Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17050 |
MN-06: In Bid for 3rd Term, Republican Bachman Remains Atop Democrat Clark; GOP Positioned to Hold the Seat: In an election for United States Representative from Minnesota's 6th Congressional District today, 09/16/10, incumbent Republican Michele Bachman is elected to a 3rd term, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis-St. Paul.
Today, it's Bachman 49%, DFL State Senator Tarryl Clark 40%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 2 months ago, little has changed: each candidate is up 1 point. Under the surface, there is offsetting movement: Clark has reduced slightly Bachman's advantage among men and among Independents, and has gained ground among voters over age 50; Bachman, meantime, is now even with Clark among women and has increased her advantage among middle-aged voters. |
Filtering: 800 registered voters from Minnesota's 6th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 09/13/10 through 09/15/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 582 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives. |
582 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | |||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
Michele Bachmann (R) | 49% | 52% | 45% | 57% | 59% | 40% | 42% | 58% | 41% | 48% | ** | ** | ** | 87% | 9% | 45% | 86% | 27% | 12% | 86% | 7% | 44% | 46% | 50% | 47% | 53% | 42% | 42% | 70% | 23% | 50% | 46% | 49% | 48% |
Tarryl Clark (DFL) | 40% | 36% | 45% | 31% | 31% | 48% | 48% | 31% | 48% | 41% | ** | ** | ** | 7% | 84% | 39% | 8% | 59% | 77% | 4% | 88% | 39% | 33% | 39% | 42% | 38% | 45% | 43% | 21% | 65% | 40% | 45% | 40% | 41% |
Bob Anderson (IP) | 6% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 6% | ** | ** | ** | 4% | 4% | 11% | 3% | 10% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 7% |
Aubrey Immelman (I) | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
Undecided | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 32% | 37% | 18% | 45% | 55% | 92% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 36% | 31% | 29% | 40% | 43% | 12% | 37% | 31% | 20% | 12% | 50% | 50% | 57% | 24% | 18% | 53% | 44% | 59% | 37% | 28% | 72% |