Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14430
Women Given Obama The Edge in Maine: In an election for President of the United States in Maine today, 09/24/08, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 49% to 44%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCSH-TV Portland and WLBZ-TV Bangor.

Obama's lead comes entirely from women. The candidates are effectively tied among men. McCain runs strong among gun owners, Pro-Life voters, those who say the United States is still a Super Power, and those who attend religious services regularly. Obama runs strong among college graduates, among lower-income voters, among Pro-Choice voters, and among voters who almost never attend religious services.

Obama carries by 5 points both Southern Maine -- which corresponds to Maine's 1st congressional district -- and Northern Maine -- which corresponds to Maine's 2nd congressional district. This means that in an election today, Obama would pick-up all 4 of the state's Electoral College votes.

Absentee ballots became available in Maine during the course of the field period for this poll. 7% of Maine voters say they have already voted. Obama leads both among those who have already voted, and among those who have not yet voted.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Maine adults 09/22/08 through 09/23/08. Of the adults, 820 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 675 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Maine has 4 Electoral College votes. Maine's 4 electoral votes are allocated proportionally; the winner of each congressional district receives 1 electoral vote, and the statewide winner receives the other 2 votes. Maine has has this system since 1972, but it has never been used; no candidate has ever won the state of Maine without carrying both congressional districts. John Kerry carried Maine by 9 points in 2004; Al Gore carried Maine by 5 points in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
675 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?College GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionIncomeIntellectual?Traveled AbroadSpeak Another LaUSA Super PowerOwn a Gun?Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalActual VLikely VYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choi< $50K> $50KYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoSouthNorth
McCain (R)44%47%41%49%42%39%47%45%43%46%49%40%44%******80%12%44%81%39%7%41%44%42%45%51%48%34%65%31%39%47%45%45%44%41%44%44%50%23%53%32%43%44%
Obama (D)49%46%51%37%51%56%48%46%52%44%45%55%49%******16%84%49%15%54%90%53%48%53%45%38%47%59%22%66%51%47%49%50%48%54%49%48%43%72%41%59%48%49%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%48%52%21%32%27%20%54%46%47%10%43%98%0%0%2%34%35%28%27%40%15%7%93%47%53%31%30%39%37%60%43%57%69%24%82%18%32%68%77%18%51%47%54%46%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.