| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14726 |
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In New Hampshire, Obama Poised To Out-Perform Every Democratic Presidential Candidate since Lyndon Johnson in 1964:
Fiercely independent New Hampshire, which was expected to be a 2008 battleground, is poised today to award Democrat Barack Obama a larger share of the presidential vote than it has given any Democrat since Lyndon Johnson in 1964, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WBZ-TV in Boston.
Four days until votes are counted, Obama defeats John McCain 53% to 42%%. New Hampshire voted Republican in 1968, 1972, 1976, 1980, 1984, 1988 and 2000. New Hampshire voted Democrat in 1992, 1996 and 2004, but no Democrat running for President in New Hampshire has received more than 50% of the vote in the past 44 years. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 3 weeks ago, Obama is flat, McCain is up 2.
In Senate Contest, Democrat Shaheen Takes Away Seat from Republican Sununu: In the election for United States Senator, Democrat Jeanne Shaheen today defeats incumbent Republican John Sununu 53% to 40%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll 3 weeks ago, Shaheen is up 5, Sununu is flat. Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 New Hampshire adults 10/29/08 and 10/30/08. Of the adults, 739 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 682 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before election day. New Hampshire has 4 electoral votes. |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
| 682 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Income | Intellectual? | Traveled Abroad | Speak Another La | USA Super Power | Own a Gun? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | < $50K | > $50K | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | |
| McCain (R) | 42% | 50% | 34% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 40% | 44% | 43% | 42% | ** | ** | ** | 84% | 9% | 35% | 82% | 30% | 10% | 39% | 45% | 52% | 44% | 31% | 69% | 28% | 41% | 42% | 40% | 48% | 41% | 44% | 42% | 42% | 46% | 26% | 52% | 35% |
| Obama (D) | 53% | 45% | 61% | 52% | 53% | 55% | 55% | 52% | 55% | 53% | 54% | 54% | 53% | ** | ** | ** | 14% | 89% | 57% | 14% | 66% | 86% | 57% | 49% | 45% | 49% | 64% | 25% | 68% | 53% | 54% | 54% | 49% | 55% | 46% | 54% | 53% | 50% | 65% | 43% | 60% |
| Other | 3% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| Undecided | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 34% | 26% | 17% | 57% | 43% | 51% | 9% | 40% | 96% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 29% | 30% | 40% | 31% | 44% | 21% | 53% | 47% | 30% | 31% | 39% | 32% | 65% | 32% | 68% | 71% | 25% | 81% | 18% | 30% | 70% | 79% | 17% | 39% | 59% |
 | New Hampshire voters will also elect a Governor. If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Joe Kenney? Democrat John Lynch? Or Libertarian Susan Newell? |
| 682 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Income | Intellectual? | Traveled Abroad | Speak Another La | USA Super Power | Own a Gun? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | < $50K | > $50K | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | |
| Joe Kenney (R) | 28% | 36% | 20% | 32% | 26% | 29% | 26% | 28% | 27% | 28% | 21% | 29% | 28% | ** | ** | ** | 62% | 4% | 20% | 62% | 16% | 5% | 28% | 28% | 38% | 27% | 21% | 52% | 16% | 24% | 29% | 27% | 30% | 28% | 27% | 28% | 27% | 31% | 14% | 36% | 22% |
| John Lynch (D) | 65% | 58% | 72% | 58% | 67% | 67% | 70% | 63% | 68% | 63% | 76% | 65% | 65% | ** | ** | ** | 33% | 92% | 70% | 33% | 78% | 87% | 69% | 61% | 59% | 65% | 71% | 40% | 78% | 64% | 66% | 66% | 65% | 67% | 59% | 65% | 65% | 64% | 73% | 55% | 72% |
| Susan Newell (L) | 5% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 5% | 4% |
| Undecided | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 34% | 26% | 17% | 57% | 43% | 51% | 9% | 40% | 96% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 29% | 30% | 40% | 31% | 44% | 21% | 53% | 47% | 30% | 31% | 39% | 32% | 65% | 32% | 68% | 71% | 25% | 81% | 18% | 30% | 70% | 79% | 17% | 39% | 59% |
 | New Hampshire will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John Sununu? Democrat Jeanne Shaheen? Or Libertarian Ken Blevens? |
| 682 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Income | Intellectual? | Traveled Abroad | Speak Another La | USA Super Power | Own a Gun? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | < $50K | > $50K | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Yes | No | |
| John Sununu (R) | 40% | 46% | 34% | 40% | 39% | 42% | 38% | 39% | 40% | 38% | 39% | 42% | 40% | ** | ** | ** | 79% | 7% | 34% | 81% | 28% | 8% | 38% | 42% | 51% | 38% | 32% | 64% | 27% | 35% | 42% | 39% | 43% | 40% | 38% | 41% | 39% | 43% | 26% | 49% | 33% |
| Jeanne Shaheen (D) | 53% | 44% | 60% | 51% | 51% | 52% | 57% | 51% | 54% | 52% | 58% | 52% | 53% | ** | ** | ** | 16% | 86% | 55% | 15% | 63% | 86% | 57% | 47% | 43% | 54% | 59% | 28% | 66% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 51% | 53% | 51% | 54% | 52% | 49% | 68% | 44% | 59% |
| Ken Blevens (L) | 6% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 6% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Undecided | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 34% | 26% | 17% | 57% | 43% | 51% | 9% | 40% | 96% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 29% | 30% | 40% | 31% | 44% | 21% | 53% | 47% | 30% | 31% | 39% | 32% | 65% | 32% | 68% | 71% | 25% | 81% | 18% | 30% | 70% | 79% | 17% | 39% | 59% |