Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16649
 
5 Months Till Oregon Votes, Former Trailblazer Edges Former Governor for Statehouse; Wyden Strong in US Senate Re-Elect Bid: In an election for Oregon governor today, 06/10/10, Republican Chris Dudley edges Democrat John Kitzhaber, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KATU-TV in Portland.

Dudley, a former professional basketball player, has a 14-point lead among men. Among women, the race is tied. When men and woman are combined today, the Republican Dudley has a 47% to 40% advantage. A third candidate, Progressive Jerry Wilson, today gets 6% of the overall vote, 12% of the vote among Independents. Third party candidates have until August 24 to file to appear on the ballot; additional candidates may enter the race.

The Democrat Kitzhaber, Governor of Oregon from 1995-2003, leads only among the youngest, and often least-reliable, voters. Among voters age 35+, Dudley leads. 87% of those who support the Tea Party vote Republican. 80% of those who oppose the Tea Party vote Democrat.

In an election today for United States Senator from Oregon, Incumbent Democrat Ron Wyden is elected to a third full term, defeating Republican law school professor Jim Huffman. Wyden leads by 22 points in greater Portland; Huffman leads by 4 points in the rest of Oregon. When those two regions are combined today, the Democrat Wyden has a 51% to 38% advantage.

 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 Oregon adults 06/07/10 through 06/09/10. Of them, 711 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 566 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November general election. Incumbent Governor Ted Kulongoski is constitutionally term limited to two consecutive terms. The election is 100% by mail; ballots will be mailed in October.
 
If you were filling out your ballot in for Oregon Governor today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Chris Dudley? Democrat John Kitzhaber? Or Progressive Jerry Wilson?
566 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementTea PartyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniSupportOpposeYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KPortlandRest of
Dudley (R)47%50%44%34%47%50%54%41%52%49%**11%**79%20%41%86%34%11%88%12%44%32%87%12%46%49%56%53%37%71%33%55%36%46%51%44%53%
Kitzhaber (D)40%36%44%47%36%41%38%41%39%40%**54%**13%70%35%10%51%70%7%79%38%35%8%80%48%33%37%33%47%18%54%34%51%43%38%43%35%
Wilson (P)6%11%2%15%8%2%2%11%2%4%**27%**1%7%12%1%7%13%2%5%8%16%2%4%2%9%1%7%10%4%7%6%7%4%6%8%4%
Undecided7%4%10%4%9%7%7%7%7%7%**8%**7%4%11%3%8%6%4%3%10%17%3%4%4%8%6%7%6%7%5%6%5%7%5%6%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%20%29%29%22%49%51%88%1%6%5%35%38%26%34%43%18%34%32%23%11%38%34%48%52%38%22%40%40%57%52%42%46%54%66%34%
 
Oregon voters will also elect a United States Senator. If you were filling out your ballot in for United States Senator today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Jim Huffman? Democrat Ron Wyden? Libertarian Marc Delphine? Or Green Party candidate Rick Staggenborg?
566 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementTea PartyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniSupportOpposeYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KPortlandRest of
Huffman (R)38%38%38%35%37%39%40%36%39%39%**20%**73%7%34%75%25%4%78%6%30%27%77%6%40%38%50%34%30%65%21%44%28%39%39%33%47%
Wyden (D)51%49%53%49%51%50%54%50%52%49%**71%**19%86%44%15%67%75%15%83%56%56%14%85%51%49%41%53%58%25%68%46%62%51%49%55%43%
Delphine (L)4%7%0%4%6%3%1%5%2%4%**2%**3%2%8%4%3%6%4%2%5%6%5%1%4%4%1%7%5%4%4%4%3%2%6%3%4%
Staggenborg (G)2%3%2%7%1%2%0%4%1%3%**0%**0%3%4%0%1%10%0%7%1%1%1%5%3%2%1%3%2%1%3%2%2%2%2%3%1%
Undecided5%3%7%6%5%5%5%5%5%5%**7%**4%2%10%5%4%5%3%3%8%11%2%3%2%7%6%3%5%5%4%4%5%5%5%5%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%20%29%29%22%49%51%88%1%6%5%35%38%26%34%43%18%34%32%23%11%38%34%48%52%38%22%40%40%57%52%42%46%54%66%34%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.