| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14324 |
| In Face of Stiff Opposition, Dole Holds Her Ground, Adds to Modest Lead: In an election for United States Senator in North Carolina today, 09/09/08, 8 weeks till votes are counted, incumbent Republican US Senator Elizabeth Dole defeats Democratic State Senator Kay Hagan 48% to 40%, according to this latest SurveyUSA pre-election tracking poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV Raleigh. Libertarian Christopher Cole remains a factor. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released last month, Dole is up 2, Hagan is down 1, Cole is flat. At a time when Republicans added a woman to the top of the ticket, and in the month where the McCain-Palin ticket gained 8 points among NC women, Dole dropped 4 points among NC women, from 46% to 42%. Much of Dole's increase comes from men, from voters over age 50, and from voters who earn more than $50K/year. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 North Carolina adults 09/06/08 through 09/08/08. Of them, 783 were registered to vote; of them, 671 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election. |
 | North Carolina voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Elizabeth Dole? Democrat Kay Hagan? Or Libertarian Chris Cole? |
| 671 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Charlott | Raleigh | South & | |
| Elizabeth Dole (R) | 48% | 55% | 42% | 39% | 48% | 49% | 57% | 44% | 53% | 58% | 9% | ** | ** | 80% | 16% | 46% | 77% | 36% | 15% | 49% | 47% | 50% | 47% | 41% | 67% | 29% | 41% | 50% | 44% | ** | 32% | 46% | 80% | ** | ** | 65% | 42% | 51% | 50% | 44% | 55% |
| Kay Hagan (D) | 40% | 34% | 45% | 45% | 37% | 40% | 36% | 41% | 39% | 30% | 77% | ** | ** | 10% | 74% | 36% | 14% | 53% | 72% | 39% | 41% | 38% | 39% | 49% | 21% | 60% | 41% | 40% | 45% | ** | 56% | 46% | 9% | ** | ** | 18% | 46% | 37% | 37% | 43% | 36% |
| Chris Cole (L) | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 4% | ** | ** | 7% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 6% | ** | 8% | 3% | 8% | ** | ** | 13% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% |
| Undecided | 5% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 10% | ** | ** | 3% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 5% | ** | 4% | 5% | 4% | ** | ** | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 76% | 20% | 1% | 3% | 41% | 40% | 16% | 38% | 35% | 11% | 48% | 52% | 60% | 24% | 16% | 51% | 46% | 17% | 81% | 49% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 36% | 64% | 34% | 50% | 16% |