Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13053
Florida Democrat Primary: No Visible Damage to Hillary's Heat Shields; Still 30 Points Atop Obama -- In a Democratic Primary for President of the United States in Florida today, 12/05/07, eight weeks to the vote, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama by 30 points, according to two newly released SurveyUSA tracking polls, one conducted before the 11/28/07 Republican debate in Florida and one conducted after, exclusively for WFLA-TV in Tampa. Today, it's Clinton 54%, Obama 24%, virtually identical to a SurveyUSA poll last week and only marginally tighter than a SurveyUSA poll a month ago, in early November, which showed Clinton 37 points atop Obama. All 3 SurveyUSA polls were conducted after a 10/30/07 Democratic candidate debate at which some perceive Clinton did not have a strong performance. John Edwards' support is flat across the 3 polls. Though some polls show Obama gaining material ground on Clinton, in Florida, as of today, that is not true. Obama, Clinton and Edwards, at this hour, are all trending sideways.
Timing of Two Democratic Primary Polls; Filtering of Respondents: Two separate SurveyUSA polls are released here for the first time. From 11/26/07 to 11/28/07, SurveyUSA interviewed 1,900 state of Florida adults, found 1,678 of them registered to vote and determined that 469 of those were likely to vote in the 01/29/08 Democratic Primary. Data from these interviews appear on SurveyUSA's tracking graphs dated 11/29/07. Separately, 1,950 state of Florida adults were interviewed 12/02/07 and 12/03/07. Of them, 1,715 were registered to vote. Of them, 503 were identified by SurveyUSA as likely to vote in the 01/29/07 Florida Democratic Primary. Data from these interviews appear on SurveyUSA's tracking graphs dated 12/04/07. As always, click the Triangle T to access SurveyUSA's proprietary tracking graphs, with SurveyUSA's exclusive interactive pull-down windows that allow you to track each sub-population interviewed.
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? John Edwards? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
503 Likely VotersAllGenderRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyRegionAge<50 / 50+
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemaleWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratNo AffilConservaModerateLiberalNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+
Composition of Likely Voters100%42%58%66%21%10%3%0%100%0%14%43%31%7%11%30%12%40%13%25%33%30%38%62%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.