| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13893 |
| Missouri: McCain Edges Obama, Clinton Edges McCain if November Election Were Today -- In a hypothetical November election for President held in Missouri today, 05/20/08, Republican John McCain edges Democrat Barack Obama 48% to 45%, but Democrat Hillary Clinton edges McCain 48% to 46%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KCTV-TV Kansas City and KSDK-TV St. Louis. Both results are within the survey's 2.6 percentage point margin of sampling error. The state is correctly characterized as a toss-up. Neither party has a particular advantage. If Obama is the Democratic nominee, 20% of Democrats today cross over and vote for McCain. If Clinton is the Democratic nominee, 12% of Democrats cross over. McCain leads by 13 points among whites if running against Obama, by 5 points if running against Clinton. Obama leads McCain by 75 points among blacks; Clinton leads McCain by 60 among blacks. Running against Obama, McCain leads by 13 points in Northern Missouri, by 17 in Southwestern Missouri, and by 34 points in Southeastern Missouri. Obama leads by 14 in the Kansas City area and by 7 in the St. Louis area. Running against Clinton, McCain leads by 8 points in Northern Missouri, by 18 in Southwestern Missouri, and by 4 points in Southeastern Missouri. Clinton leads by 21 in the Kansas City area and by 9 in the St. Louis area. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,050 Missouri adults 05/16/08 through 05/18/08. Of the adults, 1,857 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 1,523 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 election for President of the United States. Missouri has 11 Electoral College votes. |
 | If the election for President of the United States were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama , who would you vote for? |
| 1523 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Photo ID To Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | Require | No ID | Northern | Kansas C | Southwes | St. Loui | Southeas | |
| McCain (R) | 48% | 54% | 43% | 41% | 49% | 49% | 51% | 46% | 50% | 45% | 52% | 50% | 53% | 11% | 89% | 20% | 49% | 79% | 43% | 13% | 59% | 42% | 34% | 66% | 33% | 87% | 92% | 46% | ** | 34% | 27% | 83% | ** | ** | 82% | 57% | 36% | 51% | 39% | 54% | 44% | 64% |
| Obama (D) | 45% | 41% | 47% | 55% | 45% | 41% | 37% | 49% | 40% | 50% | 38% | 40% | 40% | 86% | 8% | 72% | 39% | 16% | 50% | 79% | 35% | 49% | 57% | 28% | 59% | 8% | 2% | 48% | ** | 56% | 67% | 10% | ** | ** | 14% | 35% | 58% | 38% | 53% | 37% | 51% | 30% |
| Undecided | 7% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | ** | 9% | 6% | 7% | ** | ** | 4% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 6% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 22% | 30% | 26% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 46% | 14% | 40% | 87% | 10% | 30% | 45% | 19% | 29% | 38% | 15% | 49% | 26% | 25% | 47% | 50% | 21% | 75% | 50% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 58% | 41% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 37% | 9% |
| 2 | If the election for President of the United States were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican John McCain and Democrat Hillary Clinton , who would you vote for? |
| 1523 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Photo ID To Vote | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | Require | No ID | Northern | Kansas C | Southwes | St. Loui | Southeas | |
| McCain (R) | 46% | 55% | 37% | 40% | 51% | 45% | 44% | 47% | 45% | 46% | 43% | 47% | 50% | 14% | 89% | 12% | 54% | 77% | 41% | 11% | 56% | 36% | 37% | 63% | 32% | 76% | 91% | 43% | ** | 35% | 31% | 80% | ** | ** | 77% | 54% | 34% | 49% | 37% | 56% | 43% | 49% |
| Clinton (D) | 48% | 40% | 56% | 53% | 43% | 49% | 50% | 48% | 49% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 45% | 74% | 9% | 82% | 36% | 18% | 54% | 82% | 38% | 59% | 56% | 33% | 62% | 21% | 3% | 53% | ** | 59% | 64% | 14% | ** | ** | 20% | 39% | 62% | 41% | 58% | 38% | 52% | 45% |
| Undecided | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 5% | ** | 6% | 5% | 6% | ** | ** | 4% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 22% | 30% | 26% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 46% | 14% | 40% | 87% | 10% | 30% | 45% | 19% | 29% | 38% | 15% | 49% | 26% | 25% | 47% | 50% | 21% | 75% | 50% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 58% | 41% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 37% | 9% |