| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #26362 |
| New York November Look-Ahead: No Surprises as Incumbent Hochul Defeats Potential Republican Challengers By Wide Margins of 24 to 27 Points:
New York Democratic incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul leads four potential Republican opponents by significant margins, according to SurveyUSA's latest polling for WHEC-TV in Rochester and WNYT-TV in Albany. Hochul today, 4½ months until the election...
Looking at what voters say will be the most important issues when deciding how to vote for Governor this fall, Hochul has overwhelming leads among those voters most focused on healthcare (64 to 70 point leads), abortion (41 to 50 point leads), and guns (44 to 50 point leads); she also leads, though by smaller margins of between 28 and 36 points, among those most focused on jobs. By a 3:1 margin, voters say inflation is the most important issue, and among those voters Hochul ranges from a slim 4-point lead against Giuliani to a 2-point deficit against Zeldin. Among those most focused on criminal justice reform, Hochul ties Giuliani, nominally trails Wilson and Astorino by 1 and 2 points, respectively, and trails Zeldin by 5. |
| About the Poll / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed a total of 3,500 New York adults online 06/15/22 through 06/20/22, using sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Of the adults, 2,987 were identified as being registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 2,152 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November election for Governor. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership. |
| 1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of New York? |
| 3500 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary V | Likely November | Top November Issue | 2020 Vote | Gun HH | AR Ban | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 1.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Likely | Certain | Likely | Certain | Jobs | Inflatio | Healthca | Climate | Criminal | Abortion | Guns | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Strongly | Somewhat | Somewhat | Strongly | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | NYC | NYC subu | Upstate | NYC | Long Isl | Hudson V | Capital | Mohawk V | Central | Finger L | Western | Southern | North Co | |
| Yes | 85% | 86% | 85% | 78% | 85% | 88% | 93% | 81% | 90% | 89% | 83% | 82% | 75% | 93% | 91% | 79% | 92% | 89% | 85% | 89% | 91% | 90% | 85% | 89% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ** | 100% | 100% | 100% | 96% | 95% | 91% | 84% | 87% | 85% | 85% | 88% | 78% | 86% | 93% | 78% | 85% | 93% | 92% | 78% | 85% | 87% | 82% | 85% | 86% | 86% | 85% | 86% | 85% | 82% | ** | ** | 89% | 85% | ** | ** |
| No | 14% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 18% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 25% | 7% | 8% | 19% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 10% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 20% | 14% | 12% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 17% | ** | ** | 11% | 14% | ** | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 31% | 24% | 25% | 21% | 55% | 45% | 59% | 14% | 16% | 11% | 24% | 42% | 26% | 10% | 18% | 36% | 16% | 10% | 28% | 36% | 26% | 24% | 38% | 24% | 48% | 11% | 32% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 28% | 47% | 20% | 80% | 57% | 17% | 11% | 10% | 39% | 23% | 38% | 34% | 34% | 31% | 54% | 46% | 44% | 39% | 17% | 42% | 21% | 38% | 42% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 3% | 3% |
| 2 | Thinking ahead to the fall now ... The state of New York will hold a general election for United States Senate and for other contests this November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Would you say you are ... ? |
| 2987 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary V | Likely November | Top November Issue | 2020 Vote | Gun HH | AR Ban | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Likely | Certain | Likely | Certain | Jobs | Inflatio | Healthca | Climate | Criminal | Abortion | Guns | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Strongly | Somewhat | Somewhat | Strongly | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | NYC | NYC subu | Upstate | NYC | Long Isl | Hudson V | Capital | Mohawk V | Central | Finger L | Western | Southern | North Co | |
| Certain Not To Vote | 3% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 4% | ** | 3% | 3% | 2% | ** | ** |
| Unlikely To Vote | 5% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 6% | ** | 5% | 6% | 4% | ** | ** |
| Maybe 50% / 50% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 21% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 13% | 14% | 21% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 19% | 8% | 11% | 22% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 18% | 17% | ** | 15% | 17% | 19% | ** | ** |
| Likely To Vote | 24% | 22% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 24% | 19% | 27% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 29% | 34% | 21% | 24% | 27% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 23% | 18% | 24% | 27% | 21% | 66% | 6% | 100% | 0% | 41% | 36% | 38% | ** | 28% | 30% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 24% | 24% | 28% | 22% | 27% | 24% | 22% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 23% | 25% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 26% | 26% | 22% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 19% | ** | 26% | 25% | 21% | ** | ** |
| 100% Certain To Vote | 48% | 52% | 44% | 31% | 44% | 56% | 64% | 37% | 59% | 56% | 40% | 29% | 34% | 53% | 53% | 38% | 56% | 53% | 43% | 51% | 68% | 54% | 43% | 57% | 22% | 92% | 0% | 100% | 59% | 64% | 62% | ** | 72% | 70% | 67% | 55% | 54% | 53% | 47% | 52% | 39% | 45% | 52% | 38% | 42% | 60% | 37% | 44% | 62% | 59% | 33% | 46% | 49% | 52% | 47% | 48% | 49% | 47% | 49% | 46% | 51% | ** | 49% | 49% | 50% | ** | ** |
| Not Sure | 4% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | ** | 2% | 2% | 4% | ** | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 28% | 24% | 25% | 23% | 52% | 48% | 61% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 26% | 45% | 24% | 11% | 19% | 36% | 17% | 10% | 29% | 36% | 27% | 24% | 38% | 24% | 48% | 11% | 32% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 31% | 52% | 21% | 79% | 58% | 17% | 11% | 10% | 35% | 24% | 41% | 31% | 34% | 34% | 58% | 42% | 44% | 40% | 16% | 41% | 21% | 38% | 41% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 3% |
 | If the November election for Governor of New York were today, and these were the only candidates on the ballot, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) |
| 2152 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary V | Likely November | Top November Issue | 2020 Vote | Gun HH | AR Ban | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Likely | Certain | Likely | Certain | Jobs | Inflatio | Healthca | Climate | Criminal | Abortion | Guns | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Strongly | Somewhat | Somewhat | Strongly | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | NYC | NYC subu | Upstate | NYC | Long Isl | Hudson V | Capital | Mohawk V | Central | Finger L | Western | Southern | North Co | |
| Lee Zeldin (R) | 28% | 34% | 22% | 24% | 24% | 34% | 31% | 24% | 33% | 35% | 9% | 22% | 18% | 71% | 5% | 28% | 53% | 61% | 23% | 4% | 8% | 58% | 23% | 5% | 24% | 32% | 22% | 32% | 26% | 40% | 10% | ** | 44% | 18% | 16% | 68% | 6% | 45% | 24% | 14% | 37% | 53% | 69% | 32% | 29% | 26% | 22% | 33% | 29% | 32% | 21% | 19% | 34% | 40% | 17% | 34% | 38% | 17% | 37% | 30% | 34% | ** | 35% | 34% | 40% | ** | ** |
| Kathy Hochul (D) | 52% | 50% | 54% | 52% | 61% | 46% | 51% | 56% | 48% | 48% | 65% | 54% | 64% | 14% | 80% | 42% | 36% | 18% | 52% | 83% | 82% | 25% | 52% | 83% | 53% | 54% | 51% | 53% | 56% | 38% | 74% | ** | 39% | 67% | 64% | 14% | 78% | 39% | 56% | 68% | 39% | 28% | 13% | 46% | 47% | 58% | 55% | 46% | 55% | 51% | 53% | 65% | 45% | 36% | 66% | 47% | 39% | 66% | 48% | 45% | 49% | ** | 39% | 38% | 39% | ** | ** |
| Undecided | 20% | 16% | 24% | 25% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 18% | 26% | 24% | 18% | 15% | 15% | 29% | 11% | 20% | 25% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 25% | 12% | 23% | 14% | 27% | 16% | 19% | 22% | 17% | ** | 17% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 24% | 20% | 19% | 22% | 24% | 16% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 16% | 26% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 17% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 15% | 24% | 17% | ** | 26% | 27% | 22% | ** | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 23% | 28% | 26% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 27% | 48% | 22% | 12% | 20% | 34% | 18% | 12% | 32% | 34% | 30% | 29% | 52% | 34% | 66% | 11% | 32% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 34% | 57% | 22% | 78% | 61% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 32% | 21% | 47% | 27% | 33% | 40% | 66% | 34% | 42% | 41% | 17% | 42% | 21% | 37% | 42% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 3% |
| 4 | If the November election for Governor of New York were today, and these were the only candidates on the ballot, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) |
| 2152 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary V | Likely November | Top November Issue | 2020 Vote | Gun HH | AR Ban | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Likely | Certain | Likely | Certain | Jobs | Inflatio | Healthca | Climate | Criminal | Abortion | Guns | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Strongly | Somewhat | Somewhat | Strongly | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | NYC | NYC subu | Upstate | NYC | Long Isl | Hudson V | Capital | Mohawk V | Central | Finger L | Western | Southern | North Co | |
| Rob Astorino (R) | 28% | 33% | 23% | 23% | 24% | 33% | 32% | 23% | 33% | 35% | 8% | 18% | 18% | 72% | 4% | 29% | 50% | 65% | 23% | 3% | 7% | 59% | 23% | 4% | 23% | 32% | 22% | 32% | 25% | 40% | 8% | ** | 44% | 18% | 17% | 68% | 5% | 44% | 24% | 13% | 37% | 57% | 67% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 24% | 32% | 28% | 32% | 22% | 18% | 33% | 42% | 16% | 34% | 39% | 16% | 31% | 39% | 37% | ** | 42% | 33% | 38% | ** | ** |
| Kathy Hochul (D) | 55% | 53% | 56% | 57% | 63% | 49% | 52% | 60% | 50% | 49% | 70% | 58% | 68% | 15% | 84% | 44% | 41% | 20% | 54% | 88% | 85% | 28% | 54% | 87% | 58% | 55% | 55% | 55% | 61% | 40% | 78% | ** | 42% | 68% | 67% | 15% | 81% | 41% | 59% | 71% | 42% | 30% | 15% | 48% | 51% | 61% | 56% | 49% | 58% | 54% | 56% | 68% | 48% | 38% | 69% | 48% | 42% | 69% | 49% | 47% | 51% | ** | 38% | 44% | 39% | ** | ** |
| Undecided | 17% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 27% | 9% | 16% | 23% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 24% | 14% | 14% | 20% | 14% | ** | 14% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 22% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 22% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 19% | 14% | 12% | ** | 20% | 23% | 23% | ** | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 23% | 28% | 26% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 27% | 48% | 22% | 12% | 20% | 34% | 18% | 12% | 32% | 34% | 30% | 29% | 52% | 34% | 66% | 11% | 32% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 34% | 57% | 22% | 78% | 61% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 32% | 21% | 47% | 27% | 33% | 40% | 66% | 34% | 42% | 41% | 17% | 42% | 21% | 37% | 42% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 3% |
| 5 | If the November election for Governor of New York were today, and these were the only candidates on the ballot, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) |
| 2152 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary V | Likely November | Top November Issue | 2020 Vote | Gun HH | AR Ban | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Likely | Certain | Likely | Certain | Jobs | Inflatio | Healthca | Climate | Criminal | Abortion | Guns | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Strongly | Somewhat | Somewhat | Strongly | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | NYC | NYC subu | Upstate | NYC | Long Isl | Hudson V | Capital | Mohawk V | Central | Finger L | Western | Southern | North Co | |
| Harry Wilson (R) | 29% | 35% | 24% | 27% | 26% | 33% | 30% | 26% | 32% | 35% | 10% | 23% | 20% | 71% | 7% | 28% | 54% | 64% | 22% | 5% | 8% | 60% | 22% | 7% | 24% | 32% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 40% | 10% | ** | 42% | 22% | 19% | 67% | 8% | 47% | 24% | 15% | 36% | 55% | 67% | 33% | 30% | 26% | 25% | 34% | 28% | 32% | 23% | 21% | 33% | 41% | 19% | 30% | 40% | 19% | 30% | 29% | 34% | ** | 40% | 36% | 42% | ** | ** |
| Kathy Hochul (D) | 54% | 52% | 56% | 55% | 60% | 48% | 52% | 58% | 50% | 48% | 70% | 56% | 66% | 14% | 82% | 43% | 35% | 18% | 54% | 86% | 85% | 25% | 54% | 85% | 58% | 54% | 55% | 53% | 56% | 40% | 76% | ** | 41% | 65% | 68% | 14% | 80% | 38% | 58% | 70% | 42% | 27% | 13% | 48% | 50% | 59% | 57% | 47% | 56% | 52% | 57% | 67% | 47% | 36% | 66% | 49% | 42% | 66% | 50% | 49% | 52% | ** | 44% | 42% | 39% | ** | ** |
| Undecided | 17% | 14% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 29% | 11% | 18% | 24% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 24% | 8% | 18% | 14% | 23% | 15% | 16% | 20% | 14% | ** | 17% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 16% | 21% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 14% | ** | 16% | 22% | 19% | ** | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 23% | 28% | 26% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 27% | 48% | 22% | 12% | 20% | 34% | 18% | 12% | 32% | 34% | 30% | 29% | 52% | 34% | 66% | 11% | 32% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 34% | 57% | 22% | 78% | 61% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 32% | 21% | 47% | 27% | 33% | 40% | 66% | 34% | 42% | 41% | 17% | 42% | 21% | 37% | 42% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 3% |
| 6 | If the November election for Governor of New York were today, and these were the only candidates on the ballot, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) |
| 2152 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary V | Likely November | Top November Issue | 2020 Vote | Gun HH | AR Ban | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Likely | Certain | Likely | Certain | Jobs | Inflatio | Healthca | Climate | Criminal | Abortion | Guns | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Strongly | Somewhat | Somewhat | Strongly | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | NYC | NYC subu | Upstate | NYC | Long Isl | Hudson V | Capital | Mohawk V | Central | Finger L | Western | Southern | North Co | |
| Andrew Giuliani (R) | 30% | 34% | 25% | 28% | 25% | 33% | 31% | 26% | 32% | 34% | 11% | 29% | 22% | 73% | 7% | 27% | 62% | 63% | 23% | 3% | 9% | 63% | 23% | 5% | 26% | 33% | 25% | 32% | 30% | 39% | 11% | ** | 41% | 26% | 23% | 72% | 5% | 46% | 25% | 15% | 32% | 58% | 72% | 37% | 30% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 30% | 33% | 24% | 23% | 33% | 38% | 19% | 37% | 38% | 19% | 41% | 30% | 34% | ** | 37% | 31% | 44% | ** | ** |
| Kathy Hochul (D) | 56% | 53% | 58% | 56% | 63% | 52% | 53% | 59% | 52% | 52% | 72% | 57% | 60% | 13% | 84% | 49% | 33% | 20% | 58% | 90% | 84% | 25% | 58% | 88% | 57% | 56% | 56% | 56% | 61% | 43% | 77% | ** | 41% | 67% | 67% | 12% | 84% | 42% | 60% | 71% | 47% | 30% | 17% | 48% | 53% | 62% | 58% | 51% | 58% | 54% | 58% | 66% | 50% | 42% | 70% | 49% | 44% | 70% | 47% | 52% | 52% | ** | 37% | 49% | 39% | ** | ** |
| Undecided | 15% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 24% | 5% | 17% | 18% | 7% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 7% | 17% | 12% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 18% | 12% | ** | 18% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 21% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 18% | 10% | 17% | 20% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 11% | 12% | 18% | 15% | ** | 26% | 20% | 17% | ** | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 23% | 28% | 26% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 27% | 48% | 22% | 12% | 20% | 34% | 18% | 12% | 32% | 34% | 30% | 29% | 52% | 34% | 66% | 11% | 32% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 34% | 57% | 22% | 78% | 61% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 32% | 21% | 47% | 27% | 33% | 40% | 66% | 34% | 42% | 41% | 17% | 42% | 21% | 37% | 42% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 3% |
 | Which one of these issues will be most important to you in deciding how you will vote for Governor this fall? |
| 2152 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary V | Likely November | Top November Issue | 2020 Vote | Gun HH | AR Ban | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Likely | Certain | Likely | Certain | Jobs | Inflatio | Healthca | Climate | Criminal | Abortion | Guns | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | Strongly | Somewhat | Somewhat | Strongly | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | NYC | NYC subu | Upstate | NYC | Long Isl | Hudson V | Capital | Mohawk V | Central | Finger L | Western | Southern | North Co | |
| Jobs | 11% | 16% | 7% | 20% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 18% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 100% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 8% | 8% | 17% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 7% | 10% | 6% | ** | 5% | 8% | 4% | ** | ** |
| Inflation | 32% | 29% | 35% | 25% | 29% | 40% | 32% | 27% | 36% | 34% | 30% | 30% | 21% | 42% | 26% | 32% | 30% | 44% | 33% | 27% | 21% | 39% | 33% | 24% | 32% | 31% | 34% | 31% | 0% | 100% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 25% | 31% | 32% | 28% | 37% | 37% | 38% | 32% | 33% | 31% | 30% | 34% | 31% | 32% | 32% | 24% | 36% | 41% | 21% | 40% | 39% | 21% | 39% | 41% | 41% | ** | 31% | 38% | 41% | ** | ** |
| Healthcare | 11% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 21% | 5% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 100% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 16% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 15% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 16% | 6% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 9% | ** | 13% | 9% | 6% | ** | ** |
| Climate Change | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 9% | ** | 4% | 2% | 4% | ** | ** |
| Criminal Justice Reform | 12% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 100% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 10% | ** | 22% | 10% | 9% | ** | ** |
| Abortion | 6% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 100% | 0% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ** | 5% | 7% | 7% | ** | ** |
| Guns | 13% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 13% | 15% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 15% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 100% | 9% | 15% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ** | 8% | 12% | 17% | ** | ** |
| Other | 6% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ** | 5% | 5% | 7% | ** | ** |
| Not Sure | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 1% | ** | 6% | 9% | 4% | ** | ** |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 23% | 28% | 26% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 27% | 48% | 22% | 12% | 20% | 34% | 18% | 12% | 32% | 34% | 30% | 29% | 52% | 34% | 66% | 11% | 32% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 34% | 57% | 22% | 78% | 61% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 32% | 21% | 47% | 27% | 33% | 40% | 66% | 34% | 42% | 41% | 17% | 42% | 21% | 37% | 42% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 3% |