Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17219
Huelskamp Sails To Victory in KS-01, Republicans Hold Moran's Seat: In an election for US House of Representatives in Kansas' 1st Congressional District today, 10/07/10, one week till advance voting begins, Republican Tim Huelskamp defeats Democrat Alan Jilka 63% to 26%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KWCH-TV Wichita.

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 2 months ago, little has changed; Jilka has gained some ground among men and voters under age 50, but continues to trail by more than 2:1 among both groups. Huelskamp remains above 60% among both men and women, young and old. 1 in 10 Republicans cross over to vote for the Democrat; 1 in 4 Democrats cross over to vote for the Republican. Independents favor Huelskamp 2:1.

The 1st District, created in 1874, has been represented by a Democrat only for one term, from 1953-1955. Incumbent Republican Jerry Moran is running for US Senate.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 adults from Kansas' 1st Congressional District 10/05/10 through 10/06/10. Of them, 798 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 541 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election. All interviews were conducted after a candidate debate on 10/04/10. Advance voting begins in 1 week, on 10/13/10.
[Candidate names rotated]
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? Republican Tim Huelskamp? Democrat Alan Jilka? Or Libertarian Jack Warner?
541 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
Tim Huelskamp (R)63%64%61%65%61%61%65%62%63%63%**41%**79%26%53%80%49%27%80%19%68%61%65%63%68%55%52%75%45%66%54%62%64%
Alan Jilka (D)26%28%23%30%27%24%25%28%24%26%**30%**11%66%24%9%40%65%9%71%21%20%26%24%19%33%38%13%44%24%29%24%26%
Jack Warner (L)5%6%4%4%7%6%4%6%5%6%**0%**3%5%16%5%5%4%5%5%6%8%6%5%5%5%7%5%6%5%7%6%6%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%12%28%34%26%39%61%90%2%6%3%62%22%15%52%31%11%48%19%24%9%43%57%67%17%16%60%34%66%29%45%55%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.