Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13272 |
In CA, Obama Closes On Clinton; Had Been Down 37, Now 11: In a Democratic Primary in California today, 01/28/08, eight days to the vote, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama 49% to 38%, according to this latest SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego and KFSN-TV Fresno. Compared to SurveyUSA's most recent CA poll released two weeks ago, before Obama's South Carolina win, Hillary Clinton is down 1 point, Obama is up 3 points, and John Edwards, who finishes today at 9%, is down 1 point. In October, Clinton led Obama by 37 points; today, it's 11 points. Obama today leads among men by 11 points; Clinton leads among women by 30 points -- a 41-point Gender Gap. Clinton today takes 43% of the white vote; Obama takes 41, a virtual tie, and significant in that Clinton led among white voters by 25 points at the beginning of December. Click here to see that tracking graph. |
Filtering: 2,100 state of CA adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 01/27/08, after the results of the South Carolina Democratic Primary were known. Of the adults, 1,783 were registered to vote. Of them, 888 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Democratic Presidential Primary. |
If the Democratic Primary were today, would you vote for... Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? John Edwards? Or some other Democrat? |
888 Likely And Actual Voters | All | Early Voting | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Top Issue For Next President | 2004 Vote | Abortion | Global Warming | Stem Cell Resear | Labor Union | Same Sex Marriag | Gun Ownership | Military Draft | Who Is Winning W | Bush in History | Passport Current | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct points | Actual V | Likely V | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | Bush | Kerry | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Real | Made-up | For | Against | Yes | No | Support | Oppose | Yes | No | Need | No Need | United S | Terroris | One Of A | An Avera | One Of T | Yes | No | Central | Greater | Inland E | Bay Area | |
Clinton | 49% | 56% | 47% | 36% | 60% | 44% | 48% | 53% | 55% | 46% | 54% | 43% | 25% | 65% | 53% | ** | 52% | 32% | 56% | 50% | 43% | 57% | 51% | 44% | 41% | ** | ** | 44% | ** | 45% | 50% | 54% | 47% | 49% | 36% | 49% | 46% | 53% | 45% | 45% | 50% | 49% | 47% | 50% | 47% | 51% | 49% | ** | 50% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 50% | 52% | 56% | 42% |
Obama | 38% | 32% | 39% | 47% | 30% | 47% | 38% | 31% | 29% | 42% | 30% | 41% | 61% | 28% | 31% | ** | 36% | 45% | 35% | 37% | 41% | 33% | 32% | 43% | 43% | ** | ** | 41% | ** | 43% | 37% | 37% | 39% | 37% | 53% | 37% | 46% | 32% | 42% | 39% | 39% | 38% | 40% | 31% | 41% | 39% | 37% | ** | 42% | 39% | 39% | 39% | 37% | 36% | 33% | 42% |
Edwards | 9% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 9% | ** | 8% | 14% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 11% | ** | ** | 4% | ** | 6% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 11% | ** | 3% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 10% |
Other | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% | ** | 1% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | ** | ** | 5% | ** | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 1% | ** | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Undecided | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 2% | ** | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | 6% | ** | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ** | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters | 100% | 23% | 77% | 45% | 55% | 28% | 31% | 23% | 17% | 60% | 40% | 48% | 9% | 29% | 14% | 4% | 85% | 9% | 11% | 48% | 34% | 34% | 6% | 20% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 14% | 70% | 25% | 73% | 88% | 10% | 84% | 12% | 34% | 64% | 59% | 33% | 22% | 77% | 20% | 79% | 30% | 50% | 3% | 15% | 82% | 57% | 41% | 16% | 42% | 14% | 28% |