Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13282
In NY Democratic Primary, Edwards' Supporters Move to Obama, But Clinton Still Runs Strong: In a Democratic Primary in New York state today, 02/01/08, 4 days to the vote, Barack Obama is gaining ground, but it is unclear if he has the means or the momentum to upset Hillary Clinton in her home state. Clinton is at 54%, Obama 38% today, in interviews conducted immediately after John Edwards withdrew from the contest. Compared to a SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted immediately after Clinton's win in New Hampshire, but before Obama's win in South Carolina and Clinton's win in Florida, Clinton is down 2, Obama is up 8. Among men, Obama is up 16 points. Clinton leads by 37 among women. Obama leads by 12 among men. A 49-point Gender Gap. Clinton leads by 25 among whites. Obama leads by 25 among blacks.
Filtering / Timing: 2,700 New York state adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 01/30/08 and 01/31/08. All interviews completed after results of the Florida Primary were known, but before the California debate between Obama and Clinton at 8 pm ET on 01/31/08. Of the adults, 2,391 were registered to vote. Of them, 950 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Democratic Primary. 23% of likely voters say they may still change their mind, 4 days to the Primary. Research conducted for WABC-TV New York City, WGRZ-TV Buffalo, WHEC-TV Rochester, WNYT-TV Albany and WTNH-TV New Haven.
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
950 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratNYCNYC subuUpstate
Composition of Likely Voters100%41%59%23%28%28%22%50%50%55%22%15%8%13%33%30%39%33%29%25%70%23%76%35%6%22%15%6%5%6%4%53%22%26%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.