| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14158 |
| MO Statehouse Still Leans To Democrat Takeaway, 3 Months to Vote ... But, Momentum with GOP: In an election for Missouri Governor today, 08/01/08, 95 days to the vote, Democrat Jay Nixon defeats either of his likely Republican opponents, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KCTV-TV in Kansas City and KSDK-TV in St. Louis. Today, Nixon, Missouri's Attorney General, defeats Republican Congressman Kenny Hulshof 48% to 42%; Nixon defeats Republican State Treasurer Sarah Steelman 50% to 41%. But, Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released ten weeks ago, Nixon has lost ground. Then, Nixon led Hulshof by 24 points and led Steelman by 25 points. Today, Nixon leads Hulshof by 6 points and Steelman by 9. Against either Republican, Nixon carries at least half of women and voters age 50+. Men and younger voters split their vote if Hulshof is the Republican nominee, and narrowly prefer Nixon in a race against Steelman. Against Hulshof, 15% of Republicans cross over to vote for Nixon; against Steelman, 20% of Republicans cross over. Should Missouri voters be required to produce a photo-ID when they vote? 64% of likely voters say "yes." Those who say "yes" favor each of the Republican candidates by 8 points; those who say "no" favor Nixon by 2 ½:1. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,050 Missouri adults 07/29/08 through 07/31/08. Of the adults, 1,884 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 1,459 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Missouri's current first-term governor, Republican Matt Blunt, is not seeking re-election. The seat is open. |
 | If the election for Governor were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican Kenny Hulshof and Democrat Jay Nixon , who would you vote for? |
| 1459 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Top Issue For Next President | Photo ID To Vote? | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | Require | No ID | Not Sure | Northern | Kansas C | Southwes | St. Loui | Southeas | |
| Kenny Hulshof (R) | 42% | 46% | 39% | 49% | 43% | 38% | 42% | 45% | 39% | 46% | 18% | ** | ** | 76% | 9% | 46% | 74% | 30% | 8% | 51% | 34% | 29% | 58% | 26% | 39% | ** | 33% | 32% | 76% | ** | ** | 61% | 52% | 26% | ** | 54% | 36% | 48% | 37% | 50% |
| Jay Nixon (D) | 48% | 46% | 50% | 42% | 48% | 53% | 49% | 46% | 51% | 45% | 71% | ** | ** | 15% | 85% | 41% | 18% | 63% | 84% | 39% | 58% | 63% | 32% | 67% | 52% | ** | 57% | 57% | 22% | ** | ** | 31% | 40% | 64% | ** | 39% | 51% | 44% | 54% | 40% |
| Undecided | 9% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | ** | ** | 8% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 9% | ** | 10% | 12% | 1% | ** | ** | 8% | 8% | 10% | ** | 7% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 21% | 32% | 26% | 21% | 53% | 47% | 86% | 11% | 1% | 3% | 36% | 38% | 20% | 37% | 35% | 12% | 55% | 24% | 21% | 52% | 45% | 56% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 64% | 36% | 0% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 38% | 10% |
 | If the election for Governor were today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican Sarah Steelman and Democrat Jay Nixon , who would you vote for? |
| 1459 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Top Issue For Next President | Photo ID To Vote? | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | Require | No ID | Not Sure | Northern | Kansas C | Southwes | St. Loui | Southeas | |
| Sarah Steelman (R) | 41% | 44% | 38% | 44% | 44% | 38% | 36% | 44% | 37% | 44% | 19% | ** | ** | 71% | 13% | 40% | 67% | 30% | 12% | 47% | 33% | 33% | 54% | 27% | 38% | ** | 30% | 35% | 71% | ** | ** | 62% | 50% | 25% | ** | 42% | 40% | 50% | 34% | 52% |
| Jay Nixon (D) | 50% | 49% | 51% | 49% | 48% | 52% | 52% | 48% | 52% | 47% | 74% | ** | ** | 20% | 83% | 47% | 23% | 64% | 81% | 42% | 60% | 60% | 35% | 67% | 53% | ** | 63% | 55% | 18% | ** | ** | 33% | 42% | 65% | ** | 50% | 48% | 42% | 58% | 39% |
| Undecided | 9% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 8% | ** | ** | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 6% | 9% | ** | 7% | 10% | 11% | ** | ** | 5% | 9% | 10% | ** | 8% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 21% | 32% | 26% | 21% | 53% | 47% | 86% | 11% | 1% | 3% | 36% | 38% | 20% | 37% | 35% | 12% | 55% | 24% | 21% | 52% | 45% | 56% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 64% | 36% | 0% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 38% | 10% |