Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14605
In Wisconsin, With Early Voting Underway, Obama Remains Well Positioned to Pick-Up 10 Electoral Votes: In an election for President of the United States in Wisconsin today, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 51% to 43%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WGBA-TV Green Bay, KSTP-TV Minneapolis and WDIO-TV Duluth. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll 2 weeks ago, Obama is down a point, McCain is up a point. The findings are largely as they were in SurveyUSA's last report:

Obama leads among women, is tied among men. Obama leads in Madison, is tied in Milwaukee. McCain runs well among those who do consider the USA to be a Super Power, who do not consider themselves to be an intellectual, who do own a gun, who are pro-life. Independents and Moderates break heavily for Obama.

Filtering: 800 Wisconsin adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/18/08 and 10/19/08. Of them, 733 were registered to vote. Of them, 641 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be certain to vote on or before election day. Of the 11% of respondents who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, Obama is up by 15 points. John Kerry carried Wisconsin by 11,000 votes in 2004. Al Gore carried Wisconsin by 6,000 votes in 2000.

If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
641 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?College GradAbortionIntellectual?Traveled AbroadSpeak Another LaUSA Super PowerOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalActual VLikely VYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo< $50K> $50KMilwaukeMadison Green BaNorthwes
McCain (R)43%47%39%47%42%40%42%44%41%44%37%43%43%******85%14%37%80%36%7%37%43%44%43%70%22%43%46%46%35%43%43%48%29%48%37%42%44%47%33%44%41%
Obama (D)51%48%55%48%52%53%52%50%53%51%57%50%52%******13%83%53%15%60%84%52%51%51%50%24%73%51%48%48%59%50%51%47%63%46%57%50%52%47%60%50%54%
Composition of Adults100%50%50%25%31%24%19%56%44%50%10%39%91%4%3%2%30%35%30%31%44%18%11%89%46%54%43%53%72%23%73%27%31%69%79%16%50%48%39%61%40%18%19%23%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.