Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #24384 |
National Spotlight Does Nothing to Dim Republican Devin Nunes' Chances For Re-Election to 9th Term in Congress; Of Those Voting for Democratic Challenger Janz, Half Say Theirs Is a Vote 'Against Nunes' More than a Vote 'For Janz': Lightning rod Devin Nunes, chair of the House Intelligence Committee, ally of President Donald Trump, and Republican candidate for office from California's 22nd Congressional District, appears positioned for re-election to a 9th term, according to SurveyUSA polling conducted for KFSN-TV in Fresno. At this hour, 12 days till early voting begins, it's Nunes 55%, Democrat Andrew Janz 41%. Nunes' support is above 50% among men and women, young and old, among the most educated and the least educated, and in rural, urban, and suburban portions of the district. While Janz leads by 8 points among Latino voters, Nunes leads by 24 points among whites. Janz leads among moderates, but Nunes leads among independents. Among voters who say that President Trump is the most important issue in determining how they will vote in 2018, Janz leads Nunes 4:1. Among voters focused on the economy, Nunes leads Janz by nearly 4:1. As evidence of how polarizing a figure Nunes is, Republicans give Nunes an 'A-minus' grade on his handling of the House Intelligence Committee's inquiry into possible Russian interference in the 2016 Presidential election (3.6 grade out of a possible 4.0 points); Democrats give Nunes a 'D' (0.9 grade out of a possible 4.0). * 38% of likely voters strongly approve of the job Nunes is doing (65% of conservatives, 2% of liberals). * 30% of likely voters strongly disapprove of the job Nunes is doing (5% of conservatives, 76% of liberals). * 48% of voters say Nunes considers himself an American first and foremost (75% of Republicans, 8% of Democrats). * 42% of voters say Nunes considers himself a Republican first and foremost (14% of Republicans, 81% of Democrats). * 44% of voters say Nunes will go down in history as a patriot. * 42% of voters say Nunes will go down in history as a partisan. * Of those voting for Nunes, 88% say they are voting "for" Nunes; 10% say they are voting "against" Janz. * Of those voting for Janz, 50% say they are voting "for" Janz; 45% say they are voting "against" Nunes. About: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 registered voters from California's 22nd Congressional District 09/20/18 through 09/25/18 using voter-list sample provided by Aristotle of Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 582 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to return a ballot on or before Election Day 11/06/18. This research was conducted 100% by telephone. Voters reachable on a home telephone (55%) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Voters not reachable on a home telephone were called on their cell phone by live interviewers, who hand-dialed the telephone, secured the respondent's cooperation, asked the questions and remained on the line until the conclusion of the interview. CA-22, in the San Joaquin Valley, includes eastern Fresno and all of Clovis, Tulare and Visalia. Nunes defeated Janz in California's 06/05/18 open, Top-2 primary, 58% to 31%. Nunes won the district with 68% of the vote in 2016, with 72% of the vote in 2014, and with 62% of the vote in 2012. Janz is a Fresno County prosecutor. |
1 | If the election for US House of Representatives were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Devin Nunes? Or Democrat Andrew Janz? |
582 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Nunes Approval | Trump Approval | Issue | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Immigrat | Economy | National | Educatio | Climate | Trump | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
Devin Nunes (R) | 55% | 59% | 50% | 51% | 56% | 55% | 56% | 54% | 55% | 61% | 42% | 52% | 92% | 5% | 51% | 89% | 42% | 4% | 96% | 91% | 9% | 2% | 98% | 79% | 18% | 3% | 72% | 77% | 39% | 57% | ** | 20% | 94% | 3% | 57% | 51% | 56% | 36% | 55% | 57% | 57% | 53% | 56% | 52% | 57% |
Andrew Janz (D) | 41% | 38% | 45% | 42% | 39% | 42% | 44% | 40% | 43% | 37% | 50% | 43% | 5% | 90% | 44% | 9% | 55% | 91% | 4% | 7% | 83% | 97% | 1% | 12% | 82% | 94% | 21% | 22% | 61% | 35% | ** | 80% | 4% | 94% | 40% | 41% | 42% | 52% | 41% | 41% | 39% | 45% | 36% | 40% | 43% |
Undecided | 4% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 9% | 0% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 8% | ** | 0% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 8% | 0% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 29% | 5% | 43% | 31% | 23% | 44% | 34% | 19% | 38% | 17% | 10% | 30% | 35% | 22% | 6% | 36% | 23% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 51% | 35% | 9% | 33% | 58% | 13% | 30% | 57% | 27% | 49% | 20% | 45% | 55% |
2 | Is your vote more a vote for Devin Nunes? Or more a vote against Andrew Janz? |
318 Nunes Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Nunes Approval | Trump Approval | Issue | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Immigrat | Economy | National | Educatio | Climate | Trump | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
For Nunes | 88% | 87% | 88% | 100% | 73% | 90% | 90% | 85% | 90% | 87% | 90% | 88% | 88% | ** | 82% | 88% | 85% | ** | 96% | 76% | ** | ** | 92% | 81% | ** | ** | 88% | 88% | 81% | 100% | ** | 89% | 88% | ** | 92% | 87% | 87% | 90% | 90% | 86% | 92% | 88% | 82% | 84% | 90% |
Against Janz | 10% | 10% | 11% | 0% | 22% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 10% | ** | 13% | 10% | 12% | ** | 3% | 19% | ** | ** | 7% | 16% | ** | ** | 10% | 7% | 17% | 0% | ** | 11% | 10% | ** | 2% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 12% | 9% |
Not Sure | 2% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ** | 5% | 2% | 4% | ** | 1% | 5% | ** | ** | 1% | 4% | ** | ** | 2% | 4% | 2% | 0% | ** | 0% | 2% | ** | 6% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Nunes Voters | 100% | 53% | 47% | 20% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 72% | 22% | 5% | 73% | 3% | 22% | 72% | 26% | 1% | 66% | 28% | 2% | 1% | 64% | 33% | 2% | 2% | 30% | 37% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 88% | 2% | 9% | 31% | 60% | 8% | 31% | 61% | 28% | 48% | 21% | 43% | 57% |
3 | Is your vote more a vote for Andrew Janz? Or more a vote against Devin Nunes? |
242 Janz Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Nunes Approval | Trump Approval | Issue | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 8.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Immigrat | Economy | National | Educatio | Climate | Trump | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
For Janz | 50% | 53% | 48% | 67% | 50% | 39% | 48% | 58% | 44% | 53% | 49% | 27% | 38% | 54% | 38% | 58% | 50% | 51% | ** | ** | 48% | 49% | ** | 47% | 55% | 50% | 60% | 64% | 68% | ** | 49% | 43% | ** | 51% | 59% | 54% | 48% | 50% | 43% | 56% | 49% | 51% | 45% | 47% | 52% |
Against Nunes | 45% | 42% | 47% | 33% | 49% | 50% | 45% | 41% | 48% | 42% | 46% | 71% | 59% | 40% | 60% | 35% | 43% | 47% | ** | ** | 48% | 48% | ** | 53% | 42% | 45% | 35% | 30% | 24% | ** | 46% | 56% | ** | 44% | 30% | 42% | 48% | 45% | 50% | 41% | 49% | 44% | 49% | 46% | 44% |
Not Sure | 5% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 11% | 6% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 3% | ** | ** | 4% | 4% | ** | 0% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | ** | 5% | 2% | ** | 5% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Janz Voters | 100% | 45% | 55% | 22% | 24% | 28% | 26% | 46% | 54% | 58% | 35% | 6% | 5% | 67% | 25% | 10% | 45% | 41% | 4% | 3% | 21% | 71% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 81% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 30% | 5% | 78% | 8% | 33% | 59% | 16% | 29% | 55% | 26% | 53% | 18% | 43% | 57% |
4 | What do you think of the job Devin Nunes is doing as Congressman from California's 22nd Congressional District? Do you strongly approve? Approve? Disapprove? Or strongly disapprove? |
582 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Nunes Approval | Trump Approval | Issue | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Immigrat | Economy | National | Educatio | Climate | Trump | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
Strongly Approve | 38% | 42% | 34% | 38% | 30% | 39% | 43% | 34% | 41% | 39% | 35% | 40% | 63% | 6% | 33% | 65% | 24% | 2% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 81% | 32% | 23% | 1% | 54% | 52% | 26% | 33% | ** | 15% | 64% | 5% | 37% | 37% | 38% | 28% | 41% | 37% | 33% | 37% | 43% | 32% | 42% |
Approve | 17% | 19% | 15% | 16% | 21% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 15% | 20% | 11% | 14% | 25% | 3% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 2% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 47% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 28% | 21% | 22% | ** | 3% | 26% | 2% | 16% | 13% | 19% | 9% | 12% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 20% | 14% |
Disapprove | 10% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 18% | 3% | 21% | 12% | 4% | 17% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 38% | 18% | 10% | 9% | 2% | 3% | ** | 15% | 3% | 19% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 9% |
Strongly Disapprove | 30% | 29% | 32% | 26% | 31% | 31% | 32% | 29% | 31% | 28% | 36% | 24% | 5% | 66% | 29% | 5% | 37% | 76% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 1% | 5% | 24% | 77% | 14% | 10% | 49% | 32% | ** | 66% | 2% | 72% | 28% | 29% | 31% | 41% | 28% | 30% | 31% | 34% | 25% | 26% | 34% |
Not Sure | 5% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 10% | ** | 0% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 29% | 5% | 43% | 31% | 23% | 44% | 34% | 19% | 38% | 17% | 10% | 30% | 35% | 22% | 6% | 36% | 23% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 51% | 35% | 9% | 33% | 58% | 13% | 30% | 57% | 27% | 49% | 20% | 45% | 55% |
5 | Nunes is chairman of the U.S. House Intelligence Committee. What grade would you give Nunes on his handling of the Intelligence Committee's investigation into possible Russian interference in the 2016 Presidential election? An A, B, C, D, or an F? |
582 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Nunes Approval | Trump Approval | Issue | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Immigrat | Economy | National | Educatio | Climate | Trump | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
A | 40% | 43% | 36% | 37% | 37% | 42% | 42% | 37% | 42% | 42% | 34% | 42% | 64% | 5% | 38% | 72% | 21% | 3% | 85% | 40% | 4% | 1% | 86% | 37% | 3% | 1% | 60% | 50% | 28% | 33% | ** | 17% | 69% | 3% | 38% | 39% | 40% | 31% | 45% | 37% | 38% | 39% | 41% | 34% | 44% |
B | 12% | 13% | 11% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 19% | 2% | 11% | 10% | 19% | 2% | 11% | 38% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 35% | 22% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 11% | 15% | ** | 1% | 17% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 15% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 14% | 10% |
C | 5% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 16% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 12% | 20% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 7% | ** | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% |
D | 8% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 1% | 1% | 37% | 10% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 7% | ** | 10% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 9% |
F | 30% | 28% | 32% | 25% | 30% | 34% | 31% | 27% | 32% | 26% | 40% | 24% | 3% | 65% | 34% | 5% | 39% | 72% | 0% | 1% | 31% | 87% | 1% | 3% | 38% | 75% | 16% | 8% | 44% | 29% | ** | 67% | 1% | 72% | 29% | 30% | 30% | 33% | 32% | 29% | 34% | 32% | 25% | 30% | 30% |
Not Sure | 6% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 2% | 10% | ** | 0% | 7% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 13% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 13% | 10% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 29% | 5% | 43% | 31% | 23% | 44% | 34% | 19% | 38% | 17% | 10% | 30% | 35% | 22% | 6% | 36% | 23% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 51% | 35% | 9% | 33% | 58% | 13% | 30% | 57% | 27% | 49% | 20% | 45% | 55% |
G.P.A. | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
6 | Does Devin Nunes consider himself ... A Republican, first and foremost? Or An American, first and foremost? |
582 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Nunes Approval | Trump Approval | Issue | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Immigrat | Economy | National | Educatio | Climate | Trump | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
Republican | 42% | 40% | 43% | 36% | 40% | 43% | 46% | 38% | 45% | 37% | 51% | 42% | 14% | 81% | 41% | 14% | 52% | 87% | 8% | 7% | 85% | 93% | 9% | 14% | 71% | 88% | 28% | 21% | 47% | 39% | ** | 78% | 11% | 87% | 41% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 46% | 38% | 36% | 46% |
American | 48% | 50% | 46% | 51% | 45% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 53% | 36% | 51% | 75% | 8% | 52% | 74% | 41% | 4% | 85% | 78% | 6% | 1% | 82% | 68% | 27% | 3% | 58% | 68% | 46% | 52% | ** | 20% | 76% | 6% | 47% | 48% | 47% | 34% | 47% | 50% | 50% | 45% | 52% | 44% | 51% |
Not Sure | 11% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 14% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 19% | 2% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 9% | ** | 2% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 19% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 29% | 5% | 43% | 31% | 23% | 44% | 34% | 19% | 38% | 17% | 10% | 30% | 35% | 22% | 6% | 36% | 23% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 51% | 35% | 9% | 33% | 58% | 13% | 30% | 57% | 27% | 49% | 20% | 45% | 55% |
7 | Does Andrew Janz consider himself ... A Democrat, first and foremost? Or An American, first and foremost? |
582 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Nunes Approval | Trump Approval | Issue | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Immigrat | Economy | National | Educatio | Climate | Trump | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
Democrat | 39% | 44% | 35% | 20% | 46% | 41% | 47% | 34% | 44% | 41% | 35% | 44% | 57% | 10% | 43% | 61% | 31% | 9% | 67% | 46% | 26% | 10% | 69% | 42% | 16% | 12% | 65% | 47% | 33% | 12% | ** | 23% | 62% | 13% | 52% | 40% | 37% | 41% | 40% | 36% | 44% | 34% | 46% | 30% | 47% |
American | 43% | 37% | 49% | 57% | 31% | 44% | 43% | 43% | 43% | 41% | 48% | 38% | 18% | 79% | 44% | 20% | 52% | 83% | 15% | 27% | 58% | 85% | 12% | 22% | 65% | 83% | 19% | 28% | 61% | 80% | ** | 68% | 16% | 80% | 41% | 43% | 44% | 46% | 44% | 45% | 37% | 50% | 38% | 40% | 46% |
Not Sure | 18% | 19% | 16% | 23% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 23% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 26% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 18% | 8% | 18% | 27% | 16% | 4% | 18% | 35% | 20% | 5% | 17% | 25% | 7% | 8% | ** | 8% | 22% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 19% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 16% | 30% | 8% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 29% | 5% | 43% | 31% | 23% | 44% | 34% | 19% | 38% | 17% | 10% | 30% | 35% | 22% | 6% | 36% | 23% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 51% | 35% | 9% | 33% | 58% | 13% | 30% | 57% | 27% | 49% | 20% | 45% | 55% |
8 | Will Devin Nunes go down in history as ... A patriot? Or A partisan? |
582 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Nunes Approval | Trump Approval | Issue | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Immigrat | Economy | National | Educatio | Climate | Trump | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
Patriot | 44% | 49% | 39% | 39% | 42% | 45% | 48% | 41% | 46% | 48% | 35% | 45% | 71% | 6% | 41% | 73% | 30% | 4% | 88% | 54% | 5% | 1% | 88% | 47% | 19% | 3% | 62% | 61% | 34% | 40% | ** | 18% | 73% | 5% | 50% | 42% | 44% | 28% | 45% | 44% | 44% | 41% | 49% | 41% | 46% |
Partisan | 42% | 36% | 47% | 37% | 43% | 45% | 40% | 41% | 42% | 40% | 46% | 30% | 16% | 78% | 42% | 13% | 54% | 87% | 4% | 22% | 66% | 93% | 4% | 27% | 52% | 86% | 26% | 25% | 52% | 50% | ** | 75% | 14% | 80% | 38% | 38% | 44% | 49% | 40% | 42% | 39% | 47% | 39% | 38% | 44% |
Not Sure | 15% | 15% | 14% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 12% | 18% | 11% | 12% | 19% | 25% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 24% | 29% | 6% | 8% | 26% | 29% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 10% | ** | 8% | 13% | 15% | 11% | 20% | 12% | 23% | 15% | 13% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 21% | 10% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 29% | 5% | 43% | 31% | 23% | 44% | 34% | 19% | 38% | 17% | 10% | 30% | 35% | 22% | 6% | 36% | 23% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 51% | 35% | 9% | 33% | 58% | 13% | 30% | 57% | 27% | 49% | 20% | 45% | 55% |
9 | What do you think of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Do you strongly approve? Approve? Disapprove? Or strongly disapprove? |
582 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Nunes Approval | Trump Approval | Issue | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Immigrat | Economy | National | Educatio | Climate | Trump | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
Strongly Approve | 35% | 37% | 34% | 34% | 32% | 37% | 38% | 33% | 37% | 38% | 29% | 38% | 61% | 2% | 30% | 64% | 20% | 3% | 77% | 29% | 3% | 1% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 41% | 24% | 34% | ** | 18% | 65% | 1% | 53% | 36% | 32% | 30% | 37% | 34% | 35% | 35% | 36% | 31% | 39% |
Approve | 22% | 24% | 21% | 25% | 29% | 19% | 17% | 27% | 18% | 27% | 15% | 18% | 32% | 8% | 26% | 27% | 26% | 1% | 19% | 63% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 39% | 25% | 14% | ** | 0% | 32% | 3% | 7% | 21% | 26% | 24% | 22% | 23% | 22% | 22% | 24% | 27% | 19% |
Disapprove | 6% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 21% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 0% | ** | 8% | 1% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% |
Strongly Disapprove | 36% | 30% | 41% | 37% | 30% | 37% | 39% | 33% | 38% | 31% | 45% | 38% | 4% | 81% | 31% | 6% | 42% | 92% | 1% | 5% | 63% | 90% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 21% | 13% | 45% | 52% | ** | 73% | 1% | 86% | 39% | 38% | 34% | 43% | 38% | 34% | 36% | 39% | 30% | 35% | 36% |
Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 29% | 5% | 43% | 31% | 23% | 44% | 34% | 19% | 38% | 17% | 10% | 30% | 35% | 22% | 6% | 36% | 23% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 51% | 35% | 9% | 33% | 58% | 13% | 30% | 57% | 27% | 49% | 20% | 45% | 55% |
10 | Which one issue will be most important in determining how you vote in this election? Immigration? The economy? Terrorism? National security? Education? Climate Change? Agriculture? President Trump? Or some other issue? |
582 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Nunes Approval | Trump Approval | Issue | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Cell Phone / Lan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Strongly | Approve | Disappro | Strongly | Immigrat | Economy | National | Educatio | Climate | Trump | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Cell Pho | Landline | |
Immigration | 23% | 23% | 22% | 21% | 21% | 23% | 27% | 21% | 25% | 19% | 30% | 27% | 28% | 18% | 18% | 32% | 16% | 12% | 33% | 16% | 21% | 11% | 36% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 30% | 13% | 30% | 29% | 19% | 30% | 27% | 18% | 25% | 18% | 31% | 25% | 21% |
Economy | 26% | 30% | 23% | 25% | 34% | 27% | 19% | 30% | 23% | 28% | 24% | 25% | 36% | 12% | 29% | 33% | 29% | 8% | 37% | 44% | 23% | 9% | 31% | 45% | 32% | 10% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 35% | 12% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | 27% | 20% | 29% | 23% | 26% | 26% |
Terrorism | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 2% |
National Security | 9% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 2% | 15% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | ** | 0% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 11% |
Education | 6% | 5% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | ** | 0% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 5% |
Climate Change | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 16% | 1% | 0% | 8% | 11% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 10% | 13% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% |
Agriculture | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 10% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
Trump | 15% | 12% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 27% | 15% | 6% | 22% | 24% | 6% | 3% | 22% | 34% | 8% | 0% | 21% | 32% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 100% | 6% | 33% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 13% | 19% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 7% | 7% | 22% |
Other | 11% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 6% | 22% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 10% | 19% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 9% | 11% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 17% | 6% |
Not Sure | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 22% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 29% | 5% | 43% | 31% | 23% | 44% | 34% | 19% | 38% | 17% | 10% | 30% | 35% | 22% | 6% | 36% | 23% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 51% | 35% | 9% | 33% | 58% | 13% | 30% | 57% | 27% | 49% | 20% | 45% | 55% |