Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13286 |
Missouri Democratic Primary Too Close to Call, 96-Hours To Vote: Missouri voters are poised to divide the 88 delegates they send to the Democratic National Convention between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KCTV-TV Kansas City and KSDK-TV St. Louis. Obama leads among men. Clinton leads among women. Obama leads among young voters. Clinton leads among older voters. Clinton leads among whites. Obama leads among blacks. Clinton leads among registered Democrats. Obama leads among Independents. Clinton leads among the Democratic Primary voters who live in the more Republican parts of the state -- the Ozarks and North Central MO. Obama leads in greater Kansas City. The two are tied in greater St. Louis. When all is totaled, it's Clinton 48%, Obama 44% today. One in four likely voters say they may change their mind. The contest could go either way. Because of the way the Democratic Party awards delegates, neither will be shut-out in the Show Me. |
Filtering / Timing: 2,000 state of MO adults were interviewed 01/30/08 and 01/31/08. All interviews were conducted after results of the 01/29/08 Florida Primary were known and after John Edwards withdrew from the contest. Interviews were completed before the California Democratic Debate which began 8 pm ET on 01/31/08. Of the MO adults, 1,833 were registered to vote. Of them, 664 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Democratic Primary. |
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat? |
664 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | Ozark | Kansas C | Central | St. Loui | |
Clinton | 48% | 36% | 58% | 31% | 45% | 52% | 61% | 39% | 56% | 54% | 17% | ** | ** | 30% | 52% | 39% | 44% | 51% | 46% | 44% | 53% | 50% | 44% | 50% | 40% | 51% | 48% | ** | 50% | 48% | ** | ** | ** | ** | 62% | 43% | 50% | 46% |
Obama | 44% | 54% | 36% | 61% | 45% | 42% | 32% | 52% | 38% | 38% | 76% | ** | ** | 60% | 41% | 55% | 42% | 43% | 48% | 49% | 39% | 42% | 47% | 43% | 43% | 46% | 45% | ** | 45% | 46% | ** | ** | ** | ** | 32% | 50% | 34% | 48% |
Other | 5% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | ** | ** | 8% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 13% | 2% | 4% | ** | 2% | 6% | ** | ** | ** | ** | 6% | 5% | 12% | 5% |
Undecided | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ** | ** | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | ** | 2% | 0% | ** | ** | ** | ** | 0% | 3% | 5% | 2% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 21% | 26% | 30% | 23% | 47% | 53% | 82% | 15% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 79% | 10% | 13% | 43% | 22% | 47% | 28% | 25% | 34% | 63% | 26% | 72% | 44% | 4% | 22% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 25% | 8% | 50% |