Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16949
KS-04: Democrat Goyle and Republican Pompeo Square-Off for Tiahrt's Open Seat: In an election for the open US House of Representatives seat in Kansas' 4th Congressional District today, 08/12/10, Republican Mike Pompeo has an early jump on Democrat Raj Goyle 49% to 42%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KWCH-TV Wichita.

Pompeo is strong among men and younger voters. Goyle is strong among older voters. 1 in 5 Republicans cross over to vote Democrat; 1 in 17 Democrats cross over to vote Republican. Independents split. More affluent voters back Pompeo. Less affluent voters back Goyle. Gun owners back Pompeo. Pro-choice voters back Goyle.

Incumbent Republican Todd Tiahrt, first elected in 1994, did not run for re-election to the US House in order to run in the Republican primary for US Senate, where he was defeated by KS-01 Representative Jerry Moran.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 adults from Kansas' 4th Congressional District 08/09/10 through 08/11/10. Of them, 845 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 604 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election.
[Candidate names rotated]
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? Republican Mike Pompeo? Democrat Raj Goyle? Libertarian David Moffett? Or Reform Party candidate Susan Ducey?
604 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
Mike Pompeo (R)49%53%44%48%63%44%38%59%41%48%****69%69%6%44%73%29%8%76%5%44%37%54%42%56%39%35%67%25%52%38%34%54%
Raj Goyle (D)42%38%46%26%29%49%54%28%51%42%****25%22%84%46%18%61%86%14%89%48%45%39%46%37%50%52%26%65%39%52%51%39%
David Moffett (L)4%6%2%14%4%2%2%6%2%4%****0%3%6%3%4%5%1%4%5%2%0%3%4%3%3%7%1%6%3%5%7%2%
Susan Ducey (RP)1%1%2%4%0%1%1%1%1%1%****5%1%1%2%1%1%2%2%0%1%0%0%2%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%9%32%31%28%41%59%88%3%4%5%57%27%16%49%37%10%44%23%23%11%52%48%60%21%19%54%44%59%39%38%62%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.