Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21497
 
Florida Teeter-Totter Tips Back Towards Scott, As News Novelty of Crist's Running Mate Announcement Wears Off:

3 months till votes are counted in the 2014 election for Governor of Florida, incumbent Republican Rick Scott is a nominal 2 points atop Democratic challenger Charlie Crist, according to WFLA-TV's latest tracking poll, conducted by SurveyUSA.

Scott is at 45% today, Crist is at 43%. Compared to a SurveyUSA WFLA-TV tracking poll 2 weeks ago, which was conducted during a time of positive news coverage for Crist, Scott is up 5, Crist is down 3.

Scott reaches the 50% support level among male voters today, the 1st time he has done so in 9 tracking polls going back to 04/15/14. Scott reaches 54% support among seniors, his highest support to date among voters age 65+. Independents today prefer Scott by 12 points. Moderates today prefer Crist by 21 points. Scott holds 81% of Republicans, 80% of conservatives. Crist holds 78% of Democrats, 76% of liberals.

Looking ahead to the election for President in the state of Florida in 2016, in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups today: Hillary Clinton defeats Rick Perry 50% to 40%. Perry and Joe Biden duel to an effective draw, 44% to 43%.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 950 state of Florida adults 07/31/14 through 08/04/14. Of the adults, 859 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 576 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (75% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or electronic device.

 
If the election for Florida governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? ... (candidate names rotated) Republican Rick Scott? Democrat Charlie Crist? Or some other candidate?
576 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Rick Scott (R)45%50%41%35%44%42%54%41%48%45%44%49%15%53%80%13%45%81%33%12%46%52%42%41%43%51%33%50%54%64%48%46%35%
Charlie Crist (D)43%41%45%50%45%44%37%47%41%45%41%39%78%26%14%78%33%10%54%76%41%35%47%47%47%36%51%40%41%30%38%42%53%
Other8%6%9%7%7%8%8%7%8%3%12%7%7%14%5%5%12%6%7%10%6%9%7%6%6%10%5%8%1%4%11%7%8%
Undecided4%4%5%8%5%6%1%6%3%7%3%5%0%7%1%4%9%2%6%1%7%4%4%7%4%3%11%2%4%2%4%6%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%12%22%34%32%34%66%9%6%84%10%6%37%38%24%34%43%20%13%33%54%26%42%33%25%75%7%9%32%22%30%
 
2Thinking ahead now to the 2016 election for President of the United States ... If the 2016 election for President were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Rick Perry and Democrat Hillary Clinton, who would you vote for?
859 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Rick Perry (R)40%43%37%30%38%41%45%35%43%45%33%43%12%44%78%10%41%80%30%7%35%43%39%33%38%47%29%44%45%54%43%42%30%
Hillary Clinton (D)50%44%55%49%50%51%49%50%50%47%52%45%84%45%14%84%40%15%59%81%52%45%52%54%51%46%49%50%37%37%45%45%64%
Undecided10%12%9%21%12%8%6%15%7%8%15%11%4%10%8%6%19%5%11%12%13%11%9%13%11%7%21%6%17%9%11%13%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%16%24%32%29%40%60%8%8%82%12%6%33%41%24%30%45%19%18%35%47%32%40%29%28%72%6%9%32%21%31%
 
3What if the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Rick Perry and Democrat Joe Biden?
859 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Rick Perry (R)44%47%40%31%41%45%51%37%48%51%33%48%12%48%84%12%44%81%37%8%36%48%43%35%43%52%33%48%52%56%46%46%34%
Joe Biden (D)43%39%46%51%48%41%35%49%38%46%55%39%75%36%10%74%36%11%49%79%41%41%44%47%43%38%47%41%29%32%37%43%55%
Undecided14%13%14%18%10%14%14%13%14%3%12%14%13%16%7%14%21%8%14%14%23%11%13%18%14%10%20%11%19%12%18%10%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%16%24%32%29%40%60%8%8%82%12%6%33%41%24%30%45%19%18%35%47%32%40%29%28%72%6%9%32%21%31%