Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14371
No Change in VA US Senate Race: In an election for US Senate in Virginia today, 09/15/08, Democrat Mark Warner defeats Republican Jim Gilmore 57% to 34%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WDBJ-TV Roanoke, WJLA-TV Washington DC, WTVR-TV Richmond, and WJHL-TV Tri-Cities. Independent Green candidate Gail Parker gets 4% of the vote; Libertarian Bill Redpath gets 1%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released one week ago, little has changed; Warner is up one point, Gilmore down 1.

Mark Warner, who served as Virginia's governor from 2002-2006, continues to take the majority of voters in all demographic groups and all regions of the state. 1 of 4 Republicans cross over to vote for Democrat Warner. Jim Gilmore, who served as Virginia's governor from 1998 to 2002, gets 70% of Republican votes, 67% of conservative voters, and 54% of those who describe themselves as pro-life; Gilmore takes no more than 41% of any other group.

John Warner, the incumbent Republican United States Senator, was first elected in 1978 and is currently serving his fifth term in office; he is not seeking a sixth term. John Warner and Mark Warner, who are not related, ran against one another in 1996; John Warner won then by 5 points and was re-elected to his fourth term. If Mark Warner is elected, both of Virginia's U.S. Senate seats will be held by Democrats; Jim Webb defeated Republican George Allen, who was running for his second term, in 2006.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Virginia adults 09/12/08 through 09/14/08. Of the adults, 817 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 732 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election.
Voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Jim Gilmore? Democrat Mark Warner? Independent Green Party candidate Gail Parker? Or Libertarian Bill Redpath?
732 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind Mad< $50K> $50KShenandoNortheasSoutheasCentral
Jim Gilmore (R)34%38%30%35%33%34%34%34%34%41%17%**13%70%9%26%67%26%12%35%34%37%31%32%54%22%27%36%30%36%35%35%29%36%
Mark Warner (D)57%54%60%54%54%59%62%54%60%50%80%**55%24%87%54%28%66%78%54%59%54%60%57%39%68%55%57%61%55%56%55%61%56%
Gail Parker (I-G)4%4%5%6%5%2%2%6%2%3%0%**27%2%2%13%3%4%4%6%2%4%6%5%3%5%8%4%5%4%3%7%5%2%
Bill Redpath (L)1%1%2%2%2%1%0%2%1%2%1%**0%1%1%4%1%1%4%2%1%0%1%5%1%2%3%1%1%2%3%1%1%1%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%25%33%26%16%58%42%73%19%3%5%33%37%23%29%38%15%56%44%49%28%23%39%57%16%83%29%71%25%27%19%29%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.