| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21574 |
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8 Weeks Till Votes are Counted, Florida Governor Duel Back to Steady-State: Scott 45%, Crist 44%:
The DNA double helix that is the 2014 Florida Governor's fight is beautifully illustrated in this exclusive WFLA-TV interactive tracking graph, which shows the results of the last 3 WFLA-TV polls, since the name of Libertarian Adrian Wyllie was added to the survey. As time passes, the chart moves to the right, and as voters make up their mind, and as fewer-and-fewer are undecided, the lines on the chart move from the bottom to the top. Today SurveyUSA finds incumbent Republican Rick Scott at 45%, Democratic challenger Charlie Crist at 44%, Wyllie at 3%. Wyllie today hurts Crist, taking twice as many votes from the Democrat as he does from the Republican. Normally, this wouldn't matter with a 3rd-party candidate who is at 3%, but in a contest that may be decided by a few thousand votes, each one is precious. Scott continues to nip at Crist's heels in Southeast Florida, a Democratic bastion where Democrats typically run up big margins, to off-set Republican strongholds elsewhere in the sprawling state. Today, Scott is within 9 of Crist in Dade and Broward counties, which include Miami and Fort Lauderdale. In Central FL, always a battleground, the interactive tracking graph again models a DNA helix: Scott led by 8 on 08/19/14, Crist led by 8 on 08/29/14, Scott leads by 8 today. Independents split in this WFLA-TV release, 41% Scott, 41% Crist. Moderates, however, break by 20 points for the Democrat. The Gender Gap today is 17 points. Cubans, narrowly, vote Republican. Non-cuban Hispanics vote Democratic. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 750 state of FL adults 09/05/14 through 09/08/14. Of the adults, 678 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA determined that 576 were likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (29% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. You must credit WFLA-TV if you re-broadcast, publish or cite these poll results in whole or part. |
 | If the election for Florida governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? ... (candidate names rotated) Republican Rick Scott? Democrat Charlie Crist? Libertarian Adrian Wyllie? Or some other candidate? |
| 576 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cuban | Non-Cuba | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | Hispanic | White | Black | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Rick Scott (R) | 45% | 50% | 41% | 42% | 40% | 47% | 48% | 41% | 48% | 47% | 41% | 48% | 20% | 54% | 79% | 12% | 41% | 75% | 35% | 16% | 38% | 48% | 46% | 45% | 41% | 48% | 41% | 47% | 47% | 52% | 47% | 44% | 41% |
| Charlie Crist (D) | 44% | 40% | 48% | 45% | 47% | 44% | 41% | 46% | 43% | 43% | 53% | 41% | 70% | 30% | 14% | 78% | 41% | 14% | 55% | 69% | 46% | 41% | 45% | 42% | 46% | 44% | 45% | 44% | 31% | 43% | 39% | 47% | 50% |
| Adrian Wyllie (L) | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% |
| Other / Undecided | 8% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 3% | 11% | 4% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 15% | 22% | 34% | 29% | 37% | 63% | 6% | 11% | 82% | 11% | 7% | 40% | 39% | 20% | 35% | 43% | 18% | 13% | 38% | 50% | 29% | 34% | 37% | 29% | 71% | 8% | 9% | 30% | 24% | 29% |