Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22709 |
*** Exclusive to 11Alive Atlanta. Must credit 11Alive Atlanta and SurveyUSA if you cite these results in whole or in part. ***
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5 Days to Georgia Presidential Primary, Trump Pulls Away from GOP Field; Clinton Buries Sanders; In November Head-To-Head General Election Match-Ups, Republican Nominee, Whomever It Is, Beats Either Democrat; 16 Peach State Electoral Votes Stay Red: Donald Trump consolidates his gains from Nevada, South Carolina and New Hampshire, and marches through Georgia like Sherman's army, according to SurveyUSA polling conducted exclusively for WXIA-TV in Atlanta. Today, 5 days till votes are counted and with many GA ballots already returned, it's Trump 45% (1 point less than the 46% Trump got in Nevada), Marco Rubio 19%, Ted Cruz 16%, others further back. Trump is backed by 51% of "strong Republicans," 47% of conservatives and 46% of moderates. He is backed by 57% of voters with a high-school education, 52% of voters earning less than $40,000 a year, 49% of seniors. Rubio runs strongest among affluent Republican primary voters and voters in greater Atlanta, but Rubio does not exceed the 25% support level in any voter demographic, so it will be hard for him to catch Trump, barring something completely unforeseen. Cruz runs strongest among Republican primary voters who are "very conservative" and who are "falling behind" financially. Cruz does not reach 30% support in any demographic group --- including evangelical Christians, where Trump beats Cruz 2:1, and including members of the Tea Party, where Trump beats Cruz 5:2. In the Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton defeats Bernie Sanders 66% to 27%. Though Sanders and Clinton run almost even among GA's white Democratic primary voters, Clinton leads 4:1 among both African Americans and Hispanics. Though Sanders makes a show of it among "very liberal" voters, drawing to within 3 points of Clinton, Clinton is at 65% among moderates and at 73% among conservative Democrats. Looking ahead to November, Trump and Rubio run slightly stronger than Cruz, but in every case, Republicans win the state in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups. "Today" it's:
* Trump 50%, Clinton 41% --- a 9-point Republican advantage. |
1 | If you were filling out your Republican PRESIDENTIAL primary ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Donald Trump? Ted Cruz? Marco Rubio? Ben Carson? John Kasich? Or one of the other candidates? |
684 Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Gun Owner | Financially | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | Tea Party | Evangelical | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Doing We | Just Get | Falling | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Donald Trump | 45% | 47% | 42% | 43% | 46% | 42% | 49% | 45% | 44% | 46% | 38% | 42% | ** | 47% | 40% | 46% | 48% | 32% | 51% | 44% | 40% | 42% | ** | ** | ** | 40% | 47% | 46% | ** | ** | 58% | 42% | 51% | 43% | 43% | 46% | 57% | 50% | 34% | 52% | 44% | 40% | 43% | 46% | 36% | 48% | 47% |
Ted Cruz | 16% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 27% | 17% | ** | 15% | 16% | 12% | 16% | 26% | 17% | 14% | 21% | 8% | ** | ** | ** | 29% | 13% | 8% | ** | ** | 18% | 16% | 23% | 13% | 19% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 19% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 17% |
Marco Rubio | 19% | 18% | 20% | 14% | 23% | 17% | 21% | 19% | 19% | 20% | 11% | 11% | ** | 19% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 23% | 20% | 22% | ** | ** | ** | 16% | 22% | 19% | ** | ** | 14% | 20% | 6% | 23% | 18% | 22% | 11% | 17% | 24% | 12% | 20% | 25% | 18% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 17% |
Ben Carson | 8% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ** | 7% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 19% | ** | ** | ** | 9% | 8% | 8% | ** | ** | 3% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 8% |
John Kasich | 6% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 9% | ** | 5% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 5% | 10% | ** | ** | 5% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 6% |
Other | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | ** | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | 0% | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
Undecided | 5% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 15% | ** | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 4% | 7% | ** | ** | 0% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 16% | 26% | 36% | 23% | 41% | 59% | 85% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 62% | 31% | 38% | 48% | 12% | 33% | 31% | 27% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 30% | 40% | 23% | 3% | 1% | 14% | 86% | 19% | 68% | 56% | 39% | 21% | 37% | 42% | 29% | 38% | 33% | 42% | 58% | 24% | 42% | 34% |
2 | If you were filling out your Democratic presidential primary ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Or Bernie Sanders? |
501 Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Gun Owner | Financially | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | Tea Party | Evangelical | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Doing We | Just Get | Falling | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Hillary Clinton | 66% | 62% | 69% | 49% | 68% | 71% | 77% | 60% | 73% | 49% | 74% | 71% | ** | 63% | 68% | 71% | 64% | 57% | ** | ** | ** | 36% | 57% | 69% | 70% | 81% | 73% | 65% | 65% | 50% | 64% | 66% | ** | 66% | 71% | 64% | 67% | 65% | 64% | 70% | 65% | 59% | 62% | 70% | 71% | 60% | 64% |
Bernie Sanders | 27% | 31% | 23% | 42% | 26% | 21% | 17% | 33% | 20% | 47% | 17% | 19% | ** | 29% | 26% | 23% | 28% | 36% | ** | ** | ** | 55% | 39% | 23% | 22% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 27% | 47% | 34% | 26% | ** | 28% | 21% | 30% | 23% | 28% | 30% | 20% | 32% | 32% | 30% | 24% | 21% | 32% | 30% |
Undecided | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 10% | ** | 8% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 7% | ** | ** | ** | 9% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 8% | ** | 7% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 24% | 32% | 29% | 15% | 56% | 44% | 33% | 58% | 6% | 3% | 40% | 56% | 44% | 45% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 35% | 39% | 8% | 13% | 33% | 23% | 16% | 14% | 86% | 2% | 91% | 28% | 65% | 21% | 38% | 41% | 39% | 35% | 26% | 51% | 49% | 41% | 28% | 31% |
3 | If the November election for President were today, and the only candidates on the ballot were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, who would you vote for? |
1261 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Gun Owner | Financially | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | Tea Party | Evangelical | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Doing We | Just Get | Falling | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Donald Trump (R) | 50% | 54% | 48% | 42% | 47% | 53% | 58% | 45% | 55% | 69% | 10% | ** | ** | 61% | 34% | 47% | 53% | 53% | 91% | 80% | 81% | 50% | 7% | 7% | 1% | 74% | 75% | 41% | 13% | 7% | 56% | 51% | 92% | 43% | 64% | 39% | 52% | 54% | 47% | 44% | 53% | 53% | 48% | 53% | 38% | 59% | 52% |
Hillary Clinton (D) | 41% | 39% | 43% | 46% | 45% | 39% | 34% | 46% | 37% | 22% | 83% | ** | ** | 31% | 57% | 44% | 39% | 42% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 31% | 82% | 89% | 96% | 18% | 16% | 48% | 81% | 92% | 40% | 40% | 5% | 48% | 27% | 53% | 42% | 39% | 42% | 49% | 38% | 37% | 42% | 40% | 53% | 33% | 39% |
Undecided | 9% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | ** | ** | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 9% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 21% | 46% | 54% | 64% | 27% | 5% | 4% | 52% | 42% | 39% | 47% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 27% | 29% | 12% | 6% | 12% | 82% | 11% | 78% | 43% | 50% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 36% | 31% | 44% | 56% | 30% | 37% | 32% |
4 | What if the candidates were Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Bernie Sanders? |
1261 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Gun Owner | Financially | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | Tea Party | Evangelical | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Doing We | Just Get | Falling | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Donald Trump (R) | 49% | 51% | 47% | 41% | 46% | 50% | 57% | 44% | 53% | 65% | 12% | ** | ** | 58% | 35% | 48% | 50% | 46% | 90% | 79% | 74% | 40% | 7% | 9% | 3% | 75% | 74% | 37% | 13% | 4% | 54% | 49% | 86% | 42% | 62% | 38% | 54% | 52% | 44% | 43% | 51% | 52% | 46% | 51% | 38% | 58% | 49% |
Bernie Sanders (D) | 41% | 41% | 42% | 50% | 48% | 38% | 30% | 48% | 35% | 26% | 75% | ** | ** | 34% | 54% | 42% | 40% | 46% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 42% | 76% | 80% | 92% | 14% | 18% | 51% | 80% | 94% | 41% | 41% | 9% | 48% | 27% | 54% | 36% | 40% | 44% | 47% | 39% | 39% | 44% | 39% | 52% | 35% | 39% |
Undecided | 10% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 13% | ** | ** | 8% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 12% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 21% | 46% | 54% | 64% | 27% | 5% | 4% | 52% | 42% | 39% | 47% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 27% | 29% | 12% | 6% | 12% | 82% | 11% | 78% | 43% | 50% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 36% | 31% | 44% | 56% | 30% | 37% | 32% |
5 | OK, what if it were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton? |
1261 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Gun Owner | Financially | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | Tea Party | Evangelical | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Doing We | Just Get | Falling | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Ted Cruz (R) | 49% | 51% | 48% | 42% | 46% | 51% | 58% | 44% | 53% | 67% | 10% | ** | ** | 59% | 35% | 45% | 52% | 49% | 86% | 81% | 83% | 42% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 75% | 75% | 39% | 10% | 1% | 51% | 50% | 83% | 42% | 65% | 37% | 49% | 52% | 48% | 43% | 50% | 53% | 47% | 51% | 38% | 57% | 51% |
Hillary Clinton (D) | 42% | 41% | 43% | 49% | 47% | 41% | 33% | 48% | 38% | 24% | 82% | ** | ** | 33% | 57% | 47% | 38% | 44% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 39% | 79% | 90% | 96% | 19% | 19% | 48% | 82% | 95% | 46% | 41% | 12% | 49% | 28% | 55% | 42% | 40% | 44% | 48% | 41% | 40% | 44% | 41% | 54% | 34% | 40% |
Undecided | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | ** | ** | 8% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 19% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 9% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 21% | 46% | 54% | 64% | 27% | 5% | 4% | 52% | 42% | 39% | 47% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 27% | 29% | 12% | 6% | 12% | 82% | 11% | 78% | 43% | 50% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 36% | 31% | 44% | 56% | 30% | 37% | 32% |
6 | What if it were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Bernie Sanders? |
1261 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Gun Owner | Financially | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | Tea Party | Evangelical | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Doing We | Just Get | Falling | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Ted Cruz (R) | 48% | 49% | 48% | 39% | 48% | 48% | 58% | 45% | 52% | 63% | 13% | ** | ** | 57% | 35% | 46% | 50% | 46% | 85% | 83% | 76% | 34% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 73% | 76% | 37% | 11% | 7% | 49% | 49% | 84% | 42% | 64% | 35% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 42% | 49% | 53% | 45% | 51% | 38% | 55% | 50% |
Bernie Sanders (D) | 42% | 43% | 41% | 50% | 46% | 41% | 31% | 47% | 37% | 28% | 75% | ** | ** | 36% | 53% | 45% | 40% | 42% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 47% | 77% | 80% | 90% | 19% | 18% | 50% | 82% | 91% | 45% | 41% | 12% | 49% | 26% | 56% | 38% | 41% | 44% | 42% | 44% | 40% | 45% | 39% | 53% | 38% | 37% |
Undecided | 10% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 12% | ** | ** | 7% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 19% | 10% | 15% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 13% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 21% | 46% | 54% | 64% | 27% | 5% | 4% | 52% | 42% | 39% | 47% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 27% | 29% | 12% | 6% | 12% | 82% | 11% | 78% | 43% | 50% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 36% | 31% | 44% | 56% | 30% | 37% | 32% |
7 | What if it were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton? |
1261 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Gun Owner | Financially | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | Tea Party | Evangelical | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Doing We | Just Get | Falling | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Marco Rubio (R) | 50% | 52% | 48% | 40% | 45% | 51% | 63% | 43% | 55% | 69% | 8% | ** | ** | 61% | 33% | 46% | 53% | 50% | 86% | 85% | 84% | 44% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 74% | 75% | 42% | 10% | 1% | 51% | 51% | 82% | 44% | 66% | 38% | 49% | 53% | 49% | 42% | 52% | 53% | 46% | 53% | 38% | 58% | 51% |
Hillary Clinton (D) | 43% | 40% | 45% | 49% | 47% | 42% | 31% | 48% | 38% | 23% | 86% | ** | ** | 32% | 58% | 48% | 38% | 45% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 37% | 80% | 92% | 97% | 19% | 18% | 47% | 84% | 97% | 45% | 42% | 13% | 49% | 28% | 55% | 44% | 39% | 44% | 50% | 41% | 38% | 45% | 41% | 54% | 35% | 41% |
Undecided | 8% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 7% | ** | ** | 6% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 19% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 21% | 46% | 54% | 64% | 27% | 5% | 4% | 52% | 42% | 39% | 47% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 27% | 29% | 12% | 6% | 12% | 82% | 11% | 78% | 43% | 50% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 36% | 31% | 44% | 56% | 30% | 37% | 32% |
8 | And what if it were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Bernie Sanders? |
1261 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Gun Owner | Financially | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | Tea Party | Evangelical | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Doing We | Just Get | Falling | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Marco Rubio (R) | 49% | 52% | 47% | 38% | 45% | 51% | 62% | 42% | 55% | 66% | 9% | ** | ** | 59% | 34% | 48% | 50% | 48% | 88% | 82% | 80% | 40% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 75% | 75% | 40% | 10% | 5% | 51% | 50% | 83% | 43% | 66% | 36% | 49% | 49% | 50% | 41% | 52% | 53% | 45% | 52% | 40% | 56% | 50% |
Bernie Sanders (D) | 41% | 40% | 42% | 48% | 46% | 40% | 30% | 47% | 36% | 26% | 76% | ** | ** | 34% | 52% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 41% | 77% | 80% | 92% | 16% | 17% | 48% | 82% | 93% | 44% | 40% | 11% | 47% | 25% | 54% | 39% | 40% | 41% | 44% | 41% | 38% | 44% | 39% | 51% | 36% | 36% |
Undecided | 10% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 15% | ** | ** | 7% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 19% | 16% | 17% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 14% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 21% | 46% | 54% | 64% | 27% | 5% | 4% | 52% | 42% | 39% | 47% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 27% | 29% | 12% | 6% | 12% | 82% | 11% | 78% | 43% | 50% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 36% | 31% | 44% | 56% | 30% | 37% | 32% |
9 | Regardless of who you personally think you will vote for in 2016, do you think American voters are ready to elect a female President ? |
1454 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Gun Owner | Financially | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Already Voted? | Tea Party | Evangelical | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Yes | No | Doing We | Just Get | Falling | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Yes | 61% | 59% | 62% | 61% | 68% | 60% | 51% | 65% | 56% | 54% | 76% | 56% | ** | 55% | 69% | 65% | 60% | 53% | 35% | 44% | 55% | 63% | 75% | 78% | 87% | 48% | 50% | 70% | 76% | 84% | 60% | 62% | 50% | 65% | 51% | 71% | 51% | 58% | 69% | 59% | 58% | 66% | 63% | 59% | 70% | 56% | 57% |
No | 28% | 30% | 26% | 28% | 20% | 29% | 39% | 23% | 33% | 34% | 14% | 29% | ** | 34% | 20% | 25% | 28% | 37% | 57% | 43% | 31% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 43% | 38% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 32% | 27% | 43% | 25% | 37% | 20% | 32% | 32% | 21% | 30% | 30% | 21% | 24% | 32% | 17% | 35% | 31% |
Not Sure | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 15% | ** | 11% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 13% | 21% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 12% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 30% | 32% | 19% | 49% | 51% | 62% | 28% | 7% | 4% | 51% | 43% | 39% | 47% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 26% | 30% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 78% | 11% | 78% | 41% | 51% | 22% | 36% | 42% | 35% | 36% | 29% | 47% | 53% | 32% | 36% | 32% |