Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13303
Eve of Missouri Democratic Primary, Possible Last-Minute Momentum to Clinton: 24 hours till votes are counted in the Missouri Democratic Primary, late movement may be going toward Hillary Clinton, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-primary tracking poll, conducted for KSDK-TV St. Louis and KCTV-TV Kansas City. At the wire, it's Clinton 54%, Barack Obama 43%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 72 hours ago, Obama is flat, Clinton is up. Clinton gains material ground among younger voters, where Obama had led by 13, now leads by 6. Clinton advances among older voters, where Clinton had led by 18, now leads by 26. Obama continues to carry black voters 3:1. But Clinton gains ground among white voters, gains ground in Kansas City, gains ground in St. Louis, and holds her ground in the Ozarks.
Filtering: 2,000 state of MO adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 02/02/08 and 02/03/08. All interviews completed before start of Super Bowl on 02/03/08. Of the adults, 1,849 were registered to vote. Of them, 671 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Democratic Primary. 1 in 5 voters tell SurveyUSA they may yet change their mind, the day before the Primary. Of those who say their mind is made up, Clinton leads by 12.
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
671 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratOzarkKansas CCentral St. Loui
Composition of Likely Voters100%42%58%21%27%29%22%48%52%80%16%1%2%5%82%11%11%46%22%44%27%29%33%65%20%79%42%4%23%17%2%4%2%4%17%23%10%50%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.