| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17219 |
| Huelskamp Sails To Victory in KS-01, Republicans Hold Moran's Seat: In an election for US House of Representatives in Kansas' 1st Congressional District today, 10/07/10, one week till advance voting begins, Republican Tim Huelskamp defeats Democrat Alan Jilka 63% to 26%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KWCH-TV Wichita.
Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 2 months ago, little has changed; Jilka has gained some ground among men and voters under age 50, but continues to trail by more than 2:1 among both groups. Huelskamp remains above 60% among both men and women, young and old. 1 in 10 Republicans cross over to vote for the Democrat; 1 in 4 Democrats cross over to vote for the Republican. Independents favor Huelskamp 2:1. The 1st District, created in 1874, has been represented by a Democrat only for one term, from 1953-1955. Incumbent Republican Jerry Moran is running for US Senate. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 adults from Kansas' 1st Congressional District 10/05/10 through 10/06/10. Of them, 798 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 541 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election. All interviews were conducted after a candidate debate on 10/04/10. Advance voting begins in 1 week, on 10/13/10. |
 | [Candidate names rotated] If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? Republican Tim Huelskamp? Democrat Alan Jilka? Or Libertarian Jack Warner? |
| 541 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
| Tim Huelskamp (R) | 63% | 64% | 61% | 65% | 61% | 61% | 65% | 62% | 63% | 63% | ** | 41% | ** | 79% | 26% | 53% | 80% | 49% | 27% | 80% | 19% | 68% | 61% | 65% | 63% | 68% | 55% | 52% | 75% | 45% | 66% | 54% | 62% | 64% |
| Alan Jilka (D) | 26% | 28% | 23% | 30% | 27% | 24% | 25% | 28% | 24% | 26% | ** | 30% | ** | 11% | 66% | 24% | 9% | 40% | 65% | 9% | 71% | 21% | 20% | 26% | 24% | 19% | 33% | 38% | 13% | 44% | 24% | 29% | 24% | 26% |
| Jack Warner (L) | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ** | 0% | ** | 3% | 5% | 16% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 6% |
| Undecided | 6% | 2% | 11% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 5% | ** | 30% | ** | 7% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 53% | 47% | 12% | 28% | 34% | 26% | 39% | 61% | 90% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 62% | 22% | 15% | 52% | 31% | 11% | 48% | 19% | 24% | 9% | 43% | 57% | 67% | 17% | 16% | 60% | 34% | 66% | 29% | 45% | 55% |