Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #26426

1 Week Out, Republican Brad Finstad Has Advantage Over DFL's Jeff Ettinger in Minnesota 1st Congressional District Special Election: Minnesota's competitive first Congressional District, vacant since the February death of Republican Jim Hagedorn, appears poised to once again be represented by a Republican, according to SurveyUSA's latest polling for ABC 6 News in Rochester. Today, it's Republican Brad Finstad, a former state representative and former USDA official, at 46%; DFL candidate Jeff Ettinger, the retired CEO of Hormel Foods, is at 38%. 7% say they will vote for some other candidate; 8% say they are undecided. The winner of the special election will serve out the the remainder of Hagedorn's term and face voters again in November. Among men, Finstad leads by 21 points; among women, Ettinger leads by 5 – a 26-point gender gap. Finstad leads by 13 to 14 points among voters under age 64, but the race is even among voters 65+. 85% of Republicans vote for Finstad, 87% of Democrats for Ettinger; independents lean to Finstad, 39% to 31%. 16% of voters tell SurveyUSA they have already returned their ballots; Ettinger leads by 13 points among these early voters. Among the 60% of likely voters who tell SurveyUSA they are absolutely certain they will vote, Finstad leads by 14 points. 1 in 4 voters say they will "probably" vote; Finstad lead by 8 among these probable voters. On the issues, among voters who say candidates' views on the economy will be very important when deciding how they will vote – 75% of likely voters –, Finstad leads by 25 points, 55% to 30%. Among those who say the candidates' views on gun laws will be very important, ⅔ of the electorate, Finstad leads by 4. Those who say candidates' views on abortion will be very important, 59% of voters, narrowly prefer Ettinger, 44% to 40%. Among those who say the candidates' views on COVID-19 will be very important, 39% of likely voters, Ettinger leads by a 20-point margin. 26% of voters say they are following the House Select Committee's January 6 hearings very closely, 30% somewhat closely, 22% not very closely; 21% say they aren't following the hearings at all. Among those who are following the hearings, 38% say the hearings will have a major impact on how they will vote in the special election; those voters back Ettinger by a 44-point margin, 66% to 22%. 24% say the hearings will have a minor impact on their vote; those voters support Ettinger by 10 points, 50% to 40%. 36% of those watching the hearings say they will have no impact on their vote; those voters prefer Finstad, 52% to 31%.

About the Poll / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 adults from Minnesota's First Congressional District 07/26/22 through 07/30/22. Of the adults, 704 were identified as being registered to vote; of the registered voters, 544 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the August 9 special election, or to have already cast their ballot. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (51% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer, using telephone sample of registered voters purchased from Aristotle in Washington DC. Respondents unreachable on a landline telephone (49% of likely voters) were shown the survey questions on the display of their smartphone, laptop or tablet, using online adult panelists chosen randomly by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, and home ownership.

1	Are you registered to vote in the state of Minnesota?

800 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter?			Abortion Views Important			Gun Laws Views Important			COVID Views Important			Economy Views Important			Hearing Impact			Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 2.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Already	Certain	Probable	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Major	Minor	None	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Online	Telephon
Yes	88%	89%	87%	72%	80%	95%	99%	76%	97%	89%	**	85%	82%	94%	92%	89%	96%	95%	90%	81%	95%	95%	90%	86%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	**	100%	100%	100%	71%	88%	99%	78%	90%	94%	94%	70%	85%	84%	90%	79%	100%
No	9%	8%	11%	22%	17%	3%	1%	19%	2%	10%	**	13%	6%	4%	7%	9%	3%	4%	8%	14%	4%	4%	8%	10%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	23%	9%	1%	17%	7%	5%	5%	22%	11%	13%	8%	16%	0%
Not Sure	3%	3%	2%	6%	3%	1%	1%	5%	1%	2%	**	2%	12%	2%	1%	2%	0%	1%	2%	5%	1%	1%	2%	4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6%	2%	0%	5%	2%	1%	1%	8%	4%	3%	2%	4%	0%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	50%	50%	21%	21%	28%	29%	43%	57%	83%	3%	7%	7%	36%	27%	28%	14%	26%	29%	13%	7%	40%	29%	20%	12%	46%	19%	59%	25%	15%	67%	24%	8%	39%	33%	27%	75%	20%	4%	38%	24%	36%	25%	39%	36%	33%	39%	29%	74%	26%	26%	23%	50%	58%	42%

2	Do you approve or disapprove of the job the United States Congress is doing?

704 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter?			Abortion Views Important			Gun Laws Views Important			COVID Views Important			Economy Views Important			Hearing Impact			Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Already	Certain	Probable	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Major	Minor	None	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Online	Telephon
Strongly Approve	6%	6%	5%	6%	10%	4%	4%	8%	4%	5%	**	12%	9%	6%	9%	3%	9%	4%	6%	7%	4%	5%	6%	6%	12%	8%	1%	8%	5%	3%	7%	6%	8%	12%	5%	1%	6%	6%	**	15%	5%	3%	10%	3%	6%	6%	4%	6%	5%	6%	9%	6%	3%	5%	6%
Somewhat Approve	23%	21%	25%	19%	22%	23%	26%	21%	24%	20%	**	53%	22%	13%	38%	23%	11%	20%	29%	34%	30%	17%	29%	33%	34%	21%	21%	24%	25%	17%	22%	28%	19%	31%	25%	10%	19%	38%	**	36%	36%	16%	20%	26%	22%	28%	21%	21%	24%	21%	31%	22%	20%	21%	25%
Somewhat Disapprove	28%	28%	28%	32%	29%	27%	27%	30%	27%	30%	**	11%	22%	27%	33%	25%	17%	25%	30%	41%	39%	22%	30%	40%	22%	25%	37%	28%	31%	22%	28%	33%	16%	24%	37%	24%	27%	34%	**	27%	31%	35%	26%	25%	32%	23%	35%	25%	28%	29%	30%	24%	29%	32%	24%
Strongly Disapprove	37%	40%	34%	34%	31%	41%	40%	32%	40%	39%	**	20%	38%	50%	15%	44%	61%	47%	30%	10%	24%	52%	30%	15%	29%	43%	35%	36%	38%	54%	41%	31%	48%	30%	31%	62%	45%	20%	**	19%	26%	45%	36%	41%	36%	32%	35%	44%	38%	31%	24%	40%	42%	34%	41%
Not Sure	6%	5%	7%	10%	8%	5%	4%	9%	4%	6%	**	3%	9%	4%	5%	6%	2%	5%	5%	7%	2%	4%	5%	5%	2%	3%	6%	3%	2%	3%	3%	2%	9%	4%	2%	2%	3%	2%	**	4%	2%	1%	9%	6%	4%	10%	4%	5%	4%	13%	5%	8%	5%	8%	4%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	50%	50%	17%	19%	30%	33%	37%	63%	84%	3%	7%	7%	38%	28%	28%	15%	29%	30%	12%	8%	44%	30%	19%	12%	46%	19%	59%	25%	15%	67%	24%	8%	39%	33%	27%	75%	20%	4%	38%	24%	36%	20%	39%	40%	29%	40%	31%	79%	21%	25%	23%	52%	53%	47%

3

Minnesota's 1st Congressional district will hold a special election on August 9th. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Which best describes you? Have you already voted in the special election? Are you certain to vote? Will you probably vote? Are the chances you will vote about 50/50? Or will you probably not vote?

704 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter?			Abortion Views Important			Gun Laws Views Important			COVID Views Important			Economy Views Important			Hearing Impact			Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Already	Certain	Probable	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Major	Minor	None	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Online	Telephon
Already Voted	12%	10%	14%	13%	8%	13%	13%	11%	13%	11%	**	22%	16%	13%	15%	8%	18%	13%	11%	11%	8%	15%	11%	10%	100%	0%	0%	18%	13%	12%	17%	11%	18%	23%	14%	7%	15%	15%	**	23%	15%	12%	13%	11%	12%	13%	11%	14%	13%	9%	18%	9%	11%	12%	12%
Certain To Vote	46%	50%	42%	33%	45%	46%	54%	39%	50%	47%	**	33%	42%	51%	46%	45%	55%	49%	45%	41%	59%	51%	45%	48%	0%	100%	0%	60%	57%	64%	60%	58%	62%	59%	57%	64%	62%	53%	**	57%	53%	66%	37%	40%	58%	36%	45%	57%	50%	29%	43%	50%	46%	38%	54%
Will Probably Vote	19%	21%	18%	24%	20%	19%	16%	22%	17%	20%	**	9%	19%	17%	21%	19%	14%	23%	16%	22%	19%	19%	16%	21%	0%	0%	100%	22%	30%	25%	23%	30%	20%	19%	29%	28%	23%	32%	**	20%	32%	22%	21%	19%	17%	20%	22%	12%	19%	17%	18%	22%	18%	21%	17%
50/50 Chance	11%	9%	12%	13%	13%	11%	8%	13%	9%	10%	**	16%	8%	10%	10%	11%	6%	8%	14%	14%	6%	7%	14%	11%	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	13%	13%	6%	14%	10%	8%	8%	18%	11%	9%	10%	13%	8%
Probably Will Not Vote	10%	8%	12%	14%	12%	8%	8%	13%	8%	9%	**	20%	15%	7%	8%	13%	6%	6%	13%	7%	8%	6%	13%	8%	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	11%	14%	6%	15%	10%	7%	7%	23%	9%	8%	12%	13%	7%
Not Sure	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	0%	3%	2%	3%	**	0%	0%	2%	0%	3%	0%	2%	2%	5%	0%	1%	2%	3%	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	1%	3%	3%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	50%	50%	17%	19%	30%	33%	37%	63%	84%	3%	7%	7%	38%	28%	28%	15%	29%	30%	12%	8%	44%	30%	19%	12%	46%	19%	59%	25%	15%	67%	24%	8%	39%	33%	27%	75%	20%	4%	38%	24%	36%	20%	39%	40%	29%	40%	31%	79%	21%	25%	23%	52%	53%	47%

4	In the special election for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, how do you vote? (candidate names rotated) Republican Brad Finstad? DFL candidate Jeff Ettinger Or Some other candidate?

544 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter?			Abortion Views Important			Gun Laws Views Important			COVID Views Important			Economy Views Important			Hearing Impact			Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Already	Certain	Probable	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Major	Minor	None	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Online	Telephon
Brad Finstad (R)	46%	54%	38%	49%	48%	48%	43%	48%	45%	48%	**	33%	48%	85%	4%	39%	78%	73%	27%	2%	14%	75%	27%	7%	41%	51%	39%	40%	51%	67%	46%	50%	48%	32%	42%	74%	55%	21%	**	22%	40%	52%	47%	53%	42%	42%	43%	57%	51%	29%	44%	44%	51%	46%	47%
Jeff Ettinger (DFL)	38%	33%	43%	35%	34%	35%	43%	34%	40%	37%	**	64%	21%	8%	87%	31%	14%	15%	48%	84%	83%	14%	48%	84%	54%	37%	31%	44%	32%	24%	42%	27%	32%	52%	43%	13%	30%	65%	**	66%	50%	31%	36%	32%	44%	38%	40%	33%	36%	44%	38%	40%	36%	36%	39%
Other	7%	8%	7%	5%	5%	9%	9%	5%	9%	7%	**	0%	15%	4%	4%	16%	5%	8%	9%	10%	2%	7%	9%	6%	3%	6%	15%	8%	8%	7%	5%	11%	13%	9%	8%	4%	7%	6%	**	6%	6%	11%	9%	8%	5%	11%	8%	3%	6%	11%	7%	6%	7%	4%	11%
Undecided	8%	5%	12%	11%	13%	8%	5%	12%	6%	8%	**	3%	16%	4%	5%	14%	3%	4%	16%	5%	1%	3%	16%	3%	2%	7%	15%	9%	9%	2%	6%	12%	7%	7%	7%	9%	8%	8%	**	7%	5%	7%	9%	7%	8%	9%	9%	6%	7%	15%	11%	10%	5%	14%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	53%	47%	16%	18%	30%	35%	34%	66%	85%	3%	5%	7%	40%	30%	27%	17%	31%	27%	11%	9%	48%	27%	20%	16%	60%	25%	59%	25%	15%	67%	24%	8%	39%	33%	27%	75%	20%	4%	38%	24%	36%	19%	36%	45%	26%	41%	33%	85%	15%	26%	24%	51%	49%	51%

5	How important are the candidates' views on abortion when deciding how to vote? Very important? Somewhat important? Not very important? Or not at all important?

544 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter?			Abortion Views Important			Gun Laws Views Important			COVID Views Important			Economy Views Important			Hearing Impact			Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Already	Certain	Probable	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Major	Minor	None	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Online	Telephon
Very	59%	47%	72%	55%	69%	53%	60%	62%	57%	57%	**	82%	67%	53%	69%	53%	74%	49%	51%	75%	72%	58%	51%	74%	67%	59%	52%	100%	0%	0%	71%	38%	24%	74%	51%	47%	61%	57%	**	72%	53%	56%	61%	56%	61%	69%	54%	59%	57%	72%	53%	70%	57%	61%	56%
Somewhat	25%	29%	21%	29%	23%	28%	23%	25%	25%	27%	**	18%	15%	30%	23%	22%	10%	34%	30%	20%	21%	25%	30%	21%	21%	24%	31%	0%	100%	0%	19%	39%	38%	17%	34%	28%	24%	27%	**	20%	32%	28%	26%	28%	22%	22%	29%	23%	26%	19%	33%	15%	26%	27%	24%
Not Very	11%	17%	4%	15%	7%	10%	13%	10%	12%	12%	**	0%	10%	13%	6%	15%	8%	11%	15%	4%	6%	10%	15%	5%	7%	12%	13%	0%	0%	76%	6%	20%	25%	7%	11%	17%	10%	13%	**	6%	8%	14%	10%	11%	11%	5%	12%	14%	11%	6%	8%	12%	11%	9%	13%
Not At All	4%	5%	2%	0%	2%	7%	3%	1%	5%	3%	**	0%	4%	4%	1%	7%	7%	4%	3%	0%	1%	5%	3%	0%	4%	4%	2%	0%	0%	24%	3%	2%	13%	1%	4%	6%	5%	0%	**	1%	4%	2%	3%	3%	5%	4%	3%	5%	4%	2%	5%	3%	4%	1%	6%
Not Sure	1%	1%	2%	2%	0%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	**	0%	4%	0%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	**	1%	3%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	53%	47%	16%	18%	30%	35%	34%	66%	85%	3%	5%	7%	40%	30%	27%	17%	31%	27%	11%	9%	48%	27%	20%	16%	60%	25%	59%	25%	15%	67%	24%	8%	39%	33%	27%	75%	20%	4%	38%	24%	36%	19%	36%	45%	26%	41%	33%	85%	15%	26%	24%	51%	49%	51%

6	How important are the candidates' views on gun laws?

544 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter?			Abortion Views Important			Gun Laws Views Important			COVID Views Important			Economy Views Important			Hearing Impact			Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Already	Certain	Probable	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Major	Minor	None	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Online	Telephon
Very	67%	60%	74%	60%	59%	70%	70%	60%	70%	64%	**	98%	74%	65%	77%	56%	77%	66%	55%	74%	81%	70%	55%	77%	71%	67%	62%	80%	51%	42%	100%	0%	0%	80%	61%	56%	71%	57%	**	79%	53%	65%	63%	67%	68%	70%	65%	66%	66%	67%	64%	69%	67%	65%	68%
Somewhat	24%	27%	20%	28%	36%	20%	19%	32%	19%	26%	**	2%	18%	26%	19%	27%	16%	23%	35%	16%	17%	21%	35%	17%	17%	23%	29%	15%	37%	36%	0%	100%	0%	15%	32%	27%	21%	34%	**	12%	39%	26%	28%	22%	24%	22%	27%	24%	25%	22%	26%	26%	23%	28%	20%
Not Very	5%	8%	3%	11%	3%	5%	5%	7%	5%	6%	**	0%	0%	6%	3%	8%	4%	5%	7%	7%	2%	5%	7%	5%	9%	5%	4%	2%	10%	13%	0%	0%	70%	3%	6%	9%	5%	6%	**	6%	6%	3%	4%	5%	5%	3%	5%	7%	4%	9%	6%	4%	4%	6%	5%
Not At All	2%	4%	1%	1%	2%	3%	2%	1%	3%	3%	**	0%	2%	2%	0%	5%	3%	4%	1%	1%	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	3%	3%	1%	2%	7%	0%	0%	30%	0%	1%	7%	2%	1%	**	1%	1%	4%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	1%	1%	1%	4%	1%	4%
Not Sure	2%	2%	2%	0%	0%	1%	4%	0%	3%	2%	**	0%	7%	1%	1%	4%	1%	1%	2%	2%	0%	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	2%	1%	2%	**	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	0%	2%	0%	2%	0%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	53%	47%	16%	18%	30%	35%	34%	66%	85%	3%	5%	7%	40%	30%	27%	17%	31%	27%	11%	9%	48%	27%	20%	16%	60%	25%	59%	25%	15%	67%	24%	8%	39%	33%	27%	75%	20%	4%	38%	24%	36%	19%	36%	45%	26%	41%	33%	85%	15%	26%	24%	51%	49%	51%

7	How important are their views on the COVID-19 pandemic?

544 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter?			Abortion Views Important			Gun Laws Views Important			COVID Views Important			Economy Views Important			Hearing Impact			Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Already	Certain	Probable	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Major	Minor	None	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Online	Telephon
Very	39%	32%	46%	31%	41%	41%	40%	36%	40%	36%	**	63%	47%	29%	51%	39%	40%	29%	39%	53%	52%	33%	39%	52%	58%	38%	29%	49%	26%	21%	47%	25%	17%	100%	0%	0%	41%	34%	**	63%	39%	29%	40%	36%	41%	43%	38%	38%	39%	41%	44%	43%	35%	40%	38%
Somewhat	33%	31%	35%	38%	25%	32%	35%	31%	34%	34%	**	23%	25%	29%	41%	29%	23%	31%	37%	36%	44%	28%	37%	40%	29%	31%	38%	28%	43%	35%	30%	44%	26%	0%	100%	0%	28%	48%	**	26%	44%	41%	26%	32%	36%	30%	39%	31%	32%	45%	35%	31%	35%	35%	30%
Not Very	16%	22%	8%	17%	22%	12%	15%	20%	13%	17%	**	15%	8%	24%	6%	16%	18%	26%	10%	9%	3%	23%	10%	6%	11%	15%	19%	14%	14%	23%	13%	21%	18%	0%	0%	58%	17%	12%	**	7%	12%	21%	19%	19%	12%	14%	14%	18%	17%	7%	10%	20%	15%	13%	18%
Not At All	11%	14%	8%	14%	11%	14%	9%	12%	11%	12%	**	0%	16%	18%	2%	15%	18%	14%	11%	2%	1%	15%	11%	1%	2%	14%	12%	8%	16%	20%	9%	9%	38%	0%	0%	42%	13%	6%	**	3%	5%	9%	13%	11%	11%	11%	8%	14%	12%	7%	8%	6%	15%	11%	12%
Not Sure	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	**	0%	4%	1%	1%	2%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	**	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	1%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	53%	47%	16%	18%	30%	35%	34%	66%	85%	3%	5%	7%	40%	30%	27%	17%	31%	27%	11%	9%	48%	27%	20%	16%	60%	25%	59%	25%	15%	67%	24%	8%	39%	33%	27%	75%	20%	4%	38%	24%	36%	19%	36%	45%	26%	41%	33%	85%	15%	26%	24%	51%	49%	51%

8	How important are their views on the economy?

544 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter?			Abortion Views Important			Gun Laws Views Important			COVID Views Important			Economy Views Important			Hearing Impact			Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Already	Certain	Probable	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Major	Minor	None	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Online	Telephon
Very	75%	79%	72%	65%	83%	81%	71%	74%	76%	74%	**	96%	81%	86%	62%	76%	88%	86%	66%	62%	62%	87%	66%	62%	73%	79%	68%	78%	71%	76%	80%	65%	73%	79%	65%	83%	100%	0%	**	75%	54%	83%	78%	80%	71%	74%	74%	78%	76%	72%	69%	79%	76%	77%	74%
Somewhat	20%	16%	24%	29%	12%	16%	23%	20%	20%	21%	**	4%	11%	10%	35%	17%	9%	10%	27%	35%	37%	10%	27%	36%	19%	18%	25%	19%	21%	18%	17%	28%	18%	17%	29%	13%	0%	100%	**	21%	37%	15%	17%	17%	24%	22%	20%	19%	20%	22%	25%	16%	20%	19%	20%
Not Very	3%	4%	2%	5%	4%	2%	3%	4%	3%	4%	**	0%	0%	4%	2%	4%	2%	3%	5%	3%	1%	3%	5%	2%	8%	2%	3%	2%	7%	3%	3%	4%	6%	2%	4%	3%	0%	0%	**	4%	4%	2%	1%	3%	5%	1%	5%	2%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%
Not At All	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	1%	**	0%	3%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	4%	0%	3%	1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	**	0%	3%	1%	3%	0%	1%	2%	0%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Not Sure	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	**	0%	4%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	**	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	53%	47%	16%	18%	30%	35%	34%	66%	85%	3%	5%	7%	40%	30%	27%	17%	31%	27%	11%	9%	48%	27%	20%	16%	60%	25%	59%	25%	15%	67%	24%	8%	39%	33%	27%	75%	20%	4%	38%	24%	36%	19%	36%	45%	26%	41%	33%	85%	15%	26%	24%	51%	49%	51%

9	How closely have you been following the January 6th House Select Committee hearings? Very closely? Somewhat closely? Not very closely? Or not at all closely?

544 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter?			Abortion Views Important			Gun Laws Views Important			COVID Views Important			Economy Views Important			Hearing Impact			Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Already	Certain	Probable	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Major	Minor	None	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Online	Telephon
Very	26%	25%	27%	16%	26%	15%	39%	22%	28%	26%	**	28%	31%	15%	44%	22%	19%	10%	34%	51%	37%	13%	34%	45%	36%	27%	17%	28%	22%	25%	29%	17%	23%	41%	26%	5%	22%	36%	**	50%	29%	18%	26%	21%	30%	24%	28%	24%	26%	25%	26%	24%	26%	17%	34%
Somewhat	30%	31%	30%	31%	31%	35%	27%	31%	30%	29%	**	64%	21%	23%	38%	33%	29%	28%	31%	32%	39%	29%	31%	35%	34%	29%	33%	32%	32%	22%	31%	30%	35%	35%	30%	24%	30%	36%	**	39%	48%	34%	29%	32%	31%	33%	33%	26%	31%	32%	36%	33%	27%	38%	23%
Not Very	22%	21%	23%	29%	25%	25%	16%	27%	20%	24%	**	9%	14%	31%	14%	19%	22%	31%	18%	14%	18%	28%	18%	16%	14%	22%	28%	22%	26%	18%	20%	32%	15%	13%	29%	27%	24%	19%	**	11%	23%	48%	23%	24%	21%	22%	21%	25%	22%	28%	21%	25%	22%	26%	19%
Not At All	21%	23%	18%	24%	18%	24%	17%	21%	21%	21%	**	0%	30%	30%	4%	25%	30%	31%	15%	3%	5%	30%	15%	4%	16%	22%	21%	18%	20%	34%	20%	21%	27%	11%	14%	44%	24%	10%	**	-	-	-	21%	24%	18%	20%	18%	24%	22%	16%	16%	18%	24%	19%	23%
Not Sure	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	**	0%	4%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	**	-	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	53%	47%	16%	18%	30%	35%	34%	66%	85%	3%	5%	7%	40%	30%	27%	17%	31%	27%	11%	9%	48%	27%	20%	16%	60%	25%	59%	25%	15%	67%	24%	8%	39%	33%	27%	75%	20%	4%	38%	24%	36%	19%	36%	45%	26%	41%	33%	85%	15%	26%	24%	51%	49%	51%

10	How much impact have the January 6th hearings had on your decision on how you will vote in the special election? A major impact? A minor impact? Or no impact at all?

427 Following Hearings	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Voter?			Abortion Views Important			Gun Laws Views Important			COVID Views Important			Economy Views Important			Hearing Impact			Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Already	Certain	Probable	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Very	Somewhat	Not Very	Major	Minor	None	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Online	Telephon
Major	38%	30%	45%	33%	35%	35%	43%	34%	40%	36%	**	62%	27%	27%	48%	38%	26%	33%	35%	57%	50%	31%	35%	54%	53%	36%	30%	44%	30%	21%	44%	19%	38%	54%	27%	20%	39%	34%	**	100%	0%	0%	38%	37%	38%	42%	36%	36%	37%	41%	44%	38%	34%	34%	41%
Minor	24%	28%	20%	39%	29%	18%	20%	33%	19%	25%	**	9%	33%	22%	26%	24%	17%	20%	33%	20%	26%	19%	33%	22%	22%	21%	31%	21%	30%	24%	19%	39%	25%	21%	29%	21%	18%	39%	**	0%	100%	0%	25%	24%	24%	24%	29%	20%	25%	25%	29%	23%	23%	29%	19%
No Impact	36%	40%	31%	21%	34%	45%	35%	29%	39%	37%	**	28%	31%	48%	24%	37%	51%	46%	29%	19%	24%	48%	29%	21%	25%	40%	32%	33%	39%	46%	34%	39%	35%	23%	41%	54%	40%	23%	**	0%	0%	100%	34%	36%	36%	32%	32%	42%	36%	29%	22%	36%	42%	34%	37%
Not Sure	3%	2%	3%	7%	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	**	0%	9%	3%	2%	1%	6%	1%	3%	4%	0%	3%	3%	2%	0%	2%	6%	2%	1%	8%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	5%	3%	3%	**	0%	0%	0%	3%	3%	2%	2%	3%	1%	2%	5%	4%	3%	1%	3%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Following Hearings	100%	51%	49%	15%	19%	29%	37%	34%	66%	85%	2%	7%	6%	35%	37%	25%	16%	27%	29%	14%	10%	43%	29%	24%	17%	59%	25%	61%	26%	12%	68%	24%	7%	44%	36%	19%	73%	23%	4%	38%	24%	36%	19%	35%	47%	26%	42%	32%	84%	16%	27%	25%	48%	50%	50%

** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.