Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16792

Some Tightening in GA GOP Governor Primary: 11 days until votes are counted in the Georgia Primary, a new SurveyUSA poll, conducted exclusively for WXIA-TV and V103-FM in Atlanta and WMAZ-TV in Macon, shows some shifting alliances compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 3 weeks ago:

* Republican Governor Primary -- Oxendine Still Strong, But Women Moving to Handel, Seniors Moving to Handel and Johnson. Oxendine does not at this hour appear to have tailwind sufficient to carry him across the 50% + 1 vote finish line needed to avoid a runoff against Handel. 10% of voters have already returned a ballot.

* Democratic Governor Primary -- Barnes Remains Above 50%, Though Baker Shows Some Signs of Life.
* Democratic US Senate Primary -- Thurmond Advances to November Race Against Isakson.
* Democratic Lieutenant Governor Primary -- Porter Leads McCracken 2:1, Remains Positioned to Advance.
* Republican School Superintendent Primary: Barge, Woods Neck-And-Neck With More Voters Undecided Than Backing Either.
* Democratic School Superintendent Primary: Martin 15 Points Ahead, Holding His Breath To See If He Can Avoid Runoff Against Westlake.

Filtering: 3,600 Georgia adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 07/07/10 through 07/08/10. Of them, 3,124 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 955 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the July 20 Republican Primary; 554 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the July 20 Democratic Primary. Incumbent Republican Governor Sonny Perdue is term-limited. Early voting began statewide on June 7. If no one candidate receives 50% + 1 vote, top two finishers advance to a runoff 08/10/10.

[Candidate names rotated]
If the Republican primary for Governor were today, who would you vote for? Jeff Chapman? Nathan Deal? Karen Handel? Eric Johnson? Ray McBerry? John Oxendine? Or Otis Putnam?

955 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Already Voted?		Party Affiliation			Ideology			Tea Party Movement				Tea Party Identity			Top Issue						College Grad		Attend Religious Service			Abortion		Own a Gun?		Income		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	No Opini	Active M	Agree	Disagree	Jobs	State Bu	Educatio	Ethics	Immigrat	Health C	Yes	No	Regularl	Occasion	Almost N	Pro-life	Pro-choi	Yes	No	< $50K	> $50K	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Chapman	4%	6%	2%	7%	3%	5%	3%	4%	4%	2%	25%	**	**	11%	3%	3%	**	6%	4%	3%	**	4%	9%	3%	4%	11%	3%	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	4%	3%	4%	2%	2%	4%	2%	4%	5%	2%	3%	3%	7%
Deal	12%	14%	10%	15%	10%	11%	14%	12%	12%	12%	8%	**	**	24%	11%	12%	**	12%	13%	12%	**	11%	8%	17%	17%	9%	12%	10%	13%	12%	15%	9%	11%	15%	14%	10%	14%	12%	8%	13%	12%	14%	9%	11%	14%	8%	19%	8%
Handel	23%	20%	27%	20%	23%	21%	29%	22%	24%	24%	17%	**	**	16%	24%	22%	**	26%	24%	24%	**	25%	19%	20%	12%	20%	26%	26%	26%	22%	21%	27%	22%	26%	27%	18%	24%	23%	22%	22%	28%	21%	30%	20%	24%	30%	20%	20%
Johnson	12%	14%	9%	4%	11%	16%	15%	9%	15%	12%	12%	**	**	9%	12%	13%	**	10%	12%	13%	**	13%	4%	11%	9%	14%	13%	9%	13%	12%	7%	11%	15%	11%	11%	13%	13%	9%	13%	12%	10%	13%	9%	9%	14%	12%	11%	13%
McBerry	5%	6%	3%	11%	4%	3%	2%	7%	2%	4%	13%	**	**	6%	5%	4%	**	7%	5%	2%	**	6%	4%	2%	4%	5%	5%	5%	6%	3%	2%	7%	6%	2%	4%	6%	6%	2%	6%	6%	2%	5%	4%	9%	3%	2%	4%	8%
Oxendine	32%	32%	33%	32%	36%	31%	28%	35%	30%	32%	21%	**	**	29%	33%	33%	**	32%	31%	37%	**	30%	49%	34%	42%	27%	30%	43%	29%	40%	43%	32%	33%	32%	31%	36%	30%	37%	40%	31%	34%	33%	32%	34%	34%	35%	33%	28%
Putnam	1%	1%	2%	5%	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	4%	**	**	2%	1%	1%	**	1%	1%	2%	**	2%	4%	1%	1%	7%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	2%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%
Undecided	10%	6%	16%	5%	11%	13%	9%	9%	11%	11%	1%	**	**	2%	11%	11%	**	7%	11%	7%	**	10%	2%	13%	10%	7%	10%	5%	8%	9%	9%	11%	9%	12%	9%	11%	10%	11%	8%	11%	9%	10%	10%	11%	10%	8%	8%	15%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	56%	44%	19%	33%	29%	19%	52%	48%	87%	7%	4%	2%	10%	90%	75%	4%	20%	73%	19%	4%	73%	5%	15%	7%	9%	74%	6%	32%	10%	15%	9%	18%	7%	60%	40%	64%	19%	17%	68%	29%	72%	24%	29%	71%	32%	39%	29%

[Candidate names rotated]
If the Democratic primary for Governor were today, who would you vote for? Thurbert Baker? Roy Barnes? Bill Bolton? Carl Camon? Randal Mangham? DuBose Porter? Or David Poythress?

554 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Already Voted?		Party Affiliation			Ideology			Tea Party Movement				Tea Party Identity			Top Issue						College Grad		Attend Religious Service			Abortion		Own a Gun?		Income		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	No Opini	Active M	Agree	Disagree	Jobs	State Bu	Educatio	Ethics	Immigrat	Health C	Yes	No	Regularl	Occasion	Almost N	Pro-life	Pro-choi	Yes	No	< $50K	> $50K	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Baker	18%	19%	17%	21%	16%	23%	11%	18%	18%	3%	27%	**	**	16%	18%	**	19%	14%	17%	16%	19%	7%	17%	22%	24%	**	21%	16%	23%	8%	15%	**	**	8%	13%	20%	15%	20%	17%	25%	13%	14%	20%	18%	16%	21%	13%	18%
Barnes	56%	53%	58%	41%	60%	56%	64%	53%	60%	64%	53%	**	**	41%	58%	**	54%	64%	47%	59%	56%	42%	66%	38%	48%	**	37%	66%	54%	63%	72%	**	**	43%	61%	53%	58%	56%	55%	49%	61%	52%	60%	51%	61%	59%	67%	45%
Bolton	3%	5%	1%	2%	6%	1%	1%	4%	1%	2%	3%	**	**	11%	2%	**	3%	0%	5%	4%	0%	6%	2%	0%	4%	**	7%	2%	3%	0%	0%	**	**	10%	2%	3%	1%	3%	4%	0%	3%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	4%
Camon	3%	6%	1%	7%	3%	1%	3%	4%	2%	5%	3%	**	**	4%	3%	**	4%	0%	1%	1%	8%	13%	2%	4%	2%	**	8%	1%	3%	0%	1%	**	**	3%	2%	4%	2%	5%	3%	1%	4%	4%	2%	4%	2%	1%	1%	7%
Mangham	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	**	**	1%	1%	**	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	0%	**	0%	1%	1%	7%	0%	**	**	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Porter	6%	7%	5%	14%	4%	3%	3%	8%	3%	5%	2%	**	**	16%	4%	**	5%	4%	11%	8%	1%	4%	3%	16%	7%	**	12%	3%	7%	2%	3%	**	**	9%	9%	3%	7%	2%	7%	10%	4%	10%	2%	10%	3%	6%	3%	7%
Poythress	5%	5%	5%	11%	2%	6%	2%	5%	5%	9%	2%	**	**	6%	5%	**	3%	15%	15%	3%	6%	20%	2%	10%	1%	**	11%	2%	2%	10%	5%	**	**	16%	5%	5%	7%	3%	3%	5%	6%	7%	4%	4%	7%	3%	3%	7%
Undecided	9%	5%	12%	4%	9%	8%	15%	7%	11%	10%	9%	**	**	4%	9%	**	10%	3%	4%	8%	8%	8%	7%	10%	13%	**	3%	7%	7%	10%	4%	**	**	10%	7%	10%	7%	10%	10%	8%	8%	8%	7%	10%	8%	6%	10%	11%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	45%	55%	21%	33%	27%	18%	55%	45%	38%	55%	4%	3%	12%	88%	4%	84%	11%	14%	45%	29%	10%	58%	18%	15%	2%	19%	59%	47%	7%	20%	4%	3%	8%	55%	45%	57%	24%	19%	31%	65%	44%	53%	42%	58%	40%	24%	36%

[Candidate names rotated]
Georgia Democrats will also hold a primary for United States Senate. If the Democratic primary for US Senate were today, who would you vote for? R.J. Hadley? Or Michael Thurmond?

554 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Already Voted?		Party Affiliation			Ideology			Tea Party Movement				Tea Party Identity			Top Issue						College Grad		Attend Religious Service			Abortion		Own a Gun?		Income		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	No Opini	Active M	Agree	Disagree	Jobs	State Bu	Educatio	Ethics	Immigrat	Health C	Yes	No	Regularl	Occasion	Almost N	Pro-life	Pro-choi	Yes	No	< $50K	> $50K	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Hadley	13%	15%	11%	17%	13%	12%	10%	14%	11%	18%	7%	**	**	15%	13%	**	12%	14%	22%	8%	18%	27%	12%	10%	10%	**	25%	9%	13%	8%	13%	**	**	9%	9%	16%	9%	15%	20%	12%	13%	16%	10%	10%	15%	11%	11%	16%
Thurmond	64%	65%	63%	54%	67%	70%	60%	62%	66%	48%	74%	**	**	67%	63%	**	65%	59%	62%	69%	60%	58%	63%	75%	60%	**	67%	67%	68%	57%	65%	**	**	79%	67%	62%	71%	65%	45%	67%	64%	67%	64%	69%	62%	65%	60%	65%
Undecided	23%	20%	26%	29%	21%	18%	30%	24%	23%	34%	19%	**	**	18%	24%	**	24%	27%	16%	23%	22%	15%	25%	15%	30%	**	8%	25%	19%	35%	23%	**	**	12%	24%	22%	20%	21%	35%	21%	23%	16%	27%	22%	23%	24%	29%	19%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	45%	55%	21%	33%	27%	18%	55%	45%	38%	55%	4%	3%	12%	88%	4%	84%	11%	14%	45%	29%	10%	58%	18%	15%	2%	19%	59%	47%	7%	20%	4%	3%	8%	55%	45%	57%	24%	19%	31%	65%	44%	53%	42%	58%	40%	24%	36%

[Candidate names rotated]
Georgia Democrats will also hold a primary for Lieutenant Governor. If the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor were today, who would you vote for? Tricia Carpenter McCracken? Or Carol Porter?

554 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Already Voted?		Party Affiliation			Ideology			Tea Party Movement				Tea Party Identity			Top Issue						College Grad		Attend Religious Service			Abortion		Own a Gun?		Income		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	No Opini	Active M	Agree	Disagree	Jobs	State Bu	Educatio	Ethics	Immigrat	Health C	Yes	No	Regularl	Occasion	Almost N	Pro-life	Pro-choi	Yes	No	< $50K	> $50K	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
McCracken	22%	24%	20%	18%	28%	20%	18%	24%	19%	29%	18%	**	**	29%	21%	**	22%	17%	31%	21%	22%	37%	20%	14%	28%	**	33%	18%	20%	16%	24%	**	**	18%	22%	20%	21%	25%	17%	23%	22%	20%	23%	20%	22%	17%	19%	29%
Porter	48%	52%	45%	46%	48%	51%	45%	47%	48%	39%	52%	**	**	50%	48%	**	48%	51%	55%	50%	44%	40%	46%	68%	35%	**	55%	48%	53%	46%	48%	**	**	58%	46%	51%	50%	47%	44%	52%	47%	54%	44%	49%	48%	50%	43%	48%
Undecided	30%	24%	35%	37%	24%	30%	36%	29%	32%	32%	30%	**	**	21%	32%	**	30%	32%	14%	29%	33%	23%	34%	18%	37%	**	12%	33%	27%	38%	27%	**	**	24%	32%	29%	29%	29%	39%	26%	31%	26%	33%	30%	30%	33%	37%	24%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	45%	55%	21%	33%	27%	18%	55%	45%	38%	55%	4%	3%	12%	88%	4%	84%	11%	14%	45%	29%	10%	58%	18%	15%	2%	19%	59%	47%	7%	20%	4%	3%	8%	55%	45%	57%	24%	19%	31%	65%	44%	53%	42%	58%	40%	24%	36%

[Candidate names rotated]
Georgia Republicans will also hold a primary for School Superintendent. If the Republican primary for School Superintendent were today, who would you vote for? John Barge? Or Richard Woods?

955 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Already Voted?		Party Affiliation			Ideology			Tea Party Movement				Tea Party Identity			Top Issue						College Grad		Attend Religious Service			Abortion		Own a Gun?		Income		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	No Opini	Active M	Agree	Disagree	Jobs	State Bu	Educatio	Ethics	Immigrat	Health C	Yes	No	Regularl	Occasion	Almost N	Pro-life	Pro-choi	Yes	No	< $50K	> $50K	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Barge	28%	30%	25%	30%	25%	29%	27%	27%	28%	27%	26%	**	**	26%	28%	28%	**	25%	28%	26%	**	28%	24%	25%	38%	30%	28%	19%	28%	33%	36%	24%	25%	23%	27%	28%	29%	27%	26%	27%	27%	29%	28%	22%	30%	26%	27%	30%
Woods	34%	36%	31%	40%	31%	33%	34%	35%	33%	32%	57%	**	**	56%	32%	34%	**	31%	32%	40%	**	33%	32%	37%	33%	41%	32%	36%	36%	30%	32%	33%	35%	28%	31%	36%	31%	37%	36%	32%	37%	33%	34%	36%	33%	28%	37%	37%
Undecided	38%	34%	44%	29%	44%	38%	39%	38%	38%	41%	17%	**	**	18%	41%	38%	**	44%	40%	34%	**	39%	43%	38%	29%	29%	40%	45%	36%	37%	33%	43%	40%	49%	42%	35%	40%	35%	38%	40%	37%	38%	39%	43%	36%	46%	36%	33%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	56%	44%	19%	33%	29%	19%	52%	48%	87%	7%	4%	2%	10%	90%	75%	4%	20%	73%	19%	4%	73%	5%	15%	7%	9%	74%	6%	32%	10%	15%	9%	18%	7%	60%	40%	64%	19%	17%	68%	29%	72%	24%	29%	71%	32%	39%	29%

[Candidate names rotated]
Georgia Democrats will also hold a primary for School Superintendent. If the Democratic primary for School Superintendent were today, who would you vote for? Beth Farokhi? Joe Martin? Or Brian Westlake?

554 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Already Voted?		Party Affiliation			Ideology			Tea Party Movement				Tea Party Identity			Top Issue						College Grad		Attend Religious Service			Abortion		Own a Gun?		Income		Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	No Opini	Active M	Agree	Disagree	Jobs	State Bu	Educatio	Ethics	Immigrat	Health C	Yes	No	Regularl	Occasion	Almost N	Pro-life	Pro-choi	Yes	No	< $50K	> $50K	Atlanta	Northwes	South &
Farokhi	13%	11%	15%	8%	18%	12%	13%	14%	13%	18%	12%	**	**	27%	12%	**	14%	10%	14%	15%	13%	24%	14%	13%	6%	**	19%	14%	11%	12%	19%	**	**	16%	13%	11%	11%	12%	14%	10%	14%	13%	12%	14%	12%	10%	17%	15%
Martin	35%	37%	34%	29%	37%	40%	34%	34%	38%	31%	38%	**	**	30%	36%	**	35%	29%	46%	34%	37%	32%	34%	38%	38%	**	40%	32%	37%	40%	34%	**	**	42%	31%	41%	37%	34%	33%	39%	36%	35%	37%	36%	36%	36%	28%	39%
Westlake	21%	28%	16%	25%	22%	19%	19%	23%	19%	17%	22%	**	**	23%	21%	**	21%	25%	23%	22%	19%	21%	19%	34%	18%	**	28%	21%	26%	10%	19%	**	**	15%	23%	21%	25%	21%	15%	26%	21%	26%	19%	22%	23%	21%	19%	23%
Undecided	30%	24%	35%	38%	23%	29%	33%	29%	31%	34%	28%	**	**	20%	31%	**	29%	36%	18%	29%	31%	23%	33%	15%	38%	**	13%	33%	26%	38%	29%	**	**	27%	32%	28%	26%	32%	39%	25%	30%	26%	32%	28%	30%	33%	36%	23%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	45%	55%	21%	33%	27%	18%	55%	45%	38%	55%	4%	3%	12%	88%	4%	84%	11%	14%	45%	29%	10%	58%	18%	15%	2%	19%	59%	47%	7%	20%	4%	3%	8%	55%	45%	57%	24%	19%	31%	65%	44%	53%	42%	58%	40%	24%	36%

** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.