Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13269
Obama SC Landslide Does No Additional Damage to Clinton in Florida: The day after Barack Obama's dramatic South Carolina Primary win, there is no new 'mojo' for him in Florida, where he remains as he was the day before South Carolina, 5:3 behind Hillary Clinton, according to SurveyUSA's 9th tracking poll, conducted exclusively for WFLA-TV Tampa and WKRG-TV Mobile. If Florida Democrats had wanted to rebuke the Clinton campaign, that was already factored into SurveyUSA's 01/25/08 data, which showed Obama slicing into Clinton's lead at the end of last week. But nothing since. At this hour, it's Clinton 49%, Obama 29%, John Edwards 14%. One day of campaigning remains. Among voters who have already cast their ballot, Clinton leads Obama by more than 3:1. Among those who have not yet voted, but who say they will vote at the precinct, Clinton leads 4:3.
Filtering: 2,000 state of Florida adults were interviewed 01/27/08. All interviews were conducted after results of the 01/26/08 SC Democratic Primary were known. Of the adults, 1790 were registered to vote. Of them, 564 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be certain to vote at the precinct on 01/29/08. It is unclear how widely known at the time of these interviews were the endorsements of Obama by President Kennedy's daughter, Caroline, and President Kennedy's Brother, Edward. To see if the endorsements provide any traction for Obama, SurveyUSA will continue to interview Monday night 01/28/08, and will freshen these numbers if any changes are observed. At this hour, the National Democratic Party continues to say it will not seat delegates won in Florida. As such, and completely unlike the Republican Primary held simultaneously, the Democratic Primary is a "beauty contest." That makes the polling challenge more difficult.
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? John Edwards? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
564 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderEarly VotingRaceIdeologyAge<50 / 50+RegionAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next President
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemaleActual VLikely VWhiteBlackHispanicOtherConservaModerateLiberal18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+North WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth EaRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat
Not Sure5%6%4%1%6%4%3%18%**6%6%2%10%3%3%4%6%4%4%8%4%2%6%9%1%2%5%4%11%4%3%**1%3%31%******
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%42%58%25%75%75%14%9%3%13%44%26%16%25%28%31%41%59%7%9%34%15%34%45%26%29%27%70%18%81%43%3%16%17%5%5%4%4%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.