Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13302
Eve of CA Democratic Primary, Clinton Appears to Blunt Late Obama Charge: 24 hours till votes are counted in the California Democratic Primary, Hillary Clinton appears to fend-off a late charge from Barack Obama, 53% Clinton, 41% Obama, according to SurveyUSA's 12th pre-primary tracking poll. Other pollsters show the contest closer. In SurveyUSA's last 3 tracking polls, Obama had led among men. At the wire, the two are tied. For 9 months, Clinton has led among women, at one point by 50 points. At the wire, she leads by 23. Obama leads for the first time in the San Francisco Bay Area. But Clinton dominates in greater Los Angeles, and maintains smaller leads in the Inland Empire and Central Valley. Among voters under age 50, Clinton leads by 6. Among voters 50+, Clinton leads by 21. Clinton leads by 5 among white voters, but overpowers Obama among Latinos. Obama leads 4:1 among black voters, but there are materially fewer blacks in California than Latinos. Clinton leads among Democrats. Obama leads among Independents.
Filtering: 2,000 state of CA adults were interviewed 02/02/08 and 02/03/08. Interviews completed before and after, but not during, the Super Bowl on 02/03/08. Of the adults, 1,744 were registered to vote. Of them, 853 had already voted or were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote at the precinct on 02/05/08. Among those who have already voted, Clinton leads by 12. Research conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego and KFSN-TV Fresno. California is a complex, multi-cultural, geographically diverse state. SurveyUSA will continue to gather data tonight Monday, 02/04/08, and will endeavor to update these results if there is further, unanticipated late movement.
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
853 Likely & Actual VotersAllAlready VotedGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceTop Issue For Next PresidentParty AffiliationIdeology2004 VoteAbortionGlobal WarmingStem Cell ResearLabor UnionSame Sex MarriagGun OwnershipMilitary DraftWho Is Winning WBush in HistoryPassport CurrentRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct pointsActual VLikely VMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalBushKerryPro-lifePro-choiRealMade-upForAgainstYesNoSupportOpposeYesNoNeedNo NeedUnited STerrorisOne Of AAn AveraOne Of TYesNoCentral Greater Inland EBay Area
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%34%66%43%57%25%31%27%17%56%44%52%8%27%13%32%8%17%20%3%4%5%7%4%84%10%10%48%35%14%68%19%78%89%8%83%12%33%66%58%34%24%73%21%74%34%48%2%16%81%59%39%17%40%15%29%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.