| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22706 |
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In a Trump vs Clinton Presidential Election, 4 in 10 Voters Will Hold Their Nose When Voting; Trump's Support Comes Disproportionately from Regular Viewers of 'The Apprentice' TV Show: Donald Trump stinks. But so does Hillary Clinton. These are the findings of a brand new SurveyUSA poll of 1,357 likely voters nationwide. Clinton edges Trump 48% to 45% in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup "today." But the numbers tell an even better story:
* 19% of voters say they will "hold their nose" when they vote for Clinton. This compares to 29% who say they will vote for Clinton "enthusiastically."
42% of Republicans and 41% of independents who lean Republican say Trump smells bad, but not as bad as Clinton. This compares to 27% of Democrats and 43% of independents who lean Democratic who say Clinton smells bad, but not as bad as Trump. Young voters are 3 times more likely to hold their nose when voting Clinton as seniors. African Americans (58%), "very liberal" voters (59%) and "strong Democrats" (70%) are the most likely to support Clinton enthusiastically. "Strong Republicans" (63%) are the most likely to support Trump enthusiastically. Clinton leads by 16 points among independents. Clinton leads by 18 points among moderates. Among voters who say the current president should appoint the next Supreme Court justice, Clinton leads 70% to 21%. Among voters who say the next president should fill the vacant Supreme Court seat, Trump leads 74% to 19%. Among voters who say they are "doing well" financially, Clinton leads 50% to 45%. Among voters who say they are "just getting by" financially, the candidates run even. Among voters who say they are "falling behind" financially, Clinton leads 51% to 42%. Trump Support Correlates with Viewership of 'The Apprentice': Trump runs 20 points stronger among voters who watched "The Apprentice" TV show "almost always" when Trump was the host, compared to voters who "almost never" watched "The Apprentice." Among viewers who almost always watched the show when Trump was the host, Trump leads Clinton by 24 points, 58% to 34%. Among voters who almost never watched "The Apprentice" when Trump was host, Clinton leads Trump by 15 points, 53% to 38%. While there is nothing counter-intuitive about these findings, they are the first mathematical measure of the extent to which Trump has been able to cash-in on his celebrity. About: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,500 adults from the 50 United States 02/22/16 through 02/23/16. Interviews were completed after the results of the South Carolina Republican primary were known but before results of the Nevada Republican caucuses were known. Of the adults, SurveyUSA identified 1,357 as likely to vote in the 11/08/16 general election for president. This research was conducted 100% online. |
| 1 | If there were an election today for President of the United States, and the only two names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, which best describes you: I would vote for Donald Trump enthusiastically. I would hold my nose and vote for Donald Trump. I would hold my nose and vote for Hillary Clinton. I would vote for Hillary Clinton enthusiastically. I would stay home and not vote. |
| 1357 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Next Justice | Gun Owner | Financially | Education | Income | Watched Apprentice | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Current | Next Pre | Yes | No | Doing We | Just Get | Falling | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Almost A | Once In | Almost N | Not Sure | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
| Vote Trump Enthusiastically | 24% | 28% | 21% | 15% | 25% | 26% | 31% | 20% | 28% | 29% | 6% | 17% | 16% | 63% | 40% | 31% | 22% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 41% | 43% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 40% | 28% | 22% | 23% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 23% | 24% | 21% | 24% | 28% | 32% | 30% | 19% | ** | 35% | 17% | 26% | 20% |
| Vote Trump, Hold My Nose | 21% | 23% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 20% | 21% | 24% | 6% | 17% | 18% | 26% | 42% | 41% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 0% | 31% | 29% | 21% | 2% | 1% | 11% | 34% | 27% | 17% | 22% | 20% | 19% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 19% | ** | 16% | 23% | 21% | 22% |
| Vote Clinton, Hold My Nose | 19% | 19% | 19% | 32% | 16% | 19% | 10% | 23% | 15% | 17% | 20% | 29% | 23% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 24% | 43% | 27% | 21% | 7% | 10% | 22% | 32% | 33% | 27% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 25% | 12% | 22% | 20% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 18% | 20% | ** | 18% | 20% | 16% | 22% |
| Vote Clinton Enthusiastically | 29% | 24% | 33% | 22% | 32% | 29% | 32% | 27% | 30% | 23% | 58% | 33% | 34% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 29% | 35% | 52% | 70% | 11% | 12% | 33% | 51% | 59% | 46% | 10% | 22% | 33% | 30% | 28% | 26% | 38% | 26% | 26% | 36% | 26% | 24% | 17% | 24% | 33% | ** | 27% | 31% | 28% | 31% |
| Stay Home And Not Vote | 7% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 8% | ** | 5% | 9% | 8% | 6% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 22% | 27% | 30% | 21% | 49% | 51% | 70% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 11% | 18% | 9% | 20% | 12% | 14% | 26% | 39% | 14% | 7% | 50% | 37% | 34% | 64% | 36% | 51% | 12% | 22% | 36% | 42% | 31% | 40% | 28% | 12% | 29% | 56% | 3% | 20% | 24% | 36% | 20% |
| 2 | Who should pick the next Justice for the Supreme Court of the United States? The current president? The next president? Or, do you not know enough to say? |
| 1357 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Next Justice | Gun Owner | Financially | Education | Income | Watched Apprentice | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Current | Next Pre | Yes | No | Doing We | Just Get | Falling | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Almost A | Once In | Almost N | Not Sure | Northeas | Midwest | South | West | |
| Current President | 50% | 47% | 53% | 51% | 49% | 53% | 46% | 50% | 50% | 44% | 83% | 54% | 50% | 15% | 24% | 26% | 60% | 72% | 73% | 79% | 20% | 30% | 60% | 73% | 84% | 100% | 0% | 43% | 54% | 56% | 47% | 44% | 49% | 49% | 51% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 44% | 54% | ** | 47% | 53% | 47% | 54% |
| Next President | 37% | 45% | 31% | 36% | 37% | 37% | 40% | 37% | 38% | 44% | 4% | 33% | 33% | 60% | 66% | 59% | 28% | 13% | 19% | 11% | 71% | 52% | 27% | 19% | 9% | 0% | 100% | 47% | 32% | 30% | 42% | 39% | 37% | 39% | 36% | 37% | 40% | 35% | 44% | 46% | 31% | ** | 34% | 34% | 43% | 36% |
| Don't Know Enough To Say | 13% | 8% | 17% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 17% | 25% | 9% | 16% | 12% | 14% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 15% | 6% | 10% | 15% | ** | 19% | 13% | 10% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 22% | 27% | 30% | 21% | 49% | 51% | 70% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 11% | 18% | 9% | 20% | 12% | 14% | 26% | 39% | 14% | 7% | 50% | 37% | 34% | 64% | 36% | 51% | 12% | 22% | 36% | 42% | 31% | 40% | 28% | 12% | 29% | 56% | 3% | 20% | 24% | 36% | 20% |