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice4th Choice5th Choice6th Choice7th ChoiceRanked Choice Voting
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsYesNoNot SureNot InteProbablyMay Or MProbablyAlmost C100% CerAlready Not SureRepublicDemocratNon-partOther PaNot SureJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideJoe BideMichael Pete ButTulsi GaAmy KlobBernie STom SteyElizabetUndecideStronglySupportOpposeStronglyNot Sure
Joe Biden23%23%0%0%0%0%0%0%26%22%22%0%0%23%0%0%0%0%44%26%22%16%27%24%14%0%---------0%27%25%26%18%43%34%32%21%0%22%20%24%24%28%35%35%29%0%31%24%18%27%27%29%26%22%0%20%46%27%21%21%16%27%27%0%11%24%27%38%27%21%29%16%20%25%30%22%21%
Michael Bloomberg13%13%0%0%0%0%0%0%16%13%8%0%0%13%0%0%0%23%0%15%0%16%16%37%4%0%---------20%0%17%9%16%15%11%13%10%16%0%14%20%10%22%10%15%20%15%0%19%11%7%12%12%21%14%9%0%10%17%17%14%8%26%10%5%0%20%12%13%22%17%12%13%13%13%9%5%18%
Pete Buttigieg11%11%0%0%0%0%0%0%9%12%11%0%0%11%0%0%0%10%16%0%5%25%10%11%14%0%---------16%12%0%15%19%14%12%12%10%20%18%0%12%17%24%7%16%2%24%13%0%10%13%22%19%19%13%17%10%0%8%13%27%21%14%19%25%19%0%10%13%22%12%19%14%12%12%11%13%9%
Tulsi Gabbard2%2%0%0%0%0%0%0%2%2%4%0%0%2%0%0%0%1%1%3%0%9%2%0%2%0%---------4%2%4%0%3%0%2%1%3%1%4%2%0%3%1%2%1%3%1%5%3%0%1%3%3%1%1%3%3%0%0%2%3%4%4%0%3%2%4%0%3%9%2%6%0%2%2%2%6%1%
Amy Klobuchar5%5%0%0%0%0%0%0%5%5%6%0%0%5%0%0%0%6%3%8%17%0%3%0%12%0%---------6%8%4%4%0%8%5%5%3%3%8%9%9%0%1%8%7%4%13%8%7%6%0%14%5%4%3%4%8%4%12%0%15%8%10%3%6%9%12%7%0%10%5%9%9%3%4%7%12%5%
Bernie Sanders21%21%0%0%0%0%0%0%20%22%20%0%0%21%0%0%0%38%25%26%29%7%0%14%45%0%---------31%30%21%20%12%0%21%32%25%24%28%31%5%26%0%21%22%20%20%25%26%23%25%0%18%26%29%29%15%23%17%29%0%25%17%20%25%34%14%24%21%0%27%20%12%26%20%19%18%20%
Tom Steyer3%3%0%0%0%0%0%0%2%3%5%0%0%3%0%0%0%5%3%1%5%4%4%0%0%0%---------1%4%2%16%8%3%0%5%4%3%1%5%8%1%8%0%4%4%6%4%3%7%4%6%0%3%3%3%11%3%1%4%7%0%3%5%10%3%7%2%2%2%0%5%12%4%5%2%1%2%
Elizabeth Warren16%16%0%0%0%0%0%0%16%16%19%0%0%16%0%0%0%11%6%18%9%18%33%9%0%0%---------21%17%27%9%24%17%16%0%24%33%18%19%23%19%15%16%0%19%21%14%19%25%24%16%13%0%15%35%33%13%18%14%13%19%0%15%26%22%19%19%10%7%17%0%24%16%17%16%14%17%
Undecided5%5%0%0%0%0%0%0%4%5%4%0%0%5%0%0%0%5%1%3%12%4%5%5%8%0%------------------------------------------------------3%3%5%9%8%
Total100%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%100%100%100%0%0%100%0%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%16%72%12%0%0%100%0%0%0%22%22%9%2%4%30%2%9%0%18%12%13%2%8%15%6%17%9%12%10%16%3%11%8%9%19%13%8%9%16%7%18%6%14%12%9%4%8%12%9%22%5%21%10%9%4%10%6%21%15%6%23%6%9%28%36%10%10%17%
 
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