| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14707 |
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In Fight for Open House Seat in KY2, Guthrie May Hold The Line for GOP:
In an election for the open US House seat in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District, Republican Brett Gurhtrie may have the votes to defeat Democrat David Boswell, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for Roll Call, the newspaper of Capitol Hill, and WHAS-TV in Louisville. Guthrie gets 53% today, Boswell 43%. 31% of Democrats cross-over and vote Republican in the House race. Boswell and Guthrie tie among seniors, but SurveyUSA polling has Guthrie ahead in all other age groups.
McCain carries the district by 27 points. Republican Guthrie runs 9 points weaker than McCain. Democrat Boswell runs 8 points stronger than Barack Obama. In the district, McCain has Plus 25 Favorability; Obama has Minus 22 Favorability; Guthrie has Plus 14 Favorability; Boswell has Plus 4 Favorability. Republican Ron Lewis, the 7-term incumbent who is not seeking re-election, has Plus 40 Favorability. 800 adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA. Of them, 673 were registered to vote. Of them 587 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before election day. |
| 1 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
| 587 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Guthrie | Opinion Of Boswell | Opinion Of Lewis | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Better Equipped | Vote For Preside | Vote For US Hous | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Republic | Democrat | McCain | Obama | Guthrie | Boswell | |
| McCain (R) | 62% | 62% | 62% | 61% | 63% | 62% | 60% | 62% | 61% | 64% | 22% | ** | ** | 91% | 42% | 57% | 87% | 47% | 19% | 96% | 5% | 50% | 3% | 97% | 59% | 85% | 38% | 54% | 31% | 89% | 66% | 77% | 26% | 52% | 98% | 32% | 45% | 64% | 57% | ** | 42% | 54% | 94% | ** | ** | ** | 98% | 13% | 100% | 0% | 91% | 26% |
| Obama (D) | 35% | 35% | 35% | 34% | 35% | 33% | 39% | 35% | 36% | 33% | 74% | ** | ** | 8% | 53% | 38% | 12% | 48% | 78% | 3% | 88% | 43% | 96% | 1% | 22% | 15% | 59% | 40% | 64% | 9% | 31% | 20% | 70% | 44% | 2% | 62% | 52% | 33% | 40% | ** | 46% | 45% | 6% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 81% | 0% | 100% | 9% | 69% |
| Other | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | ** | ** | 0% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ** | 0% | 1% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| Undecided | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | ** | ** | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ** | 12% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 37% | 53% | 9% | 45% | 41% | 10% | 55% | 30% | 14% | 34% | 56% | 9% | 36% | 22% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 31% | 60% | 20% | 17% | 39% | 55% | 10% | 79% | 59% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 53% | 41% | 62% | 35% | 53% | 43% |
 | If the election for U.S. House of Representatives, were today, would you vote for ... (names rotated) Republican Brett Guthrie? Or, Democrat David Boswell? |
| 587 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Guthrie | Opinion Of Boswell | Opinion Of Lewis | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Better Equipped | Vote For Preside | Vote For US Hous | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Republic | Democrat | McCain | Obama | Guthrie | Boswell | |
| Brett Guthrie (R) | 53% | 54% | 53% | 54% | 56% | 54% | 49% | 55% | 52% | 55% | 20% | ** | ** | 86% | 31% | 52% | 78% | 38% | 20% | 80% | 11% | 40% | 14% | 80% | 42% | 91% | 15% | 43% | 12% | 92% | 58% | 69% | 16% | 44% | 87% | 27% | 33% | 57% | 49% | ** | 36% | 50% | 86% | ** | ** | ** | 85% | 14% | 78% | 13% | 100% | 0% |
| David Boswell (D) | 43% | 45% | 41% | 44% | 39% | 42% | 49% | 41% | 44% | 41% | 75% | ** | ** | 11% | 65% | 46% | 18% | 58% | 79% | 16% | 85% | 56% | 84% | 17% | 46% | 9% | 83% | 50% | 87% | 7% | 35% | 28% | 81% | 49% | 10% | 69% | 62% | 40% | 48% | ** | 59% | 49% | 12% | ** | ** | ** | 13% | 83% | 18% | 84% | 0% | 100% |
| Undecided | 4% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | ** | ** | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 12% | 0% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | ** | 5% | 1% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 37% | 53% | 9% | 45% | 41% | 10% | 55% | 30% | 14% | 34% | 56% | 9% | 36% | 22% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 31% | 60% | 20% | 17% | 39% | 55% | 10% | 79% | 59% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 53% | 41% | 62% | 35% | 53% | 43% |
| 3 | Is your opinion of John McCain ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of John McCain? |
| 587 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Guthrie | Opinion Of Boswell | Opinion Of Lewis | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Better Equipped | Vote For Preside | Vote For US Hous | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Republic | Democrat | McCain | Obama | Guthrie | Boswell | |
| Favorable | 55% | 55% | 55% | 50% | 56% | 57% | 58% | 54% | 57% | 57% | 19% | ** | ** | 85% | 36% | 47% | 80% | 40% | 15% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 86% | 53% | 79% | 33% | 48% | 30% | 79% | 60% | 72% | 19% | 43% | 94% | 25% | 41% | 58% | 51% | ** | 34% | 46% | 88% | ** | ** | ** | 90% | 12% | 86% | 5% | 83% | 21% |
| Unfavorable | 30% | 29% | 31% | 36% | 28% | 26% | 32% | 31% | 28% | 28% | 72% | ** | ** | 6% | 47% | 27% | 10% | 40% | 74% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 76% | 4% | 22% | 12% | 55% | 32% | 58% | 11% | 20% | 17% | 62% | 36% | 1% | 54% | 48% | 27% | 32% | ** | 50% | 36% | 5% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 68% | 3% | 75% | 6% | 59% |
| Neutral | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 7% | ** | ** | 9% | 15% | 24% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 15% | 9% | 25% | 8% | 11% | 19% | 10% | 9% | 19% | 10% | 17% | 21% | 5% | 19% | 9% | 14% | 15% | ** | 15% | 18% | 7% | ** | ** | ** | 8% | 18% | 11% | 17% | 10% | 18% |
| No Opinion | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ** | ** | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ** | 1% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 0% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 37% | 53% | 9% | 45% | 41% | 10% | 55% | 30% | 14% | 34% | 56% | 9% | 36% | 22% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 31% | 60% | 20% | 17% | 39% | 55% | 10% | 79% | 59% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 53% | 41% | 62% | 35% | 53% | 43% |
| 4 | Is your opinion of Barack Obama ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Barack Obama? |
| 587 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Guthrie | Opinion Of Boswell | Opinion Of Lewis | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Better Equipped | Vote For Preside | Vote For US Hous | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Republic | Democrat | McCain | Obama | Guthrie | Boswell | |
| Favorable | 34% | 33% | 34% | 34% | 33% | 32% | 38% | 33% | 34% | 31% | 75% | ** | ** | 8% | 51% | 34% | 12% | 44% | 78% | 4% | 85% | 38% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 57% | 37% | 63% | 10% | 26% | 20% | 67% | 40% | 3% | 59% | 53% | 31% | 38% | ** | 42% | 46% | 5% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 78% | 2% | 93% | 9% | 66% |
| Unfavorable | 56% | 56% | 55% | 57% | 53% | 58% | 55% | 54% | 57% | 57% | 19% | ** | ** | 82% | 37% | 58% | 80% | 40% | 16% | 86% | 8% | 39% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 78% | 39% | 47% | 26% | 86% | 57% | 69% | 26% | 44% | 91% | 28% | 42% | 58% | 52% | ** | 34% | 47% | 88% | ** | ** | ** | 92% | 9% | 87% | 1% | 83% | 22% |
| Neutral | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 6% | ** | ** | 9% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 14% | 6% | 11% | 2% | 9% | 8% | ** | 22% | 5% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 6% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 10% |
| No Opinion | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | ** | ** | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ** | 2% | 3% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 37% | 53% | 9% | 45% | 41% | 10% | 55% | 30% | 14% | 34% | 56% | 9% | 36% | 22% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 31% | 60% | 20% | 17% | 39% | 55% | 10% | 79% | 59% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 53% | 41% | 62% | 35% | 53% | 43% |
| 5 | If your opinion of Brett Guthrie is... |
| 587 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Guthrie | Opinion Of Boswell | Opinion Of Lewis | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Better Equipped | Vote For Preside | Vote For US Hous | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Republic | Democrat | McCain | Obama | Guthrie | Boswell | |
| Favorable | 36% | 40% | 33% | 34% | 36% | 35% | 41% | 35% | 37% | 37% | 25% | ** | ** | 53% | 24% | 35% | 52% | 26% | 15% | 52% | 14% | 22% | 16% | 51% | 28% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 73% | 28% | 48% | 18% | 20% | 57% | 20% | 25% | 40% | 30% | ** | 27% | 37% | 69% | ** | ** | ** | 55% | 16% | 50% | 15% | 62% | 7% |
| Unfavorable | 22% | 25% | 18% | 28% | 16% | 23% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 20% | ** | ** | 10% | 28% | 29% | 14% | 26% | 35% | 13% | 40% | 17% | 36% | 15% | 9% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 47% | 16% | 7% | 16% | 50% | 12% | 11% | 31% | 45% | 20% | 24% | ** | 31% | 22% | 7% | ** | ** | ** | 12% | 34% | 13% | 36% | 6% | 42% |
| Neutral | 32% | 28% | 36% | 28% | 37% | 31% | 30% | 33% | 31% | 32% | 31% | ** | ** | 26% | 37% | 28% | 25% | 38% | 39% | 28% | 35% | 46% | 35% | 27% | 52% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 30% | 11% | 59% | 28% | 26% | 55% | 26% | 37% | 19% | 32% | 35% | ** | 35% | 36% | 17% | ** | ** | ** | 27% | 36% | 28% | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| No Opinion | 10% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 24% | ** | ** | 10% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 11% | ** | 7% | 6% | 7% | ** | ** | ** | 6% | 14% | 9% | 12% | 6% | 13% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 37% | 53% | 9% | 45% | 41% | 10% | 55% | 30% | 14% | 34% | 56% | 9% | 36% | 22% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 31% | 60% | 20% | 17% | 39% | 55% | 10% | 79% | 59% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 53% | 41% | 62% | 35% | 53% | 43% |
| 6 | If your opinion of David Boswell is... |
| 587 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Guthrie | Opinion Of Boswell | Opinion Of Lewis | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Better Equipped | Vote For Preside | Vote For US Hous | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Republic | Democrat | McCain | Obama | Guthrie | Boswell | |
| Favorable | 32% | 38% | 26% | 30% | 29% | 31% | 39% | 30% | 34% | 31% | 49% | ** | ** | 12% | 47% | 25% | 16% | 43% | 57% | 17% | 62% | 23% | 60% | 15% | 32% | 15% | 69% | 29% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 59% | 21% | 15% | 46% | 53% | 30% | 35% | ** | 41% | 42% | 15% | ** | ** | ** | 14% | 58% | 16% | 58% | 7% | 64% |
| Unfavorable | 28% | 31% | 24% | 34% | 21% | 31% | 26% | 26% | 29% | 28% | 11% | ** | ** | 40% | 17% | 34% | 43% | 16% | 10% | 39% | 10% | 19% | 8% | 43% | 11% | 55% | 20% | 9% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 36% | 17% | 13% | 43% | 16% | 18% | 31% | 22% | ** | 31% | 29% | 51% | ** | ** | ** | 43% | 8% | 40% | 7% | 47% | 4% |
| Neutral | 31% | 26% | 37% | 20% | 40% | 31% | 30% | 32% | 31% | 31% | 29% | ** | ** | 34% | 29% | 34% | 31% | 34% | 24% | 34% | 21% | 45% | 25% | 32% | 51% | 24% | 10% | 57% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 27% | 23% | 58% | 32% | 30% | 21% | 32% | 35% | ** | 24% | 28% | 22% | ** | ** | ** | 33% | 27% | 34% | 28% | 34% | 26% |
| No Opinion | 9% | 5% | 13% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 9% | 11% | ** | ** | 14% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | ** | 4% | 2% | 12% | ** | ** | ** | 10% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 6% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 37% | 53% | 9% | 45% | 41% | 10% | 55% | 30% | 14% | 34% | 56% | 9% | 36% | 22% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 31% | 60% | 20% | 17% | 39% | 55% | 10% | 79% | 59% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 53% | 41% | 62% | 35% | 53% | 43% |
| 7 | If your opinion of Ron Lewis is... |
| 587 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Guthrie | Opinion Of Boswell | Opinion Of Lewis | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Better Equipped | Vote For Preside | Vote For US Hous | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Republic | Democrat | McCain | Obama | Guthrie | Boswell | |
| Favorable | 60% | 63% | 57% | 60% | 60% | 61% | 61% | 60% | 61% | 61% | 47% | ** | ** | 80% | 47% | 53% | 76% | 48% | 39% | 78% | 34% | 45% | 35% | 75% | 60% | 80% | 44% | 52% | 51% | 80% | 52% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 83% | 44% | 44% | 62% | 56% | ** | 55% | 57% | 80% | ** | ** | ** | 78% | 40% | 75% | 34% | 77% | 40% |
| Unfavorable | 20% | 23% | 17% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 26% | 18% | 22% | 20% | 19% | ** | ** | 6% | 29% | 25% | 11% | 25% | 39% | 7% | 42% | 25% | 40% | 9% | 14% | 10% | 46% | 16% | 37% | 12% | 15% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 6% | 32% | 36% | 19% | 22% | ** | 25% | 23% | 12% | ** | ** | ** | 6% | 37% | 8% | 40% | 6% | 38% |
| Neutral | 17% | 12% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 25% | ** | ** | 12% | 20% | 21% | 11% | 24% | 16% | 13% | 20% | 27% | 20% | 14% | 25% | 9% | 10% | 29% | 11% | 8% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 17% | 19% | ** | 16% | 19% | 8% | ** | ** | ** | 13% | 20% | 14% | 21% | 14% | 19% |
| No Opinion | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 8% | ** | ** | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 3% | ** | 4% | 1% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 37% | 53% | 9% | 45% | 41% | 10% | 55% | 30% | 14% | 34% | 56% | 9% | 36% | 22% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 31% | 60% | 20% | 17% | 39% | 55% | 10% | 79% | 59% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 53% | 41% | 62% | 35% | 53% | 43% |
| 8 | Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as President? |
| 587 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Guthrie | Opinion Of Boswell | Opinion Of Lewis | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Better Equipped | Vote For Preside | Vote For US Hous | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Republic | Democrat | McCain | Obama | Guthrie | Boswell | |
| Approve | 39% | 41% | 37% | 36% | 43% | 40% | 35% | 40% | 38% | 41% | 10% | ** | ** | 66% | 21% | 35% | 62% | 24% | 6% | 67% | 1% | 15% | 3% | 65% | 24% | 62% | 20% | 31% | 19% | 61% | 40% | 54% | 13% | 21% | 100% | 0% | 37% | 41% | 34% | ** | 21% | 37% | 76% | ** | ** | ** | 68% | 5% | 62% | 2% | 64% | 9% |
| Disapprove | 55% | 54% | 55% | 56% | 51% | 54% | 60% | 53% | 56% | 53% | 88% | ** | ** | 26% | 74% | 59% | 32% | 69% | 92% | 25% | 98% | 78% | 96% | 27% | 67% | 31% | 79% | 62% | 80% | 33% | 52% | 40% | 87% | 68% | 0% | 100% | 59% | 55% | 61% | ** | 75% | 59% | 15% | ** | ** | ** | 24% | 94% | 28% | 97% | 28% | 88% |
| Not Sure | 6% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 2% | ** | ** | 8% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 1% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ** | 4% | 4% | 9% | ** | ** | ** | 8% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 8% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 37% | 53% | 9% | 45% | 41% | 10% | 55% | 30% | 14% | 34% | 56% | 9% | 36% | 22% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 31% | 60% | 20% | 17% | 39% | 55% | 10% | 79% | 59% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 53% | 41% | 62% | 35% | 53% | 43% |
| 9 | Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job the United States Congress is doing? |
| 587 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Guthrie | Opinion Of Boswell | Opinion Of Lewis | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Better Equipped | Vote For Preside | Vote For US Hous | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Republic | Democrat | McCain | Obama | Guthrie | Boswell | |
| Approve | 10% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ** | ** | 9% | 11% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 20% | 7% | 16% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 16% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 18% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 100% | 0% | 10% | ** | 11% | 12% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 8% | 14% | 7% | 14% | 6% | 14% |
| Disapprove | 79% | 79% | 78% | 77% | 78% | 81% | 77% | 78% | 79% | 79% | 69% | ** | ** | 80% | 76% | 88% | 82% | 79% | 70% | 82% | 71% | 82% | 73% | 83% | 76% | 86% | 74% | 78% | 73% | 88% | 81% | 81% | 74% | 78% | 81% | 79% | 0% | 100% | 79% | ** | 71% | 80% | 84% | ** | ** | ** | 83% | 73% | 82% | 74% | 84% | 73% |
| Not Sure | 12% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 14% | ** | ** | 11% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 22% | 7% | 6% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 11% | ** | 17% | 7% | 12% | ** | ** | ** | 10% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 37% | 53% | 9% | 45% | 41% | 10% | 55% | 30% | 14% | 34% | 56% | 9% | 36% | 22% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 31% | 60% | 20% | 17% | 39% | 55% | 10% | 79% | 59% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 53% | 41% | 62% | 35% | 53% | 43% |
| 10 | Which one issue should congress focus on ahead of all others? (choices rotated) The economy? The environment? Health care? Iraq? Terrorism? The price of gasoline? Education? Immigration? Or some other issue? |
| 579 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Guthrie | Opinion Of Boswell | Opinion Of Lewis | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Better Equipped | Vote For Preside | Vote For US Hous | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Republic | Democrat | McCain | Obama | Guthrie | Boswell | |
| Economy | 59% | 57% | 60% | 52% | 61% | 58% | 63% | 58% | 60% | 60% | 43% | ** | ** | 54% | 63% | 53% | 54% | 63% | 64% | 54% | 63% | 67% | 68% | 55% | 53% | 49% | 66% | 64% | 65% | 47% | 65% | 55% | 65% | 65% | 51% | 65% | 61% | 59% | 100% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 54% | 64% | 54% | 68% | 53% | 66% |
| Environment | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | ** | ** | 1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| Health Care | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 10% | ** | ** | 6% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 6% | 23% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 0% | ** | 100% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 6% | 15% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 14% |
| Iraq | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 24% | ** | ** | 6% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 0% | ** | 0% | 100% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 4% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% |
| Terrorism | 11% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 8% | ** | ** | 17% | 7% | 10% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 17% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 17% | 5% | 20% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 20% | 7% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 100% | ** | ** | ** | 18% | 2% | 16% | 2% | 17% | 3% |
| Gasoline | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | ** | ** | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Education | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | ** | ** | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% |
| Immigration | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | ** | ** | 4% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 6% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| Other | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | 2% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | ** | ** | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 22% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 37% | 53% | 9% | 45% | 41% | 10% | 56% | 30% | 14% | 33% | 56% | 9% | 36% | 22% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 31% | 60% | 20% | 17% | 39% | 55% | 10% | 79% | 59% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 53% | 41% | 62% | 35% | 54% | 43% |
| 11 | Which party do you think is best equipped to handle the economy? (choices rotated) The Republicans? Or The Democrats? |
| 574 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Opinion Of Mccain | Opinion Of Obama | Opinion Of Guthrie | Opinion Of Boswell | Opinion Of Lewis | Bush Overall App | Job Performance | Top Issue For Congress | Better Equipped | Vote For Preside | Vote For US Hous | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | Approve | Disappro | Approve | Disappro | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Gasoline | Educatio | Immigrat | Republic | Democrat | McCain | Obama | Guthrie | Boswell | |
| Republicans | 53% | 54% | 52% | 54% | 53% | 54% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 55% | 20% | ** | ** | 84% | 31% | 56% | 80% | 37% | 15% | 86% | 3% | 33% | 3% | 88% | 32% | 80% | 31% | 45% | 23% | 85% | 56% | 69% | 17% | 40% | 92% | 23% | 41% | 56% | 49% | ** | 32% | 46% | 89% | ** | ** | ** | 100% | 0% | 85% | 2% | 84% | 16% |
| Democrats | 41% | 41% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 41% | 41% | 39% | 78% | ** | ** | 11% | 63% | 38% | 17% | 56% | 84% | 9% | 95% | 56% | 95% | 7% | 49% | 18% | 67% | 46% | 75% | 12% | 35% | 27% | 78% | 47% | 5% | 71% | 57% | 38% | 45% | ** | 64% | 51% | 9% | ** | ** | ** | 0% | 100% | 9% | 96% | 11% | 80% |
| Not Sure | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 2% | ** | ** | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 11% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 13% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 7% | ** | 4% | 4% | 2% | ** | ** | ** | 0% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 21% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 53% | 47% | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 38% | 53% | 9% | 45% | 41% | 10% | 56% | 29% | 13% | 33% | 55% | 9% | 37% | 21% | 32% | 32% | 27% | 32% | 60% | 19% | 17% | 40% | 54% | 10% | 78% | 59% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 53% | 41% | 62% | 35% | 54% | 42% |