| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19809 |
|
With Voting Underway In Oh-So-Important Ohio, Romney Nose-to-Nose with Obama:
In an election for Ohio's 18 vital electoral votes today, 10/09/12, one week after Buckeye voting began and 4 weeks till votes are counted, Barack Obama is at 45% to Mitt Romney's 44%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCMH-TV, NBC4 in Columbus. Obama's advantage is within the survey's possible sources of error and may or may not be significant.
* "Optimistic" Ohio voters back Obama 4:1. "Worried" Ohio voters back Romney 2:1. "Angry" Ohio voters back Romney 3:1. Brown holds 79% of the Democratic base, compared to Mandel, who holds 73% of the Republican base. Mandel leads by 7 points among Independents, but that is offset by Brown's 28-point advantage among moderates.
* Brown leads by 21 points in union houeholds; non-union households split. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this survey: SurveyUSA interviewed 925 Ohio adults 10/05/12 through 10/08/12. Of the adults, 808 had either already returned a ballot or were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to do so before Election Day. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (73% of voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (27% of voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. As SurveyUSA has found in many geographies, cell-phone and home-phone respondents vote differently. In Ohio: Romney leads by 5 points among home phone respondents. Obama leads by 17 points among cell-phone respondents. When the two groups are proportionally blended, Obama has the nominal 1-point advantage that SurveyUSA reports here. |
 | In the election for President of the United States, if you were voting right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? One of the other candidates? Or are you undecided? |
| 808 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Romney | Obama | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | |
| Mitt Romney (R) | 44% | 47% | 41% | 35% | 48% | 43% | 53% | 41% | 47% | 48% | 10% | 34% | 48% | 39% | 45% | 87% | 9% | 44% | 79% | 33% | 12% | 28% | 52% | 34% | 42% | 42% | 45% | 57% | 38% | 21% | 53% | 71% | 41% | 41% | 51% | 44% | 32% | 43% | 51% | 58% | 45% | 29% | 63% | 100% | 0% | 19% | 57% | 63% | 84% | 10% | 38% | 59% | 50% | 41% | 39% |
| Barack Obama (D) | 45% | 40% | 50% | 54% | 39% | 46% | 42% | 46% | 44% | 40% | 82% | 51% | 43% | 59% | 44% | 6% | 85% | 35% | 14% | 53% | 82% | 59% | 39% | 48% | 50% | 50% | 44% | 37% | 50% | 70% | 36% | 17% | 47% | 47% | 39% | 49% | 53% | 47% | 43% | 35% | 46% | 63% | 24% | 0% | 100% | 75% | 30% | 20% | 6% | 82% | 51% | 36% | 41% | 47% | 49% |
| Other | 3% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Undecided | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 84% | 12% | 27% | 73% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 39% | 25% | 35% | 40% | 16% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 77% | 37% | 58% | 35% | 44% | 17% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 18% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 16% | 18% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 19% | 42% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 40% |
 | In the election for United States Senator, if you were voting right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Josh Mandel? Democrat Sherrod Brown? Are you undecided? Or will you not vote in this contest? |
| 808 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Romney | Obama | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | |
| Josh Mandel (R) | 38% | 41% | 34% | 32% | 43% | 36% | 41% | 37% | 38% | 41% | 11% | 30% | 41% | 37% | 38% | 73% | 8% | 39% | 69% | 25% | 12% | 22% | 46% | 32% | 28% | 32% | 40% | 48% | 33% | 20% | 47% | 56% | 31% | 34% | 49% | 40% | 29% | 35% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 25% | 55% | 76% | 6% | 18% | 46% | 61% | 69% | 12% | 32% | 45% | 48% | 40% | 31% |
| Sherrod Brown (D) | 42% | 41% | 44% | 40% | 36% | 47% | 45% | 38% | 46% | 38% | 73% | 40% | 43% | 57% | 40% | 10% | 79% | 32% | 16% | 53% | 72% | 47% | 38% | 48% | 52% | 53% | 40% | 36% | 46% | 61% | 36% | 19% | 44% | 43% | 38% | 45% | 45% | 43% | 45% | 37% | 41% | 58% | 23% | 7% | 80% | 69% | 31% | 18% | 12% | 72% | 46% | 34% | 36% | 44% | 46% |
| Scott Rupert (I) | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 3% |
| Undecided | 14% | 13% | 15% | 21% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 11% | 15% | 13% | 25% | 10% | 2% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 17% | 10% | 15% | 12% | 23% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 10% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 9% | 18% | 17% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 17% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 17% |
| Will Not Vote | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 84% | 12% | 27% | 73% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 39% | 25% | 35% | 40% | 16% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 77% | 37% | 58% | 35% | 44% | 17% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 18% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 16% | 18% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 19% | 42% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 40% |
 | There are a lot of issues in the news - locally, nationally and abroad. Which of the following best characterizes your personal outlook? Optimistic and hopeful? Worried and concerned? Or Frustrated and angry? |
| 808 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Romney | Obama | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | |
| Optimistic And Hopeful | 36% | 35% | 38% | 39% | 31% | 35% | 41% | 35% | 38% | 31% | 64% | 38% | 36% | 54% | 34% | 19% | 57% | 28% | 22% | 43% | 54% | 46% | 32% | 35% | 43% | 40% | 35% | 34% | 38% | 49% | 30% | 24% | 35% | 36% | 37% | 38% | 37% | 42% | 35% | 29% | 41% | 46% | 18% | 16% | 61% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 56% | 37% | 30% | 42% | 36% | 36% |
| Worried And Concerned | 41% | 39% | 43% | 40% | 39% | 44% | 40% | 40% | 43% | 45% | 18% | 39% | 42% | 33% | 42% | 53% | 33% | 38% | 51% | 39% | 30% | 33% | 43% | 45% | 40% | 38% | 42% | 42% | 41% | 33% | 49% | 40% | 39% | 40% | 43% | 43% | 38% | 39% | 44% | 47% | 40% | 41% | 51% | 53% | 28% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 52% | 31% | 44% | 51% | 35% | 40% | 42% |
| Frustrated And Angry | 19% | 24% | 14% | 14% | 27% | 19% | 16% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 8% | 31% | 25% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 20% | 29% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 19% | 21% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 17% | 10% | 29% | 28% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 28% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 22% | 20% | 17% |
| Not Sure | 3% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 84% | 12% | 27% | 73% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 39% | 25% | 35% | 40% | 16% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 77% | 37% | 58% | 35% | 44% | 17% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 18% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 16% | 18% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 19% | 42% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 40% |
 | Do you support? Or do you oppose? ... the federal government's financial bailout of American auto manufacturers? |
| 808 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Romney | Obama | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | |
| Support | 46% | 48% | 45% | 42% | 40% | 55% | 47% | 41% | 52% | 43% | 67% | 45% | 47% | 57% | 45% | 25% | 72% | 39% | 24% | 57% | 71% | 50% | 43% | 56% | 53% | 56% | 44% | 42% | 49% | 64% | 40% | 28% | 45% | 47% | 44% | 49% | 47% | 52% | 42% | 43% | 49% | 57% | 25% | 18% | 75% | 72% | 35% | 28% | 24% | 69% | 56% | 37% | 39% | 47% | 50% |
| Oppose | 38% | 42% | 35% | 36% | 40% | 35% | 44% | 38% | 38% | 41% | 18% | 32% | 40% | 35% | 39% | 61% | 16% | 42% | 61% | 31% | 19% | 33% | 42% | 31% | 33% | 34% | 40% | 43% | 37% | 23% | 47% | 52% | 33% | 36% | 41% | 44% | 30% | 35% | 46% | 49% | 36% | 28% | 56% | 68% | 11% | 17% | 49% | 58% | 62% | 17% | 32% | 46% | 46% | 38% | 35% |
| Not Sure | 15% | 10% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 10% | 9% | 21% | 10% | 16% | 14% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 10% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 23% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 15% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 84% | 12% | 27% | 73% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 39% | 25% | 35% | 40% | 16% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 77% | 37% | 58% | 35% | 44% | 17% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 18% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 16% | 18% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 19% | 42% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 40% |
 | Which one issue do you want the President to focus on ahead of all others? Jobs? Healthcare? Balancing the federal budget? Taxes? Keeping America safe? Education? Abortion? Social security? Medicare? Or something else? |
| 808 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Romney | Obama | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | |
| Jobs | 38% | 41% | 36% | 38% | 37% | 44% | 34% | 37% | 40% | 38% | 37% | 35% | 40% | 39% | 38% | 39% | 38% | 40% | 39% | 41% | 35% | 40% | 39% | 42% | 26% | 40% | 39% | 37% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 30% | 33% | 40% | 42% | 36% | 36% | 37% | 44% | 39% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 39% | 43% | 37% | 35% | 40% | 39% | 27% | 48% | 37% | 37% | 39% |
| Healthcare | 16% | 12% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 14% | 18% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 15% | 28% | 14% | 11% | 24% | 10% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 22% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 20% | 14% | 12% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 11% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 10% | 21% | 20% | 9% | 22% | 15% | 16% |
| Balancing The Budget | 18% | 19% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 15% | 21% | 15% | 20% | 8% | 20% | 17% | 7% | 19% | 26% | 8% | 24% | 27% | 15% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 13% | 19% | 27% | 16% | 14% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 26% | 10% | 9% | 22% | 27% | 25% | 11% | 21% | 16% | 15% | 23% | 16% |
| Taxes | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| Keeping America Safe | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| Education | 4% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| Abortion | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Social Security | 6% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Medicare | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Something Else | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 84% | 12% | 27% | 73% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 39% | 25% | 35% | 40% | 16% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 77% | 37% | 58% | 35% | 44% | 17% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 18% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 16% | 18% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 19% | 42% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 40% |
 | Who would do better at balancing the federal budget? |
| 808 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Romney | Obama | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | |
| Mitt Romney | 47% | 52% | 42% | 41% | 52% | 43% | 53% | 46% | 47% | 51% | 16% | 37% | 50% | 41% | 47% | 89% | 12% | 47% | 81% | 37% | 12% | 33% | 54% | 38% | 43% | 45% | 47% | 59% | 41% | 24% | 53% | 78% | 42% | 43% | 54% | 49% | 35% | 46% | 52% | 61% | 49% | 31% | 67% | 97% | 4% | 24% | 59% | 65% | 86% | 13% | 39% | 62% | 52% | 44% | 42% |
| Barack Obama | 42% | 39% | 45% | 50% | 35% | 43% | 40% | 43% | 42% | 37% | 83% | 48% | 40% | 53% | 41% | 6% | 79% | 33% | 12% | 50% | 77% | 56% | 36% | 45% | 49% | 46% | 41% | 34% | 46% | 63% | 36% | 16% | 44% | 44% | 38% | 43% | 50% | 44% | 41% | 31% | 43% | 59% | 21% | 1% | 89% | 72% | 27% | 19% | 6% | 76% | 43% | 35% | 38% | 42% | 47% |
| Not Sure | 11% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 2% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 5% | 9% | 20% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 18% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 14% | 16% | 8% | 11% | 17% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 11% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 84% | 12% | 27% | 73% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 39% | 25% | 35% | 40% | 16% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 77% | 37% | 58% | 35% | 44% | 17% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 18% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 16% | 18% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 19% | 42% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 40% |
 | Who is more in touch with the average person? |
| 808 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Romney | Obama | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | |
| Mitt Romney | 37% | 40% | 34% | 25% | 41% | 37% | 47% | 33% | 41% | 40% | 11% | 24% | 42% | 32% | 38% | 74% | 8% | 35% | 70% | 23% | 10% | 22% | 44% | 29% | 37% | 32% | 38% | 47% | 32% | 18% | 45% | 58% | 35% | 37% | 41% | 33% | 29% | 34% | 46% | 44% | 41% | 26% | 51% | 82% | 1% | 17% | 48% | 55% | 71% | 9% | 34% | 55% | 44% | 34% | 30% |
| Barack Obama | 52% | 49% | 56% | 63% | 48% | 52% | 44% | 56% | 49% | 48% | 88% | 62% | 49% | 64% | 51% | 12% | 89% | 48% | 18% | 64% | 85% | 69% | 45% | 58% | 53% | 57% | 51% | 41% | 58% | 74% | 46% | 25% | 53% | 55% | 46% | 57% | 61% | 54% | 47% | 44% | 51% | 68% | 31% | 5% | 98% | 80% | 39% | 29% | 14% | 88% | 58% | 38% | 49% | 53% | 58% |
| Not Sure | 11% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 1% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 3% | 18% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 18% | 13% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 13% | 12% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 84% | 12% | 27% | 73% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 39% | 25% | 35% | 40% | 16% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 77% | 37% | 58% | 35% | 44% | 17% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 18% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 16% | 18% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 19% | 42% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 40% |
 | Who will do a better job of keeping America safe? |
| 808 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Romney | Obama | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | |
| Mitt Romney | 44% | 48% | 40% | 38% | 47% | 43% | 51% | 42% | 46% | 48% | 12% | 33% | 48% | 40% | 45% | 86% | 8% | 45% | 80% | 32% | 13% | 32% | 51% | 33% | 39% | 41% | 46% | 55% | 39% | 20% | 55% | 69% | 39% | 43% | 52% | 42% | 33% | 43% | 50% | 57% | 47% | 28% | 63% | 94% | 3% | 20% | 56% | 65% | 82% | 12% | 37% | 58% | 51% | 43% | 38% |
| Barack Obama | 45% | 41% | 48% | 53% | 38% | 46% | 40% | 46% | 44% | 39% | 86% | 50% | 43% | 55% | 44% | 6% | 83% | 38% | 13% | 54% | 80% | 59% | 38% | 47% | 50% | 48% | 44% | 35% | 50% | 68% | 36% | 19% | 47% | 48% | 38% | 46% | 53% | 46% | 41% | 35% | 45% | 64% | 20% | 1% | 90% | 73% | 30% | 23% | 9% | 79% | 48% | 36% | 38% | 46% | 50% |
| Not Sure | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 12% | 2% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 18% | 8% | 14% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 19% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 13% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 84% | 12% | 27% | 73% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 39% | 25% | 35% | 40% | 16% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 77% | 37% | 58% | 35% | 44% | 17% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 18% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 16% | 18% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 19% | 42% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 40% |
 | What is of greater concern in Ohio: voter fraud? Or voter suppression? |
| 808 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Romney | Obama | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | |
| Voter Fraud | 42% | 45% | 40% | 34% | 43% | 44% | 50% | 39% | 46% | 44% | 36% | 32% | 46% | 44% | 42% | 64% | 27% | 40% | 66% | 32% | 26% | 32% | 48% | 39% | 38% | 42% | 43% | 46% | 42% | 32% | 48% | 53% | 39% | 44% | 45% | 40% | 39% | 42% | 48% | 46% | 41% | 38% | 56% | 66% | 22% | 27% | 50% | 60% | 61% | 27% | 43% | 45% | 48% | 39% | 41% |
| Voter Suppression | 38% | 40% | 37% | 47% | 38% | 37% | 28% | 43% | 34% | 36% | 52% | 47% | 35% | 44% | 37% | 19% | 54% | 39% | 21% | 48% | 58% | 47% | 35% | 44% | 29% | 39% | 39% | 31% | 43% | 50% | 34% | 22% | 31% | 38% | 39% | 47% | 38% | 41% | 39% | 34% | 41% | 45% | 22% | 16% | 59% | 56% | 32% | 23% | 21% | 54% | 37% | 36% | 37% | 44% | 37% |
| Not Sure | 19% | 15% | 23% | 19% | 18% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 20% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 13% | 20% | 17% | 21% | 17% | 17% | 33% | 19% | 19% | 22% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 25% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 23% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 22% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 17% | 22% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 84% | 12% | 27% | 73% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 39% | 25% | 35% | 40% | 16% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 77% | 37% | 58% | 35% | 44% | 17% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 18% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 16% | 18% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 19% | 42% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 40% |
 | Do you support? Or oppose? ... the healthcare reform law that Congress passed in 2010? |
| 808 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Romney | Obama | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | |
| Support | 35% | 35% | 36% | 40% | 32% | 37% | 31% | 36% | 35% | 33% | 57% | 43% | 33% | 51% | 33% | 8% | 63% | 30% | 14% | 43% | 63% | 37% | 34% | 43% | 29% | 39% | 35% | 29% | 40% | 56% | 27% | 15% | 31% | 37% | 36% | 39% | 36% | 40% | 36% | 33% | 35% | 47% | 22% | 4% | 70% | 63% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 62% | 39% | 28% | 34% | 37% | 38% |
| Oppose | 49% | 53% | 45% | 38% | 55% | 49% | 55% | 46% | 51% | 52% | 26% | 37% | 53% | 36% | 50% | 82% | 20% | 53% | 77% | 40% | 22% | 36% | 56% | 37% | 42% | 47% | 49% | 56% | 46% | 27% | 59% | 68% | 45% | 47% | 52% | 51% | 40% | 42% | 54% | 63% | 52% | 32% | 67% | 86% | 12% | 22% | 63% | 75% | 82% | 19% | 43% | 62% | 52% | 47% | 45% |
| Not Sure | 16% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 10% | 18% | 17% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 26% | 10% | 19% | 29% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 18% | 24% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 24% | 18% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 21% | 11% | 10% | 18% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 19% | 18% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 17% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 84% | 12% | 27% | 73% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 39% | 25% | 35% | 40% | 16% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 77% | 37% | 58% | 35% | 44% | 17% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 18% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 16% | 18% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 19% | 42% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 40% |
 | Do you support the Tea Party ... Strongly? Somewhat? Or not at all? |
| 808 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marriage | Union | Evangelical | Abortion | Education | Income | Top Issue | 2012 Vote | Outlook | 2008 Vote | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Cell Pho | Landline | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Single | Married | Divorced | Widowed | Yes | No | Yes | No | Legal | Certain | Illegal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | Graduate | < $40K | $40K - $ | $60K - $ | > $80K | Jobs | Healthca | Balancin | Romney | Obama | Optimist | Worried | Frustrat | McCain | Obama | Toledo A | Dayton A | Cincinna | Columbus | Clevelan | |
| Strongly | 16% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 17% | 15% | 23% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 9% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 33% | 5% | 12% | 35% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 24% | 11% | 8% | 18% | 27% | 15% | 16% | 19% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 29% | 31% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 26% | 30% | 5% | 14% | 19% | 17% | 18% | 13% |
| Somewhat | 33% | 37% | 29% | 38% | 32% | 32% | 32% | 35% | 32% | 35% | 19% | 31% | 34% | 35% | 33% | 45% | 19% | 40% | 40% | 33% | 28% | 33% | 35% | 25% | 37% | 32% | 34% | 37% | 32% | 24% | 41% | 37% | 35% | 31% | 39% | 29% | 31% | 35% | 30% | 38% | 34% | 28% | 35% | 50% | 18% | 24% | 39% | 40% | 46% | 21% | 31% | 38% | 35% | 31% | 33% |
| Not At All | 40% | 39% | 41% | 31% | 37% | 47% | 43% | 34% | 45% | 37% | 62% | 34% | 42% | 42% | 39% | 15% | 66% | 35% | 17% | 52% | 63% | 42% | 37% | 48% | 46% | 45% | 38% | 30% | 45% | 58% | 32% | 21% | 36% | 40% | 33% | 52% | 37% | 44% | 40% | 38% | 41% | 52% | 26% | 12% | 67% | 59% | 31% | 25% | 16% | 63% | 43% | 35% | 36% | 43% | 41% |
| Not Sure | 11% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 18% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 26% | 6% | 5% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 16% | 10% | 13% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 19% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 13% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 25% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 84% | 12% | 27% | 73% | 11% | 89% | 33% | 39% | 25% | 35% | 40% | 16% | 23% | 60% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 77% | 37% | 58% | 35% | 44% | 17% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 18% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | 38% | 16% | 18% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 41% | 19% | 42% | 48% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 40% |