Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14204
12 Weeks Out, McCain Gathering Steam in Kentucky: Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama by 18 points in an election for President held in Kentucky today, 08/12/08, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville, WLEX-TV Lexington, and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Today, it's McCain 55%, Obama 37%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released eight weeks ago, McCain is up 2 points; Obama is down 4. Then, McCain led by 16 points among men; today, he leads by 24. Then, McCain led by 8 points among women; today, he leads by 13. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, McCain had led by 5, now leads by 12. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain had led by 27, now leads by 9. Among voters in-between the two candidates' ages, McCain had led by 14, now leads by 27. There is little or no change in partisan breakdowns over the past eight weeks: McCain today takes 86% of Republican votes; Obama takes 59% of Democratic votes; Independents favor McCain by 5 points. Among voters with household incomes under $50,000 a year, McCain had led by 4; today, the candidates tie. Among voters with incomes greater than $50,000, McCain had by 19, now leads by 30. Obama leads by 4 points in greater Louisville, down from 12 points eight weeks ago; McCain continues to lead in the rest of the state.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 950 Kentucky adults 08/09/08 through 08/11/08. Of the adults, 854 identified themselves as registered voters. Of them, 636 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the general election on 11/04/08. Kentucky has 8 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Kentucky by 20 points in 2004 and by 15 points in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
636 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KWestern LouisvilNorth CeEastern
McCain (R)55%58%53%50%56%60%53%54%57%53%47%60%60%7%****86%34%43%84%50%19%60%53%63%50%41%69%41%46%60%54%**51%34%85%34%**89%46%62%59%45%57%64%
Obama (D)37%34%40%45%38%34%34%41%34%41%38%33%33%90%****10%59%38%11%45%79%31%42%30%43%52%23%55%35%38%41%**43%52%12%48%**9%46%32%31%49%37%28%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%20%32%29%20%51%49%45%11%44%91%7%1%2%39%50%9%32%36%12%43%57%57%26%17%54%42%26%72%50%5%9%7%9%5%4%7%42%58%23%27%34%15%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.