Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21738 |
In Minnesota's 7th Congressional District, Incumbent Democrat Peterson, Going for 13th Term, Leads GOP Challenger Westrom:
4 weeks until votes are counted in Minnesota's 7th US Congressional District, 12-term incumbent DFL candidate Collin Peterson narrowly leads Republican challenger Torrey Westrom, 50% to 41%, according to a KSTP-TV news poll conducted by SurveyUSA. 49% of likely voters approve of the job that Peterson is doing in the US House of Representatives; 38% disapprove. That gives the Congressman, first elected in 1990, a Plus 11 Net Favorability Rating. Moderates break 2:1 for the incumbent. 23% of conservatives vote for the incumbent. Voters tell SurveyUSA that health care is the most important issue in this contest, and on the issue of health care, Peterson leads Westrom by 11 points. On the issue of foreign policy, Westrom leads by 23 points. On the issue of taxes, Westrom leads by 13 points. The Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, is Minus 20 in the district: 57% of voters disapprove of the act, compared to 37% who approve. Of voters who disapprove of Obamacare, Westrom leads Peterson 3:1. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research, which was conducted 100% by telephone. SurveyUSA interviewed 700 registered voters from Minnesota's 7th Congressional District 10/03/14 through 10/06/14, using Registration Based Sample (aka: voter-list sample) provided by Aristotle of Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 545 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted 100% by telephone. Voters reachable on a home telephone (83% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Voters not reachable on a home telephone (17% of likely voters) were interviewed by live operators, who hand-dialed the telephone, secured the respondent's cooperation, qualified the respondent, conducted the interview, and remained on the line until the interview was concluded. |
1 | If the election for U.S. House of Representatives from Minnesota's 7th Congressional District were today, who would you vote for? Republican Torrey Westrom? Or DFL candidate Collin Peterson? |
545 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Peterson Approva | Top Issue | Obamacare Approv | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Approve | Disappro | Taxes | Health C | Foreign | Agricult | Social S | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | |
Torrey Westrom (R) | 41% | 43% | 38% | 42% | 46% | 36% | 42% | 40% | 78% | 12% | 41% | 67% | 29% | 5% | 8% | 84% | 52% | 43% | 55% | 31% | 20% | 8% | 64% | 38% | 43% | 40% | 35% | 40% | 48% | 35% | 42% |
Collin Peterson (DFL) | 50% | 47% | 53% | 44% | 48% | 54% | 44% | 51% | 16% | 85% | 45% | 23% | 64% | 86% | 88% | 8% | 39% | 54% | 32% | 58% | 71% | 86% | 24% | 51% | 46% | 53% | 55% | 52% | 43% | 43% | 51% |
Undecided | 10% | 11% | 8% | 14% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 22% | 7% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 53% | 47% | 21% | 37% | 42% | 21% | 79% | 29% | 35% | 32% | 42% | 41% | 12% | 49% | 38% | 16% | 28% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 37% | 57% | 26% | 36% | 37% | 28% | 46% | 26% | 17% | 83% |
2 | Do you approve or disapprove of the job Collin Peterson is doing as US Representative? |
545 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Peterson Approva | Top Issue | Obamacare Approv | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Approve | Disappro | Taxes | Health C | Foreign | Agricult | Social S | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | |
Approve | 49% | 50% | 48% | 46% | 46% | 53% | 46% | 50% | 24% | 75% | 45% | 28% | 59% | 85% | 100% | 0% | 41% | 48% | 36% | 69% | 63% | 80% | 28% | 48% | 45% | 54% | 46% | 52% | 46% | 45% | 50% |
Disapprove | 38% | 39% | 36% | 35% | 41% | 36% | 35% | 38% | 62% | 16% | 41% | 58% | 29% | 6% | 0% | 100% | 44% | 45% | 50% | 19% | 25% | 12% | 58% | 37% | 42% | 33% | 39% | 37% | 38% | 29% | 39% |
Not Sure | 13% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 12% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 8% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 16% | 11% | 16% | 26% | 11% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 53% | 47% | 21% | 37% | 42% | 21% | 79% | 29% | 35% | 32% | 42% | 41% | 12% | 49% | 38% | 16% | 28% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 37% | 57% | 26% | 36% | 37% | 28% | 46% | 26% | 17% | 83% |
3 | Which one of these issues is most important when deciding how you will vote in this election? Taxes? Health care? Foreign policy or terrorism? Agriculture? Social security? Or something else? |
545 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Peterson Approva | Top Issue | Obamacare Approv | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Approve | Disappro | Taxes | Health C | Foreign | Agricult | Social S | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | |
Taxes | 16% | 15% | 16% | 24% | 12% | 15% | 24% | 14% | 19% | 11% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 16% |
Health Care | 28% | 27% | 29% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 24% | 29% | 29% | 34% | 22% | 26% | 29% | 30% | 27% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 27% | 24% | 28% | 29% | 26% | 30% | 27% | 19% | 30% |
Foreign Policy Or Terrorism | 17% | 17% | 17% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 12% | 18% | 26% | 12% | 16% | 24% | 15% | 6% | 12% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 16% |
Agriculture | 11% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 16% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 12% |
Social Security | 12% | 14% | 11% | 1% | 13% | 17% | 1% | 16% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 18% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 8% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 13% |
Something Else | 13% | 14% | 11% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 23% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 12% |
Not Sure | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 2% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 53% | 47% | 21% | 37% | 42% | 21% | 79% | 29% | 35% | 32% | 42% | 41% | 12% | 49% | 38% | 16% | 28% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 37% | 57% | 26% | 36% | 37% | 28% | 46% | 26% | 17% | 83% |
4 | Do you approve or disapprove of the Affordable Care Act also known as "Obamacare?" |
545 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Peterson Approva | Top Issue | Obamacare Approv | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Approve | Disappro | Taxes | Health C | Foreign | Agricult | Social S | Approve | Disappro | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | |
Approve | 37% | 37% | 37% | 34% | 37% | 38% | 34% | 38% | 5% | 72% | 31% | 10% | 53% | 81% | 61% | 12% | 25% | 41% | 24% | 40% | 53% | 100% | 0% | 28% | 38% | 43% | 37% | 38% | 38% | 33% | 38% |
Disapprove | 57% | 60% | 53% | 62% | 56% | 55% | 62% | 55% | 92% | 21% | 62% | 85% | 40% | 15% | 32% | 87% | 68% | 54% | 69% | 55% | 41% | 0% | 100% | 64% | 57% | 51% | 56% | 57% | 56% | 60% | 56% |
Not Sure | 6% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 6% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 53% | 47% | 21% | 37% | 42% | 21% | 79% | 29% | 35% | 32% | 42% | 41% | 12% | 49% | 38% | 16% | 28% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 37% | 57% | 26% | 36% | 37% | 28% | 46% | 26% | 17% | 83% |