Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17020
In WA-02, Independents Give Early Slight Advantage to Republican Koster Over Larsen: In an election for US House of Representatives in Washington's 2nd Congressional District today, 09/03/10, Republican challenger John Koster is in a tight fight with incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen, according to this latest exclusive KING-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. 2 months until votes are counted, it's Koster 50%, Larsen 46%, with partisan voters canceling each other out and Independents, who break 4:3 Republican, accounting for all of Koster's narrow advantage. Older, more reliable voters split. Younger voters break Republican.
Filtering: 800 registered voters from Washington's 2nd Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 08/31/10 through 09/02/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 612 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives.
[Candidate names rotated]
If you were filling out your ballot in the election for U.S. House of Representatives today, who would you vote for? Republican John Koster? Or Democrat Rick Larsen?
612 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
John Koster (R)50%54%46%59%54%46%47%56%46%49%****54%90%10%53%86%35%11%89%9%51%27%50%49%65%46%36%74%30%55%41%45%52%
Rick Larsen (D)46%43%50%37%42%50%49%40%50%47%****35%10%87%41%12%61%88%9%89%44%56%46%47%33%49%59%23%66%41%56%51%45%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%13%25%38%24%37%63%89%4%2%5%31%32%34%38%39%18%37%32%22%8%51%49%38%24%38%44%53%53%43%35%65%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.