| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13737 |
| Seven Months To Election, Obama Leads McCain in Washington: If Washington voters were filling out their November ballots right now, Democrat Barack Obama would beat Republican John McCain by 13 points, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV in Seattle and KATU-TV in Portland Oregon. Obama defeats McCain 53% to 40% today; if Hillary Clinton is the nominee, she edges McCain, 48% to 45%; the 3-point lead is within the survey's margin of sampling error. Obama leads McCain by 7 points among men, by 19 among women, by 20 among voters aged 18-49, and by 7 among voters 50+; Clinton leads McCain by 14 points among women but trails him by 7 among men; she leads by 2 among voters aged 18-49 and by 4 among those 50+. Obama wins white voters by 9 points; Clinton wins whites by 2. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Washington adults; of the adults, 766 identified themselves as being registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 634 identified themselves as being likely to vote in the general election. 37 of Washington's 39 counties vote exclusively by mail; ballots must be postmarked no later than Election Day, November 4. |
 | If you were filling out your ballot for President right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama? |
| 634 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| McCain (R) | 40% | 43% | 37% | 25% | 43% | 41% | 47% | 36% | 43% | 33% | 47% | 44% | 41% | ** | ** | 28% | 87% | 11% | 34% | 85% | 29% | 11% | 40% | 39% | 54% | 40% | 25% | 64% | 27% | 41% | 40% | 38% | 10% | 28% | 31% | 91% | ** | ** | 73% | 38% | 41% | 41% | 54% | 34% |
| Obama (D) | 53% | 50% | 56% | 67% | 49% | 54% | 44% | 56% | 50% | 58% | 40% | 51% | 52% | ** | ** | 68% | 9% | 83% | 55% | 11% | 65% | 83% | 53% | 53% | 39% | 51% | 69% | 27% | 67% | 45% | 56% | 54% | 88% | 66% | 63% | 9% | ** | ** | 15% | 55% | 52% | 50% | 40% | 59% |
| Other | 6% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 5% | ** | ** | 4% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 0% | ** | ** | 11% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% |
| Undecided | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | ** | ** | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 19% | 33% | 28% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 43% | 12% | 45% | 85% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 28% | 41% | 24% | 26% | 41% | 20% | 48% | 52% | 39% | 23% | 38% | 35% | 62% | 21% | 77% | 36% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 31% | 69% | 29% | 18% | 53% |
 | If you were filling out your ballot for President right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Hillary Clinton? |
| 634 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| McCain (R) | 45% | 50% | 39% | 38% | 49% | 42% | 47% | 45% | 44% | 44% | 48% | 44% | 46% | ** | ** | 28% | 90% | 14% | 43% | 85% | 40% | 14% | 46% | 44% | 59% | 39% | 33% | 71% | 31% | 51% | 43% | 47% | 24% | 21% | 30% | 89% | ** | ** | 83% | 39% | 47% | 49% | 58% | 37% |
| Clinton (D) | 48% | 43% | 53% | 52% | 44% | 50% | 46% | 47% | 48% | 47% | 44% | 49% | 48% | ** | ** | 54% | 6% | 81% | 40% | 10% | 54% | 79% | 46% | 50% | 33% | 54% | 59% | 20% | 63% | 36% | 52% | 46% | 69% | 67% | 64% | 11% | ** | ** | 12% | 51% | 47% | 43% | 36% | 54% |
| Other | 6% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ** | ** | 16% | 3% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 0% | ** | ** | 4% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Undecided | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | ** | ** | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 19% | 33% | 28% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 43% | 12% | 45% | 85% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 28% | 41% | 24% | 26% | 41% | 20% | 48% | 52% | 39% | 23% | 38% | 35% | 62% | 21% | 77% | 36% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 31% | 69% | 29% | 18% | 53% |