| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25195 |
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In CA-50 Primary Fight to Fill Duncan Hunter US House Seat, Republican Issa, Not DeMaio, Emerges As Likely to Advance to Run-Off For Right to Face Democrat Campa-Najjar in November General Election; What Will GOP Super Tuesday Turnout Be with No Trump Challenger? 8 Days to California's Super Tuesday primary, with early voting underway, Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar is certain to be one of the Top 2 finishers who advance to a November run-off, with Republican Darrell Issa appearing to siphon enough GOP votes down the stretch to out-distance fellow Republican Carl DeMaio for the 2nd run-off spot, according to SurveyUSA research conducted exclusively for KGTV-TV in San Diego and the Union Tribune. At this hour, of the 10 candidates on the primary ballot, 7 have measurable support: * Campa-Najjar, 35%. * Issa, 21%. * DeMaio, 15%. * Brian Jones, a Republican, 7%. * Marisa Calderon, a Democrat, 5%. * Nathan Wilkins, a Republican, 3%. * Helen Horvath, an Independent, 1%. Voters in the district say "holding the President (Trump) accountable" is the most important issue in how they will vote for US House. Of those focused on holding the President accountable, 77% vote for Campa-Najjar. "Border Security" is the 2nd-most important issue. Among voters focused on border security, Issa barely edges DeMaio 37% to 34%. The "character of the candidate" is the 3rd-most important issue. Of voters focused on the character of the candidate, Campa-Najjar gets 51% of the vote, a majority, with 9 other named candidates splitting the remaining 49%. DeMaio and Issa have succeeded in beating each other up: Compared to an identical SurveyUSA time-series tracking poll 6 weeks ago, voters who have a negative opinion of DeMaio have nearly doubled, from 22% in January to 42% today. DeMaio's Net Favorability Rating had been at Plus 14, today is at Minus 18, a 32-point reversal. Over the same period, Issa's negatives ballooned from 29% to 44%. His Net Favorability has gone from Plus 2 to Minus 18, a 20-point reversal. As a result, Campa-Najjar's support both among men and among whites is up 12 points, from 26% in mid-January to 38% today. Among voters under the age of 50, Campa-Najjar's suport is up 10 points, from 19% to 29%. Among women, DeMaio is down 7 points, from 21% then to 14% now. Among middle-income voters, DeMaio is down 9, from 25% to 16%. Among self-described "conservative" voters, Issa is up 7 points month-on-month, DeMaio is down 12 points month-on-month. Among voters who live in a rural portion of the CA-50 Congressional District, Issa is up 5 month-on-month, DeMaio is down 13. Among seniors age 65+, Issa is up a nominal 3 points, DeMaio is down 11. Across the rest of the demographic spectrum, Issa has held steady: effectively no month-on-month change among men, women, Republicans, Independents, and those who describe themselves as "very conservative." About: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 voting-age individuals in CA-50, 02/20/20 through 02/23/20. Of the voting-age individuals surveyed, 606 are registered to vote in California. Of the registered, SurveyUSA determined that 552 were likely to vote in the 2020 California primary. Of the likely voters, 14% had already returned a ballot, 65% say they are "100% certain" to return a ballot before the 03/03/20 deadline, and 20% say they are "almost certain" to return a ballot. Among the subset of likely primary voters who have already returned a ballot, and who would be considered "definite" voters, Campa-Najjar leads Issa 42% to 22%, with Issa boxed out at 15%. 10 weeks before the 2018 congressional mid-term election, incumbent Hunter was charged with misusing $250,000 in campaign funds. He remained on the ballot in 2018 and defeated Campa-Najjar 52% to 48%. Hunter pleaded guilty 12/03/19 to conspiracy to misuse campaign funds and announced his intention to resign from Congress 01/07/20. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (59% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (41% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. |
| 1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of California? |
| 700 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Yes | 87% | 85% | 88% | 67% | 85% | 94% | 100% | 75% | 96% | 87% | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 92% | 93% | 85% | 95% | 86% | 91% | 90% | ** | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 68% | 86% | 93% | 74% | 86% | 94% | 87% | 86% | 96% | 68% | 69% | 87% | 96% | 75% | 98% |
| No | 10% | 13% | 9% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 0% | 19% | 3% | 10% | 10% | - | - | - | 7% | 7% | 15% | 4% | 11% | 8% | 8% | ** | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | 11% | 6% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 4% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 1% | 20% | 1% |
| Not Sure | 3% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | - | - | - | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ** | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 9% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 25% | 22% | 29% | 24% | 47% | 53% | 77% | 19% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 42% | 32% | 18% | 10% | 24% | 37% | 18% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 15% | 37% | 48% | 25% | 33% | 41% | 30% | 68% | 63% | 37% | 19% | 59% | 21% | 51% | 49% |
 | Is your impression of Helen Horvath ... ? |
| 606 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Positive | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 7% | ** | 1% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Negative | 8% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 3% | ** | 19% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
| Neutral | 21% | 23% | 20% | 19% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 21% | 24% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 23% | ** | 18% | 25% | 26% | 24% | 16% | 21% | 28% | 21% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 20% | 24% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 24% | 22% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 26% | 23% | 17% | 21% | 22% |
| Unfamiliar | 66% | 63% | 69% | 68% | 61% | 69% | 66% | 64% | 67% | 68% | 59% | 58% | 69% | 65% | 65% | 66% | 67% | 67% | 61% | 67% | 67% | ** | 61% | 67% | 67% | 69% | 68% | 70% | 65% | 61% | 70% | 59% | 62% | 64% | 63% | 68% | 66% | 70% | 64% | 63% | 68% | 67% | 63% | 55% | 66% | 71% | 68% | 64% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 77% | 18% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 45% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 37% | 51% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 30% | 68% | 71% | 29% | 15% | 60% | 24% | 44% | 56% |
 | Is your impression of Brian Jones ... ? |
| 606 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Positive | 22% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 22% | 28% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 24% | 19% | 23% | 18% | 34% | 8% | 22% | 54% | 30% | 19% | 7% | ** | 37% | 13% | 53% | 5% | 27% | 13% | 8% | 33% | 10% | 42% | 27% | 30% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 25% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 25% |
| Negative | 10% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 16% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 19% | ** | 6% | 9% | 0% | 24% | 1% | 7% | 14% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 14% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 13% |
| Neutral | 32% | 32% | 33% | 21% | 32% | 39% | 33% | 27% | 36% | 32% | 37% | 30% | 34% | 34% | 31% | 34% | 31% | 21% | 30% | 38% | 28% | ** | 28% | 36% | 21% | 35% | 43% | 38% | 33% | 35% | 37% | 28% | 32% | 19% | 36% | 33% | 32% | 35% | 32% | 33% | 33% | 36% | 25% | 28% | 34% | 34% | 29% | 35% |
| Unfamiliar | 36% | 35% | 37% | 51% | 44% | 33% | 23% | 47% | 28% | 36% | 34% | 41% | 33% | 38% | 27% | 42% | 42% | 20% | 33% | 35% | 46% | ** | 29% | 41% | 25% | 35% | 28% | 42% | 45% | 26% | 39% | 26% | 32% | 41% | 34% | 36% | 41% | 30% | 38% | 33% | 36% | 29% | 52% | 42% | 35% | 32% | 47% | 26% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 77% | 18% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 45% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 37% | 51% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 30% | 68% | 71% | 29% | 15% | 60% | 24% | 44% | 56% |
 | Is your impression of Carl DeMaio ... ? |
| 606 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Positive | 24% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 32% | 26% | 24% | 23% | 25% | 24% | 22% | 22% | 27% | 18% | 35% | 9% | 26% | 44% | 31% | 24% | 8% | ** | 42% | 13% | 40% | 6% | 42% | 21% | 9% | 41% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 22% | 27% | 22% | 21% | 21% | 28% | 24% | 23% | 25% | 21% | 23% | 25% | 23% | 23% | 25% |
| Negative | 42% | 46% | 37% | 33% | 23% | 46% | 57% | 28% | 51% | 44% | 34% | 22% | 47% | 55% | 35% | 57% | 33% | 35% | 35% | 39% | 52% | ** | 38% | 55% | 29% | 63% | 24% | 52% | 59% | 34% | 59% | 26% | 37% | 26% | 43% | 44% | 34% | 44% | 43% | 46% | 40% | 49% | 22% | 37% | 42% | 45% | 28% | 53% |
| Neutral | 26% | 21% | 31% | 30% | 39% | 22% | 19% | 35% | 20% | 25% | 32% | 47% | 19% | 26% | 24% | 25% | 32% | 14% | 27% | 32% | 23% | ** | 14% | 26% | 20% | 24% | 31% | 23% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 27% | 26% | 48% | 22% | 25% | 36% | 25% | 22% | 24% | 27% | 21% | 38% | 25% | 24% | 29% | 34% | 20% |
| Unfamiliar | 8% | 6% | 10% | 24% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 15% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 17% | ** | 5% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 3% | 16% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 77% | 18% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 45% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 37% | 51% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 30% | 68% | 71% | 29% | 15% | 60% | 24% | 44% | 56% |
 | Is your impression of Darrell Issa ... ? |
| 606 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Positive | 26% | 30% | 23% | 26% | 19% | 27% | 31% | 22% | 29% | 24% | 31% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 41% | 10% | 20% | 50% | 49% | 16% | 8% | ** | 45% | 6% | 62% | 8% | 24% | 17% | 8% | 40% | 13% | 47% | 29% | 35% | 24% | 26% | 31% | 23% | 26% | 38% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 28% | 23% | 32% | 22% | 29% |
| Negative | 44% | 50% | 39% | 23% | 43% | 50% | 53% | 33% | 52% | 48% | 29% | 32% | 50% | 48% | 27% | 67% | 47% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 61% | ** | 28% | 69% | 20% | 76% | 25% | 59% | 69% | 31% | 66% | 24% | 36% | 27% | 38% | 52% | 33% | 46% | 46% | 37% | 46% | 51% | 25% | 38% | 43% | 47% | 27% | 58% |
| Neutral | 21% | 16% | 26% | 27% | 30% | 18% | 15% | 29% | 16% | 20% | 28% | 34% | 16% | 26% | 25% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 19% | ** | 22% | 20% | 10% | 10% | 40% | 18% | 14% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 27% | 29% | 28% | 15% | 28% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 30% | 24% | 25% | 14% | 32% | 14% |
| Unfamiliar | 8% | 5% | 12% | 24% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 16% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 12% | ** | 5% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 20% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 19% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 77% | 18% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 45% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 37% | 51% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 30% | 68% | 71% | 29% | 15% | 60% | 24% | 44% | 56% |
| 6 | Is your impression of Ammar Campa-Najjar ... ? |
| 606 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Positive | 36% | 37% | 34% | 24% | 30% | 39% | 44% | 27% | 42% | 39% | 26% | 26% | 41% | 35% | 12% | 67% | 41% | 6% | 13% | 41% | 63% | ** | 8% | 61% | 0% | 78% | 17% | 53% | 71% | 12% | 69% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 28% | 44% | 34% | 33% | 39% | 31% | 39% | 39% | 29% | 30% | 36% | 40% | 25% | 45% |
| Negative | 28% | 32% | 24% | 23% | 20% | 29% | 37% | 21% | 33% | 26% | 36% | 25% | 31% | 32% | 47% | 7% | 22% | 72% | 45% | 21% | 2% | ** | 60% | 9% | 71% | 1% | 22% | 24% | 3% | 55% | 6% | 67% | 40% | 29% | 29% | 27% | 19% | 32% | 27% | 39% | 22% | 32% | 16% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 18% | 37% |
| Neutral | 17% | 13% | 20% | 15% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 20% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 19% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 25% | 17% | 14% | ** | 16% | 14% | 18% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 28% | 27% | 19% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 16% | 21% | 24% | 17% | 14% | 26% | 10% |
| Unfamiliar | 19% | 17% | 21% | 39% | 26% | 14% | 7% | 32% | 11% | 18% | 24% | 30% | 14% | 10% | 23% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 21% | ** | 17% | 17% | 10% | 9% | 46% | 10% | 11% | 19% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 16% | 29% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 21% | 14% | 34% | 21% | 20% | 16% | 31% | 9% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 77% | 18% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 45% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 37% | 51% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 30% | 68% | 71% | 29% | 15% | 60% | 24% | 44% | 56% |
 | Is your impression of Duncan Hunter ... ? |
| 606 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Positive | 17% | 19% | 15% | 21% | 14% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 16% | 27% | 7% | 14% | 31% | 30% | 14% | 3% | ** | 31% | 7% | 38% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 27% | 4% | 30% | 25% | 32% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 27% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 11% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 17% |
| Negative | 55% | 58% | 53% | 29% | 53% | 68% | 62% | 42% | 65% | 59% | 40% | 45% | 61% | 65% | 38% | 74% | 63% | 43% | 38% | 59% | 71% | ** | 38% | 80% | 29% | 82% | 36% | 75% | 76% | 47% | 79% | 36% | 42% | 42% | 46% | 65% | 44% | 52% | 62% | 48% | 58% | 63% | 36% | 54% | 55% | 56% | 41% | 67% |
| Neutral | 18% | 15% | 21% | 26% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 25% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 27% | 10% | 11% | 20% | 27% | 18% | 10% | ** | 30% | 10% | 29% | 12% | 20% | 6% | 12% | 20% | 8% | 27% | 27% | 18% | 22% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 18% | 23% | 14% |
| Unfamiliar | 10% | 8% | 11% | 23% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 20% | 2% | 9% | 12% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 15% | ** | 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 27% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 21% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 20% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 77% | 18% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 45% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 37% | 51% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 30% | 68% | 71% | 29% | 15% | 60% | 24% | 44% | 56% |
 | Is your impression of Marisa Calderon ... ? |
| 606 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Positive | 7% | 10% | 4% | 11% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 7% | ** | 4% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 6% |
| Negative | 12% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 21% | 17% | 10% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 22% | 11% | 4% | ** | 25% | 5% | 16% | 6% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 21% | 6% | 21% | 18% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 19% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 15% | 8% | 15% |
| Neutral | 23% | 21% | 25% | 16% | 28% | 24% | 22% | 22% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 23% | 21% | 27% | 22% | 12% | 23% | 24% | 31% | ** | 17% | 30% | 22% | 29% | 26% | 18% | 24% | 22% | 25% | 11% | 28% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 27% | 20% | 25% | 24% | 22% | 17% | 24% | 22% | 23% | 23% |
| Unfamiliar | 58% | 56% | 60% | 59% | 55% | 62% | 56% | 57% | 59% | 61% | 45% | 56% | 61% | 54% | 57% | 59% | 56% | 65% | 48% | 60% | 58% | ** | 55% | 55% | 58% | 52% | 61% | 72% | 61% | 51% | 59% | 61% | 51% | 62% | 56% | 59% | 51% | 63% | 59% | 54% | 60% | 59% | 57% | 54% | 59% | 60% | 60% | 56% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 77% | 18% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 45% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 37% | 51% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 30% | 68% | 71% | 29% | 15% | 60% | 24% | 44% | 56% |
 | Is your impression of Jose Cortes ... ? |
| 606 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Positive | 7% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 4% | ** | 7% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 0% | 2% | 14% | 4% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 5% |
| Negative | 10% | 14% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 18% | 10% | 3% | ** | 17% | 9% | 16% | 4% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 17% | 6% | 24% | 7% | 21% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 14% |
| Neutral | 19% | 17% | 21% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 21% | 24% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 14% | 22% | 22% | ** | 10% | 18% | 17% | 25% | 24% | 24% | 23% | 19% | 22% | 12% | 25% | 13% | 22% | 18% | 18% | 23% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 21% |
| Unfamiliar | 63% | 60% | 66% | 62% | 64% | 63% | 63% | 63% | 63% | 66% | 54% | 55% | 65% | 63% | 63% | 65% | 59% | 66% | 61% | 59% | 71% | ** | 66% | 61% | 63% | 59% | 60% | 70% | 61% | 60% | 62% | 59% | 63% | 61% | 62% | 65% | 60% | 62% | 65% | 57% | 65% | 64% | 59% | 58% | 65% | 58% | 66% | 60% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 77% | 18% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 45% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 37% | 51% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 30% | 68% | 71% | 29% | 15% | 60% | 24% | 44% | 56% |
 | Is your impression of Lucinda Jahn ... ? |
| 606 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Positive | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | ** | 2% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Negative | 11% | 14% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 8% | 17% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 13% | 19% | 8% | 6% | ** | 16% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 6% | 19% | 12% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 14% |
| Neutral | 18% | 19% | 17% | 21% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 17% | ** | 18% | 19% | 18% | 24% | 20% | 13% | 22% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 23% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 22% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 18% | 18% |
| Unfamiliar | 68% | 65% | 71% | 63% | 65% | 75% | 68% | 64% | 72% | 69% | 68% | 63% | 71% | 64% | 67% | 69% | 68% | 69% | 62% | 69% | 74% | ** | 64% | 68% | 70% | 62% | 71% | 80% | 68% | 64% | 71% | 64% | 64% | 63% | 68% | 70% | 66% | 67% | 72% | 62% | 72% | 70% | 65% | 61% | 71% | 68% | 71% | 66% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 77% | 18% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 45% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 37% | 51% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 30% | 68% | 71% | 29% | 15% | 60% | 24% | 44% | 56% |
 | Is your impression of Henry Ota ... ? |
| 606 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Positive | 4% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ** | 3% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 2% |
| Negative | 6% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ** | 9% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 7% |
| Neutral | 17% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 18% | ** | 13% | 25% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 13% | 22% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 18% |
| Unfamiliar | 74% | 72% | 76% | 74% | 71% | 78% | 72% | 72% | 75% | 76% | 69% | 69% | 75% | 76% | 74% | 73% | 76% | 78% | 67% | 74% | 77% | ** | 74% | 64% | 68% | 75% | 74% | 82% | 75% | 72% | 73% | 68% | 77% | 75% | 75% | 73% | 75% | 76% | 72% | 69% | 76% | 73% | 76% | 62% | 76% | 75% | 75% | 73% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 77% | 18% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 45% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 37% | 51% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 30% | 68% | 71% | 29% | 15% | 60% | 24% | 44% | 56% |
 | Is your impression of Nathan Wilkins ... ? |
| 606 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Positive | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ** | 3% | 8% | 0% | 7% | 9% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 2% |
| Negative | 10% | 14% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 14% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 14% | 8% | 6% | ** | 13% | 7% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 14% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 23% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% |
| Neutral | 20% | 22% | 19% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 21% | 17% | 26% | 17% | 23% | 18% | 22% | 22% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 24% | ** | 13% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 14% | 23% | 25% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 23% | 22% | 24% | 18% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 24% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 18% | 20% | 22% | 19% | 21% |
| Unfamiliar | 66% | 60% | 72% | 60% | 58% | 73% | 69% | 59% | 71% | 66% | 67% | 57% | 71% | 65% | 65% | 68% | 65% | 66% | 63% | 67% | 66% | ** | 72% | 71% | 64% | 60% | 71% | 73% | 64% | 65% | 67% | 71% | 60% | 63% | 64% | 69% | 62% | 66% | 68% | 59% | 69% | 67% | 62% | 55% | 70% | 63% | 65% | 67% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 77% | 18% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 45% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 37% | 51% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 30% | 68% | 71% | 29% | 15% | 60% | 24% | 44% | 56% |
| 13 | The state of California will hold a primary election on Tuesday, March 3, a date which some call "Super Tuesday." Not everyone has a chance to vote in a primary election. Which best describes you? |
| 606 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Not Interested | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 3% | ** | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Not Sure If Time | 5% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 8% | ** | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 12% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 2% |
| Almost Certain | 19% | 17% | 20% | 32% | 21% | 12% | 15% | 26% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 12% | 22% | 18% | ** | 18% | 17% | 17% | 10% | 35% | 25% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 23% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 19% | 13% | 30% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 16% |
| 100% Certain | 59% | 60% | 59% | 41% | 57% | 68% | 65% | 49% | 66% | 60% | 58% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 58% | 65% | 55% | 68% | 60% | 59% | 62% | ** | 66% | 74% | 63% | 74% | 58% | 59% | 69% | 66% | 66% | 68% | 62% | 47% | 56% | 66% | 48% | 59% | 67% | 64% | 59% | 67% | 44% | 55% | 64% | 59% | 53% | 65% |
| Returned Ballot | 13% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 17% | 16% | 8% | 17% | 13% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 16% | 14% | 9% | ** | 16% | 9% | 20% | 16% | 6% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 16% | 8% | 17% | 18% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 16% | 12% | 14% | 9% | 17% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 15% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | ** | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 41% | 59% | 77% | 18% | 19% | 59% | 13% | 45% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 37% | 51% | 22% | 33% | 45% | 30% | 68% | 71% | 29% | 15% | 60% | 24% | 44% | 56% |
 | One of the contests on the California Super Tuesday primary ballot is an election for US House of Representatives from California's 50th Congressional District. Under California law, voters in a primary may choose a candidate from any political party. In the election for Congress from California's 50th Congressional District, how do you vote? (Candidate names rotated) |
| 552 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Ammar Campa-Najjar (D) | 35% | 38% | 33% | 23% | 35% | 36% | 43% | 29% | 39% | 38% | 27% | 22% | 38% | 42% | 7% | 70% | 43% | 3% | 9% | 40% | 69% | ** | 2% | 62% | 0% | 77% | 14% | 51% | 70% | 10% | 63% | 8% | 16% | 25% | 26% | 44% | 35% | 33% | 39% | 28% | 40% | 39% | 27% | 29% | 37% | 38% | 26% | 43% |
| Darrell Issa (R) | 21% | 24% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 26% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 24% | 14% | 23% | 22% | 36% | 5% | 18% | 42% | 42% | 14% | 4% | ** | 37% | 1% | 55% | 4% | 18% | 13% | 4% | 35% | 7% | 46% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 20% | 32% | 16% | 23% | 16% | 22% | 19% | 27% | 16% | 25% |
| Carl DeMaio (R) | 15% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 18% | 16% | 8% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 23% | 2% | 17% | 29% | 21% | 15% | 0% | ** | 34% | 5% | 20% | 2% | 28% | 12% | 2% | 27% | 5% | 21% | 24% | 12% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 16% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 10% | 11% | 18% |
| Brian Jones (R) | 7% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 22% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ** | 13% | 1% | 14% | 1% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 8% |
| Marisa Calderon (D) | 5% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | ** | 2% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 2% |
| Nathan Wilkins (R) | 3% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 0% | ** | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 1% |
| Helen Horvath (I) | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| Jose Cortes (PF) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Lucinda Jahn (I) | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Henry Ota (I) | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Undecided | 12% | 6% | 18% | 15% | 23% | 12% | 4% | 20% | 8% | 11% | 21% | 25% | 11% | 2% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 10% | 16% | 15% | ** | 9% | 18% | 4% | 6% | 24% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 19% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 8% | 24% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 25% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 20% | 33% | 30% | 37% | 63% | 78% | 18% | 20% | 65% | 14% | 45% | 35% | 18% | 12% | 23% | 41% | 18% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 35% | 53% | 19% | 33% | 47% | 32% | 67% | 74% | 26% | 14% | 61% | 24% | 41% | 59% |
 | In choosing a candidate for Congress, which issue is most important to you? |
| 552 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Border Security | 17% | 13% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 23% | 20% | 10% | 22% | 15% | 25% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 30% | 6% | 9% | 25% | 34% | 13% | 4% | ** | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 31% | 7% | 25% | 29% | 24% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 21% | 17% | 23% | 14% | 19% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 18% |
| Gun Rights | 4% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 2% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| Climate Change | 12% | 14% | 9% | 18% | 18% | 7% | 9% | 18% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 21% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 13% | 21% | ** | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 6% | 19% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 7% | 15% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 17% | 8% |
| Rallying Around The President | 13% | 16% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 19% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 0% | 10% | 36% | 27% | 5% | 2% | ** | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 22% | 5% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 15% | 13% | 18% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 16% | 11% | 15% |
| Holding The President Accountable | 20% | 21% | 19% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 23% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 22% | 22% | 5% | 38% | 24% | 4% | 7% | 23% | 38% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 8% | 33% | 3% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 24% | 16% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 22% | 22% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 13% | 25% |
| Reproductive Rights | 1% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% |
| Government Spending | 8% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 6% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 7% |
| Foreign Policy | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% |
| Character Of The Candidate | 16% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 19% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 20% | 15% | 18% | 12% | 23% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 19% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 24% | 11% | 20% | 14% | 14% | 18% | 12% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 16% | 10% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 17% |
| Other | 5% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 4% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 20% | 33% | 30% | 37% | 63% | 78% | 18% | 20% | 65% | 14% | 45% | 35% | 18% | 12% | 23% | 41% | 18% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 35% | 53% | 19% | 33% | 47% | 32% | 67% | 74% | 26% | 14% | 61% | 24% | 41% | 59% |
| 16 | In general, should undocumented immigrants in the United States be allowed to stay? Or should they be deported back to their native countries? |
| 552 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Be Allowed To Stay | 33% | 34% | 33% | 37% | 33% | 31% | 34% | 35% | 32% | 34% | 31% | 25% | 35% | 35% | 11% | 63% | 33% | 6% | 12% | 33% | 72% | ** | 6% | 49% | 6% | 68% | 19% | 48% | 100% | 0% | 52% | 11% | 26% | 20% | 32% | 37% | 32% | 31% | 37% | 26% | 39% | 32% | 39% | 36% | 33% | 39% | 31% | 36% |
| Be Deported Back | 48% | 48% | 48% | 40% | 42% | 55% | 48% | 41% | 52% | 46% | 52% | 47% | 48% | 47% | 72% | 17% | 47% | 89% | 72% | 40% | 20% | ** | 86% | 23% | 81% | 18% | 50% | 34% | 0% | 100% | 27% | 73% | 60% | 58% | 50% | 44% | 44% | 50% | 46% | 56% | 43% | 50% | 39% | 43% | 49% | 44% | 45% | 51% |
| Not Sure | 19% | 18% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 28% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 5% | 15% | 27% | 9% | ** | 8% | 28% | 12% | 14% | 31% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 16% | 15% | 22% | 17% | 20% | 23% | 20% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 18% | 18% | 24% | 14% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 20% | 33% | 30% | 37% | 63% | 78% | 18% | 20% | 65% | 14% | 45% | 35% | 18% | 12% | 23% | 41% | 18% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 35% | 53% | 19% | 33% | 47% | 32% | 67% | 74% | 26% | 14% | 61% | 24% | 41% | 59% |
| 17 | Should federal environmental regulations be made more strict? Made less strict? Or are they just about right? |
| 552 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Likely | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Issue | Undocumented Imm | Environmental Regulation | Education | Income | Military HH | Home | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Almost C | 100% Cer | Already | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Border S | Climate | Rallying | Holding | Governme | Characte | Allow To | Deport | More Str | Less Str | Just Abo | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Yes | No | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| More Strict | 45% | 42% | 46% | 44% | 41% | 45% | 47% | 42% | 46% | 47% | 38% | 40% | 45% | 49% | 24% | 73% | 45% | 13% | 28% | 42% | 78% | ** | 18% | 72% | 16% | 74% | 28% | 55% | 70% | 25% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 32% | 40% | 51% | 45% | 39% | 50% | 41% | 48% | 45% | 48% | 49% | 45% | 46% | 45% | 45% |
| Less Strict | 22% | 25% | 19% | 25% | 25% | 19% | 22% | 25% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 26% | 23% | 12% | 33% | 10% | 16% | 49% | 27% | 21% | 7% | ** | 32% | 13% | 45% | 3% | 42% | 19% | 7% | 34% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 26% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 17% | 26% |
| Just About Right | 28% | 29% | 26% | 25% | 24% | 31% | 28% | 24% | 30% | 25% | 35% | 28% | 26% | 33% | 38% | 15% | 24% | 30% | 40% | 29% | 12% | ** | 47% | 14% | 35% | 22% | 26% | 23% | 21% | 34% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 29% | 35% | 22% | 26% | 30% | 25% | 29% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 23% | 27% | 28% | 30% | 25% |
| Not Sure | 6% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 3% | ** | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 20% | 33% | 30% | 37% | 63% | 78% | 18% | 20% | 65% | 14% | 45% | 35% | 18% | 12% | 23% | 41% | 18% | 4% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 22% | 28% | 11% | 35% | 53% | 19% | 33% | 47% | 32% | 67% | 74% | 26% | 14% | 61% | 24% | 41% | 59% |