Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14364
McCain, 7 Weeks Out, Positioned to Hold Ohio's 20 Electoral Votes for GOP: In an election for President of the United States in Ohio today, 09/15/08, Republican John McCain defeats Barack Obama by 4 points, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCMH-TV Columbus, WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WKYC-TV Cleveland, and WDIO-TV Dayton. Today, it's McCain 49%, Obama 45%.

McCain leads 5:4 in Columbus, Cincinnati, Dayton, and Toledo. Obama leads 5:4 in greater Cleveland. McCain leads by 16 points among whites; Obama leads by 82 points among blacks. 6 in 10 voters say the president should focus on the economy ahead of all other issues, and among that group, Obama leads 5:4. But the smaller group of voters who say terrorism is most important backs McCain 32:1. 3 times as many Democrats crossover to vote Republican as Republicans who crossover to vote Democrat. Among men, McCain leads by 13 points; among women, Obama leads by 4 -- a 17 point gender gap. Among voters who are younger than Barack Obama, Obama and McCain are tied. Among voters older than John McCain and those who are in-between the two candidates' ages, McCain leads by 10. McCain leads 5:4 among those who earn more than $50,000 a year. Obama leads 4:3 among those who earn less than $50,000 a year.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Ohio adults 09/12/08 through 09/14/08. Of the adults, 832 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 692 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Like other research firms polling in Ohio, SurveyUSA did not mention Bob Barr or Ralph Nader by name in this questionnaire. Barr supporters would have been able to say they supported "another candidate" when asked to choose between McCain and Obama. If Barr's support is understated here, McCain's advantage is overstated. Interviews conducted after federal bailout of Fannie Mae, but before bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. Interviews conducted after most, but not all, of ABC News' interview with Sarah Palin had been broadcast. Ohio has 20 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Ohio by 2 points in 2004 and by 4 points in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
692 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KToledo ADayton ACincinnaColumbusClevelanSE Ohio
McCain (R)49%54%45%40%51%52%54%47%53%46%51%53%55%8%****89%19%45%80%44%17%57%44%57%43%41%66%35%55%48%44%**26%39%96%******39%57%52%53%55%52%44%**
Obama (D)45%41%49%53%42%45%41%47%43%47%41%43%39%90%****7%77%44%17%51%77%39%50%38%51%53%29%61%31%49%52%**69%54%3%******54%40%42%41%40%41%51%**
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%23%31%25%20%55%45%49%10%41%86%11%1%2%35%44%17%30%37%13%42%58%50%29%21%48%49%18%80%58%2%9%6%10%4%3%4%42%58%9%12%15%20%41%5%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.