Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13901
In Oregon, Men Make All the Difference for Obama, Who Is Set to Defeat Clinton, 24 Hours Till Votes Are Counted: In the Oregon Democratic Primary, which is conducted entirely by mail-in ballot, Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton by 9 points among the 77% of likely voters who have already returned a ballot, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KATU-TV in Portland. When all likely voters are included, including those who say they will return a ballot before the window of opportunity closes, Obama defeats Clinton 55% to 42%. All of Obama's advantage comes from men. Among women, Clinton and Obama tie. Among men, Obama leads by 28 points. Among voters age 65+, Clinton leads by 12. Among voters younger than 65, Obama leads. In 4 identical SurveyUSA tracking polls conducted over the past 6 weeks, Obama has never polled below 50%. Clinton has never polled above 44%. Obama has led by 10 points, 6 points, 11 points, and today by 13 points.
Filtering: 1,700 state of Oregon adults were interviewed 05/16/08 through 05/18/08. Of them, 1,539 were registered to vote. Of them, 627 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already mailed their ballot or to be likely to return a ballot in the 05/20/08 closed Democratic Primary, which will proportionally award 52 delegates to the Democratic National Convention.
If you were filling out your ballot today for the Democratic Primary for President, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
627 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceAlready Voted?IdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteHispanicAsianActual VLikely VConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratPortlandRest of
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%47%53%16%27%32%24%43%57%34%17%49%89%4%6%77%23%10%37%40%27%23%50%21%76%21%76%32%10%18%22%2%2%5%5%69%31%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.