Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14582
Good Year To Be A Democrat -- Schrader Leads in Bid For Open US House Seat Oregon's 5th District: In an election for the open United States House of Representatives seat in Oregon's 5th Congressional District today, 10/15/08, Democrat Kurt Schrader defeats Republican Mike Erickson 51% to 38%, according to this KATU-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. 8% of voters choose one of the other four candidates on the ballot; 3% are undecided. Erickson leads among younger voters. Schrader leads among older voters.

13% of Republicans cross over to vote for Schrader, a state senator. 6% of Democrats cross over to vote for Erickson, who ran for the seat in 2006 against incumbent Darlene Hooley, who is not seeking reelection. Independents split, 39% for Schrader, 39% for Erickson, and 18% for one of the other candidates.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 adults from Oregon's 5th Congressional District. Of them, 678 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 587 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the election for US House. Oregon's election is conducted entirely by mail; voters will begin to receive their ballots this week, and have until 8 pm on Election Day to return them.
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives, were today, would you vote for ... (names rotated) Republican Mike Erickson? Democrat Kurt Schrader? Or one of the other candidates?
587 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
Mike Erickson (R)38%42%35%49%45%32%31%46%31%39%**31%**77%6%39%76%30%7%53%34%24%68%18%47%29%32%42%
Kurt Schrader (D)51%49%52%42%43%58%57%43%58%50%**56%**13%86%39%13%60%84%35%55%66%21%72%43%60%56%48%
Some Other Candidate8%8%9%7%9%8%10%8%8%8%**11%**8%5%18%9%8%7%8%8%7%8%8%8%8%9%7%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%17%31%30%22%48%52%89%1%9%2%38%46%16%31%43%22%43%20%37%41%58%50%48%36%64%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.