| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17017 |
| Democrat Boucher Keeps VA-09 Blue: In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 9th Congressional District today, 09/03/10, incumbent Democrat Rick Boucher defeats Republican State House Majority Leader Morgan Griffith 50% to 40%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.
Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 6 weeks ago, little has changed; Boucher is down a nominal 2 points, Griffith is up a nominal 1 point. The contest remains tied among men; among women, Boucher leads by 22 points, essentially unchanged. 1 in 4 Republicans continue to cross over to vote for the Democrat. Independents remain divided. A third party candidate in the race, Jeremiah Heaton, gets 9% of the vote among Independents, 5% of the vote overall. Boucher, first elected in 1982, is seeking his 15th term. |
| Filtering: 800 registered voters from Virginia's 9th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 08/31/10 through 09/02/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 576 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives. |
 | [Candidate names rotated] If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? Republican Morgan Griffith? Democrat Rick Boucher? Or Independent Jeremiah Heaton? |
| 576 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
| Morgan Griffith (R) | 40% | 47% | 34% | 49% | 44% | 38% | 35% | 46% | 37% | 39% | ** | ** | ** | 68% | 8% | 42% | 60% | 24% | 11% | 70% | 5% | 33% | 25% | 46% | 37% | 44% | 30% | 37% | 51% | 23% | 42% | 34% | 33% | 46% |
| Rick Boucher (D) | 50% | 44% | 56% | 37% | 45% | 54% | 58% | 42% | 56% | 52% | ** | ** | ** | 25% | 87% | 43% | 29% | 72% | 72% | 22% | 86% | 55% | 68% | 45% | 54% | 48% | 57% | 52% | 38% | 71% | 49% | 62% | 58% | 45% |
| Jeremiah Heaton (I) | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 5% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% |
| Undecided | 4% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 4% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 14% | 25% | 35% | 26% | 39% | 61% | 94% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 37% | 32% | 29% | 51% | 31% | 10% | 41% | 24% | 22% | 13% | 37% | 63% | 64% | 19% | 16% | 61% | 37% | 77% | 20% | 50% | 50% |